NCAAB Free Pick: Massachusetts Minutemen at George Mason Patriots 2018-03-08

NCAAB Free Pick: Massachusetts Minutemen at George Mason Patriots 2018-03-08

The George Mason Patriots (15-16) will meet the Massachusetts Minutemen (12-19) here at Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C. in this tussle. The line on the Patriots is -1.5 while the total shows at 147.0. For those looking to deliver a slam dunk with your college basketball picks today, you have come to the right place.

Playing out of the Atlantic 10, the Massachusetts Minutemen rank number 12 in conference play. On the national stage, the Minutemen currently sit at number 183 overall on the oddsmakers power ratings poll.

The George Mason Patriots currently rank number 6 in Atlantic 10 conference play and when stacked up against all the college basketball teams in the country, they currently sit at number 187 according to national oddsmakers.

GEORGE MASON V MASSACHUSETTS CONSENSUS REPORT

Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting Massachusetts against the spread(1.5): 1%
  • Betting Massachusetts to win straight up(108): 75%
  • Betting George Mason against the spread(-1.5): 99%
  • Betting George Mason to win straight up(-128): 25%
  • Betting Over the Total(147.0): 78%
  • Betting Under the Total(147.0): 22%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".

COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK: MASSACHUSETTS/GEORGE MASON

The George Mason Patriots is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 11 documented premium wagers on Patriots games in the last decade, winning 10, next to just 1 for a winning rate of 90.90% and profits of $8900.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 144. Together, the teams average 150.7 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 147.35, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, which is considered "neutral", the power rating on the George Mason Patriots is 69.5 while the Massachusetts Minutemen bring a rating of 70.0, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for George Mason is 0.5.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Lou Barry says, take the Massachusetts Minutemen 2/-106
(Record for Professional Handicapper Lou Barry betting on or against the George Mason Patriots: 10-1/90.90%, +8900.00)

GAME NOTES: ATLANTIC 10 CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT TV: NBCS, DTV: 220 POWER RATINGS: GEORGE MASON 72.5, MASSACHUSETTS 70.0

Posted on Wednesday, March 7, 2018 by Lou Barry

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