NCAAB Free Pick: Louisiana State Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs 2018-03-08

NCAAB Free Pick: Louisiana State Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs 2018-03-08

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (20-10) will meet the Louisiana State Tigers (17-13) here at Scottrade Center in St. Louis, Missouri in this tussle. The line on the Bulldogs is -2.0 while the total shows at 142.0. For those looking to deliver a slam dunk with your college basketball picks today, you have come to the right place.

Playing out of the Southeastern, the Louisiana State Tigers rank number 9 in conference play. On the national stage, the Tigers currently sit at number 67 overall on the oddsmakers power ratings poll.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs currently rank number 5 in Southeastern conference play and when stacked up against all the college basketball teams in the country, they currently sit at number 67 according to national oddsmakers.

MISSISSIPPI STATE V LOUISIANA STATE CONSENSUS REPORT

Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting Louisiana State against the spread(2.0): 13%
  • Betting Louisiana State to win straight up(120): 2%
  • Betting Mississippi State against the spread(-2.0): 87%
  • Betting Mississippi State to win straight up(-140): 98%
  • Betting Over the Total(142.0): 18%
  • Betting Under the Total(142.0): 82%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".

COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK: LOUISIANA STATE/MISSISSIPPI STATE

The Mississippi State Bulldogs is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 11 documented premium wagers on Bulldogs games in the last decade, winning 10, next to just 1 for a winning rate of 90.90% and profits of $8900.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 149.4. Together, the teams average 142.4 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 145.9, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, which is considered "neutral", the power rating on the Mississippi State Bulldogs is 80.0 while the Louisiana State Tigers bring a rating of 80.0, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Mississippi State is 0.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Max Prophet says, take the Mississippi State Bulldogs -2/-106
(Record for Professional Handicapper Max Prophet betting on or against the Mississippi State Bulldogs: 10-1/90.90%, +8900.00)

GAME NOTES: 2018 SEC COLLEGE BASKETBALL CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT LSU-G-Tremont Waters-Probable | TV: SEC, DTV: 611 POWER RATINGS: MISSISSIPPI STATE 83.0, LOUISIANA STATE 80.0

Posted on Wednesday, March 7, 2018 by Max Prophet
Louisiana State Tigers, Mississippi State Bulldogs, College Basketball Betting, March Madness bets, NCAA wagering, NCAAB Free Picks, College Basketball Predictions, Betting College Hoops


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