NCAAB Free Pick: East Carolina Pirates at Central Florida Golden Knights 2018-03-08

NCAAB Free Pick: East Carolina Pirates at Central Florida Golden Knights 2018-03-08

The Central Florida Golden Knights (18-12) will meet the East Carolina Pirates (10-19) here at Amway Center in Orlando, Florida in this tussle. The line on the Golden Knights is -12.5 while the total shows at 128.0. For those looking to deliver a slam dunk with your college basketball picks today, you have come to the right place.

Playing out of the American Athletic, the East Carolina Pirates rank number 10 in conference play. On the national stage, the Pirates currently sit at number 280 overall on the oddsmakers power ratings poll.

The Central Florida Golden Knights currently rank number 5 in American Athletic conference play and when stacked up against all the college basketball teams in the country, they currently sit at number 90 according to national oddsmakers.

CENTRAL FLORIDA V EAST CAROLINA CONSENSUS REPORT

Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting East Carolina against the spread(12.5): 22%
  • Betting East Carolina to win straight up(664): 81%
  • Betting Central Florida against the spread(-12.5): 78%
  • Betting Central Florida to win straight up(-1000): 19%
  • Betting Over the Total(128.0): 18%
  • Betting Under the Total(128.0): 82%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".

COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK: EAST CAROLINA/CENTRAL FLORIDA

The Central Florida Golden Knights is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 15 documented premium wagers on Golden Knights games in the last decade, winning 13, next to just 2 for a winning rate of 86.70% and profits of $10880.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 129.9. Together, the teams average 137.2 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 133.55, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, which is considered "neutral", the power rating on the Central Florida Golden Knights is 77.5 while the East Carolina Pirates bring a rating of 63.5, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Central Florida is -14.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Aaron Kelly says, take the Central Florida Golden Knights -14/-106
(Record for Professional Handicapper Aaron Kelly betting on or against the Central Florida Golden Knights: 13-2/86.70%, +10880.00)

GAME NOTES: AAC MENS BASKETBALL TOURNAMENT ECU-G-Kentrell Barkley-OUT | CFL-C-Tacko Fall-OUT | TV: ESPNU, DTV: 208 POWER RATINGS: CENTRAL FLORIDA 80.5, EAST CAROLINA 63.5

Posted on Wednesday, March 7, 2018 by Aaron Kelly
East Carolina Pirates, Central Florida Golden Knights, College Basketball Betting, March Madness bets, NCAA wagering, NCAAB Free Picks, College Basketball Predictions, Betting College Hoops


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