NCAAB Free Pick: Central Michigan Chippewas at Buffalo Bulls 2018-03-08

NCAAB Free Pick: Central Michigan Chippewas at Buffalo Bulls 2018-03-08

The Buffalo Bulls (22-8) will meet the Central Michigan Chippewas (15-13) here at Quicken Loans Arena in Cleveland, Ohio in this tussle. The line on the Bulls is -8.5 while the total shows at 160.5. For those looking to deliver a slam dunk with your college basketball picks today, you have come to the right place.

Playing out of the Mid-American (West), the Central Michigan Chippewas rank number 4 in conference play. On the national stage, the Chippewas currently sit at number 172 overall on the oddsmakers power ratings poll.

The Buffalo Bulls currently rank number 1 in Mid-American (East) conference play and when stacked up against all the college basketball teams in the country, they currently sit at number 77 according to national oddsmakers.


Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting Central Michigan against the spread(8.5): 55%
  • Betting Central Michigan to win straight up(328): 8%
  • Betting Buffalo against the spread(-8.5): 45%
  • Betting Buffalo to win straight up(-416): 92%
  • Betting Over the Total(160.5): 88%
  • Betting Under the Total(160.5): 12%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".


The Buffalo Bulls is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 10 documented premium wagers on Bulls games in the last decade, winning 8, next to just 2 for a winning rate of 80.00% and profits of $5920.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 162.3. Together, the teams average 149.5 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 155.9, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, which is considered "neutral", the power rating on the Buffalo Bulls is 78.5 while the Central Michigan Chippewas bring a rating of 71.0, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Buffalo is -7.5.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Jimmy McGuire says, take the Buffalo Bulls -9/-106
(Record for Professional Handicapper Jimmy McGuire betting on or against the Buffalo Bulls: 8-2/80.00%, +5920.00)


Posted on Wednesday, March 7, 2018 by Jimmy McGuire
Central Michigan Chippewas, Buffalo Bulls, College Basketball Betting, March Madness bets, NCAA wagering, NCAAB Free Picks, College Basketball Predictions, Betting College Hoops

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