NCAAB Free Pick: Alabama Crimson Tide at Texas A&M Aggies 2018-03-08

NCAAB Free Pick: Alabama Crimson Tide at Texas A&M Aggies 2018-03-08

The Texas A&M Aggies (20-11) will meet the Alabama Crimson Tide (17-14) here at Scottrade Center in St. Louis, Missouri in this tussle. The line on the Aggies is -2.5 while the total shows at 135.0. For those looking to deliver a slam dunk with your college basketball picks today, you have come to the right place.

Playing out of the Southeastern, the Alabama Crimson Tide rank number 9 in conference play. On the national stage, the Crimson Tide currently sit at number 47 overall on the oddsmakers power ratings poll.

The Texas A&M Aggies currently rank number 5 in Southeastern conference play and when stacked up against all the college basketball teams in the country, they currently sit at number 26 according to national oddsmakers.

TEXAS A&M V ALABAMA CONSENSUS REPORT

Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting Alabama against the spread(2.5): 24%
  • Betting Alabama to win straight up(125): 27%
  • Betting Texas A&M against the spread(-2.5): 76%
  • Betting Texas A&M to win straight up(-145): 73%
  • Betting Over the Total(135.0): 3%
  • Betting Under the Total(135.0): 97%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".

COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK: ALABAMA/TEXAS A&M

The Texas A&M Aggies is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 11 documented premium wagers on Aggies games in the last decade, winning 10, next to just 1 for a winning rate of 90.90% and profits of $8940.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 148.1. Together, the teams average 140.9 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 144.5, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, which is considered "neutral", the power rating on the Texas A&M Aggies is 85.0 while the Alabama Crimson Tide bring a rating of 82.5, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Texas A&M is -2.5.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

George Smeader says, take the Texas A&M Aggies -2/-106
(Record for Professional Handicapper George Smeader betting on or against the Texas A&M Aggies: 10-1/90.90%, +8940.00)

GAME NOTES: 2018 SEC COLLEGE BASKETBALL CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT TV: SEC, DTV: 611 POWER RATINGS: TEXAS A&M 88.0, ALABAMA 82.5

Posted on Wednesday, March 7, 2018 by George Smeader
Alabama Crimson Tide, Texas A&M Aggies, College Basketball Betting, March Madness bets, NCAA wagering, NCAAB Free Picks, College Basketball Predictions, Betting College Hoops


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