NCAAB Free Pick: Alabama Birmingham Blazers at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 2018-03-08

NCAAB Free Pick: Alabama Birmingham Blazers at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 2018-03-08

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (21-9) will meet the Alabama Birmingham Blazers (17-12) here at The Ford Center at The Star in Frisco, Texas in this tussle. The line on the Hilltoppers is -4.5 while the total shows at 148.0. For those looking to deliver a slam dunk with your college basketball picks today, you have come to the right place.

Playing out of the Conference USA, the Alabama Birmingham Blazers rank number 5 in conference play. On the national stage, the Blazers currently sit at number 104 overall on the oddsmakers power ratings poll.

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers currently rank number 3 in Conference USA conference play and when stacked up against all the college basketball teams in the country, they currently sit at number 86 according to national oddsmakers.

WESTERN KENTUCKY V ALABAMA BIRMINGHAM CONSENSUS REPORT

Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting Alabama Birmingham against the spread(4.5): 15%
  • Betting Alabama Birmingham to win straight up(176): 48%
  • Betting Western Kentucky against the spread(-4.5): 85%
  • Betting Western Kentucky to win straight up(-210): 52%
  • Betting Over the Total(148.0): 50%
  • Betting Under the Total(148.0): 50%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".

COLLEGE BASKETBALL FREE PICK: ALABAMA BIRMINGHAM/WESTERN KENTUCKY

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 15 documented premium wagers on Hilltoppers games in the last decade, winning 14, next to just 1 for a winning rate of 93.30% and profits of $12940.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 155.2. Together, the teams average 140.4 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 147.8, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, which is considered "neutral", the power rating on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers is 78.0 while the Alabama Birmingham Blazers bring a rating of 76.0, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Western Kentucky is -2.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Max Prophet says, take the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -5/-106
(Record for Professional Handicapper Max Prophet betting on or against the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers: 14-1/93.30%, +12940.00)

GAME NOTES: CONFERENCE USA MENS BASKETBALL TOURNAMENT POWER RATINGS: WESTERN KENTUCKY 81.0, ALABAMA BIRMINGHAM 76.0

Posted on Wednesday, March 7, 2018 by Max Prophet


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