Houston Rockets at Los Angeles Lakers 2020-03-12 - Free NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Welcome to Los Angeles, California for this challenge pitting the visiting Houston Rockets against the hometown Los Angeles Lakers in the friendly confines of Staples Center. Las Vegas oddsmakers have posted a line on the Lakers of -6.5 and set the total at 232.0.
The Houston Rockets (40-24) are averaging 118.1 points per game this season while allowing 114.4, which has led to a record of 25-31 against the spread this season. On the road against the betting line, the record for the Rockets is 13-14. The number has gone over the total on 24 occasions while falling under the total 30 times. As the road team, those numbers are 11 over and 16 under.
On the other side of the court, the Lakers of Los Angeles (49-14) have averaged 114.3 points for and 106.9 points against on the season. On home court, those numbers change to 114.5-105.2. For those making NBA basketball picks against the spread, the Lakers are 33-22 ATS on the season and17-11 ATS as the home team. Over the total has cashed 27 times this season in Lakers games while under the total has paid off 28 times. The home record for Over/Under in Lakers games is 13-16.
HOUSTON ROCKETS VS LOS ANGELES LAKERS EARLY PUBLIC CONSENSUS REVIEW
Here is a quick look at the early public action on the game, which reflects overnight betting, as reported by participating sportsbooks.
- Betting Houston against the spread(6.5): 51%
- Betting Houston to win straight up(227): 48%
- Betting Los Angeles against the spread(-6.5): 49%
- Betting Los Angeles to win straight up(-261): 52%
- Betting Over the Total(232.0): 50%
- Betting Under the Total(232.0): 50%
These reports are particularly of interest to "steam" bettors and "consensus" junkies. We like to look at these numbers in contrast to the value that we see in the line. If public trends are eating at our perceived value, we prefer to get in on the games early and capture a good number, but if the trend is on the wrong side, we may prefer to wait and make our bets closer to game time to milk another half point or more out of the number.
NBA BASKETBALL FREE PICK FROM JIMMY MCGUIRE
We selected this game as a free opinion today because we do not have a premium selection on it but we have done really well betting on or against Lakers games (46-25/64.80%) and we feel we have our finger on the pulse of this matchup.
This opinion all comes down to "value" or "false value" and we make that determination by looking at the point spread as it is (Los Angeles -6.5) compared to where we feel it should be (Los Angeles -6). From there we decide if there is any value or false value in the number by examining the public perception on the game, the early public betting trends and the situational trends in this particular matchup.
GAME NOTES: POWER RATINGS: LOS ANGELES 94.0, HOUSTON 88.0