NBA Free Pick: Dallas Mavericks at Boston Celtics 2019-11-11
The Dallas Mavericks (6-3) visit TD Garden on Monday, November 11, 2019, to challenge with the Boston Celtics (7-1). The home line is -4.0, the total is set at 219.0 and the start time is 8:30 PM.
The Mavericks have a record against the spread of 4-5 this season and are averaging 116.3 points per contest while allowing 111.9. The total has gone over the posted line 7 times while staying under the total in 2 instances.
On the other side of the court, the Celtics have a record against the number of 5-2, averaging 113.1 points per contest while opponents score an average of 103.8 against them. The total has gone over the posted line 3 times in Celtics games while staying under the total in 4 instances.
DALLAS MAVERICKS VS BOSTON CELTICS EARLY PUBLIC CONSENSUS REVIEW
Here is a quick look at the early public action on the game, which reflects overnight betting, as reported by participating sportsbooks.
- Betting Dallas against the spread(4.0): 51%
- Betting Dallas to win straight up(150): 48%
- Betting Boston against the spread(-4.0): 49%
- Betting Boston to win straight up(-180): 52%
- Betting Over the Total(219.0): 50%
- Betting Under the Total(219.0): 50%
These reports are particularly of interest to "steam" bettors and "consensus" junkies. We like to look at these numbers in contrast to the value that we see in the line. If public trends are eating at our perceived value, we prefer to get in on the games early and capture a good number, but if the trend is on the wrong side, we may prefer to wait and make our bets closer to game time to milk another half point or more out of the number.
NBA BASKETBALL FREE PICK FROM THE BANKER
We selected this game as a free opinion today because we do not have a premium selection on it but we have done really well betting on or against Celtics games (111-52/68.10%) and we feel we have our finger on the pulse of this matchup.
This opinion all comes down to "value" or "false value" and we make that determination by looking at the point spread as it is (Boston -4.0) compared to where we feel it should be (Boston -7). From there we decide if there is any value or false value in the number by examining the public perception on the game, the early public betting trends and the situational trends in this particular matchup.
The Banker says, take the Boston Celtics -4/-106
(Record for Professional Handicapper The Banker betting on or against the Boston Celtics: 111-52/68.10%, +94280.00)
GAME NOTES: POWER RATINGS: BOSTON 96.0, DALLAS 89.0