NBA Free Pick: Indiana Pacers at Golden State Warriors 2019-03-21

NBA Free Pick: Indiana Pacers at Golden State Warriors 2019-03-21

The Indiana Pacers (44-28) visit Oracle Arena on Thursday, March 21, 2019, to challenge with the Golden State Warriors (48-22). The home line is -11.0, the total is set at 220.5 and the start time is 10:35 PM.

The Pacers have a record against the spread of 12-5 this season and are averaging 107.9 points per contest while allowing 104.1. The total has gone over the posted line 9 times while staying under the total in 9 instances.

On the other side of the court, the Warriors have a record against the number of 7-9, averaging 117.7 points per contest while opponents score an average of 111.7 against them. The total has gone over the posted line 7 times in Warriors games while staying under the total in 9 instances.

INDIANA PACERS VS GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS EARLY PUBLIC CONSENSUS REVIEW

Here is a quick look at the early public action on the game, which reflects overnight betting, as reported by participating sportsbooks.

  • Betting Indiana against the spread(11.0): 51%
  • Betting Indiana to win straight up(): 48%
  • Betting Golden State against the spread(-11.0): 49%
  • Betting Golden State to win straight up(): 52%
  • Betting Over the Total(220.5): 50%
  • Betting Under the Total(220.5): 50%

These reports are particularly of interest to "steam" bettors and "consensus" junkies. We like to look at these numbers in contrast to the value that we see in the line. If public trends are eating at our perceived value, we prefer to get in on the games early and capture a good number, but if the trend is on the wrong side, we may prefer to wait and make our bets closer to game time to milk another half point or more out of the number.

NBA BASKETBALL FREE PICK FROM PRIME TIME SPORTS

We selected this game as a free opinion today because we do not have a premium selection on it but we have done really well betting on or against Warriors games (70-36/66.00%) and we feel we have our finger on the pulse of this matchup.

This opinion all comes down to "value" or "false value" and we make that determination by looking at the point spread as it is (Golden State -11.0) compared to where we feel it should be (Golden State -4.5). From there we decide if there is any value or false value in the number by examining the public perception on the game, the early public betting trends and the situational trends in this particular matchup.

Prime Time Sports says, take the Golden State Warriors -11/-111
(Record for Professional Handicapper Prime Time Sports betting on or against the Golden State Warriors: 70-36/66.00%, +4250.00)

GAME NOTES: IND-SG-Victor Oladipo-OUT | TV: FS-Midwest, DTV: 671 POWER RATINGS: GOLDEN STATE 92.5, INDIANA 88.0

Posted on Wednesday, March 20, 2019 by Prime Time Sports
Indiana Pacers, Golden State Warriors, NBA basketball pick, basketball tips, NBA betting advice, wagering strategies, hoops betting, bet on basketball


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The very thing that makes lines SOFT is the presence of SQUARE MONEY and no games attract more SQUARE MONEY than the Big Nationally Televised Prime Time games that casual bettors like to watch ... and bet on. It is for this very reason that SHARP guys make their living on these situations, burying their well placed smart wagers amongst the myriad of square money raining down on either side. There is no reason to be intimidated by these games or to avoid them, but in fact, we will instead cash in on them together! Welcome aboard, and enjoy this Prime Time Ticket!

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