NBA Free Pick: Detroit Pistons at Phoenix Suns 2019-03-21

NBA Free Pick: Detroit Pistons at Phoenix Suns 2019-03-21

The Detroit Pistons (36-34) visit Talking Stick Resort Arena on Thursday, March 21, 2019, to challenge with the Phoenix Suns (17-55). The home line is 7.0, the total is set at 218.5 and the start time is 10:05 PM.

The Pistons have a record against the spread of 1-4 this season and are averaging 107.4 points per contest while allowing 107.9. The total has gone over the posted line 3 times while staying under the total in 2 instances.

On the other side of the court, the Suns have a record against the number of 8-13, averaging 107.1 points per contest while opponents score an average of 116.1 against them. The total has gone over the posted line 10 times in Suns games while staying under the total in 12 instances.


Here is a quick look at the early public action on the game, which reflects overnight betting, as reported by participating sportsbooks.

  • Betting Detroit against the spread(-7.0): 51%
  • Betting Detroit to win straight up(): 48%
  • Betting Phoenix against the spread(7.0): 49%
  • Betting Phoenix to win straight up(): 52%
  • Betting Over the Total(218.5): 50%
  • Betting Under the Total(218.5): 50%

These reports are particularly of interest to "steam" bettors and "consensus" junkies. We like to look at these numbers in contrast to the value that we see in the line. If public trends are eating at our perceived value, we prefer to get in on the games early and capture a good number, but if the trend is on the wrong side, we may prefer to wait and make our bets closer to game time to milk another half point or more out of the number.


We selected this game as a free opinion today because we do not have a premium selection on it but we have done really well betting on or against Suns games (65-27/70.70%) and we feel we have our finger on the pulse of this matchup.

This opinion all comes down to "value" or "false value" and we make that determination by looking at the point spread as it is (Phoenix 7.0) compared to where we feel it should be (Phoenix 3). From there we decide if there is any value or false value in the number by examining the public perception on the game, the early public betting trends and the situational trends in this particular matchup.

NYSE says, take the Detroit Pistons -7/-105
(Record for Professional Handicapper NYSE betting on or against the Phoenix Suns: 65-27/70.70%, +41010.00)

GAME NOTES: TV: FS-Arizona, FS-Detroit, DTV: 663, 686 POWER RATINGS: PHOENIX 82.5, DETROIT 85.5

Posted on Wednesday, March 20, 2019 by NYSE
Detroit Pistons, Phoenix Suns, NBA basketball pick, basketball tips, NBA betting advice, wagering strategies, hoops betting, bet on basketball

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