NBA Free Pick: Philadelphia 76ers at Miami Heat 2018-03-08

NBA Free Pick: Philadelphia 76ers at Miami Heat 2018-03-08

The Miami Heat (34-31) will play host to the Philadelphia 76ers (35-28) here at American Airlines Arena in this tilt on Thursday, March 8, 2018, to challenge with the Miami Heat (34-31) . The line on the Heat is 1.0 while the total shows at 209.0. For those looking to take it strong to the hoop with your NBA basketball picks today, you have come to the right place.

The Heat have been better at home, where they are 18-13 and average 102.1 points per game. Betting against the Vegas number, Miami is 11-18 here in Miami while the total has gone over 14 times compared to 16 times under the total.

The average points scored on the road for the visiting 76ers is 106.6 and comes alongside a record of 36-27 against the spread as the visitor this season. The total has gone over the number 31 times while falling under the total on 32 occasions.

PHILADELPHIA 76ERS VS MIAMI HEAT CONSENSUS REPORT

Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting Philadelphia against the spread(-1.0): 24%
  • Betting Philadelphia to win straight up(-115): 49%
  • Betting Miami against the spread(1.0): 76%
  • Betting Miami to win straight up(-105): 51%
  • Betting Over the Total(209.0): 65%
  • Betting Under the Total(209.0): 35%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".

PHILADELPHIA 76ERS VS MIAMI HEAT NBA BASKETBALL FREE PICK

The Miami Heat is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 55 documented premium wagers on Heat games in the last decade, winning 46, next to just 9 for a winning rate of 83.60% and profits of $36210.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 209.8. Together, the teams average 207.9 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 208.85, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, the power rating on the hometown Heat is 84.0 while the visiting 76ers bring a rating of 81.5, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Miami is -2.5.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Pro Consensus says, take the Philadelphia 76ers -1/-107
(Record for Professional Handicapper Pro Consensus betting on or against the Miami Heat: 46-9/83.60%, +36210.00)

GAME NOTES: TV: Sun Sports, DTV: 653 POWER RATINGS: MIAMI 84.0, PHILADELPHIA 81.5

Posted on Wednesday, March 7, 2018 by Pro Consensus
Philadelphia 76ers, Miami Heat, NBA basketball pick, basketball tips, NBA betting advice, wagering strategies, hoops betting, bet on basketball

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