NBA Free Pick: Boston Celtics at Minnesota Timberwolves 2018-03-08

NBA Free Pick: Boston Celtics at Minnesota Timberwolves 2018-03-08

This NBA basketball matchup pits the Celtics of Boston against the Minnesota Timberwolves here at Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Oddsmakers have put a line on the Timberwolves of 2.0 while the total sits at 217.5. Start time is 8:05 PM.

The Boston Celtics (45-20) are averaging 104.4 points per game this season while allowing 100.1. Those numbers on the road are 104.0 points for and 100.4. Betting against the Las Vegas number, the Boston is 38-24 overall and 22-9 on the road. Over the Total has won the money in 33 Celtics games while Under the total has cashed in 31 games. As the road team, it has gone over-under 15-15.

The points scoring for the Minnesota Timberwolves (38-28) has averaged 109.7 points for and 107.0 points against on average while the home differential is 111.5-104.4. Against the spread, NBA handicappers betting on the Timberwolves have gone 30-33 overall and 16-15 when listed as the home team. The Over/Under in Timberwolves games has gone 36-29 overall and 18-13 on home court.


Here is a quick look at the early public action on the game, which reflects overnight betting, as reported by participating sportsbooks.

  • Betting Boston against the spread(-2.0): 92%
  • Betting Boston to win straight up(-129): 95%
  • Betting Minnesota against the spread(2.0): 8%
  • Betting Minnesota to win straight up(108): 5%
  • Betting Over the Total(217.5): 23%
  • Betting Under the Total(217.5): 77%

These reports are particularly of interest to "steam" bettors and "consensus" junkies. We like to look at these numbers in contrast to the value that we see in the line. If public trends are eating at our perceived value, we prefer to get in on the games early and capture a good number, but if the trend is on the wrong side, we may prefer to wait and make our bets closer to game time to milk another half point or more out of the number.


We selected this game as a free opinion today because we do not have a premium selection on it but we have done really well betting on or against Timberwolves games (25-7/78.10%) and we feel we have our finger on the pulse of this matchup.

This opinion all comes down to "value" or "false value" and we make that determination by looking at the point spread as it is (Minnesota 2.0) compared to where we feel it should be (Minnesota -2.5). From there we decide if there is any value or false value in the number by examining the public perception on the game, the early public betting trends and the situational trends in this particular matchup.

NYSE says, take the Boston Celtics -2/-105
(Record for Professional Handicapper NYSE betting on or against the Minnesota Timberwolves: 25-7/78.10%, +17510.00)

GAME NOTES: -PG-Kyrie Irving-Probable | -SF-Gordon Hayward-OUT | -GF-Jimmy Butler-OUT | TV: TNT, DTV: 245 POWER RATINGS: MINNESOTA 85.0, BOSTON 82.5

Posted on Wednesday, March 7, 2018 by NYSE
Boston Celtics, Minnesota Timberwolves, NBA basketball pick, basketball tips, NBA betting advice, wagering strategies, hoops betting, bet on basketball

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