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NBA Free Pick: Memphis Grizzlies at Chicago Bulls 2018-03-07

NBA Free Pick: Memphis Grizzlies at Chicago Bulls 2018-03-07

The Memphis Grizzlies visit United Center in Chicago, Illinois to take on the Chicago Bulls on Wednesday, March 7, 2018, with a start time of 8:00 PM. For those making NBA basketball picks on the game, the home line is -4.0 , and the total has been set to 211.5.

The Memphis Grizzlies enter this game with a 18-45 record including a 5-25 record on the road. When it comes to betting the Grizzlies against the spread, they hold a record of 29-33. On the road, as they are in this game, they are 14-15 against the spread. In betting the total in 63 games played, Over the total has gone 26 times while Under the total has cashed the ticket on 36 occasions. On the road, Memphis games have gone Over/Under 15-14 respectively.

The hometown Chicago Bulls, meanwhile, bring a record of 21-42, including a 14-18 record here in Chicago. When looking at making NBA picks against the spread, the Bulls hold a 30-28 record. Here at United Center, they are 16-13 against the betting line. When looking at basketball picks on the Over/Under, Chicago has gone Over the total 32 times in 63 games played and Under the total has cashed the ticket on 30 occasions. While playing on home court, Bulls games have gone Over the Total 14 times while the end result has fallen Under the Total 18 times.


Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting Memphis against the spread(4.0): 60%
  • Betting Memphis to win straight up(151): 49%
  • Betting Chicago against the spread(-4.0): 40%
  • Betting Chicago to win straight up(-175): 51%
  • Betting Over the Total(211.5): 79%
  • Betting Under the Total(211.5): 21%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".


The Chicago Bulls is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 37 documented premium wagers on Bulls games in the last decade, winning 28, next to just 9 for a winning rate of 75.70% and profits of $18300.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 202. Together, the teams average 212.9 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 207.45, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, the power rating on the hometown Bulls is 82.0 while the visiting Grizzlies bring a rating of 79.5, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Chicago is -2.5.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Capper Consensus says, take the Memphis Grizzlies 3/-106
(Record for Professional Handicapper Capper Consensus betting on or against the Chicago Bulls: 28-9/75.70%, +18300.00)

GAME NOTES: -SG-Tyreke Evans-OUT | -G-Mike Conley-OUT | TV: FS-Southeast, DTV: 677 POWER RATINGS: CHICAGO 82.0, MEMPHIS 79.5

Posted on Tuesday, March 6, 2018 by Capper Consensus
Memphis Grizzlies, Chicago Bulls, NBA basketball pick, basketball tips, NBA betting advice, wagering strategies, hoops betting, bet on basketball

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