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NBA Free Pick: Houston Rockets at Milwaukee Bucks 2018-03-07

NBA Free Pick: Houston Rockets at Milwaukee Bucks 2018-03-07

The BMO Harris Bradley Center in Milwaukee, Wisconsin is the battleground today where the hometown Bucks of Milwaukee challenge with the visiting Houston Rockets. The line on the Bucks is 6.0 and the total is set at 214.5.

The Houston Rockets (50-13) have an ATS record this season of 32-29. The game total has landed Over 29 times and fallen Under the total 29 times in Rockets games this season. On the road, as they are today, the Rockets are 21-11 ATS and 13-18 Over/Under.

The Milwaukee Bucks (34-30) have an ATS record this season of 27-32. The game total in Milwaukee contests this season has landed Over 30 times and fallen Under the total 30 times. Here on home court, the Bucks are 11-19 ATS and 16-16 Over/Under.

HOUSTON ROCKETS VS MILWAUKEE BUCKS CONSENSUS REPORT

Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting Houston against the spread(-6.0): 54%
  • Betting Houston to win straight up(-260): 46%
  • Betting Milwaukee against the spread(6.0): 46%
  • Betting Milwaukee to win straight up(215): 54%
  • Betting Over the Total(214.5): 85%
  • Betting Under the Total(214.5): 15%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".

HOUSTON ROCKETS VS MILWAUKEE BUCKS NBA BASKETBALL FREE PICK

The Milwaukee Bucks is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 37 documented premium wagers on Bucks games in the last decade, winning 28, next to just 9 for a winning rate of 75.70% and profits of $18280.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 218.8. Together, the teams average 210.4 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 214.6, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, the power rating on the hometown Bucks is 84.0 while the visiting Rockets bring a rating of 84.0, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Milwaukee is 0.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

Capper Consensus says, take the Houston Rockets -6/-106
(Record for Professional Handicapper Capper Consensus betting on or against the Milwaukee Bucks: 28-9/75.70%, +18280.00)

GAME NOTES: TV: FS-Wisconsin, DTV: 669 POWER RATINGS: MILWAUKEE 84.0, HOUSTON 84.0

Posted on Tuesday, March 6, 2018 by Capper Consensus
Houston Rockets, Milwaukee Bucks, NBA basketball pick, basketball tips, NBA betting advice, wagering strategies, hoops betting, bet on basketball

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