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NBA Free Pick: New Orleans Pelicans at Los Angeles Clippers 2018-03-06

NBA Free Pick: New Orleans Pelicans at Los Angeles Clippers 2018-03-06

Tuesday, March 6, 2018, 10:30 PM: This NBA contest has the Pelicans of New Orleans on the road to Los Angeles, California to face the Los Angeles Clippers. The home line opened at -2.5 and for those betting NBA basketball totals, the number is set at 235.5.

Looking at New Orleans Pelicans (36-26) recently, we can see they are averaging 120.5 points per game over the last 30 days while allowing 116.6. Those numbers on the road over the last month are 118.0 points for and 112.8. For the season against the spread, the Pelicans are 33-28 and on the road against the spread, the record is 20-12. The total has gone over on 39 occasions compared to 22 times under the number. As the road team, the over-under is 18-15.

Meanwhile, a recent look at the Los Angeles Clippers (34-28) over the last 30 days shows them averaging 115.7 points for and 111.7 points against per game on average while the differential here at Staples Center over the past 30 days is 111.8-107.8. For NBA basketball bettors making NBA picks against the line, the Clippers are 35-27 ATS overall and 15-16 as the home team. As for the total in Clippers games, the Over-Under result this season has been 33-28 overall and 17-13 here on the home court.


Here is a quick look at the early public action on the game, which reflects overnight betting, as reported by participating sportsbooks.

  • Betting New Orleans against the spread(2.5): 50%
  • Betting New Orleans to win straight up(115): 28%
  • Betting Los Angeles against the spread(-2.5): 50%
  • Betting Los Angeles to win straight up(-135): 72%
  • Betting Over the Total(235.5): 33%
  • Betting Under the Total(235.5): 67%

These reports are particularly of interest to "steam" bettors and "consensus" junkies. We like to look at these numbers in contrast to the value that we see in the line. If public trends are eating at our perceived value, we prefer to get in on the games early and capture a good number, but if the trend is on the wrong side, we may prefer to wait and make our bets closer to game time to milk another half point or more out of the number.


We selected this game as a free opinion today because we do not have a premium selection on it but we have done really well betting on or against Clippers games (39-12/76.50%) and we feel we have our finger on the pulse of this matchup.

This opinion all comes down to "value" or "false value" and we make that determination by looking at the point spread as it is (Los Angeles -2.5) compared to where we feel it should be (Los Angeles -3.5). From there we decide if there is any value or false value in the number by examining the public perception on the game, the early public betting trends and the situational trends in this particular matchup.

NYSE says, take the Los Angeles Clippers -3/-106
(Record for Professional Handicapper NYSE betting on or against the Los Angeles Clippers: 39-12/76.50%, +25940.00)

GAME NOTES: PEL-F-DeMarcus Cousins-OUT | TV: Prime Ticket, TNT, DTV: 245, 693 POWER RATINGS: LOS ANGELES 84.5, NEW ORLEANS 81.0

Posted on Monday, March 5, 2018 by NYSE
New Orleans Pelicans, Los Angeles Clippers, NBA basketball pick, basketball tips, NBA betting advice, wagering strategies, hoops betting, bet on basketball

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