Denver Nuggets at Dallas Mavericks 2018-03-06 - Free Pick

Denver Nuggets at Dallas Mavericks 2018-03-06 -  Free Pick

The Denver Nuggets visit American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Tuesday, March 6, 2018, with a start time of 8:30 PM. For those making NBA basketball picks on the game, the home line is 6.5 , and the total has been set to 216.5.

The Denver Nuggets enter this game with a 35-28 record including a 11-19 record on the road. When it comes to betting the Nuggets against the spread, they hold a record of 29-32. On the road, as they are in this game, they are 12-17 against the spread. In betting the total in 63 games played, Over the total has gone 31 times while Under the total has cashed the ticket on 32 occasions. On the road, Denver games have gone Over/Under 15-15 respectively.

The hometown Dallas Mavericks, meanwhile, bring a record of 19-45, including a 12-21 record here in Dallas. When looking at making NBA picks against the spread, the Mavericks hold a 31-32 record. Here at American Airlines Center, they are 14-18 against the betting line. When looking at basketball picks on the Over/Under, Dallas has gone Over the total 29 times in 64 games played and Under the total has cashed the ticket on 33 occasions. While playing on home court, Mavericks games have gone Over the Total 15 times while the end result has fallen Under the Total 17 times.

DENVER NUGGETS VS DALLAS MAVERICKS EARLY PUBLIC CONSENSUS REVIEW

Here is a quick look at the early public action on the game, which reflects overnight betting, as reported by participating sportsbooks.

  • Betting Denver against the spread(-6.5): 57%
  • Betting Denver to win straight up(-265): 77%
  • Betting Dallas against the spread(6.5): 43%
  • Betting Dallas to win straight up(218): 23%
  • Betting Over the Total(216.5): 59%
  • Betting Under the Total(216.5): 41%

These reports are particularly of interest to "steam" bettors and "consensus" junkies. We like to look at these numbers in contrast to the value that we see in the line. If public trends are eating at our perceived value, we prefer to get in on the games early and capture a good number, but if the trend is on the wrong side, we may prefer to wait and make our bets closer to game time to milk another half point or more out of the number.

NBA BASKETBALL FREE PICK FROM MIKE PETERS

We selected this game as a free opinion today because we do not have a premium selection on it but we have done really well betting on or against Mavericks games (30-11/73.20%) and we feel we have our finger on the pulse of this matchup.

This opinion all comes down to "value" or "false value" and we make that determination by looking at the point spread as it is (Dallas 6.5) compared to where we feel it should be (Dallas -1.5). From there we decide if there is any value or false value in the number by examining the public perception on the game, the early public betting trends and the situational trends in this particular matchup.

Mike Peters says, take the Denver Nuggets -5/-106
(Record for Professional Handicapper Mike Peters betting on or against the Dallas Mavericks: 30-11/73.20%, +18330.00)

GAME NOTES: TV: FS-Southwest, DTV: 676 POWER RATINGS: DALLAS 83.0, DENVER 81.5

Posted on Monday, March 5, 2018 by Mike Peters
Denver Nuggets, Dallas Mavericks, NBA basketball pick, basketball tips, NBA betting advice, wagering strategies, hoops betting, bet on basketball


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