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Atlanta Hawks at Toronto Raptors 2018-03-06 - Free Pick

Atlanta Hawks at Toronto Raptors 2018-03-06 -  Free Pick

This NBA basketball matchup pits the Hawks of Atlanta against the Toronto Raptors here at Air Canada Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Oddsmakers have put a line on the Raptors of -12.5 while the total sits at 217.5. Start time is 7:00 PM.

The Atlanta Hawks (20-44) are averaging 103.8 points per game this season while allowing 108.2. Those numbers on the road are 102.6 points for and 108.9. Betting against the Las Vegas number, the Atlanta is 33-30 overall and 15-14 on the road. Over the Total has won the money in 28 Hawks games while Under the total has cashed in 33 games. As the road team, it has gone over-under 12-17.

The points scoring for the Toronto Raptors (45-17) has averaged 111.9 points for and 103.3 points against on average while the home differential is 113.0-101.3. Against the spread, NBA handicappers betting on the Raptors have gone 35-27 overall and 17-14 when listed as the home team. The Over/Under in Raptors games has gone 32-30 overall and 15-16 on home court.


Taking a look at the Sportsbook reports on game day morning, these are the reported consensus trends in betting volume from participating sportsbooks. Note that these numbers will change as more action comes in as we get closer to game time, but it is always worth a look at the morning reports just to see where the money is going.

  • Betting Atlanta against the spread(12.5): 74%
  • Betting Atlanta to win straight up(797): 31%
  • Betting Toronto against the spread(-12.5): 26%
  • Betting Toronto to win straight up(-1300): 69%
  • Betting Over the Total(217.5): 42%
  • Betting Under the Total(217.5): 58%

Important to remember that the above consensus numbers are an early snapshot of public action. The Professional Handicappers League has a few professional consensus services for those looking for a consensus of expert sports picks. Personally, we like to know where the money goes early, especially looking for drastic early money on one side, which is often "smart money", whereas heavy action closer to game time is usually "square money".


The Toronto Raptors is a team we have a pretty strong read on and have had a lot of success betting or against. We have placed 32 documented premium wagers on Raptors games in the last decade, winning 24, next to just 8 for a winning rate of 75.00% and profits of $15650.00. We do not have a premium selection in this game today, but we do have a strong opinion.

Some of the factors we look at are the total points being scored by both teams, which is 215.7. Together, the teams average 211.5 points allowed, which gives us expected total points of 213.6, which can be compared against the over/under offered by oddsmakers for those inclined to bet on totals.

To determine the game-winner and to consider the spread in a game we can look at point differential as well, but it is wise to weigh the power rating differential even more. In this game, the power rating on the hometown Raptors is 87.0 while the visiting Hawks bring a rating of 79.5, meaning, a reasonable line on this game for Toronto is -7.5.

Taking everything into consideration we do have a free pick opinion on this game.

High Rollers Club says, take the Toronto Raptors -13/-107
(Record for Professional Handicapper High Rollers Club betting on or against the Toronto Raptors: 24-8/75.00%, +15650.00)

GAME NOTES: ATL-G-Dennis Schroder-Probable | TV: FS-Southeast, DTV: 677 POWER RATINGS: TORONTO 87.0, ATLANTA 79.5

Posted on Monday, March 5, 2018 by High Rollers Club
Atlanta Hawks, Toronto Raptors, NBA basketball pick, basketball tips, NBA betting advice, wagering strategies, hoops betting, bet on basketball

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