NBA Betting Preview & Picks

Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls

Game Date: Sunday, March 9, 2014 | Game Time: 1:00 PM | Home Line: 4.5 | Total: 186.0

by Max Prophet

Miami Heat v Chicago Bulls Series Betting Trends

The Miami Heat travel to Chicago to play the Bulls at 1:00 PM on Sunday, March 9, 2014. Chicago is the underdog in this matchup, getting 4.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 186.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Heat/Bulls Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 25, 2015 Miami 96Chicago84-8.5187.0
December 14, 2014 Chicago 93Miami754.5194.5
March 9, 2014 Miami 88Chicago954.5186.0
February 23, 2014 Chicago 79Miami93-5.5186.0
December 5, 2013 Miami 87Chicago1074.5189.0
October 29, 2013 Chicago 95Miami107-5.0187.5
May 15, 2013 Chicago 91Miami94-14.5182.0
May 13, 2013 Miami 88Chicago657.5186.5
May 10, 2013 Miami 104Chicago947.5187.0
May 8, 2013 Chicago 78Miami115-12.5186.5

When looking at the last 78 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 51 games compared to 27 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Miami/Chicago series is 94.5 ppg while the vistor has put up 91.9 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 2.6 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 78 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 2.6 ppg. That represents a value number of 7.1 when meassured against the offered line of 4.5, suggesting a wager on Chicago makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 78 games between the Heat and the Bulls is 186.4 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 0.4 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 186.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Miami as the road team and with Chicago as the home team.

Recent Results when Miami visits Chicago

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 25, 2015 Miami 96Chicago84-8.5187.0
March 9, 2014 Miami 88Chicago954.5186.0
December 5, 2013 Miami 87Chicago1074.5189.0
May 13, 2013 Miami 88Chicago657.5186.5
May 10, 2013 Miami 104Chicago947.5187.0
March 27, 2013 Miami 97Chicago101
February 21, 2013 Miami 86Chicago673.0186.0

When looking at the last 39 games in this series while Chicago has been the home team, we can see the Bulls have won 22 games compared to 17 wins for the Heat. Average points scored per game by Chicago in this situation is is 91.6 ppg while Miami has put up 91.9 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 0.3 favoring the Bulls.

Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 0.3 ppg. That represents a value number of 4.8 when meassured against the offered line of 4.5, suggesting a wager on the Bulls makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks betting against the number looking at the series situation in the vacuum of this trend.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 39 games between the Heat and the Bulls is 183.5 per game. That creates a differential of 2.5 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 186.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the Miami Heat Cover the Spread?

This season the Miami Heat have played 45 games, averaging 93.1 points per game, while allowing 96.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 20-25. Let's have a closer look at recent Miami Heat results.

Recent Miami Heat Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 27, 2015 Milwaukee 109Miami102-2.0185.5
January 25, 2015 Miami 96Chicago84-8.5187.0
January 23, 2015 Indiana 87Miami89-3.5182.5
January 21, 2015 Miami 76Charlotte78-6.0183.0
January 20, 2015 Oklahoma City 94Miami867.5200.5
January 16, 2015 Miami 95Sacramento83-3.0191.0
January 14, 2015 Miami 89Golden St.104-12.5203.5

This season the Miami Heat have played 23 games on the road, averaging 92.3 points per game, while allowing 95.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 12-11. Let's have a closer look at recent Miami Heat results on the road.

Recent Miami Heat Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 25, 2015 Miami 96Chicago84-8.5187.0
January 21, 2015 Miami 76Charlotte78-6.0183.0
January 16, 2015 Miami 95Sacramento83-3.0191.0
January 14, 2015 Miami 89Golden St.104-12.5203.5
January 13, 2015 Miami 78(LAK) Los Angeles752.5197.5

Can the Chicago Bulls Cover the Spread?

This season the Chicago Bulls have played 47 games, averaging 102.0 points per game, while allowing 99.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 30-25. Let's have a closer look at recent Chicago Bulls results.

Recent Chicago Bulls Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 27, 2015 Chicago 113Golden St.111-11.5213.5
January 25, 2015 Miami 96Chicago84-8.5187.0
January 23, 2015 Chicago 102Dallas98-6.0204.0
January 22, 2015 San Antonio 81Chicago1045.5197.0
January 19, 2015 Chicago 94Cleveland108-4.5206.5
January 17, 2015 Atlanta 107Chicago993.0201.0
January 16, 2015 Chicago 119Boston1035.0204.0
January 14, 2015 Washington 105Chicago99-5.5194.0
January 12, 2015 Orlando 121Chicago114-11.5190.5
January 10, 2015 Milwaukee 87Chicago95-7.5195.5

This season the Chicago Bulls have played 24 games here at home, averaging 103.5 points per game, while allowing 101.7 points per game. This has led to a season record of 13-11. Let's have a closer look at recent Chicago Bulls results when playing at home.

Recent Chicago Bulls Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 25, 2015 Miami 96Chicago84-8.5187.0
January 22, 2015 San Antonio 81Chicago1045.5197.0
January 17, 2015 Atlanta 107Chicago993.0201.0
January 14, 2015 Washington 105Chicago99-5.5194.0
January 12, 2015 Orlando 121Chicago114-11.5190.5
January 10, 2015 Milwaukee 87Chicago95-7.5195.5
January 7, 2015 Utah 97Chicago77
January 5, 2015 Houston 105Chicago114
January 3, 2015 Boston 104Chicago109-10.0202.0
January 1, 2015 Denver 101Chicago106-10.5204.5

More

Top of Page

SHOPPING CART

No items in your cart. Buy Picks and Subscriptions

TOP CAPPER

Jay Marriucci was on Fire yesterday, going 8-1 with a net gain of 694 units. Get today's picks and cash in on the action!

HANDICAPPER RESEARCH

We offer several usefull tools to aid in your reseach of our handicappers that can be broken down to seasonal results, overall history, annual results, league and more. Try before you buy!

LINKS


Main Page | About Us | Members Login | Betting Tools | FAQ | XML Site Map | Terms | Privacy | Advertise | Contact


Copyright © 1996 - 2015 ProCappers® Group S.A. - The Professional Handicappers League™
Information contained in this site is for news & entertainment purposes only. Any use of this information in violation of federal, state or local law is prohibited.
ProCappers Group S.A. is a Registered Company of Costa Rica.

Please enjoy the daily winning free picks, baseball picks, free daily basketball predictions, free nba picks, free ncaab pick, weekly nfl football predictions, weekly college football picks, original content, cutting edge information, exhaustive research, in-depth reports and detailed analysis, wagering tips, industry tricks, sports betting advice, strategies to beat the odds, gambling articles and more!
GUARANTEED PICKS FREE PICKS SCORES & ODDS NETWORK SITES ONLINE SPORTSBOOKS RESOURCES