NCAAB Betting Preview & Picks

Arkansas Razorbacks vs LSU Tigers

Game Date: Saturday, February 1, 2014 | Game Time: 5:00 PM | Home Line: -6.5 | Total: 149.5

by Stat Track

Arkansas Razorbacks v LSU Tigers Series Betting Trends

The Arkansas Razorbacks travel to LSU to play the Tigers at 5:00 PM on Saturday, February 1, 2014. LSU is the favorite in this matchup, laying -6.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 149.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAB sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Razorbacks/Tigers Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
February 15, 2014 LSU 70Arkansas81-5.5157.0
February 1, 2014 Arkansas 74LSU88-6.5149.5
February 27, 2013 Arkansas 60LSU65-2.0
March 8, 2012 Arkansas 54LSU70-2.5136.0
February 4, 2012 Arkansas 65LSU71-4.0134.5
January 14, 2012 LSU 60Arkansas69-5.0137.5
February 12, 2011 LSU 61Arkansas80-10.0131.5
February 12, 2011 LSU 61Arkansas80
January 12, 2011 Arkansas 53LSU562.5126.0
February 24, 2010 Arkansas 54LSU652.0137.5

When looking at the last 28 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 23 games compared to 5 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Arkansas/LSU series is 71.1 ppg while the vistor has put up 63 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 8.1 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 28 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 8.1 ppg. That represents a value number of 1.6 when meassured against the offered line of -6.5, suggesting a wager on LSU makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 28 games between the Razorbacks and the Tigers is 134.1 per game. That creates a differential of 15.4 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 149.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Arkansas as the road team and with LSU as the home team.

Recent Results when Arkansas visits LSU

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
February 1, 2014 Arkansas 74LSU88-6.5149.5
February 27, 2013 Arkansas 60LSU65-2.0
March 8, 2012 Arkansas 54LSU70-2.5136.0
February 4, 2012 Arkansas 65LSU71-4.0134.5
January 12, 2011 Arkansas 53LSU562.5126.0
February 24, 2010 Arkansas 54LSU652.0137.5
January 31, 2009 Arkansas 69LSU79

When looking at the last 14 games in this series while LSU has been the home team, we can see the Tigers have won 13 games compared to 1 wins for the Razorbacks. Average points scored per game by LSU in this situation is is 69.7 ppg while Arkansas has put up 62.9 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 6.8 favoring the Tigers.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 6.8 ppg. That represents a value number of 0.3 when meassured against the offered line of -6.5, suggesting a wager on the Tigers makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 14 games between the Razorbacks and the Tigers is 132.6 per game. That creates a differential of 16.9 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 149.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the Arkansas Razorbacks Cover the Spread?

This season the Arkansas Razorbacks have played 8 games, averaging 81.5 points per game, while allowing 71.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 6-2. Let's have a closer look at recent Arkansas Razorbacks results.

Recent Arkansas Razorbacks Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 13, 2014 Dayton 55Arkansas69-8.5142.0
December 7, 2014 Arkansas 65Clemson682.5140.5
December 4, 2014 Arkansas 77Iowa St.95-7.0160.5
November 30, 2014 Iona 77Arkansas94-13.0
November 28, 2014 North Texas 73Arkansas89-26.0144.0
November 25, 2014 Arkansas 78SMU72-4.0144.5
November 19, 2014 Wake Forest 53Arkansas83-13.5157.0

This season the Arkansas Razorbacks have played 3 games on the road, averaging 73.3 points per game, while allowing 78.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 1-2. Let's have a closer look at recent Arkansas Razorbacks results on the road.

Recent Arkansas Razorbacks Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 7, 2014 Arkansas 65Clemson682.5140.5
December 4, 2014 Arkansas 77Iowa St.95-7.0160.5
November 25, 2014 Arkansas 78SMU72-4.0144.5
March 24, 2014 Arkansas 64California75-2.5152.5
March 8, 2014 Arkansas 58Alabama83

Can the LSU Tigers Cover the Spread?

This season the LSU Tigers have played 9 games, averaging 74.1 points per game, while allowing 67.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 7-2. Let's have a closer look at recent LSU Tigers results.

Recent LSU Tigers Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 18, 2014 LSU 79UAB705.5139.5
December 13, 2014 Sam Houston St. 67LSU76-9.0139.5
December 4, 2014 LSU 74West Virginia73-9.5148.0
December 2, 2014 UMass 60LSU82-2.5148.5
November 24, 2014 Clemson 64LSU61-1.0
November 22, 2014 Weber St. 58LSU72-7.0
November 21, 2014 LSU 61Old Dominion701.0
November 18, 2014 Texas Tech 64LSU69-7.5142.5
November 15, 2014 Gardner-Webb 82LSU93-14.0
March 24, 2014 LSU 67SMU80-6.0

This season the LSU Tigers have played 6 games here at home, averaging 75.5 points per game, while allowing 65.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 5-1. Let's have a closer look at recent LSU Tigers results when playing at home.

Recent LSU Tigers Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 13, 2014 Sam Houston St. 67LSU76-9.0139.5
December 2, 2014 UMass 60LSU82-2.5148.5
November 24, 2014 Clemson 64LSU61-1.0
November 22, 2014 Weber St. 58LSU72-7.0
November 18, 2014 Texas Tech 64LSU69-7.5142.5
November 15, 2014 Gardner-Webb 82LSU93-14.0
March 13, 2014 Alabama 56LSU68-3.0
March 8, 2014 Georgia 69LSU61-7.0
February 26, 2014 Texas A&M 49LSU68-10.0
February 19, 2014 Mississippi St. 81LSU92-15.0

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