NBA Betting Preview & Picks

Minnesota Timberwolves vs (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers

Game Date: Sunday, November 10, 2013 | Game Time: 9:35 PM | Home Line: 4.0 | Total: 209.0

by High Rollers Club

Minnesota Timberwolves v (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers Series Betting Trends

The Minnesota Timberwolves travel to (LAK) Los Angeles to play the Lakers at 9:35 PM on Sunday, November 10, 2013. (LAK) Los Angeles is the underdog in this matchup, getting 4.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 209.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Timberwolves/Lakers Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 28, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 107Minnesota143
February 4, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 99Minnesota109-10.5217.0
December 20, 2013 Minnesota 91(LAK) Los Angeles1046.0210.5
November 10, 2013 Minnesota 113(LAK) Los Angeles904.0209.0
March 27, 2013 (LAK) Los Angeles 120Minnesota1174.5205.5
February 28, 2013 Minnesota 94(LAK) Los Angeles116
February 1, 2013 (LAK) Los Angeles 111Minnesota1002.5197.5
March 16, 2012 Minnesota 92(LAK) Los Angeles97-7.5196.0
March 9, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 105Minnesota102-1.0192.0
February 29, 2012 Minnesota 85(LAK) Los Angeles104-6.0189.0

When looking at the last 68 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 42 games compared to 26 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Minnesota/(LAK) Los Angeles series is 101.1 ppg while the vistor has put up 97.3 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3.8 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 68 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 3.8 ppg. That represents a value number of 7.8 when meassured against the offered line of 4.0, suggesting a wager on (LAK) Los Angeles makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 68 games between the Timberwolves and the Lakers is 198.4 per game. That creates a differential of 10.6 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 209.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Minnesota as the road team and with (LAK) Los Angeles as the home team.

Recent Results when Minnesota visits (LAK) Los Angeles

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 20, 2013 Minnesota 91(LAK) Los Angeles1046.0210.5
November 10, 2013 Minnesota 113(LAK) Los Angeles904.0209.0
February 28, 2013 Minnesota 94(LAK) Los Angeles116
March 16, 2012 Minnesota 92(LAK) Los Angeles97-7.5196.0
February 29, 2012 Minnesota 85(LAK) Los Angeles104-6.0189.0
March 18, 2011 Minnesota 98(LAK) Los Angeles106-14.0200.5
November 9, 2010 Minnesota 94(LAK) Los Angeles99-17.0217.5

When looking at the last 34 games in this series while (LAK) Los Angeles has been the home team, we can see the Lakers have won 28 games compared to 6 wins for the Timberwolves. Average points scored per game by (LAK) Los Angeles in this situation is is 101.5 ppg while Minnesota has put up 93.3 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 8.2 favoring the Lakers.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 8.2 ppg. That represents a value number of 12.2 when meassured against the offered line of 4.0, suggesting a wager on the Lakers makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 34 games between the Timberwolves and the Lakers is 194.8 per game. That creates a differential of 14.2 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 209.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the Minnesota Timberwolves Cover the Spread?

This season the Minnesota Timberwolves have played 80 games, averaging 107.0 points per game, while allowing 104.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 40-40. Let's have a closer look at recent Minnesota Timberwolves results.

Recent Minnesota Timberwolves Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 16, 2014 Utah 136Minnesota130-11.0210.0
April 14, 2014 Minnesota 120Golden St.130-7.5210.5
April 13, 2014 Minnesota 103Sacramento106-2.0204.5
April 11, 2014 Houston 110Minnesota112-1.5216.0
April 9, 2014 Chicago 102Minnesota872.5192.5
April 8, 2014 San Antonio 91Minnesota110
April 4, 2014 Minnesota 122Miami121-8.5203.0

This season the Minnesota Timberwolves have played 40 games on the road, averaging 106.2 points per game, while allowing 106.9 points per game. This has led to a season record of 16-24. Let's have a closer look at recent Minnesota Timberwolves results on the road.

Recent Minnesota Timberwolves Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 14, 2014 Minnesota 120Golden St.130-7.5210.5
April 13, 2014 Minnesota 103Sacramento106-2.0204.5
April 4, 2014 Minnesota 122Miami121-8.5203.0
March 30, 2014 Minnesota 99Brooklyn114-4.0211.0
March 24, 2014 Minnesota 92Memphis109

Can the (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers Cover the Spread?

This season the (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers have played 82 games, averaging 103.0 points per game, while allowing 109.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 27-40. Let's have a closer look at recent (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers results.

Recent (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 16, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 113San Antonio100-9.0217.5
April 14, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 119Utah104-5.5213.5
April 13, 2014 Memphis 102(LAK) Los Angeles9012.0209.0
April 11, 2014 Golden St. 112(LAK) Los Angeles9510.0220.0
April 8, 2014 Houston 145(LAK) Los Angeles1309.5
April 6, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 97(LAC) Los Angeles120-16.5225.0
April 4, 2014 Dallas 107(LAK) Los Angeles958.0223.5
April 2, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 102Sacramento107-7.0218.5
April 1, 2014 Portland 124(LAK) Los Angeles1128.5219.5
March 30, 2014 Phoenix 99(LAK) Los Angeles1159.5225.0

This season the (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers have played 41 games here at home, averaging 104.0 points per game, while allowing 108.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 14-27. Let's have a closer look at recent (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers results when playing at home.

Recent (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 13, 2014 Memphis 102(LAK) Los Angeles9012.0209.0
April 11, 2014 Golden St. 112(LAK) Los Angeles9510.0220.0
April 8, 2014 Houston 145(LAK) Los Angeles1309.5
April 4, 2014 Dallas 107(LAK) Los Angeles958.0223.5
April 1, 2014 Portland 124(LAK) Los Angeles1128.5219.5
March 30, 2014 Phoenix 99(LAK) Los Angeles1159.5225.0
March 25, 2014 New York 96(LAK) Los Angeles1277.5217.0
March 23, 2014 Orlando 94(LAK) Los Angeles103-4.0217.0
March 21, 2014 Washington 117(LAK) Los Angeles1076.0219.0
March 19, 2014 San Antonio 125(LAK) Los Angeles10913.0220.0

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