NBA Betting Preview & Picks

Minnesota Timberwolves vs (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers

Game Date: Sunday, November 10, 2013 | Game Time: 9:35 PM | Home Line: 4.0 | Total: 209.0

by High Rollers Club

Minnesota Timberwolves v (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers Series Betting Trends

The Minnesota Timberwolves travel to (LAK) Los Angeles to play the Lakers at 9:35 PM on Sunday, November 10, 2013. (LAK) Los Angeles is the underdog in this matchup, getting 4.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 209.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Timberwolves/Lakers Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 14, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 100Minnesota943.0212.5
November 28, 2014 Minnesota 120(LAK) Los Angeles119-5.5213.0
March 28, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 107Minnesota143
February 4, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 99Minnesota109-10.5217.0
December 20, 2013 Minnesota 91(LAK) Los Angeles1046.0210.5
November 10, 2013 Minnesota 113(LAK) Los Angeles904.0209.0
March 27, 2013 (LAK) Los Angeles 120Minnesota1174.5205.5
February 28, 2013 Minnesota 94(LAK) Los Angeles116
February 1, 2013 (LAK) Los Angeles 111Minnesota1002.5197.5
March 16, 2012 Minnesota 92(LAK) Los Angeles97-7.5196.0

When looking at the last 70 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 42 games compared to 28 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Minnesota/(LAK) Los Angeles series is 101.3 ppg while the vistor has put up 97.7 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3.6 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 70 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 3.6 ppg. That represents a value number of 7.6 when meassured against the offered line of 4.0, suggesting a wager on (LAK) Los Angeles makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 70 games between the Timberwolves and the Lakers is 199 per game. That creates a differential of 10 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 209.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Minnesota as the road team and with (LAK) Los Angeles as the home team.

Recent Results when Minnesota visits (LAK) Los Angeles

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 28, 2014 Minnesota 120(LAK) Los Angeles119-5.5213.0
December 20, 2013 Minnesota 91(LAK) Los Angeles1046.0210.5
November 10, 2013 Minnesota 113(LAK) Los Angeles904.0209.0
February 28, 2013 Minnesota 94(LAK) Los Angeles116
March 16, 2012 Minnesota 92(LAK) Los Angeles97-7.5196.0
February 29, 2012 Minnesota 85(LAK) Los Angeles104-6.0189.0
March 18, 2011 Minnesota 98(LAK) Los Angeles106-14.0200.5

When looking at the last 35 games in this series while (LAK) Los Angeles has been the home team, we can see the Lakers have won 28 games compared to 7 wins for the Timberwolves. Average points scored per game by (LAK) Los Angeles in this situation is is 102 ppg while Minnesota has put up 94 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 8 favoring the Lakers.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 8 ppg. That represents a value number of 12 when meassured against the offered line of 4.0, suggesting a wager on the Lakers makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 35 games between the Timberwolves and the Lakers is 196 per game. That creates a differential of 13 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 209.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the Minnesota Timberwolves Cover the Spread?

This season the Minnesota Timberwolves have played 24 games, averaging 98.3 points per game, while allowing 108.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 5-19. Let's have a closer look at recent Minnesota Timberwolves results.

Recent Minnesota Timberwolves Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 16, 2014 Minnesota 95Washington109-12.5201.0
December 14, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 100Minnesota943.0212.5
December 12, 2014 Oklahoma City 111Minnesota928.5206.5
December 10, 2014 Portland 82Minnesota9011.0206.0
December 8, 2014 Golden St. 102Minnesota8614.0214.0
December 6, 2014 Minnesota 101San Antonio123-13.5202.0
December 5, 2014 Houston 114Minnesota1127.0202.5

This season the Minnesota Timberwolves have played 11 games on the road, averaging 101.1 points per game, while allowing 115.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 2-9. Let's have a closer look at recent Minnesota Timberwolves results on the road.

Recent Minnesota Timberwolves Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 16, 2014 Minnesota 95Washington109-12.5201.0
December 6, 2014 Minnesota 101San Antonio123-13.5202.0
December 1, 2014 Minnesota 101(LAC) Los Angeles127-15.0216.0
November 30, 2014 Minnesota 93Portland107-13.0211.5
November 28, 2014 Minnesota 120(LAK) Los Angeles119-5.5213.0

Can the (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers Cover the Spread?

This season the (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers have played 25 games, averaging 102.2 points per game, while allowing 109.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 8-19. Let's have a closer look at recent (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers results.

Recent (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 15, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 91Indiana110-5.0198.5
December 14, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 100Minnesota943.0212.5
December 12, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 112San Antonio110
December 9, 2014 Sacramento 95(LAK) Los Angeles98-3.5207.5
December 7, 2014 New Orleans 104(LAK) Los Angeles872.5207.0
December 5, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 96Boston113-3.5217.5
December 3, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 95Washington111-8.5208.5
December 2, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 106Detroit96-2.0206.0
November 30, 2014 Toronto 122(LAK) Los Angeles1297.0209.5
November 28, 2014 Minnesota 120(LAK) Los Angeles119-5.5213.0

This season the (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers have played 12 games here at home, averaging 102.4 points per game, while allowing 108.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 3-9. Let's have a closer look at recent (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers results when playing at home.

Recent (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 9, 2014 Sacramento 95(LAK) Los Angeles98-3.5207.5
December 7, 2014 New Orleans 104(LAK) Los Angeles872.5207.0
November 30, 2014 Toronto 122(LAK) Los Angeles1297.0209.5
November 28, 2014 Minnesota 120(LAK) Los Angeles119-5.5213.0
November 26, 2014 Memphis 99(LAK) Los Angeles936.5202.5
November 23, 2014 Denver 101(LAK) Los Angeles941.5221.0
November 16, 2014 Golden St. 136(LAK) Los Angeles1158.0211.5
November 14, 2014 San Antonio 93(LAK) Los Angeles808.5204.0
November 9, 2014 Charlotte 92(LAK) Los Angeles1072.5202.5
November 4, 2014 Phoenix 112(LAK) Los Angeles1066.0212.0

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