NCAAF Betting Preview & Picks

UL - Monroe Warhawks vs Troy St. Trojans

Game Date: Thursday, October 31, 2013 | Game Time: 7:30 PM | Home Line: -3.0 | Total: 61.0

by Leonard Bryant

UL - Monroe Warhawks v Troy St. Trojans Series Betting Trends

The UL - Monroe Warhawks travel to Troy St. to play the Trojans at 7:30 PM on Thursday, October 31, 2013. Troy St. is the favorite in this matchup, laying -3.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 61.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAF sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Warhawks/Trojans Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
October 31, 2013 UL - Monroe 49Troy St.37-3.061.0
October 15, 2011 UL - Monroe 38Troy St.10-7.057.0
October 30, 2010 Troy St. 14UL - Monroe2817.055.0
October 31, 2009 UL - Monroe 21Troy St.42-14.056.0
November 1, 2008 Troy St. 30UL - Monroe312.561.0
September 29, 2007 UL - Monroe 7Troy St.24
October 14, 2006 UL - Monroe 19Troy St.24
October 15, 2005 Troy St. 3UL - Monroe27
November 22, 2003 UL - Monroe 24Troy St.28
November 10, 2001 Troy St. 44UL - Monroe12

When looking at the last 11 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 7 games compared to 4 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the UL - Monroe/Troy St. series is 24.8 ppg while the vistor has put up 24.5 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 0.3 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 11 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 0.3 ppg. That represents a value number of -2.7 when meassured against the offered line of -3.0, suggesting a wager on UL - Monroe makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 11 games between the Warhawks and the Trojans is 49.3 per game. That creates a differential of 11.7 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 61.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with UL - Monroe as the road team and with Troy St. as the home team.

Recent Results when UL - Monroe visits Troy St.

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
October 31, 2013 UL - Monroe 49Troy St.37-3.061.0
October 15, 2011 UL - Monroe 38Troy St.10-7.057.0
October 31, 2009 UL - Monroe 21Troy St.42-14.056.0
September 29, 2007 UL - Monroe 7Troy St.24
October 14, 2006 UL - Monroe 19Troy St.24
November 22, 2003 UL - Monroe 24Troy St.28

When looking at the last 6 games in this series while Troy St. has been the home team, we can see the Trojans have won 4 games compared to 2 wins for the Warhawks. Average points scored per game by Troy St. in this situation is is 27.5 ppg while UL - Monroe has put up 26.3 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1.2 favoring the Warhawks.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 1.2 ppg. That represents a value number of -1.8 when meassured against the offered line of -3.0, suggesting a wager on the Warhawks makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 6 games between the Warhawks and the Trojans is 53.8 per game. That creates a differential of 7.2 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 61.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the UL - Monroe Warhawks Cover the Spread?

This season the UL - Monroe Warhawks have played 3 games, averaging 18.3 points per game, while allowing 24.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 2-1. Let's have a closer look at recent UL - Monroe Warhawks results.

Recent UL - Monroe Warhawks Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
September 13, 2014 UL - Monroe 0LSU31-30.549.5
September 6, 2014 Idaho 31UL - Monroe38-13.051.0
August 28, 2014 Wake Forest 10UL - Monroe17-1.545.0
November 30, 2013 UL - Monroe 31UL - Lafayette28-17.556.5
November 23, 2013 UL - Monroe 14South Alabama36-3.556.5
November 9, 2013 Arkansas St. 42UL - Monroe14-3.555.0
October 31, 2013 UL - Monroe 49Troy St.37-3.061.0

This season the UL - Monroe Warhawks have played 1 games on the road, averaging 0.0 points per game, while allowing 31.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 0-1. Let's have a closer look at recent UL - Monroe Warhawks results on the road.

Recent UL - Monroe Warhawks Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
September 13, 2014 UL - Monroe 0LSU31-30.549.5
November 30, 2013 UL - Monroe 31UL - Lafayette28-17.556.5
November 23, 2013 UL - Monroe 14South Alabama36-3.556.5
October 31, 2013 UL - Monroe 49Troy St.37-3.061.0
October 12, 2013 UL - Monroe 21Texas State14-6.045.0

Can the Troy St. Trojans Cover the Spread?

This season the Troy St. Trojans have played 3 games, averaging 20.7 points per game, while allowing 40.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 0-1. Let's have a closer look at recent Troy St. Trojans results.

Recent Troy St. Trojans Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
September 13, 2014 Abilene Christian 38Troy St.35
September 6, 2014 Duke 34Troy St.1717.564.0
August 30, 2014 Troy St. 10UAB48-2.561.5
November 29, 2013 Texas State 28Troy St.42-8.556.5
November 16, 2013 Troy St. 21Mississippi51-28.068.5
November 7, 2013 Troy St. 36UL - Lafayette41-14.067.0
October 31, 2013 UL - Monroe 49Troy St.37-3.061.0
October 26, 2013 Troy St. 32Western Kentucky26-10.063.0
October 12, 2013 Troy St. 35Georgia St.2815.062.0
October 5, 2013 South Alabama 33Troy St.34-3.562.5

This season the Troy St. Trojans have played 2 games here at home, averaging 26.0 points per game, while allowing 36.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 0-2. Let's have a closer look at recent Troy St. Trojans results when playing at home.

Recent Troy St. Trojans Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
September 13, 2014 Abilene Christian 38Troy St.35
September 6, 2014 Duke 34Troy St.1717.564.0
November 29, 2013 Texas State 28Troy St.42-8.556.5
October 31, 2013 UL - Monroe 49Troy St.37-3.061.0
October 5, 2013 South Alabama 33Troy St.34-3.562.5
September 7, 2013 Savanna State 3Troy St.66-51.00.0
August 31, 2013 UAB 31Troy St.34-4.063.5
November 17, 2012 Arkansas St. 41Troy St.343.568.5
November 10, 2012 Navy 31Troy St.412.560.0
October 20, 2012 Fla-International 37Troy St.38-6.557.0

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