NBA Betting Preview & Picks

Brooklyn Nets vs Detroit Pistons

Game Date: Monday, March 18, 2013 | Game Time: 7:35 PM | Home Line: 3.5 | Total: 190.0

by Steve Miller

Brooklyn Nets v Detroit Pistons Series Betting Trends

The Brooklyn Nets travel to Detroit to play the Pistons at 7:35 PM on Monday, March 18, 2013. Detroit is the underdog in this matchup, getting 3.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 190.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Nets/Pistons Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 10, 2015 Brooklyn 93Detroit98-5.0196.0
December 21, 2014 Detroit 105Brooklyn110-1.5190.5
November 1, 2014 Brooklyn 102Detroit90-3.0196.0
April 4, 2014 Detroit 104Brooklyn116-10.0206.0
February 7, 2014 Brooklyn 95Detroit111-1.5204.5
December 13, 2013 Brooklyn 99Detroit103-6.5197.0
November 24, 2013 Detroit 109Brooklyn97-2.0193.5
April 17, 2013 Detroit 99Brooklyn103-5.5196.5
March 18, 2013 Brooklyn 119Detroit823.5190.0
February 6, 2013 Brooklyn 93Detroit90-1.5189.5

When looking at the last 69 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 44 games compared to 25 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Brooklyn/Detroit series is 95.9 ppg while the vistor has put up 92.5 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3.4 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 69 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 3.4 ppg. That represents a value number of 6.9 when meassured against the offered line of 3.5, suggesting a wager on Detroit makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 69 games between the Nets and the Pistons is 188.4 per game. That creates a differential of 1.6 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 190.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Brooklyn as the road team and with Detroit as the home team.

Recent Results when Brooklyn visits Detroit

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 10, 2015 Brooklyn 93Detroit98-5.0196.0
November 1, 2014 Brooklyn 102Detroit90-3.0196.0
February 7, 2014 Brooklyn 95Detroit111-1.5204.5
December 13, 2013 Brooklyn 99Detroit103-6.5197.0
March 18, 2013 Brooklyn 119Detroit823.5190.0
February 6, 2013 Brooklyn 93Detroit90-1.5189.5
February 10, 2012 Brooklyn 92Detroit109-3.0187.0

When looking at the last 34 games in this series while Detroit has been the home team, we can see the Pistons have won 25 games compared to 9 wins for the Nets. Average points scored per game by Detroit in this situation is is 96.3 ppg while Brooklyn has put up 89.5 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 6.8 favoring the Pistons.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 6.8 ppg. That represents a value number of 10.3 when meassured against the offered line of 3.5, suggesting a wager on the Pistons makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 34 games between the Nets and the Pistons is 185.8 per game. That creates a differential of 4.2 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 190.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the Brooklyn Nets Cover the Spread?

This season the Brooklyn Nets have played 46 games, averaging 95.7 points per game, while allowing 99.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 18-28. Let's have a closer look at recent Brooklyn Nets results.

Recent Brooklyn Nets Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 30, 2015 Toronto 127Brooklyn1227.5198.0
January 28, 2015 Brooklyn 102Atlanta113-13.5194.0
January 24, 2015 Brooklyn 73Utah108-4.0187.5
January 22, 2015 Brooklyn 84(LAC) Los Angeles123-13.0202.0
January 21, 2015 Brooklyn 103Sacramento100-5.5198.0
January 17, 2015 Washington 99Brooklyn905.0190.5
January 16, 2015 Brooklyn 102Washington80-9.5193.0

This season the Brooklyn Nets have played 23 games on the road, averaging 95.4 points per game, while allowing 99.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 10-13. Let's have a closer look at recent Brooklyn Nets results on the road.

Recent Brooklyn Nets Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 28, 2015 Brooklyn 102Atlanta113-13.5194.0
January 24, 2015 Brooklyn 73Utah108-4.0187.5
January 22, 2015 Brooklyn 84(LAC) Los Angeles123-13.0202.0
January 21, 2015 Brooklyn 103Sacramento100-5.5198.0
January 16, 2015 Brooklyn 102Washington80-9.5193.0

Can the Detroit Pistons Cover the Spread?

This season the Detroit Pistons have played 48 games, averaging 97.9 points per game, while allowing 100.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 18-28. Let's have a closer look at recent Detroit Pistons results.

Recent Detroit Pistons Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 31, 2015 Houston 101Detroit1144.0205.5
January 28, 2015 Detroit 69Philadelphia89
January 27, 2015 Cleveland 103Detroit958.5209.5
January 25, 2015 Detroit 110Toronto114-8.0199.5
January 24, 2015 Detroit 86Milwaukee1012.5194.0
January 21, 2015 Orlando 118Detroit128-8.0210.0
January 19, 2015 Detroit 82Atlanta93-8.0203.5
January 17, 2015 Philadelphia 89Detroit107-12.5194.0
January 16, 2015 Detroit 98Indiana96
January 14, 2015 New Orleans 105Detroit94

This season the Detroit Pistons have played 24 games here at home, averaging 99.8 points per game, while allowing 102.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 8-16. Let's have a closer look at recent Detroit Pistons results when playing at home.

Recent Detroit Pistons Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 31, 2015 Houston 101Detroit1144.0205.5
January 27, 2015 Cleveland 103Detroit958.5209.5
January 21, 2015 Orlando 118Detroit128-8.0210.0
January 17, 2015 Philadelphia 89Detroit107-12.5194.0
January 14, 2015 New Orleans 105Detroit94
January 10, 2015 Brooklyn 93Detroit98-5.0196.0
January 9, 2015 Atlanta 106Detroit1032.5202.5
January 4, 2015 Sacramento 95Detroit114-3.5206.5
December 26, 2014 Indiana 109Detroit1192.5194.0
December 19, 2014 Toronto 110Detroit1007.5199.0

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