NBA Betting Preview & Picks

Brooklyn Nets vs Detroit Pistons

Game Date: Monday, March 18, 2013 | Game Time: 7:35 PM | Home Line: 3.5 | Total: 190.0

by Steve Miller

Brooklyn Nets v Detroit Pistons Series Betting Trends

The Brooklyn Nets travel to Detroit to play the Pistons at 7:35 PM on Monday, March 18, 2013. Detroit is the underdog in this matchup, getting 3.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 190.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Nets/Pistons Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 1, 2014 Brooklyn 102Detroit90-3.0196.0
April 4, 2014 Detroit 104Brooklyn116-10.0206.0
February 7, 2014 Brooklyn 95Detroit111-1.5204.5
December 13, 2013 Brooklyn 99Detroit103-6.5197.0
November 24, 2013 Detroit 109Brooklyn97-2.0193.5
April 17, 2013 Detroit 99Brooklyn103-5.5196.5
March 18, 2013 Brooklyn 119Detroit823.5190.0
February 6, 2013 Brooklyn 93Detroit90-1.5189.5
December 14, 2012 Detroit 105Brooklyn107-8.0191.0
February 10, 2012 Brooklyn 92Detroit109-3.0187.0

When looking at the last 67 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 42 games compared to 25 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Brooklyn/Detroit series is 95.7 ppg while the vistor has put up 92.3 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3.4 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 67 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 3.4 ppg. That represents a value number of 6.9 when meassured against the offered line of 3.5, suggesting a wager on Detroit makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 67 games between the Nets and the Pistons is 188 per game. That creates a differential of 2 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 190.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Brooklyn as the road team and with Detroit as the home team.

Recent Results when Brooklyn visits Detroit

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 1, 2014 Brooklyn 102Detroit90-3.0196.0
February 7, 2014 Brooklyn 95Detroit111-1.5204.5
December 13, 2013 Brooklyn 99Detroit103-6.5197.0
March 18, 2013 Brooklyn 119Detroit823.5190.0
February 6, 2013 Brooklyn 93Detroit90-1.5189.5
February 10, 2012 Brooklyn 92Detroit109-3.0187.0
April 6, 2011 Brooklyn 109Detroit116-5.0199.0

When looking at the last 33 games in this series while Detroit has been the home team, we can see the Pistons have won 24 games compared to 9 wins for the Nets. Average points scored per game by Detroit in this situation is is 96.2 ppg while Brooklyn has put up 89.4 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 6.8 favoring the Pistons.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 6.8 ppg. That represents a value number of 10.3 when meassured against the offered line of 3.5, suggesting a wager on the Pistons makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 33 games between the Nets and the Pistons is 185.6 per game. That creates a differential of 4.4 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 190.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the Brooklyn Nets Cover the Spread?

This season the Brooklyn Nets have played 24 games, averaging 95.9 points per game, while allowing 98.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 10-14. Let's have a closer look at recent Brooklyn Nets results.

Recent Brooklyn Nets Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 17, 2014 Brooklyn 89Toronto105-11.0198.0
December 16, 2014 Miami 95Brooklyn91-7.5182.5
December 13, 2014 Brooklyn 114Charlotte87-3.5189.5
December 12, 2014 Philadelphia 70Brooklyn88
December 10, 2014 Brooklyn 80Chicago105
December 8, 2014 Cleveland 110Brooklyn888.0196.0
December 5, 2014 Atlanta 98Brooklyn751.5201.5

This season the Brooklyn Nets have played 12 games on the road, averaging 96.5 points per game, while allowing 99.9 points per game. This has led to a season record of 5-7. Let's have a closer look at recent Brooklyn Nets results on the road.

Recent Brooklyn Nets Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 17, 2014 Brooklyn 89Toronto105-11.0198.0
December 13, 2014 Brooklyn 114Charlotte87-3.5189.5
December 10, 2014 Brooklyn 80Chicago105
December 2, 2014 Brooklyn 98New York931.0193.0
November 26, 2014 Brooklyn 99Philadelphia918.0198.5

Can the Detroit Pistons Cover the Spread?

This season the Detroit Pistons have played 26 games, averaging 93.8 points per game, while allowing 100.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 5-14. Let's have a closer look at recent Detroit Pistons results.

Recent Detroit Pistons Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 17, 2014 Dallas 117Detroit1066.5203.5
December 15, 2014 Detroit 91(LAC) Los Angeles113-11.5204.0
December 13, 2014 Detroit 95Sacramento90-5.5195.0
December 12, 2014 Detroit 105Phoenix103-9.5202.5
December 9, 2014 Portland 98Detroit868.0197.0
December 7, 2014 Oklahoma City 96Detroit9410.0194.0
December 6, 2014 Philadelphia 108Detroit101-9.5193.0
December 3, 2014 Detroit 102Boston109-5.0202.5
December 2, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 106Detroit96-2.0206.0
November 30, 2014 Golden St. 104Detroit938.5201.5

This season the Detroit Pistons have played 14 games here at home, averaging 94.5 points per game, while allowing 101.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 2-12. Let's have a closer look at recent Detroit Pistons results when playing at home.

Recent Detroit Pistons Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 17, 2014 Dallas 117Detroit1066.5203.5
December 9, 2014 Portland 98Detroit868.0197.0
December 7, 2014 Oklahoma City 96Detroit9410.0194.0
December 6, 2014 Philadelphia 108Detroit101-9.5193.0
December 2, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 106Detroit96-2.0206.0
November 30, 2014 Golden St. 104Detroit938.5201.5
November 28, 2014 Milwaukee 104Detroit88-2.0191.0
November 26, 2014 (LAC) Los Angeles 104Detroit989.0197.0
November 19, 2014 Phoenix 88Detroit862.5204.5
November 17, 2014 Orlando 107Detroit93-4.0192.0

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