NBA Betting Preview & Picks

Brooklyn Nets vs Detroit Pistons

Game Date: Monday, March 18, 2013 | Game Time: 7:35 PM | Home Line: 3.5 | Total: 190.0

by Steve Miller

Brooklyn Nets v Detroit Pistons Series Betting Trends

The Brooklyn Nets travel to Detroit to play the Pistons at 7:35 PM on Monday, March 18, 2013. Detroit is the underdog in this matchup, getting 3.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 190.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Nets/Pistons Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 4, 2014 Detroit 104Brooklyn116-10.0206.0
February 7, 2014 Brooklyn 95Detroit111-1.5204.5
December 13, 2013 Brooklyn 99Detroit103-6.5197.0
November 24, 2013 Detroit 109Brooklyn97-2.0193.5
April 17, 2013 Detroit 99Brooklyn103-5.5196.5
March 18, 2013 Brooklyn 119Detroit823.5190.0
February 6, 2013 Brooklyn 93Detroit90-1.5189.5
December 14, 2012 Detroit 105Brooklyn107-8.0191.0
February 10, 2012 Brooklyn 92Detroit109-3.0187.0
February 8, 2012 Detroit 99Brooklyn92-4.0186.0

When looking at the last 66 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 42 games compared to 24 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Brooklyn/Detroit series is 95.7 ppg while the vistor has put up 92.2 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3.5 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 66 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 3.5 ppg. That represents a value number of 7 when meassured against the offered line of 3.5, suggesting a wager on Detroit makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 66 games between the Nets and the Pistons is 187.9 per game. That creates a differential of 2.1 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 190.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Brooklyn as the road team and with Detroit as the home team.

Recent Results when Brooklyn visits Detroit

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
February 7, 2014 Brooklyn 95Detroit111-1.5204.5
December 13, 2013 Brooklyn 99Detroit103-6.5197.0
March 18, 2013 Brooklyn 119Detroit823.5190.0
February 6, 2013 Brooklyn 93Detroit90-1.5189.5
February 10, 2012 Brooklyn 92Detroit109-3.0187.0
April 6, 2011 Brooklyn 109Detroit116-5.0199.0
February 4, 2011 Brooklyn 82Detroit92-5.0188.0

When looking at the last 32 games in this series while Detroit has been the home team, we can see the Pistons have won 24 games compared to 8 wins for the Nets. Average points scored per game by Detroit in this situation is is 96.4 ppg while Brooklyn has put up 89 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 7.4 favoring the Pistons.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 7.4 ppg. That represents a value number of 10.9 when meassured against the offered line of 3.5, suggesting a wager on the Pistons makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 32 games between the Nets and the Pistons is 185.4 per game. That creates a differential of 4.6 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 190.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the Brooklyn Nets Cover the Spread?

This season the Brooklyn Nets have played 94 games, averaging 98.2 points per game, while allowing 99.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 50-44. Let's have a closer look at recent Brooklyn Nets results.

Recent Brooklyn Nets Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
May 14, 2014 Brooklyn 94Miami96-7.0189.0
May 12, 2014 Miami 102Brooklyn962.0188.0
May 10, 2014 Miami 90Brooklyn1041.0188.0
May 8, 2014 Brooklyn 82Miami94-7.5192.0
May 6, 2014 Brooklyn 86Miami107-8.0192.5
May 4, 2014 Brooklyn 104Toronto103-3.0187.5
May 2, 2014 Toronto 83Brooklyn97-5.0191.0

This season the Brooklyn Nets have played 47 games on the road, averaging 96.4 points per game, while allowing 101.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 18-29. Let's have a closer look at recent Brooklyn Nets results on the road.

Recent Brooklyn Nets Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
May 14, 2014 Brooklyn 94Miami96-7.0189.0
May 8, 2014 Brooklyn 82Miami94-7.5192.0
May 6, 2014 Brooklyn 86Miami107-8.0192.5
May 4, 2014 Brooklyn 104Toronto103-3.0187.5
April 30, 2014 Brooklyn 113Toronto115-3.5191.0

Can the Detroit Pistons Cover the Spread?

This season the Detroit Pistons have played 82 games, averaging 101.0 points per game, while allowing 104.7 points per game. This has led to a season record of 29-44. Let's have a closer look at recent Detroit Pistons results.

Recent Detroit Pistons Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 16, 2014 Detroit 111Oklahoma City112-14.0213.0
April 13, 2014 Toronto 116Detroit1076.5206.0
April 11, 2014 Detroit 98Chicago106-10.0193.0
April 9, 2014 Detroit 100Cleveland122-6.5207.0
April 8, 2014 Detroit 102Atlanta95-6.5209.0
April 5, 2014 Boston 111Detroit115-6.0207.0
April 4, 2014 Detroit 104Brooklyn116-10.0206.0
April 2, 2014 Detroit 94Indiana101-10.0191.0
March 31, 2014 Milwaukee 111Detroit116-6.5207.0
March 29, 2014 Detroit 98Philadelphia1236.0210.5

This season the Detroit Pistons have played 41 games here at home, averaging 101.1 points per game, while allowing 103.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 17-24. Let's have a closer look at recent Detroit Pistons results when playing at home.

Recent Detroit Pistons Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 13, 2014 Toronto 116Detroit1076.5206.0
April 5, 2014 Boston 111Detroit115-6.0207.0
March 31, 2014 Milwaukee 111Detroit116-6.5207.0
March 28, 2014 Miami 110Detroit786.00.0
March 26, 2014 Cleveland 97Detroit96-5.5205.5
March 15, 2014 Indiana 112Detroit1045.0198.0
March 11, 2014 Sacramento 88Detroit99-2.5214.0
March 5, 2014 Chicago 105Detroit944.0192.5
March 3, 2014 New York 85Detroit96-5.0205.5
February 24, 2014 Golden St. 104Detroit96

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