NBA Betting Preview & Picks

Brooklyn Nets vs Atlanta Hawks

Game Date: Saturday, March 9, 2013 | Game Time: 7:05 PM | Home Line: -3.5 | Total: 189.0

by Steve Miller

Brooklyn Nets v Atlanta Hawks Series Betting Trends

The Brooklyn Nets travel to Atlanta to play the Hawks at 7:05 PM on Saturday, March 9, 2013. Atlanta is the favorite in this matchup, laying -3.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 189.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Nets/Hawks Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 5, 2014 Atlanta 98Brooklyn751.5201.5
April 11, 2014 Atlanta 93Brooklyn88-4.5200.5
January 16, 2014 Brooklyn 127Atlanta110-1.0194.5
January 6, 2014 Atlanta 86Brooklyn91-3.0197.0
March 17, 2013 Atlanta 105Brooklyn93-4.0189.0
March 9, 2013 Brooklyn 93Atlanta80-3.5189.0
January 18, 2013 Atlanta 89Brooklyn94-6.0192.0
January 16, 2013 Brooklyn 95Atlanta109-4.5187.5
March 23, 2012 Brooklyn 84Atlanta93-7.0188.0
January 9, 2012 Atlanta 106Brooklyn1015.5178.5

When looking at the last 55 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 34 games compared to 21 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Brooklyn/Atlanta series is 98 ppg while the vistor has put up 95 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 55 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 3 ppg. That represents a value number of -0.5 when meassured against the offered line of -3.5, suggesting a wager on Brooklyn makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 55 games between the Nets and the Hawks is 193 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 4 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 189.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Brooklyn as the road team and with Atlanta as the home team.

Recent Results when Brooklyn visits Atlanta

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 16, 2014 Brooklyn 127Atlanta110-1.0194.5
March 9, 2013 Brooklyn 93Atlanta80-3.5189.0
January 16, 2013 Brooklyn 95Atlanta109-4.5187.5
March 23, 2012 Brooklyn 84Atlanta93-7.0188.0
December 30, 2011 Brooklyn 98Atlanta105-11.5175.5
March 26, 2011 Brooklyn 87Atlanta98-10.0185.5
December 7, 2010 Brooklyn 101Atlanta116-6.5185.5

When looking at the last 27 games in this series while Atlanta has been the home team, we can see the Hawks have won 15 games compared to 12 wins for the Nets. Average points scored per game by Atlanta in this situation is is 100.4 ppg while Brooklyn has put up 96 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 4.4 favoring the Hawks.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 4.4 ppg. That represents a value number of 0.9 when meassured against the offered line of -3.5, suggesting a wager on the Hawks makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 27 games between the Nets and the Hawks is 196.4 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 7.4 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 189.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the Brooklyn Nets Cover the Spread?

This season the Brooklyn Nets have played 24 games, averaging 95.9 points per game, while allowing 98.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 10-14. Let's have a closer look at recent Brooklyn Nets results.

Recent Brooklyn Nets Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 19, 2014 Brooklyn 91Cleveland95-11.5197.5
December 17, 2014 Brooklyn 89Toronto105-11.0198.0
December 16, 2014 Miami 95Brooklyn91-7.5182.5
December 13, 2014 Brooklyn 114Charlotte87-3.5189.5
December 12, 2014 Philadelphia 70Brooklyn88
December 10, 2014 Brooklyn 80Chicago105
December 8, 2014 Cleveland 110Brooklyn888.0196.0

This season the Brooklyn Nets have played 12 games on the road, averaging 96.5 points per game, while allowing 99.9 points per game. This has led to a season record of 5-7. Let's have a closer look at recent Brooklyn Nets results on the road.

Recent Brooklyn Nets Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 19, 2014 Brooklyn 91Cleveland95-11.5197.5
December 17, 2014 Brooklyn 89Toronto105-11.0198.0
December 13, 2014 Brooklyn 114Charlotte87-3.5189.5
December 10, 2014 Brooklyn 80Chicago105
December 2, 2014 Brooklyn 98New York931.0193.0

Can the Atlanta Hawks Cover the Spread?

This season the Atlanta Hawks have played 25 games, averaging 103.0 points per game, while allowing 97.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 18-14. Let's have a closer look at recent Atlanta Hawks results.

Recent Atlanta Hawks Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 17, 2014 Atlanta 127Cleveland98-5.5201.0
December 15, 2014 Chicago 86Atlanta93
December 13, 2014 Atlanta 99Orlando1003.0194.5
December 12, 2014 Orlando 81Atlanta87
December 10, 2014 Philadelphia 79Atlanta95-13.0202.5
December 8, 2014 Atlanta 108Indiana92-1.0194.0
December 7, 2014 Denver 84Atlanta96-5.5212.0
December 5, 2014 Atlanta 98Brooklyn751.5201.5
December 3, 2014 Atlanta 112Miami102-5.0200.0
December 2, 2014 Boston 105Atlanta109-6.5211.5

This season the Atlanta Hawks have played 14 games here at home, averaging 101.9 points per game, while allowing 94.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 12-2. Let's have a closer look at recent Atlanta Hawks results when playing at home.

Recent Atlanta Hawks Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 15, 2014 Chicago 86Atlanta93
December 12, 2014 Orlando 81Atlanta87
December 10, 2014 Philadelphia 79Atlanta95-13.0202.5
December 7, 2014 Denver 84Atlanta96-5.5212.0
December 2, 2014 Boston 105Atlanta109-6.5211.5
November 29, 2014 Charlotte 75Atlanta105-7.0196.5
November 28, 2014 New Orleans 91Atlanta100-2.5204.5
November 26, 2014 Toronto 126Atlanta1153.5204.5
November 21, 2014 Detroit 89Atlanta99-6.5196.0
November 18, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 114Atlanta109-9.5214.0

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