NBA Betting Preview & Picks

Brooklyn Nets vs Atlanta Hawks

Game Date: Saturday, March 9, 2013 | Game Time: 7:05 PM | Home Line: -3.5 | Total: 189.0

by Steve Miller

Brooklyn Nets v Atlanta Hawks Series Betting Trends

The Brooklyn Nets travel to Atlanta to play the Hawks at 7:05 PM on Saturday, March 9, 2013. Atlanta is the favorite in this matchup, laying -3.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 189.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Nets/Hawks Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 28, 2015 Brooklyn 102Atlanta113-13.5194.0
December 5, 2014 Atlanta 98Brooklyn751.5201.5
April 11, 2014 Atlanta 93Brooklyn88-4.5200.5
January 16, 2014 Brooklyn 127Atlanta110-1.0194.5
January 6, 2014 Atlanta 86Brooklyn91-3.0197.0
March 17, 2013 Atlanta 105Brooklyn93-4.0189.0
March 9, 2013 Brooklyn 93Atlanta80-3.5189.0
January 18, 2013 Atlanta 89Brooklyn94-6.0192.0
January 16, 2013 Brooklyn 95Atlanta109-4.5187.5
March 23, 2012 Brooklyn 84Atlanta93-7.0188.0

When looking at the last 56 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 35 games compared to 21 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Brooklyn/Atlanta series is 98.3 ppg while the vistor has put up 95.1 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3.2 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 56 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 3.2 ppg. That represents a value number of -0.3 when meassured against the offered line of -3.5, suggesting a wager on Brooklyn makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 56 games between the Nets and the Hawks is 193.4 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 4.4 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 189.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Brooklyn as the road team and with Atlanta as the home team.

Recent Results when Brooklyn visits Atlanta

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 28, 2015 Brooklyn 102Atlanta113-13.5194.0
January 16, 2014 Brooklyn 127Atlanta110-1.0194.5
March 9, 2013 Brooklyn 93Atlanta80-3.5189.0
January 16, 2013 Brooklyn 95Atlanta109-4.5187.5
March 23, 2012 Brooklyn 84Atlanta93-7.0188.0
December 30, 2011 Brooklyn 98Atlanta105-11.5175.5
March 26, 2011 Brooklyn 87Atlanta98-10.0185.5

When looking at the last 28 games in this series while Atlanta has been the home team, we can see the Hawks have won 16 games compared to 12 wins for the Nets. Average points scored per game by Atlanta in this situation is is 100.9 ppg while Brooklyn has put up 96.2 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 4.7 favoring the Hawks.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 4.7 ppg. That represents a value number of 1.2 when meassured against the offered line of -3.5, suggesting a wager on the Hawks makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 28 games between the Nets and the Hawks is 197.1 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 8.1 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 189.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the Brooklyn Nets Cover the Spread?

This season the Brooklyn Nets have played 46 games, averaging 95.7 points per game, while allowing 99.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 18-28. Let's have a closer look at recent Brooklyn Nets results.

Recent Brooklyn Nets Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 30, 2015 Toronto 127Brooklyn1227.5198.0
January 28, 2015 Brooklyn 102Atlanta113-13.5194.0
January 24, 2015 Brooklyn 73Utah108-4.0187.5
January 22, 2015 Brooklyn 84(LAC) Los Angeles123-13.0202.0
January 21, 2015 Brooklyn 103Sacramento100-5.5198.0
January 17, 2015 Washington 99Brooklyn905.0190.5
January 16, 2015 Brooklyn 102Washington80-9.5193.0

This season the Brooklyn Nets have played 23 games on the road, averaging 95.4 points per game, while allowing 99.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 10-13. Let's have a closer look at recent Brooklyn Nets results on the road.

Recent Brooklyn Nets Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 28, 2015 Brooklyn 102Atlanta113-13.5194.0
January 24, 2015 Brooklyn 73Utah108-4.0187.5
January 22, 2015 Brooklyn 84(LAC) Los Angeles123-13.0202.0
January 21, 2015 Brooklyn 103Sacramento100-5.5198.0
January 16, 2015 Brooklyn 102Washington80-9.5193.0

Can the Atlanta Hawks Cover the Spread?

This season the Atlanta Hawks have played 47 games, averaging 103.7 points per game, while allowing 96.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 39-28. Let's have a closer look at recent Atlanta Hawks results.

Recent Atlanta Hawks Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 31, 2015 Philadelphia 85Atlanta91-16.5192.5
January 30, 2015 Portland 99Atlanta105-6.5202.0
January 28, 2015 Brooklyn 102Atlanta113-13.5194.0
January 25, 2015 Minnesota 100Atlanta112-17.5200.5
January 23, 2015 Oklahoma City 93Atlanta103-3.5206.5
January 21, 2015 Indiana 91Atlanta110-10.5193.5
January 19, 2015 Detroit 82Atlanta93-8.0203.5
January 17, 2015 Atlanta 107Chicago993.0201.0
January 16, 2015 Atlanta 110Toronto89-1.5206.0
January 14, 2015 Atlanta 105Boston916.0204.0

This season the Atlanta Hawks have played 25 games here at home, averaging 102.9 points per game, while allowing 94.9 points per game. This has led to a season record of 22-3. Let's have a closer look at recent Atlanta Hawks results when playing at home.

Recent Atlanta Hawks Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 31, 2015 Philadelphia 85Atlanta91-16.5192.5
January 30, 2015 Portland 99Atlanta105-6.5202.0
January 28, 2015 Brooklyn 102Atlanta113-13.5194.0
January 25, 2015 Minnesota 100Atlanta112-17.5200.5
January 23, 2015 Oklahoma City 93Atlanta103-3.5206.5
January 21, 2015 Indiana 91Atlanta110-10.5193.5
January 19, 2015 Detroit 82Atlanta93-8.0203.5
January 11, 2015 Washington 89Atlanta120-4.0195.5
January 7, 2015 Memphis 86Atlanta96
December 30, 2014 Cleveland 101Atlanta109-4.5204.0

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