NCAAB Betting Preview & Picks

Gonzaga Bulldogs vs BYU Cougars

Game Date: Thursday, February 28, 2013 | Game Time: 11:00 PM | Home Line: 6.0 | Total:

by Leonard Bryant

Gonzaga Bulldogs v BYU Cougars Series Betting Trends

The Gonzaga Bulldogs travel to BYU to play the Cougars at 11:00 PM on Thursday, February 28, 2013. BYU is the underdog in this matchup, getting 6.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under .

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAB sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Bulldogs/Cougars Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 11, 2014 BYU 64Gonzaga75-4.5145.0
February 20, 2014 Gonzaga 65BYU73-3.0151.5
January 25, 2014 BYU 69Gonzaga84-8.5157.5
February 28, 2013 Gonzaga 70BYU656.0
January 24, 2013 BYU 63Gonzaga83-10.0148.0
March 3, 2012 BYU 58Gonzaga77-2.5144.0
February 23, 2012 BYU 63Gonzaga74-6.5147.0
February 2, 2012 Gonzaga 73BYU83-3.5147.0
March 19, 2011 Gonzaga 67BYU89-1.0149.0

When looking at the last 9 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 8 games compared to 1 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Gonzaga/BYU series is 78.1 ppg while the vistor has put up 65.8 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 12.3 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 9 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 12.3 ppg. That represents a value number of 18.3 when meassured against the offered line of 6.0, suggesting a wager on BYU makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 9 games between the Bulldogs and the Cougars is 143.9 per game.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Gonzaga as the road team and with BYU as the home team.

Recent Results when Gonzaga visits BYU

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
February 20, 2014 Gonzaga 65BYU73-3.0151.5
February 28, 2013 Gonzaga 70BYU656.0
February 2, 2012 Gonzaga 73BYU83-3.5147.0
March 19, 2011 Gonzaga 67BYU89-1.0149.0

When looking at the last 4 games in this series while BYU has been the home team, we can see the Cougars have won 3 games compared to 1 wins for the Bulldogs. Average points scored per game by BYU in this situation is is 77.5 ppg while Gonzaga has put up 68.8 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 8.7 favoring the Cougars.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 8.7 ppg. That represents a value number of 14.7 when meassured against the offered line of 6.0, suggesting a wager on the Cougars makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 4 games between the Bulldogs and the Cougars is 146.3 per game.

Can the Gonzaga Bulldogs Cover the Spread?

This season the Gonzaga Bulldogs have played 10 games, averaging 82.9 points per game, while allowing 61.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 9-1. Let's have a closer look at recent Gonzaga Bulldogs results.

Recent Gonzaga Bulldogs Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 20, 2014 Cal Poly 50Gonzaga63-22.0
December 13, 2014 Gonzaga 87UCLA745.5146.0
December 10, 2014 Washington St. 66Gonzaga81-22.0142.0
December 6, 2014 Gonzaga 63Arizona66-5.0139.0
November 28, 2014 Gonzaga 73St. Johns667.0139.5
November 26, 2014 Gonzaga 88Georgia7612.5146.5
November 19, 2014 St. Josephs 42Gonzaga94-22.5135.5

This season the Gonzaga Bulldogs have played 4 games on the road, averaging 77.8 points per game, while allowing 70.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 3-1. Let's have a closer look at recent Gonzaga Bulldogs results on the road.

Recent Gonzaga Bulldogs Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 13, 2014 Gonzaga 87UCLA745.5146.0
December 6, 2014 Gonzaga 63Arizona66-5.0139.0
November 28, 2014 Gonzaga 73St. Johns667.0139.5
November 26, 2014 Gonzaga 88Georgia7612.5146.5
March 23, 2014 Gonzaga 61Arizona84-7.5128.5

Can the BYU Cougars Cover the Spread?

This season the BYU Cougars have played 10 games, averaging 88.7 points per game, while allowing 76.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 7-1. Let's have a closer look at recent BYU Cougars results.

Recent BYU Cougars Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 20, 2014 Stanford 77BYU79-3.5147.5
December 13, 2014 BYU 76Weber St.609.5
December 10, 2014 Utah 65BYU61-3.5149.0
December 6, 2014 Hawaii 70BYU90-16.5
December 2, 2014 BYU 91Utah St.817.0144.0
November 29, 2014 E. Kentucky 76BYU90-14.5
November 26, 2014 Purdue 87BYU85-1.5158.5
November 25, 2014 BYU 121Chaminade8515.5
November 24, 2014 BYU 87San Diego St.92-3.5136.5
November 18, 2014 Ark - Little Rock 62BYU91-16.0

This season the BYU Cougars have played 6 games here at home, averaging 85.3 points per game, while allowing 75.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 4-2. Let's have a closer look at recent BYU Cougars results when playing at home.

Recent BYU Cougars Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 20, 2014 Stanford 77BYU79-3.5147.5
December 10, 2014 Utah 65BYU61-3.5149.0
December 6, 2014 Hawaii 70BYU90-16.5
November 29, 2014 E. Kentucky 76BYU90-14.5
November 26, 2014 Purdue 87BYU85-1.5158.5
November 18, 2014 Ark - Little Rock 62BYU91-16.0
November 14, 2014 Long Beach St. 90BYU95-14.0
March 10, 2014 San Francisco 77BYU79-5.5154.5
March 8, 2014 Loyola Marymount 74BYU85-11.5
February 22, 2014 Portland 72BYU89-12.5

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