NCAAB Betting Preview & Picks

Gonzaga Bulldogs vs BYU Cougars

Game Date: Thursday, February 28, 2013 | Game Time: 11:00 PM | Home Line: 6.0 | Total:

by Leonard Bryant

Gonzaga Bulldogs v BYU Cougars Series Betting Trends

The Gonzaga Bulldogs travel to BYU to play the Cougars at 11:00 PM on Thursday, February 28, 2013. BYU is the underdog in this matchup, getting 6.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under .

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAB sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Bulldogs/Cougars Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 27, 2014 Gonzaga 87BYU80
December 27, 2014 Gonzaga 87BYU805.0149.5
March 11, 2014 BYU 64Gonzaga75-4.5145.0
February 20, 2014 Gonzaga 65BYU73-3.0151.5
January 25, 2014 BYU 69Gonzaga84-8.5157.5
February 28, 2013 Gonzaga 70BYU656.0
January 24, 2013 BYU 63Gonzaga83-10.0148.0
March 3, 2012 BYU 58Gonzaga77-2.5144.0
February 23, 2012 BYU 63Gonzaga74-6.5147.0
February 2, 2012 Gonzaga 73BYU83-3.5147.0

When looking at the last 11 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 8 games compared to 3 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Gonzaga/BYU series is 78.5 ppg while the vistor has put up 69.6 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 8.9 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 11 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 8.9 ppg. That represents a value number of 14.9 when meassured against the offered line of 6.0, suggesting a wager on BYU makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 11 games between the Bulldogs and the Cougars is 148.1 per game.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Gonzaga as the road team and with BYU as the home team.

Recent Results when Gonzaga visits BYU

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 27, 2014 Gonzaga 87BYU805.0149.5
December 27, 2014 Gonzaga 87BYU80
February 20, 2014 Gonzaga 65BYU73-3.0151.5
February 28, 2013 Gonzaga 70BYU656.0
February 2, 2012 Gonzaga 73BYU83-3.5147.0
March 19, 2011 Gonzaga 67BYU89-1.0149.0

When looking at the last 6 games in this series while BYU has been the home team, we can see the Cougars have won 3 games compared to 3 wins for the Bulldogs. Average points scored per game by BYU in this situation is is 78.3 ppg while Gonzaga has put up 74.8 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3.5 favoring the Cougars.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 3.5 ppg. That represents a value number of 9.5 when meassured against the offered line of 6.0, suggesting a wager on the Cougars makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 6 games between the Bulldogs and the Cougars is 153.1 per game.

Can the Gonzaga Bulldogs Cover the Spread?

This season the Gonzaga Bulldogs have played 20 games, averaging 81.3 points per game, while allowing 62.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 19-1. Let's have a closer look at recent Gonzaga Bulldogs results.

Recent Gonzaga Bulldogs Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 24, 2015 Pacific 60Gonzaga91-24.5
January 22, 2015 St.Marys 47Gonzaga68-15.0136.5
January 17, 2015 Gonzaga 72Loyola Marymount5519.5
January 15, 2015 Gonzaga 78Pepperdine7612.0
January 10, 2015 Santa Clara 57Gonzaga79-24.0
January 8, 2015 San Francisco 57Gonzaga88-20.5
January 3, 2015 Gonzaga 87Portland7512.0136.0

This season the Gonzaga Bulldogs have played 10 games on the road, averaging 78.2 points per game, while allowing 69.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 9-1. Let's have a closer look at recent Gonzaga Bulldogs results on the road.

Recent Gonzaga Bulldogs Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 17, 2015 Gonzaga 72Loyola Marymount5519.5
January 15, 2015 Gonzaga 78Pepperdine7612.0
January 3, 2015 Gonzaga 87Portland7512.0136.0
December 29, 2014 Gonzaga 60San Diego4810.5
December 27, 2014 Gonzaga 87BYU805.0149.5

Can the BYU Cougars Cover the Spread?

This season the BYU Cougars have played 22 games, averaging 85.0 points per game, while allowing 75.9 points per game. This has led to a season record of 14-1. Let's have a closer look at recent BYU Cougars results.

Recent BYU Cougars Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 24, 2015 BYU 74San Diego775.5
January 17, 2015 BYU 77St.Marys82-2.5145.5
January 15, 2015 BYU 93Pacific809.0145.0
January 10, 2015 Loyola Marymount 72BYU85-19.5
January 8, 2015 Pepperdine 67BYU61-15.0151.5
January 3, 2015 BYU 99San Francisco684.5
January 1, 2015 BYU 81Santa Clara468.0
December 29, 2014 Portland 88BYU97-11.0
December 27, 2014 Gonzaga 87BYU80
December 27, 2014 Gonzaga 87BYU805.0149.5

This season the BYU Cougars have played 13 games here at home, averaging 82.4 points per game, while allowing 76.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 8-5. Let's have a closer look at recent BYU Cougars results when playing at home.

Recent BYU Cougars Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 10, 2015 Loyola Marymount 72BYU85-19.5
January 8, 2015 Pepperdine 67BYU61-15.0151.5
December 29, 2014 Portland 88BYU97-11.0
December 27, 2014 Gonzaga 87BYU80
December 27, 2014 Gonzaga 87BYU805.0149.5
December 23, 2014 UMass 71BYU77-10.0
December 20, 2014 Stanford 77BYU79-3.5147.5
December 10, 2014 Utah 65BYU61-3.5149.0
December 6, 2014 Hawaii 70BYU90-16.5
November 29, 2014 Eastern Kentucky 76BYU90-14.5

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