NCAAB Betting Preview & Picks

Gonzaga Bulldogs vs BYU Cougars

Game Date: Thursday, February 28, 2013 | Game Time: 11:00 PM | Home Line: 6.0 | Total:

by Leonard Bryant

Gonzaga Bulldogs v BYU Cougars Series Betting Trends

The Gonzaga Bulldogs travel to BYU to play the Cougars at 11:00 PM on Thursday, February 28, 2013. BYU is the underdog in this matchup, getting 6.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under .

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAB sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Bulldogs/Cougars Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 11, 2014 BYU 64Gonzaga75-4.5145.0
February 20, 2014 Gonzaga 65BYU73-3.0151.5
January 25, 2014 BYU 69Gonzaga84-8.5157.5
February 28, 2013 Gonzaga 70BYU656.0
January 24, 2013 BYU 63Gonzaga83-10.0148.0
March 3, 2012 BYU 58Gonzaga77-2.5144.0
February 23, 2012 BYU 63Gonzaga74-6.5147.0
February 2, 2012 Gonzaga 73BYU83-3.5147.0
March 19, 2011 Gonzaga 67BYU89-1.0149.0

When looking at the last 9 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 8 games compared to 1 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Gonzaga/BYU series is 78.1 ppg while the vistor has put up 65.8 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 12.3 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 9 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 12.3 ppg. That represents a value number of 18.3 when meassured against the offered line of 6.0, suggesting a wager on BYU makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 9 games between the Bulldogs and the Cougars is 143.9 per game.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Gonzaga as the road team and with BYU as the home team.

Recent Results when Gonzaga visits BYU

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
February 20, 2014 Gonzaga 65BYU73-3.0151.5
February 28, 2013 Gonzaga 70BYU656.0
February 2, 2012 Gonzaga 73BYU83-3.5147.0
March 19, 2011 Gonzaga 67BYU89-1.0149.0

When looking at the last 4 games in this series while BYU has been the home team, we can see the Cougars have won 3 games compared to 1 wins for the Bulldogs. Average points scored per game by BYU in this situation is is 77.5 ppg while Gonzaga has put up 68.8 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 8.7 favoring the Cougars.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 8.7 ppg. That represents a value number of 14.7 when meassured against the offered line of 6.0, suggesting a wager on the Cougars makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 4 games between the Bulldogs and the Cougars is 146.3 per game.

Can the Gonzaga Bulldogs Cover the Spread?

This season the Gonzaga Bulldogs have played 34 games, averaging 75.6 points per game, while allowing 66.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 27-7. Let's have a closer look at recent Gonzaga Bulldogs results.

Recent Gonzaga Bulldogs Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 23, 2014 Gonzaga 61Arizona84-7.5128.5
March 21, 2014 Oklahoma St. 77Gonzaga854.0138.5
March 11, 2014 BYU 64Gonzaga75-4.5145.0
March 10, 2014 St.Marys 54Gonzaga70-6.0
March 8, 2014 Santa Clara 75Gonzaga77
March 8, 2014 Santa Clara 75Gonzaga77-12.5134.5
March 1, 2014 Gonzaga 75St.Marys47-1.0134.0

This season the Gonzaga Bulldogs have played 12 games on the road, averaging 67.1 points per game, while allowing 65.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 6-6. Let's have a closer look at recent Gonzaga Bulldogs results on the road.

Recent Gonzaga Bulldogs Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 23, 2014 Gonzaga 61Arizona84-7.5128.5
March 1, 2014 Gonzaga 75St.Marys47-1.0134.0
February 27, 2014 Gonzaga 70Pacific535.0141.5
February 22, 2014 Gonzaga 66San Diego697.5130.5
February 20, 2014 Gonzaga 65BYU73-3.0151.5

Can the BYU Cougars Cover the Spread?

This season the BYU Cougars have played 32 games, averaging 82.5 points per game, while allowing 78.7 points per game. This has led to a season record of 20-7. Let's have a closer look at recent BYU Cougars results.

Recent BYU Cougars Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 20, 2014 BYU 68Oregon87-5.0158.0
March 11, 2014 BYU 64Gonzaga75-4.5145.0
March 10, 2014 San Francisco 77BYU79-5.5154.5
March 8, 2014 Loyola Marymount 74BYU85-11.5
March 1, 2014 BYU 78San Diego704.5
February 22, 2014 Portland 72BYU89-12.5
February 20, 2014 Gonzaga 65BYU73-3.0151.5
February 15, 2014 BYU 60St.Marys57-4.5151.5
February 13, 2014 BYU 82Pacific893.5
February 8, 2014 San Francisco 63BYU68-11.5

This season the BYU Cougars have played 16 games here at home, averaging 84.6 points per game, while allowing 72.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 15-1. Let's have a closer look at recent BYU Cougars results when playing at home.

Recent BYU Cougars Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 10, 2014 San Francisco 77BYU79-5.5154.5
March 8, 2014 Loyola Marymount 74BYU85-11.5
February 22, 2014 Portland 72BYU89-12.5
February 20, 2014 Gonzaga 65BYU73-3.0151.5
February 8, 2014 San Francisco 63BYU68-11.5
February 6, 2014 Santa Clara 76BYU89-15.5154.0
February 1, 2014 St.Marys 71BYU84-6.0154.0
January 30, 2014 Pacific 78BYU88-12.5
January 11, 2014 Loyola Marymount 68BYU91-12.5
January 9, 2014 Pepperdine 72BYU84-15.5

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