NBA Betting Preview & Picks

Sacramento Kings vs Orlando Magic

Game Date: Wednesday, February 27, 2013 | Game Time: 7:05 PM | Home Line: 2.5 | Total: 206.0

by Steve Miller

Sacramento Kings v Orlando Magic Series Betting Trends

The Sacramento Kings travel to Orlando to play the Magic at 7:05 PM on Wednesday, February 27, 2013. Orlando is the underdog in this matchup, getting 2.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 206.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Kings/Magic Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 10, 2014 Orlando 83Sacramento103-7.0205.0
December 21, 2013 Sacramento 105Orlando100-3.0204.0
February 27, 2013 Sacramento 125Orlando1012.5206.0
December 7, 2012 Orlando 82Sacramento91-3.0194.0
January 8, 2012 Orlando 104Sacramento977.0195.5
March 9, 2011 Orlando 106Sacramento10210.0205.0
February 23, 2011 Sacramento 111Orlando105-13.5204.5
January 22, 2010 Sacramento 84Orlando100-10.0206.0
January 12, 2010 Orlando 109Sacramento883.5206.5
January 13, 2009 Orlando 139Sacramento107

When looking at the last 29 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 17 games compared to 12 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Sacramento/Orlando series is 103.1 ppg while the vistor has put up 101.7 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1.4 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 29 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 1.4 ppg. That represents a value number of 3.9 when meassured against the offered line of 2.5, suggesting a wager on Orlando makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 29 games between the Kings and the Magic is 204.8 per game. That creates a differential of 1.2 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 206.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Sacramento as the road team and with Orlando as the home team.

Recent Results when Sacramento visits Orlando

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 21, 2013 Sacramento 105Orlando100-3.0204.0
February 27, 2013 Sacramento 125Orlando1012.5206.0
February 23, 2011 Sacramento 111Orlando105-13.5204.5
January 22, 2010 Sacramento 84Orlando100-10.0206.0
November 1, 2008 Sacramento 103Orlando121-11.5136.0
February 24, 2008 Sacramento 93Orlando112
March 17, 2007 Sacramento 95Orlando83

When looking at the last 14 games in this series while Orlando has been the home team, we can see the Magic have won 7 games compared to 7 wins for the Kings. Average points scored per game by Orlando in this situation is is 104.2 ppg while Sacramento has put up 104.5 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 0.3 favoring the Magic.

Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 0.3 ppg. That represents a value number of 2.8 when meassured against the offered line of 2.5, suggesting a wager on the Magic makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks betting against the number looking at the series situation in the vacuum of this trend.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 14 games between the Kings and the Magic is 208.7 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 2.7 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 206.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the Sacramento Kings Cover the Spread?

This season the Sacramento Kings have played 82 games, averaging 100.5 points per game, while allowing 103.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 28-54. Let's have a closer look at recent Sacramento Kings results.

Recent Sacramento Kings Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 16, 2014 Phoenix 104Sacramento992.5208.0
April 13, 2014 Minnesota 103Sacramento106-2.0204.5
April 12, 2014 Sacramento 101(LAC) Los Angeles117-11.0205.0
April 9, 2014 Sacramento 99Portland100-13.0200.5
April 8, 2014 Oklahoma City 107Sacramento928.5202.0
April 6, 2014 Dallas 93Sacramento917.5201.0
April 4, 2014 Sacramento 69Golden St.102-9.0199.5

This season the Sacramento Kings have played 41 games on the road, averaging 98.8 points per game, while allowing 104.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 11-30. Let's have a closer look at recent Sacramento Kings results on the road.

Recent Sacramento Kings Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 12, 2014 Sacramento 101(LAC) Los Angeles117-11.0205.0
April 9, 2014 Sacramento 99Portland100-13.0200.5
April 4, 2014 Sacramento 69Golden St.102-9.0199.5
March 31, 2014 Sacramento 102New Orleans97-4.5196.5
March 29, 2014 Sacramento 100Dallas103-11.5205.5

Can the Orlando Magic Cover the Spread?

This season the Orlando Magic have played 81 games, averaging 96.5 points per game, while allowing 102.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 22-54. Let's have a closer look at recent Orlando Magic results.

Recent Orlando Magic Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 16, 2014 Indiana 101Orlando86-3.5186.5
April 14, 2014 Orlando 95Chicago108-11.5183.5
April 13, 2014 Orlando 88Brooklyn97-11.5195.0
April 11, 2014 Washington 96Orlando867.5195.0
April 9, 2014 Brooklyn 111Orlando1155.5194.0
April 4, 2014 Orlando 80Charlotte91-10.0194.0
April 2, 2014 Cleveland 119Orlando981.5196.5
March 30, 2014 Toronto 98Orlando934.5193.5
March 28, 2014 Charlotte 105Orlando1104.0193.5
March 25, 2014 Portland 85Orlando956.0203.5

This season the Orlando Magic have played 40 games here at home, averaging 100.1 points per game, while allowing 101.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 18-22. Let's have a closer look at recent Orlando Magic results when playing at home.

Recent Orlando Magic Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 16, 2014 Indiana 101Orlando86-3.5186.5
April 11, 2014 Washington 96Orlando867.5195.0
April 9, 2014 Brooklyn 111Orlando1155.5194.0
April 2, 2014 Cleveland 119Orlando981.5196.5
March 30, 2014 Toronto 98Orlando934.5193.5
March 28, 2014 Charlotte 105Orlando1104.0193.5
March 25, 2014 Portland 85Orlando956.0203.5
March 14, 2014 Washington 105Orlando1015.0200.5
March 12, 2014 Denver 120Orlando1121.5213.5
March 5, 2014 Houston 101Orlando898.0206.5

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