NBA Betting Preview & Picks

(LAK) Los Angeles Lakers vs Boston Celtics

Game Date: Thursday, February 7, 2013 | Game Time: 8:05 PM | Home Line: -1.5 | Total: 194.5

by Jay Marriucci

(LAK) Los Angeles Lakers v Boston Celtics Series Betting Trends

The (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers travel to Boston to play the Celtics at 8:05 PM on Thursday, February 7, 2013. Boston is the favorite in this matchup, laying -1.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 194.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Lakers/Celtics Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 5, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 96Boston113-3.5217.5
February 21, 2014 Boston 92(LAK) Los Angeles101-1.5204.5
January 17, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 107Boston104-7.0205.5
February 20, 2013 Boston 99(LAK) Los Angeles113-7.0193.5
February 7, 2013 (LAK) Los Angeles 95Boston116-1.5194.5
March 11, 2012 Boston 94(LAK) Los Angeles97-6.0179.0
February 9, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 88Boston87-3.5175.5
February 10, 2011 (LAK) Los Angeles 92Boston86-3.0187.5
January 30, 2011 Boston 109(LAK) Los Angeles96-2.5184.0
June 17, 2010 Boston 79(LAK) Los Angeles83-7.0186.0

When looking at the last 46 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 26 games compared to 20 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the (LAK) Los Angeles/Boston series is 99.5 ppg while the vistor has put up 95.5 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 4 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 46 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 4 ppg. That represents a value number of 2.5 when meassured against the offered line of -1.5, suggesting a wager on Boston makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 46 games between the Lakers and the Celtics is 195 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 0.5 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 194.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with (LAK) Los Angeles as the road team and with Boston as the home team.

Recent Results when (LAK) Los Angeles visits Boston

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 5, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 96Boston113-3.5217.5
January 17, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 107Boston104-7.0205.5
February 7, 2013 (LAK) Los Angeles 95Boston116-1.5194.5
February 9, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 88Boston87-3.5175.5
February 10, 2011 (LAK) Los Angeles 92Boston86-3.0187.5
June 13, 2010 (LAK) Los Angeles 86Boston92-2.5187.5
June 10, 2010 (LAK) Los Angeles 89Boston96-3.5190.0

When looking at the last 24 games in this series while Boston has been the home team, we can see the Celtics have won 11 games compared to 13 wins for the Lakers. Average points scored per game by Boston in this situation is is 99.1 ppg while (LAK) Los Angeles has put up 96.3 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 2.8 favoring the Celtics.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 2.8 ppg. That represents a value number of 1.3 when meassured against the offered line of -1.5, suggesting a wager on the Celtics makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 24 games between the Lakers and the Celtics is 195.4 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 0.9 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 194.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers Cover the Spread?

This season the (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers have played 45 games, averaging 99.1 points per game, while allowing 106.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 11-34. Let's have a closer look at recent (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers results.

Recent (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 27, 2015 Washington 98(LAK) Los Angeles928.0192.5
January 25, 2015 Houston 99(LAK) Los Angeles878.5206.0
January 23, 2015 (LAK) Los Angeles 85San Antonio99-13.5199.0
January 21, 2015 (LAK) Los Angeles 80New Orleans96-7.0203.0
January 19, 2015 (LAK) Los Angeles 100Phoenix115-10.5214.5
January 16, 2015 (LAK) Los Angeles 85Utah94-8.0196.5
January 15, 2015 Cleveland 109(LAK) Los Angeles1026.0206.0

This season the (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers have played 23 games on the road, averaging 98.3 points per game, while allowing 107.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 6-17. Let's have a closer look at recent (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers results on the road.

Recent (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 23, 2015 (LAK) Los Angeles 85San Antonio99-13.5199.0
January 21, 2015 (LAK) Los Angeles 80New Orleans96-7.0203.0
January 19, 2015 (LAK) Los Angeles 100Phoenix115-10.5214.5
January 16, 2015 (LAK) Los Angeles 85Utah94-8.0196.5
January 7, 2015 (LAK) Los Angeles 89(LAC) Los Angeles114-10.5214.5

Can the Boston Celtics Cover the Spread?

This season the Boston Celtics have played 44 games, averaging 101.8 points per game, while allowing 103.7 points per game. This has led to a season record of 16-34. Let's have a closer look at recent Boston Celtics results.

Recent Boston Celtics Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 28, 2015 Boston 98Minnesota1103.5202.5
January 26, 2015 Boston 99Utah90-7.0193.5
January 25, 2015 Boston 111Golden St.114-18.0213.0
January 23, 2015 Boston 100Denver99-6.5204.5
January 22, 2015 Boston 90Portland89-7.0203.5
January 19, 2015 Boston 93(LAC) Los Angeles102-12.5213.0
January 16, 2015 Chicago 119Boston1035.0204.0
January 14, 2015 Atlanta 105Boston916.0204.0
January 12, 2015 New Orleans 100Boston1084.5204.5
January 10, 2015 Boston 96Toronto109-11.5208.5

This season the Boston Celtics have played 22 games here at home, averaging 104.0 points per game, while allowing 104.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 9-13. Let's have a closer look at recent Boston Celtics results when playing at home.

Recent Boston Celtics Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 16, 2015 Chicago 119Boston1035.0204.0
January 14, 2015 Atlanta 105Boston916.0204.0
January 12, 2015 New Orleans 100Boston1084.5204.5
January 5, 2015 Charlotte 104Boston95-5.0198.0
January 2, 2015 Dallas 119Boston1015.5215.0
December 31, 2014 Sacramento 84Boston106
December 26, 2014 Brooklyn 109Boston107-2.0201.0
December 19, 2014 Minnesota 98Boston114-5.5212.0
December 17, 2014 Orlando 92Boston109-3.5200.0
December 12, 2014 New York 101Boston95

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