NBA Betting Preview & Picks

(LAK) Los Angeles Lakers vs Boston Celtics

Game Date: Thursday, February 7, 2013 | Game Time: 8:05 PM | Home Line: -1.5 | Total: 194.5

Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com Staff

(LAK) Los Angeles Lakers v Boston Celtics Series Betting Trends

The (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers travel to Boston to play the Celtics at 8:05 PM on Thursday, February 7, 2013. Boston is the favorite in this matchup, laying -1.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 194.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Lakers/Celtics Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
February 20, 2013 Boston 99(LAK) Los Angeles113-7.0193.5
February 7, 2013 (LAK) Los Angeles 95Boston116-1.5194.5
March 11, 2012 Boston 94(LAK) Los Angeles97-6.0179.0
February 9, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 88Boston87-3.5175.5
February 10, 2011 (LAK) Los Angeles 92Boston86-3.0187.5
January 30, 2011 Boston 109(LAK) Los Angeles96-2.5184.0
June 17, 2010 Boston 79(LAK) Los Angeles83-7.0186.0
June 15, 2010 Boston 67(LAK) Los Angeles89-6.5188.0
June 13, 2010 (LAK) Los Angeles 86Boston92-2.5187.5
June 10, 2010 (LAK) Los Angeles 89Boston96-3.5190.0

When looking at the last 43 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 24 games compared to 19 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the (LAK) Los Angeles/Boston series is 99.1 ppg while the vistor has put up 95.3 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3.8 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 43 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 3.8 ppg. That represents a value number of 2.3 when meassured against the offered line of -1.5, suggesting a wager on Boston makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 43 games between the Lakers and the Celtics is 194.4 per game. That creates a differential of 0.10000000000002 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 194.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with (LAK) Los Angeles as the road team and with Boston as the home team.

Recent Results when (LAK) Los Angeles visits Boston

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
February 7, 2013 (LAK) Los Angeles 95Boston116-1.5194.5
February 9, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 88Boston87-3.5175.5
February 10, 2011 (LAK) Los Angeles 92Boston86-3.0187.5
June 13, 2010 (LAK) Los Angeles 86Boston92-2.5187.5
June 10, 2010 (LAK) Los Angeles 89Boston96-3.5190.0
June 8, 2010 (LAK) Los Angeles 91Boston84-2.5192.5
June 8, 2010 (LAK) Los Angeles 91Boston84

When looking at the last 22 games in this series while Boston has been the home team, we can see the Celtics have won 10 games compared to 12 wins for the Lakers. Average points scored per game by Boston in this situation is is 98.3 ppg while (LAK) Los Angeles has put up 95.8 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 2.5 favoring the Celtics.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 2.5 ppg. That represents a value number of 1 when meassured against the offered line of -1.5, suggesting a wager on the Celtics makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 22 games between the Lakers and the Celtics is 194.1 per game. That creates a differential of 0.40000000000001 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 194.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers Cover the Spread?

This season the (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers have played 87 games, averaging 101.2 points per game, while allowing 101.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 45-42. Let's have a closer look at recent (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers results.

Recent (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 28, 2013 San Antonio 103(LAK) Los Angeles8211.0189.5
April 26, 2013 San Antonio 120(LAK) Los Angeles896.0184.5
April 24, 2013 (LAK) Los Angeles 91San Antonio102-9.0188.5
April 21, 2013 (LAK) Los Angeles 79San Antonio91-8.5190.5
April 17, 2013 Houston 95(LAK) Los Angeles99-2.5203.0
April 14, 2013 San Antonio 86(LAK) Los Angeles913.5196.5
April 12, 2013 Golden St. 116(LAK) Los Angeles118-7.0208.5

This season the (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers have played 43 games on the road, averaging 101.0 points per game, while allowing 104.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 16-27. Let's have a closer look at recent (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers results on the road.

Recent (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 24, 2013 (LAK) Los Angeles 91San Antonio102-9.0188.5
April 21, 2013 (LAK) Los Angeles 79San Antonio91-8.5190.5
April 10, 2013 (LAK) Los Angeles 113Portland1066.5201.5
April 7, 2013 (LAK) Los Angeles 95(LAC) Los Angeles109-4.0199.0
March 30, 2013 (LAK) Los Angeles 103Sacramento982.5218.5

Can the Boston Celtics Cover the Spread?

This season the Boston Celtics have played 87 games, averaging 95.5 points per game, while allowing 96.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 43-42. Let's have a closer look at recent Boston Celtics results.

Recent Boston Celtics Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
May 3, 2013 New York 88Boston802.0181.0
May 1, 2013 Boston 92New York86-9.0182.5
April 28, 2013 New York 90Boston972.0180.5
April 26, 2013 New York 90Boston76-2.5184.0
April 23, 2013 Boston 71New York87-6.5185.5
April 20, 2013 Boston 78New York85-7.5189.5
April 17, 2013 Boston 90Toronto114-5.5194.0
April 13, 2013 Boston 120Orlando884.0195.0
April 12, 2013 Boston 101Miami109-12.0195.0
April 10, 2013 Brooklyn 101Boston93-3.5191.0

This season the Boston Celtics have played 43 games here at home, averaging 97.5 points per game, while allowing 93.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 28-15. Let's have a closer look at recent Boston Celtics results when playing at home.

Recent Boston Celtics Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
May 3, 2013 New York 88Boston802.0181.0
April 28, 2013 New York 90Boston972.0180.5
April 26, 2013 New York 90Boston76-2.5184.0
April 10, 2013 Brooklyn 101Boston93-3.5191.0
April 7, 2013 Washington 96Boston107
April 5, 2013 Cleveland 97Boston91-5.5199.5
April 3, 2013 Detroit 93Boston98-7.5196.5
March 29, 2013 Atlanta 107Boston118-3.0194.0
March 26, 2013 New York 100Boston85-2.0192.0
March 18, 2013 Miami 105Boston103

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