NBA Betting Preview & Picks

(LAK) Los Angeles Lakers vs Boston Celtics

Game Date: Thursday, February 7, 2013 | Game Time: 8:05 PM | Home Line: -1.5 | Total: 194.5

by Jay Marriucci

(LAK) Los Angeles Lakers v Boston Celtics Series Betting Trends

The (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers travel to Boston to play the Celtics at 8:05 PM on Thursday, February 7, 2013. Boston is the favorite in this matchup, laying -1.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 194.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Lakers/Celtics Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 5, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 96Boston113-3.5217.5
February 21, 2014 Boston 92(LAK) Los Angeles101-1.5204.5
January 17, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 107Boston104-7.0205.5
February 20, 2013 Boston 99(LAK) Los Angeles113-7.0193.5
February 7, 2013 (LAK) Los Angeles 95Boston116-1.5194.5
March 11, 2012 Boston 94(LAK) Los Angeles97-6.0179.0
February 9, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 88Boston87-3.5175.5
February 10, 2011 (LAK) Los Angeles 92Boston86-3.0187.5
January 30, 2011 Boston 109(LAK) Los Angeles96-2.5184.0
June 17, 2010 Boston 79(LAK) Los Angeles83-7.0186.0

When looking at the last 46 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 26 games compared to 20 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the (LAK) Los Angeles/Boston series is 99.5 ppg while the vistor has put up 95.5 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 4 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 46 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 4 ppg. That represents a value number of 2.5 when meassured against the offered line of -1.5, suggesting a wager on Boston makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 46 games between the Lakers and the Celtics is 195 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 0.5 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 194.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with (LAK) Los Angeles as the road team and with Boston as the home team.

Recent Results when (LAK) Los Angeles visits Boston

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 5, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 96Boston113-3.5217.5
January 17, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 107Boston104-7.0205.5
February 7, 2013 (LAK) Los Angeles 95Boston116-1.5194.5
February 9, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 88Boston87-3.5175.5
February 10, 2011 (LAK) Los Angeles 92Boston86-3.0187.5
June 13, 2010 (LAK) Los Angeles 86Boston92-2.5187.5
June 10, 2010 (LAK) Los Angeles 89Boston96-3.5190.0

When looking at the last 24 games in this series while Boston has been the home team, we can see the Celtics have won 11 games compared to 13 wins for the Lakers. Average points scored per game by Boston in this situation is is 99.1 ppg while (LAK) Los Angeles has put up 96.3 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 2.8 favoring the Celtics.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 2.8 ppg. That represents a value number of 1.3 when meassured against the offered line of -1.5, suggesting a wager on the Celtics makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 24 games between the Lakers and the Celtics is 195.4 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 0.9 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 194.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers Cover the Spread?

This season the (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers have played 26 games, averaging 102.2 points per game, while allowing 109.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 8-18. Let's have a closer look at recent (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers results.

Recent (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 19, 2014 Oklahoma City 104(LAK) Los Angeles1035.5205.0
December 15, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 91Indiana110-5.0198.5
December 14, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 100Minnesota943.0212.5
December 12, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 112San Antonio110
December 9, 2014 Sacramento 95(LAK) Los Angeles98-3.5207.5
December 7, 2014 New Orleans 104(LAK) Los Angeles872.5207.0
December 5, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 96Boston113-3.5217.5

This season the (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers have played 13 games on the road, averaging 101.9 points per game, while allowing 110.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 5-8. Let's have a closer look at recent (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers results on the road.

Recent (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 15, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 91Indiana110-5.0198.5
December 14, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 100Minnesota943.0212.5
December 12, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 112San Antonio110
December 5, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 96Boston113-3.5217.5
December 3, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 95Washington111-8.5208.5

Can the Boston Celtics Cover the Spread?

This season the Boston Celtics have played 24 games, averaging 104.9 points per game, while allowing 104.7 points per game. This has led to a season record of 10-18. Let's have a closer look at recent Boston Celtics results.

Recent Boston Celtics Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 19, 2014 Minnesota 98Boston114-5.5212.0
December 17, 2014 Orlando 92Boston109-3.5200.0
December 15, 2014 Boston 105Philadelphia874.5206.5
December 12, 2014 New York 101Boston95
December 10, 2014 Boston 87Charlotte96-2.5205.0
December 8, 2014 Boston 132Washington133-9.0204.5
December 7, 2014 Washington 93Boston1013.5205.0
December 5, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 96Boston113-3.5217.5
December 3, 2014 Detroit 102Boston109-5.0202.5
December 2, 2014 Boston 105Atlanta109-6.5211.5

This season the Boston Celtics have played 15 games here at home, averaging 105.2 points per game, while allowing 103.9 points per game. This has led to a season record of 7-8. Let's have a closer look at recent Boston Celtics results when playing at home.

Recent Boston Celtics Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 19, 2014 Minnesota 98Boston114-5.5212.0
December 17, 2014 Orlando 92Boston109-3.5200.0
December 12, 2014 New York 101Boston95
December 7, 2014 Washington 93Boston1013.5205.0
December 5, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 96Boston113-3.5217.5
December 3, 2014 Detroit 102Boston109-5.0202.5
November 30, 2014 San Antonio 111Boston897.5204.0
November 28, 2014 Chicago 109Boston1023.5204.5
November 23, 2014 Portland 94Boston885.0209.5
November 17, 2014 Phoenix 118Boston1142.0215.0

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