NBA Betting Preview & Picks

(LAK) Los Angeles Lakers vs Boston Celtics

Game Date: Thursday, February 7, 2013 | Game Time: 8:05 PM | Home Line: -1.5 | Total: 194.5

by Ron McCoy

(LAK) Los Angeles Lakers v Boston Celtics Series Betting Trends

The (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers travel to Boston to play the Celtics at 8:05 PM on Thursday, February 7, 2013. Boston is the favorite in this matchup, laying -1.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 194.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Lakers/Celtics Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
February 21, 2014 Boston 92(LAK) Los Angeles101-1.5204.5
January 17, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 107Boston104-7.0205.5
February 20, 2013 Boston 99(LAK) Los Angeles113-7.0193.5
February 7, 2013 (LAK) Los Angeles 95Boston116-1.5194.5
March 11, 2012 Boston 94(LAK) Los Angeles97-6.0179.0
February 9, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 88Boston87-3.5175.5
February 10, 2011 (LAK) Los Angeles 92Boston86-3.0187.5
January 30, 2011 Boston 109(LAK) Los Angeles96-2.5184.0
June 17, 2010 Boston 79(LAK) Los Angeles83-7.0186.0
June 15, 2010 Boston 67(LAK) Los Angeles89-6.5188.0

When looking at the last 45 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 25 games compared to 20 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the (LAK) Los Angeles/Boston series is 99.2 ppg while the vistor has put up 95.5 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3.7 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 45 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 3.7 ppg. That represents a value number of 2.2 when meassured against the offered line of -1.5, suggesting a wager on Boston makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 45 games between the Lakers and the Celtics is 194.7 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 0.2 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 194.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with (LAK) Los Angeles as the road team and with Boston as the home team.

Recent Results when (LAK) Los Angeles visits Boston

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 17, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 107Boston104-7.0205.5
February 7, 2013 (LAK) Los Angeles 95Boston116-1.5194.5
February 9, 2012 (LAK) Los Angeles 88Boston87-3.5175.5
February 10, 2011 (LAK) Los Angeles 92Boston86-3.0187.5
June 13, 2010 (LAK) Los Angeles 86Boston92-2.5187.5
June 10, 2010 (LAK) Los Angeles 89Boston96-3.5190.0
June 8, 2010 (LAK) Los Angeles 91Boston84

When looking at the last 23 games in this series while Boston has been the home team, we can see the Celtics have won 10 games compared to 13 wins for the Lakers. Average points scored per game by Boston in this situation is is 98.5 ppg while (LAK) Los Angeles has put up 96.3 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 2.2 favoring the Celtics.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 2.2 ppg. That represents a value number of 0.7 when meassured against the offered line of -1.5, suggesting a wager on the Celtics makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 23 games between the Lakers and the Celtics is 194.8 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 0.3 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 194.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers Cover the Spread?

This season the (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers have played 82 games, averaging 103.0 points per game, while allowing 109.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 27-55. Let's have a closer look at recent (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers results.

Recent (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 16, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 113San Antonio100-9.0217.5
April 14, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 119Utah104-5.5213.5
April 13, 2014 Memphis 102(LAK) Los Angeles9012.0209.0
April 11, 2014 Golden St. 112(LAK) Los Angeles9510.0220.0
April 8, 2014 Houston 145(LAK) Los Angeles1309.5
April 6, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 97(LAC) Los Angeles120-16.5225.0
April 4, 2014 Dallas 107(LAK) Los Angeles958.0223.5

This season the (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers have played 41 games on the road, averaging 102.0 points per game, while allowing 110.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 13-28. Let's have a closer look at recent (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers results on the road.

Recent (LAK) Los Angeles Lakers Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 16, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 113San Antonio100-9.0217.5
April 14, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 119Utah104-5.5213.5
April 6, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 97(LAC) Los Angeles120-16.5225.0
April 2, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 102Sacramento107-7.0218.5
March 28, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 107Minnesota143

Can the Boston Celtics Cover the Spread?

This season the Boston Celtics have played 82 games, averaging 96.2 points per game, while allowing 100.7 points per game. This has led to a season record of 25-55. Let's have a closer look at recent Boston Celtics results.

Recent Boston Celtics Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 16, 2014 Washington 118Boston1027.5198.5
April 14, 2014 Boston 108Philadelphia1132.5211.5
April 12, 2014 Boston 111Cleveland99-9.0205.5
April 11, 2014 Charlotte 103Boston1065.0193.0
April 9, 2014 Boston 97Atlanta105-7.5203.5
April 5, 2014 Boston 111Detroit115-6.0207.0
April 4, 2014 Philadelphia 111Boston102-9.5210.0
April 2, 2014 Boston 92Washington118-8.0198.0
March 31, 2014 Boston 80Chicago94-9.5184.0
March 30, 2014 Chicago 107Boston1025.0182.0

This season the Boston Celtics have played 41 games here at home, averaging 96.5 points per game, while allowing 99.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 16-25. Let's have a closer look at recent Boston Celtics results when playing at home.

Recent Boston Celtics Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 16, 2014 Washington 118Boston1027.5198.5
April 11, 2014 Charlotte 103Boston1065.0193.0
April 4, 2014 Philadelphia 111Boston102-9.5210.0
March 30, 2014 Chicago 107Boston1025.0182.0
March 26, 2014 Toronto 99Boston903.0195.0
March 19, 2014 Miami 96Boston1016.5198.5
March 14, 2014 Phoenix 87Boston804.5207.5
March 12, 2014 New York 116Boston923.5199.5
March 9, 2014 Detroit 111Boston118-1.0204.5
March 7, 2014 Brooklyn 84Boston91

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