NCAAB Betting Preview & Picks

Fairfield Stags vs Niagara Purple Eagles

Game Date: Saturday, January 5, 2013 | Game Time: 3:00 PM | Home Line: -1.0 | Total:

Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com Staff

Fairfield Stags v Niagara Purple Eagles Series Betting Trends

The Fairfield Stags travel to Niagara to play the Purple Eagles at 3:00 PM on Saturday, January 5, 2013. Niagara is the favorite in this matchup, laying -1.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under .

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAB sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Stags/Purple Eagles Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 13, 2013 Niagara 67Fairfield64-6.0
January 5, 2013 Fairfield 67Niagara71-1.0
February 3, 2012 Niagara 69Fairfield77-11.5134.5
December 2, 2011 Fairfield 79Niagara757.0126.0
January 23, 2011 Fairfield 57Niagara4912.0127.0
January 3, 2011 Niagara 48Fairfield70-18.5134.0
March 7, 2010 Niagara 63Fairfield69
February 28, 2010 Niagara 74Fairfield80-4.0140.5
January 4, 2010 Fairfield 68Niagara77-6.0142.0
February 14, 2009 Niagara 83Fairfield76

When looking at the last 26 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 16 games compared to 10 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Fairfield/Niagara series is 73.1 ppg while the vistor has put up 70.3 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 2.8 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 26 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 2.8 ppg. That represents a value number of 1.8 when meassured against the offered line of -1.0, suggesting a wager on Niagara makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 26 games between the Stags and the Purple Eagles is 143.4 per game.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Fairfield as the road team and with Niagara as the home team.

Recent Results when Fairfield visits Niagara

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 5, 2013 Fairfield 67Niagara71-1.0
December 2, 2011 Fairfield 79Niagara757.0126.0
January 23, 2011 Fairfield 57Niagara4912.0127.0
January 4, 2010 Fairfield 68Niagara77-6.0142.0
February 8, 2009 Fairfield 50Niagara75
February 3, 2008 Fairfield 76Niagara72
January 9, 2007 Fairfield 76Niagara85

When looking at the last 13 games in this series while Niagara has been the home team, we can see the Purple Eagles have won 9 games compared to 4 wins for the Stags. Average points scored per game by Niagara in this situation is is 74.8 ppg while Fairfield has put up 70.9 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3.9 favoring the Purple Eagles.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 3.9 ppg. That represents a value number of 2.9 when meassured against the offered line of -1.0, suggesting a wager on the Purple Eagles makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 13 games between the Stags and the Purple Eagles is 145.7 per game.

Can the Fairfield Stags Cover the Spread?

This season the Fairfield Stags have played 34 games, averaging 60.5 points per game, while allowing 59.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 18-16. Let's have a closer look at recent Fairfield Stags results.

Recent Fairfield Stags Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 20, 2013 Fairfield 71Kent St.73-4.5126.0
March 10, 2013 Fairfield 42Manhattan602.0
March 9, 2013 Fairfield 43Rider422.0
March 8, 2013 St. Peters 47Fairfield54-8.5
March 3, 2013 Fairfield 60Marist734.5
March 1, 2013 Fairfield 31Manhattan341.0
February 23, 2013 Albany 58Fairfield50-8.0

This season the Fairfield Stags have played 20 games on the road, averaging 59.5 points per game, while allowing 60.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 9-11. Let's have a closer look at recent Fairfield Stags results on the road.

Recent Fairfield Stags Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 20, 2013 Fairfield 71Kent St.73-4.5126.0
March 10, 2013 Fairfield 42Manhattan602.0
March 9, 2013 Fairfield 43Rider422.0
March 3, 2013 Fairfield 60Marist734.5
March 1, 2013 Fairfield 31Manhattan341.0

Can the Niagara Purple Eagles Cover the Spread?

This season the Niagara Purple Eagles have played 29 games, averaging 73.7 points per game, while allowing 72.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 16-16. Let's have a closer look at recent Niagara Purple Eagles results.

Recent Niagara Purple Eagles Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 19, 2013 Niagara 70Maryland86-10.0148.5
March 10, 2013 Iona 79Niagara732.5
March 9, 2013 Siena 62Niagara74-12.0
March 2, 2013 St. Peters 61Niagara78-12.5
February 28, 2013 Rider 68Niagara59-8.5
February 23, 2013 Northwestern St. 76Niagara92-4.0
February 17, 2013 Niagara 60Manhattan56-2.0
February 15, 2013 Niagara 57Marist544.5
February 10, 2013 Canisius 77Niagara70-3.0
February 7, 2013 Niagara 69Rider722.5

This season the Niagara Purple Eagles have played 13 games here at home, averaging 79.1 points per game, while allowing 72.9 points per game. This has led to a season record of 9-4. Let's have a closer look at recent Niagara Purple Eagles results when playing at home.

Recent Niagara Purple Eagles Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 10, 2013 Iona 79Niagara732.5
March 9, 2013 Siena 62Niagara74-12.0
March 2, 2013 St. Peters 61Niagara78-12.5
February 28, 2013 Rider 68Niagara59-8.5
February 23, 2013 Northwestern St. 76Niagara92-4.0
February 10, 2013 Canisius 77Niagara70-3.0
February 2, 2013 Loyola 89Niagara87-3.5
January 31, 2013 Iona 90Niagara93-1.0
January 19, 2013 Manhattan 60Niagara64-9.0
January 17, 2013 Siena 64Niagara87-14.0

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