NCAAB Betting Preview & Picks

Fairfield Stags vs Niagara Purple Eagles

Game Date: Saturday, January 5, 2013 | Game Time: 3:00 PM | Home Line: -1.0 | Total:

by Bill Fishman

Fairfield Stags v Niagara Purple Eagles Series Betting Trends

The Fairfield Stags travel to Niagara to play the Purple Eagles at 3:00 PM on Saturday, January 5, 2013. Niagara is the favorite in this matchup, laying -1.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under .

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAB sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Stags/Purple Eagles Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
February 20, 2014 Fairfield 72Niagara66-6.0
January 16, 2014 Niagara 67Fairfield63-3.5
January 13, 2013 Niagara 67Fairfield64-6.0
January 5, 2013 Fairfield 67Niagara71-1.0
February 3, 2012 Niagara 69Fairfield77-11.5134.5
December 2, 2011 Fairfield 79Niagara757.0126.0
January 23, 2011 Fairfield 57Niagara4912.0127.0
January 3, 2011 Niagara 48Fairfield70-18.5134.0
March 7, 2010 Niagara 63Fairfield69
February 28, 2010 Niagara 74Fairfield80-4.0140.5

When looking at the last 28 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 16 games compared to 12 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Fairfield/Niagara series is 72.5 ppg while the vistor has put up 70.2 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 2.3 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 28 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 2.3 ppg. That represents a value number of 1.3 when meassured against the offered line of -1.0, suggesting a wager on Niagara makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 28 games between the Stags and the Purple Eagles is 142.7 per game.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Fairfield as the road team and with Niagara as the home team.

Recent Results when Fairfield visits Niagara

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
February 20, 2014 Fairfield 72Niagara66-6.0
January 5, 2013 Fairfield 67Niagara71-1.0
December 2, 2011 Fairfield 79Niagara757.0126.0
January 23, 2011 Fairfield 57Niagara4912.0127.0
January 4, 2010 Fairfield 68Niagara77-6.0142.0
February 8, 2009 Fairfield 50Niagara75
February 3, 2008 Fairfield 76Niagara72

When looking at the last 14 games in this series while Niagara has been the home team, we can see the Purple Eagles have won 9 games compared to 5 wins for the Stags. Average points scored per game by Niagara in this situation is is 74.2 ppg while Fairfield has put up 71 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3.2 favoring the Purple Eagles.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 3.2 ppg. That represents a value number of 2.2 when meassured against the offered line of -1.0, suggesting a wager on the Purple Eagles makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 14 games between the Stags and the Purple Eagles is 145.2 per game.

Can the Fairfield Stags Cover the Spread?

This season the Fairfield Stags have played 26 games, averaging 64.0 points per game, while allowing 71.9 points per game. This has led to a season record of 4-22. Let's have a closer look at recent Fairfield Stags results.

Recent Fairfield Stags Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 6, 2014 Fairfield 62St. Peters65-2.5
February 28, 2014 Marist 74Fairfield78-1.0
February 25, 2014 Fairfield 62St. Peters63-4.5
February 22, 2014 Fairfield 78Canisius90-11.0
February 20, 2014 Fairfield 72Niagara66-6.0
February 15, 2014 Rider 71Fairfield621.0
February 13, 2014 Quinnipiac 80Fairfield724.0

This season the Fairfield Stags have played 16 games on the road, averaging 64.1 points per game, while allowing 73.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 1-15. Let's have a closer look at recent Fairfield Stags results on the road.

Recent Fairfield Stags Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 6, 2014 Fairfield 62St. Peters65-2.5
February 25, 2014 Fairfield 62St. Peters63-4.5
February 22, 2014 Fairfield 78Canisius90-11.0
February 20, 2014 Fairfield 72Niagara66-6.0
February 10, 2014 Fairfield 75Siena77-7.5

Can the Niagara Purple Eagles Cover the Spread?

This season the Niagara Purple Eagles have played 33 games, averaging 74.7 points per game, while allowing 81.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 7-22. Let's have a closer look at recent Niagara Purple Eagles results.

Recent Niagara Purple Eagles Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 8, 2014 Niagara 80Quinnipiac89
March 8, 2014 Niagara 80Quinnipiac89-7.5
March 6, 2014 Niagara 78Marist76-4.0
March 2, 2014 Niagara 67St. Peters71-5.5
February 28, 2014 Niagara 50Monmouth75-2.0
February 22, 2014 Quinnipiac 90Niagara884.0
February 20, 2014 Fairfield 72Niagara66-6.0
February 16, 2014 Niagara 72Manhattan90-15.0
February 14, 2014 Canisius 71Niagara654.5159.0
February 9, 2014 Manhattan 78Niagara777.5

This season the Niagara Purple Eagles have played 15 games here at home, averaging 75.9 points per game, while allowing 77.7 points per game. This has led to a season record of 5-10. Let's have a closer look at recent Niagara Purple Eagles results when playing at home.

Recent Niagara Purple Eagles Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
February 22, 2014 Quinnipiac 90Niagara884.0
February 20, 2014 Fairfield 72Niagara66-6.0
February 14, 2014 Canisius 71Niagara654.5159.0
February 9, 2014 Manhattan 78Niagara777.5
February 7, 2014 Iona 90Niagara898.5
January 24, 2014 Marist 74Niagara80-1.5
January 12, 2014 Rider 90Niagara78
January 10, 2014 Monmouth 85Niagara74-6.0
December 29, 2013 Brown 65Niagara68-1.5
December 21, 2013 St.Bonaventure 74Niagara725.5

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