NBA Betting Preview & Picks

Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies

Game Date: Friday, January 4, 2013 | Game Time: 8:05 PM | Home Line: -9.0 | Total: 182.5

by Stat Track

Portland Trail Blazers v Memphis Grizzlies Series Betting Trends

The Portland Trail Blazers travel to Memphis to play the Grizzlies at 8:05 PM on Friday, January 4, 2013. Memphis is the favorite in this matchup, laying -9.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 182.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Trail Blazers/Grizzlies Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 30, 2014 Memphis 98Portland105-2.0189.0
March 11, 2014 Portland 99Memphis109-3.0197.0
January 28, 2014 Memphis 98Portland81-5.0198.0
April 3, 2013 Memphis 94Portland767.5189.0
March 12, 2013 Memphis 102Portland971.5186.5
March 6, 2013 Portland 85Memphis91-7.0185.0
January 4, 2013 Portland 86Memphis84-9.0182.5
April 21, 2012 Portland 89Memphis93-11.5191.5
March 22, 2012 Memphis 93Portland971.0194.5
January 24, 2012 Memphis 84Portland97-6.0187.0

When looking at the last 55 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 28 games compared to 27 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Portland/Memphis series is 94.6 ppg while the vistor has put up 93.1 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1.5 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 55 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 1.5 ppg. That represents a value number of -7.5 when meassured against the offered line of -9.0, suggesting a wager on Portland makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 55 games between the Trail Blazers and the Grizzlies is 187.7 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 5.2 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 182.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Portland as the road team and with Memphis as the home team.

Recent Results when Portland visits Memphis

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 11, 2014 Portland 99Memphis109-3.0197.0
March 6, 2013 Portland 85Memphis91-7.0185.0
January 4, 2013 Portland 86Memphis84-9.0182.5
April 21, 2012 Portland 89Memphis93-11.5191.5
December 13, 2010 Portland 73Memphis86-3.5188.5
November 16, 2010 Portland 100Memphis99-1.0193.0
March 1, 2010 Portland 103Memphis931.5193.0

When looking at the last 27 games in this series while Memphis has been the home team, we can see the Grizzlies have won 12 games compared to 15 wins for the Trail Blazers. Average points scored per game by Memphis in this situation is is 92.6 ppg while Portland has put up 93.7 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1.1 favoring the Trail Blazers.

Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 1.1 ppg. That represents a value number of -7.9 when meassured against the offered line of -9.0, suggesting a wager on the Trail Blazers makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks betting against the number looking at the series situation in the vacuum of this trend.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 27 games between the Trail Blazers and the Grizzlies is 186.3 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 3.8 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 182.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the Portland Trail Blazers Cover the Spread?

This season the Portland Trail Blazers have played 82 games, averaging 106.7 points per game, while allowing 102.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 54-28. Let's have a closer look at recent Portland Trail Blazers results.

Recent Portland Trail Blazers Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 16, 2014 (LAC) Los Angeles 104Portland110-3.5
April 13, 2014 Golden St. 117Portland119-4.5205.0
April 11, 2014 Portland 111Utah999.0198.0
April 9, 2014 Sacramento 99Portland100-13.0200.5
April 6, 2014 New Orleans 94Portland100-9.5205.0
April 4, 2014 Phoenix 109Portland93-4.5212.0
April 1, 2014 Portland 124(LAK) Los Angeles1128.5219.5

This season the Portland Trail Blazers have played 41 games on the road, averaging 105.8 points per game, while allowing 104.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 23-18. Let's have a closer look at recent Portland Trail Blazers results on the road.

Recent Portland Trail Blazers Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 11, 2014 Portland 111Utah999.0198.0
April 1, 2014 Portland 124(LAK) Los Angeles1128.5219.5
March 28, 2014 Portland 91Chicago74
March 27, 2014 Portland 100Atlanta85
March 25, 2014 Portland 85Orlando956.0203.5

Can the Memphis Grizzlies Cover the Spread?

This season the Memphis Grizzlies have played 82 games, averaging 96.1 points per game, while allowing 94.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 50-28. Let's have a closer look at recent Memphis Grizzlies results.

Recent Memphis Grizzlies Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 16, 2014 Dallas 105Memphis106-3.5190.5
April 14, 2014 Memphis 97Phoenix91-3.0194.5
April 13, 2014 Memphis 102(LAK) Los Angeles9012.0209.0
April 11, 2014 Philadelphia 95Memphis117-14.5201.0
April 9, 2014 Miami 102Memphis107-4.5182.0
April 6, 2014 Memphis 92San Antonio112-7.0190.5
April 4, 2014 Denver 92Memphis100-9.0200.5
April 2, 2014 Memphis 88Minnesota1024.5199.0
March 31, 2014 Memphis 94Denver925.0201.5
March 30, 2014 Memphis 98Portland105-2.0189.0

This season the Memphis Grizzlies have played 41 games here at home, averaging 98.7 points per game, while allowing 96.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 27-14. Let's have a closer look at recent Memphis Grizzlies results when playing at home.

Recent Memphis Grizzlies Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 16, 2014 Dallas 105Memphis106-3.5190.5
April 11, 2014 Philadelphia 95Memphis117-14.5201.0
April 9, 2014 Miami 102Memphis107-4.5182.0
April 4, 2014 Denver 92Memphis100-9.0200.5
March 24, 2014 Minnesota 92Memphis109
March 22, 2014 Indiana 71Memphis82-2.5181.0
March 19, 2014 Utah 86Memphis96-11.5188.0
March 11, 2014 Portland 99Memphis109-3.0197.0
March 8, 2014 Charlotte 89Memphis111-9.0186.5
March 1, 2014 Cleveland 96Memphis110-9.0184.0

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