NBA Betting Preview & Picks

Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies

Game Date: Friday, January 4, 2013 | Game Time: 8:05 PM | Home Line: -9.0 | Total: 182.5

by Stat Track

Portland Trail Blazers v Memphis Grizzlies Series Betting Trends

The Portland Trail Blazers travel to Memphis to play the Grizzlies at 8:05 PM on Friday, January 4, 2013. Memphis is the favorite in this matchup, laying -9.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 182.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Trail Blazers/Grizzlies Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 30, 2014 Memphis 98Portland105-2.0189.0
March 11, 2014 Portland 99Memphis109-3.0197.0
January 28, 2014 Memphis 98Portland81-5.0198.0
April 3, 2013 Memphis 94Portland767.5189.0
March 12, 2013 Memphis 102Portland971.5186.5
March 6, 2013 Portland 85Memphis91-7.0185.0
January 4, 2013 Portland 86Memphis84-9.0182.5
April 21, 2012 Portland 89Memphis93-11.5191.5
March 22, 2012 Memphis 93Portland971.0194.5
January 24, 2012 Memphis 84Portland97-6.0187.0

When looking at the last 55 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 28 games compared to 27 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Portland/Memphis series is 94.6 ppg while the vistor has put up 93.1 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1.5 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 55 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 1.5 ppg. That represents a value number of -7.5 when meassured against the offered line of -9.0, suggesting a wager on Portland makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 55 games between the Trail Blazers and the Grizzlies is 187.7 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 5.2 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 182.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Portland as the road team and with Memphis as the home team.

Recent Results when Portland visits Memphis

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 11, 2014 Portland 99Memphis109-3.0197.0
March 6, 2013 Portland 85Memphis91-7.0185.0
January 4, 2013 Portland 86Memphis84-9.0182.5
April 21, 2012 Portland 89Memphis93-11.5191.5
December 13, 2010 Portland 73Memphis86-3.5188.5
November 16, 2010 Portland 100Memphis99-1.0193.0
March 1, 2010 Portland 103Memphis931.5193.0

When looking at the last 27 games in this series while Memphis has been the home team, we can see the Grizzlies have won 12 games compared to 15 wins for the Trail Blazers. Average points scored per game by Memphis in this situation is is 92.6 ppg while Portland has put up 93.7 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1.1 favoring the Trail Blazers.

Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 1.1 ppg. That represents a value number of -7.9 when meassured against the offered line of -9.0, suggesting a wager on the Trail Blazers makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks betting against the number looking at the series situation in the vacuum of this trend.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 27 games between the Trail Blazers and the Grizzlies is 186.3 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 3.8 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 182.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the Portland Trail Blazers Cover the Spread?

This season the Portland Trail Blazers have played 12 games, averaging 104.4 points per game, while allowing 95.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 9-3. Let's have a closer look at recent Portland Trail Blazers results.

Recent Portland Trail Blazers Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 21, 2014 Chicago 87Portland105
November 17, 2014 New Orleans 93Portland102-3.5204.0
November 15, 2014 Brooklyn 87Portland97-2.5204.5
November 12, 2014 Portland 130Denver113-2.5208.5
November 11, 2014 Charlotte 100Portland102-7.0191.5
November 9, 2014 Denver 100Portland116-9.5206.0
November 8, 2014 Portland 102(LAC) Los Angeles106-4.5204.5

This season the Portland Trail Blazers have played 3 games on the road, averaging 108.7 points per game, while allowing 107.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 1-2. Let's have a closer look at recent Portland Trail Blazers results on the road.

Recent Portland Trail Blazers Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 12, 2014 Portland 130Denver113-2.5208.5
November 8, 2014 Portland 102(LAC) Los Angeles106-4.5204.5
October 31, 2014 Portland 94Sacramento1035.5201.0
May 14, 2014 Portland 82San Antonio104-8.5208.5
May 8, 2014 Portland 97San Antonio114-6.5207.5

Can the Memphis Grizzlies Cover the Spread?

This season the Memphis Grizzlies have played 13 games, averaging 99.4 points per game, while allowing 92.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 11-3. Let's have a closer look at recent Memphis Grizzlies results.

Recent Memphis Grizzlies Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 21, 2014 Boston 100Memphis117
November 19, 2014 Memphis 92Toronto96-3.5193.5
November 17, 2014 Houston 93Memphis119-4.0188.5
November 15, 2014 Detroit 88Memphis95-9.5186.0
November 13, 2014 Sacramento 110Memphis111-6.0189.0
November 11, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 102Memphis107-9.5197.5
November 8, 2014 Memphis 92Milwaukee934.5187.0
November 7, 2014 Memphis 91Oklahoma City897.5182.0
November 5, 2014 Memphis 102Phoenix91-1.5192.0
November 3, 2014 New Orleans 81Memphis93-4.0187.5

This season the Memphis Grizzlies have played 7 games here at home, averaging 106.7 points per game, while allowing 96.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 7-0. Let's have a closer look at recent Memphis Grizzlies results when playing at home.

Recent Memphis Grizzlies Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 21, 2014 Boston 100Memphis117
November 17, 2014 Houston 93Memphis119-4.0188.5
November 15, 2014 Detroit 88Memphis95-9.5186.0
November 13, 2014 Sacramento 110Memphis111-6.0189.0
November 11, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 102Memphis107-9.5197.5
November 3, 2014 New Orleans 81Memphis93-4.0187.5
October 29, 2014 Minnesota 101Memphis105-8.0195.5
May 1, 2014 Oklahoma City 104Memphis842.5184.0
April 26, 2014 Oklahoma City 92Memphis893.0188.0
April 24, 2014 Oklahoma City 95Memphis982.0188.5

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