NBA Betting Preview & Picks

Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies

Game Date: Friday, January 4, 2013 | Game Time: 8:05 PM | Home Line: -9.0 | Total: 182.5

by Stat Track

Portland Trail Blazers v Memphis Grizzlies Series Betting Trends

The Portland Trail Blazers travel to Memphis to play the Grizzlies at 8:05 PM on Friday, January 4, 2013. Memphis is the favorite in this matchup, laying -9.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 182.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Trail Blazers/Grizzlies Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 28, 2014 Memphis 112Portland99-3.5194.0
March 30, 2014 Memphis 98Portland105-2.0189.0
March 11, 2014 Portland 99Memphis109-3.0197.0
January 28, 2014 Memphis 98Portland81-5.0198.0
April 3, 2013 Memphis 94Portland767.5189.0
March 12, 2013 Memphis 102Portland971.5186.5
March 6, 2013 Portland 85Memphis91-7.0185.0
January 4, 2013 Portland 86Memphis84-9.0182.5
April 21, 2012 Portland 89Memphis93-11.5191.5
March 22, 2012 Memphis 93Portland971.0194.5

When looking at the last 56 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 28 games compared to 28 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Portland/Memphis series is 94.7 ppg while the vistor has put up 93.4 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1.3 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 56 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 1.3 ppg. That represents a value number of -7.7 when meassured against the offered line of -9.0, suggesting a wager on Portland makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 56 games between the Trail Blazers and the Grizzlies is 188.1 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 5.6 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 182.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Portland as the road team and with Memphis as the home team.

Recent Results when Portland visits Memphis

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 11, 2014 Portland 99Memphis109-3.0197.0
March 6, 2013 Portland 85Memphis91-7.0185.0
January 4, 2013 Portland 86Memphis84-9.0182.5
April 21, 2012 Portland 89Memphis93-11.5191.5
December 13, 2010 Portland 73Memphis86-3.5188.5
November 16, 2010 Portland 100Memphis99-1.0193.0
March 1, 2010 Portland 103Memphis931.5193.0

When looking at the last 27 games in this series while Memphis has been the home team, we can see the Grizzlies have won 12 games compared to 15 wins for the Trail Blazers. Average points scored per game by Memphis in this situation is is 92.6 ppg while Portland has put up 93.7 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1.1 favoring the Trail Blazers.

Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 1.1 ppg. That represents a value number of -7.9 when meassured against the offered line of -9.0, suggesting a wager on the Trail Blazers makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks betting against the number looking at the series situation in the vacuum of this trend.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 27 games between the Trail Blazers and the Grizzlies is 186.3 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 3.8 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 182.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the Portland Trail Blazers Cover the Spread?

This season the Portland Trail Blazers have played 28 games, averaging 103.7 points per game, while allowing 96.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 22-6. Let's have a closer look at recent Portland Trail Blazers results.

Recent Portland Trail Blazers Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 20, 2014 Portland 114New Orleans88-5.5201.5
December 19, 2014 Portland 129San Antonio119-4.5197.0
December 17, 2014 Milwaukee 97Portland104-9.0203.5
December 15, 2014 San Antonio 95Portland108-8.5194.5
December 13, 2014 Portland 95Indiana854.5192.5
December 12, 2014 Portland 106Chicago115-2.0199.5
December 10, 2014 Portland 82Minnesota9011.0206.0

This season the Portland Trail Blazers have played 14 games on the road, averaging 105.1 points per game, while allowing 99.7 points per game. This has led to a season record of 10-4. Let's have a closer look at recent Portland Trail Blazers results on the road.

Recent Portland Trail Blazers Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 20, 2014 Portland 114New Orleans88-5.5201.5
December 19, 2014 Portland 129San Antonio119-4.5197.0
December 13, 2014 Portland 95Indiana854.5192.5
December 12, 2014 Portland 106Chicago115-2.0199.5
December 10, 2014 Portland 82Minnesota9011.0206.0

Can the Memphis Grizzlies Cover the Spread?

This season the Memphis Grizzlies have played 26 games, averaging 102.8 points per game, while allowing 96.7 points per game. This has led to a season record of 21-6. Let's have a closer look at recent Memphis Grizzlies results.

Recent Memphis Grizzlies Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 19, 2014 Chicago 103Memphis97-6.0190.5
December 17, 2014 Memphis 117San Antonio116
December 16, 2014 Golden St. 98Memphis105-2.5203.0
December 13, 2014 Memphis 120Philadelphia11510.0191.5
December 12, 2014 Charlotte 107Memphis113-10.0192.5
December 9, 2014 Dallas 105Memphis114-2.5203.0
December 7, 2014 Miami 87Memphis103-8.0191.5
December 5, 2014 San Antonio 107Memphis101-1.0193.0
December 3, 2014 Memphis 96Houston1054.5191.0
November 30, 2014 Memphis 97Sacramento853.0193.0

This season the Memphis Grizzlies have played 14 games here at home, averaging 106.2 points per game, while allowing 98.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 12-2. Let's have a closer look at recent Memphis Grizzlies results when playing at home.

Recent Memphis Grizzlies Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 19, 2014 Chicago 103Memphis97-6.0190.5
December 16, 2014 Golden St. 98Memphis105-2.5203.0
December 12, 2014 Charlotte 107Memphis113-10.0192.5
December 9, 2014 Dallas 105Memphis114-2.5203.0
December 7, 2014 Miami 87Memphis103-8.0191.5
December 5, 2014 San Antonio 107Memphis101-1.0193.0
November 23, 2014 (LAC) Los Angeles 91Memphis107-2.5198.0
November 21, 2014 Boston 100Memphis117
November 17, 2014 Houston 93Memphis119-4.0188.5
November 15, 2014 Detroit 88Memphis95-9.5186.0

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