NBA Betting Preview & Picks

Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies

Game Date: Friday, January 4, 2013 | Game Time: 8:05 PM | Home Line: -9.0 | Total: 182.5

by Stat Track

Portland Trail Blazers v Memphis Grizzlies Series Betting Trends

The Portland Trail Blazers travel to Memphis to play the Grizzlies at 8:05 PM on Friday, January 4, 2013. Memphis is the favorite in this matchup, laying -9.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 182.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Trail Blazers/Grizzlies Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 17, 2015 Portland 98Memphis102-2.5197.5
November 28, 2014 Memphis 112Portland99-3.5194.0
March 30, 2014 Memphis 98Portland105-2.0189.0
March 11, 2014 Portland 99Memphis109-3.0197.0
January 28, 2014 Memphis 98Portland81-5.0198.0
April 3, 2013 Memphis 94Portland767.5189.0
March 12, 2013 Memphis 102Portland971.5186.5
March 6, 2013 Portland 85Memphis91-7.0185.0
January 4, 2013 Portland 86Memphis84-9.0182.5
April 21, 2012 Portland 89Memphis93-11.5191.5

When looking at the last 57 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 29 games compared to 28 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Portland/Memphis series is 94.8 ppg while the vistor has put up 93.5 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1.3 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 57 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 1.3 ppg. That represents a value number of -7.7 when meassured against the offered line of -9.0, suggesting a wager on Portland makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 57 games between the Trail Blazers and the Grizzlies is 188.3 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 5.8 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 182.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Portland as the road team and with Memphis as the home team.

Recent Results when Portland visits Memphis

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 17, 2015 Portland 98Memphis102-2.5197.5
March 11, 2014 Portland 99Memphis109-3.0197.0
March 6, 2013 Portland 85Memphis91-7.0185.0
January 4, 2013 Portland 86Memphis84-9.0182.5
April 21, 2012 Portland 89Memphis93-11.5191.5
December 13, 2010 Portland 73Memphis86-3.5188.5
November 16, 2010 Portland 100Memphis99-1.0193.0

When looking at the last 28 games in this series while Memphis has been the home team, we can see the Grizzlies have won 13 games compared to 15 wins for the Trail Blazers. Average points scored per game by Memphis in this situation is is 92.9 ppg while Portland has put up 93.8 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 0.9 favoring the Trail Blazers.

Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 0.9 ppg. That represents a value number of -8.1 when meassured against the offered line of -9.0, suggesting a wager on the Trail Blazers makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks betting against the number looking at the series situation in the vacuum of this trend.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 28 games between the Trail Blazers and the Grizzlies is 186.7 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 4.2 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 182.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the Portland Trail Blazers Cover the Spread?

This season the Portland Trail Blazers have played 45 games, averaging 103.0 points per game, while allowing 97.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 32-13. Let's have a closer look at recent Portland Trail Blazers results.

Recent Portland Trail Blazers Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 24, 2015 Washington 96Portland1033.0195.5
January 22, 2015 Boston 90Portland89-7.0203.5
January 21, 2015 Portland 113Phoenix118-7.5211.5
January 19, 2015 Sacramento 94Portland98-9.5206.0
January 17, 2015 Portland 98Memphis102-2.5197.5
January 16, 2015 Portland 96San Antonio110-4.5198.0
January 14, 2015 (LAC) Los Angeles 100Portland94-3.5205.5

This season the Portland Trail Blazers have played 20 games on the road, averaging 104.7 points per game, while allowing 102.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 12-8. Let's have a closer look at recent Portland Trail Blazers results on the road.

Recent Portland Trail Blazers Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 21, 2015 Portland 113Phoenix118-7.5211.5
January 17, 2015 Portland 98Memphis102-2.5197.5
January 16, 2015 Portland 96San Antonio110-4.5198.0
January 11, 2015 Portland 106(LAK) Los Angeles946.0204.5
December 23, 2014 Portland 115Oklahoma City111-5.5200.5

Can the Memphis Grizzlies Cover the Spread?

This season the Memphis Grizzlies have played 43 games, averaging 101.5 points per game, while allowing 97.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 31-13. Let's have a closer look at recent Memphis Grizzlies results.

Recent Memphis Grizzlies Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 24, 2015 Philadelphia 83Memphis101-18.0190.0
January 21, 2015 Toronto 86Memphis92-6.0202.0
January 19, 2015 Dallas 103Memphis95-3.0203.5
January 17, 2015 Portland 98Memphis102-2.5197.5
January 16, 2015 Memphis 106Orlando96
January 14, 2015 Memphis 103Brooklyn926.0192.0
January 11, 2015 Phoenix 110Memphis122-3.5209.0
January 9, 2015 Memphis 95New Orleans106
January 7, 2015 Memphis 86Atlanta96
January 5, 2015 New York 83Memphis105

This season the Memphis Grizzlies have played 23 games here at home, averaging 104.4 points per game, while allowing 97.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 18-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Memphis Grizzlies results when playing at home.

Recent Memphis Grizzlies Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 24, 2015 Philadelphia 83Memphis101-18.0190.0
January 21, 2015 Toronto 86Memphis92-6.0202.0
January 19, 2015 Dallas 103Memphis95-3.0203.5
January 17, 2015 Portland 98Memphis102-2.5197.5
January 11, 2015 Phoenix 110Memphis122-3.5209.0
January 5, 2015 New York 83Memphis105
December 30, 2014 San Antonio 87Memphis95-2.0195.5
December 26, 2014 Houston 117Memphis111-1.5193.0
December 22, 2014 Utah 97Memphis91
December 19, 2014 Chicago 103Memphis97-6.0190.5

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