NBA Betting Preview & Picks

Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies

Game Date: Friday, January 4, 2013 | Game Time: 8:05 PM | Home Line: -9.0 | Total: 182.5

Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com Staff

Portland Trail Blazers v Memphis Grizzlies Series Betting Trends

The Portland Trail Blazers travel to Memphis to play the Grizzlies at 8:05 PM on Friday, January 4, 2013. Memphis is the favorite in this matchup, laying -9.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 182.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Trail Blazers/Grizzlies Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 3, 2013 Memphis 94Portland767.5189.0
March 12, 2013 Memphis 102Portland971.5186.5
March 6, 2013 Portland 85Memphis91-7.0185.0
January 4, 2013 Portland 86Memphis84-9.0182.5
April 21, 2012 Portland 89Memphis93-11.5191.5
March 22, 2012 Memphis 93Portland971.0194.5
January 24, 2012 Memphis 84Portland97-6.0187.0
April 12, 2011 Memphis 89Portland102-5.5189.0
December 13, 2010 Portland 73Memphis86-3.5188.5
November 16, 2010 Portland 100Memphis99-1.0193.0

When looking at the last 52 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 26 games compared to 26 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Portland/Memphis series is 94.4 ppg while the vistor has put up 92.8 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1.6 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 52 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 1.6 ppg. That represents a value number of -7.4 when meassured against the offered line of -9.0, suggesting a wager on Portland makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 52 games between the Trail Blazers and the Grizzlies is 187.2 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 4.7 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 182.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Portland as the road team and with Memphis as the home team.

Recent Results when Portland visits Memphis

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 6, 2013 Portland 85Memphis91-7.0185.0
January 4, 2013 Portland 86Memphis84-9.0182.5
April 21, 2012 Portland 89Memphis93-11.5191.5
December 13, 2010 Portland 73Memphis86-3.5188.5
November 16, 2010 Portland 100Memphis99-1.0193.0
March 1, 2010 Portland 103Memphis931.5193.0
November 10, 2009 Portland 93Memphis795.5203.0

When looking at the last 26 games in this series while Memphis has been the home team, we can see the Grizzlies have won 11 games compared to 15 wins for the Trail Blazers. Average points scored per game by Memphis in this situation is is 91.9 ppg while Portland has put up 93.5 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1.6 favoring the Trail Blazers.

Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 1.6 ppg. That represents a value number of -7.4 when meassured against the offered line of -9.0, suggesting a wager on the Trail Blazers makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks betting against the number looking at the series situation in the vacuum of this trend.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 26 games between the Trail Blazers and the Grizzlies is 185.4 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 2.9 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 182.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the Portland Trail Blazers Cover the Spread?

This season the Portland Trail Blazers have played 81 games, averaging 97.4 points per game, while allowing 100.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 33-48. Let's have a closer look at recent Portland Trail Blazers results.

Recent Portland Trail Blazers Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 17, 2013 Golden St. 99Portland888.5207.5
April 16, 2013 Portland 77(LAC) Los Angeles93-15.5202.5
April 14, 2013 Portland 109Denver118-15.0208.0
April 12, 2013 Oklahoma City 106Portland909.5206.0
April 10, 2013 (LAK) Los Angeles 113Portland1066.5201.5
April 7, 2013 Dallas 96Portland913.5206.5
April 5, 2013 Houston 116Portland986.0209.5

This season the Portland Trail Blazers have played 41 games on the road, averaging 95.8 points per game, while allowing 102.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 11-30. Let's have a closer look at recent Portland Trail Blazers results on the road.

Recent Portland Trail Blazers Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 16, 2013 Portland 77(LAC) Los Angeles93-15.5202.5
April 14, 2013 Portland 109Denver118-15.0208.0
April 1, 2013 Portland 102Utah112-10.5197.5
March 30, 2013 Portland 98Golden St.125-9.5202.5
March 24, 2013 Portland 83Oklahoma City103-11.0207.0

Can the Memphis Grizzlies Cover the Spread?

This season the Memphis Grizzlies have played 94 games, averaging 93.7 points per game, while allowing 89.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 64-48. Let's have a closer look at recent Memphis Grizzlies results.

Recent Memphis Grizzlies Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
May 19, 2013 Memphis 83San Antonio105-5.0182.5
May 15, 2013 Memphis 88Oklahoma City84-4.5185.5
May 13, 2013 Oklahoma City 97Memphis103-4.5184.5
May 11, 2013 Oklahoma City 81Memphis87-5.5187.5
May 7, 2013 Memphis 99Oklahoma City93-2.5186.0
May 5, 2013 Memphis 91Oklahoma City93-3.0186.5
May 3, 2013 (LAC) Los Angeles 105Memphis118-6.0179.5
April 30, 2013 Memphis 103(LAC) Los Angeles93-5.5180.5
April 27, 2013 (LAC) Los Angeles 83Memphis104-3.5177.0
April 25, 2013 (LAC) Los Angeles 82Memphis94-4.5179.5

This season the Memphis Grizzlies have played 46 games here at home, averaging 94.1 points per game, while allowing 87.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 37-9. Let's have a closer look at recent Memphis Grizzlies results when playing at home.

Recent Memphis Grizzlies Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
May 13, 2013 Oklahoma City 97Memphis103-4.5184.5
May 11, 2013 Oklahoma City 81Memphis87-5.5187.5
May 3, 2013 (LAC) Los Angeles 105Memphis118-6.0179.5
April 27, 2013 (LAC) Los Angeles 83Memphis104-3.5177.0
April 25, 2013 (LAC) Los Angeles 82Memphis94-4.5179.5
April 17, 2013 Utah 70Memphis86-4.5180.0
April 13, 2013 (LAC) Los Angeles 91Memphis87-3.0181.5
April 9, 2013 Charlotte 75Memphis94-13.5183.0
April 1, 2013 San Antonio 90Memphis92-6.5188.5
March 29, 2013 Houston 94Memphis103-4.5195.0

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