NBA Betting Preview & Picks

Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets

Game Date: Monday, December 31, 2012 | Game Time: 7:05 PM | Home Line: -4.5 | Total: 206.5

by Max Prophet

Atlanta Hawks v Houston Rockets Series Betting Trends

The Atlanta Hawks travel to Houston to play the Rockets at 7:05 PM on Monday, December 31, 2012. Houston is the favorite in this matchup, laying -4.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 206.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Hawks/Rockets Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 10, 2014 Houston 80Atlanta83
November 27, 2013 Atlanta 84Houston113-9.0206.5
December 31, 2012 Atlanta 104Houston123-4.5206.5
November 2, 2012 Houston 109Atlanta102-5.5203.0
December 31, 2011 Atlanta 84Houston95-1.0192.5
April 3, 2011 Atlanta 109Houston114-6.0200.5
January 15, 2011 Houston 112Atlanta106-8.0204.0
January 25, 2010 Atlanta 102Houston95-1.0197.5
November 20, 2009 Houston 103Atlanta105-7.0203.0
January 3, 2009 Houston 100Atlanta103

When looking at the last 30 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 24 games compared to 6 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Atlanta/Houston series is 100.1 ppg while the vistor has put up 91.9 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 8.2 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 30 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 8.2 ppg. That represents a value number of 3.7 when meassured against the offered line of -4.5, suggesting a wager on Houston makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 30 games between the Hawks and the Rockets is 192 per game. That creates a differential of 14.5 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 206.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Atlanta as the road team and with Houston as the home team.

Recent Results when Atlanta visits Houston

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 27, 2013 Atlanta 84Houston113-9.0206.5
December 31, 2012 Atlanta 104Houston123-4.5206.5
December 31, 2011 Atlanta 84Houston95-1.0192.5
April 3, 2011 Atlanta 109Houston114-6.0200.5
January 25, 2010 Atlanta 102Houston95-1.0197.5
December 9, 2008 Atlanta 84Houston92
February 9, 2008 Atlanta 89Houston108

When looking at the last 16 games in this series while Houston has been the home team, we can see the Rockets have won 15 games compared to 1 wins for the Hawks. Average points scored per game by Houston in this situation is is 104.4 ppg while Atlanta has put up 90.5 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 13.9 favoring the Rockets.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 13.9 ppg. That represents a value number of 9.4 when meassured against the offered line of -4.5, suggesting a wager on the Rockets makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 16 games between the Hawks and the Rockets is 194.9 per game. That creates a differential of 11.6 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 206.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the Atlanta Hawks Cover the Spread?

This season the Atlanta Hawks have played 90 games, averaging 100.5 points per game, while allowing 100.9 points per game. This has led to a season record of 42-48. Let's have a closer look at recent Atlanta Hawks results.

Recent Atlanta Hawks Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
May 3, 2014 Atlanta 80Indiana92-6.5185.0
May 1, 2014 Indiana 95Atlanta881.0186.5
April 28, 2014 Atlanta 107Indiana97-7.0186.5
April 26, 2014 Indiana 91Atlanta882.0186.5
April 24, 2014 Indiana 85Atlanta982.5186.5
April 22, 2014 Atlanta 85Indiana101-7.5186.5
April 19, 2014 Atlanta 101Indiana93-7.5185.5

This season the Atlanta Hawks have played 45 games on the road, averaging 100.4 points per game, while allowing 103.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 16-29. Let's have a closer look at recent Atlanta Hawks results on the road.

Recent Atlanta Hawks Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
May 3, 2014 Atlanta 80Indiana92-6.5185.0
April 28, 2014 Atlanta 107Indiana97-7.0186.5
April 22, 2014 Atlanta 85Indiana101-7.5186.5
April 19, 2014 Atlanta 101Indiana93-7.5185.5
April 16, 2014 Atlanta 111Milwaukee103-3.5205.0

Can the Houston Rockets Cover the Spread?

This season the Houston Rockets have played 89 games, averaging 107.9 points per game, while allowing 103.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 56-48. Let's have a closer look at recent Houston Rockets results.

Recent Houston Rockets Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
May 2, 2014 Houston 98Portland99-4.0212.0
May 2, 2014 Houston 98Portland99
April 30, 2014 Portland 98Houston108-4.5214.5
April 27, 2014 Houston 120Portland123-3.0214.0
April 25, 2014 Houston 121Portland116-3.0215.5
April 23, 2014 Portland 112Houston105-6.5215.0
April 20, 2014 Portland 122Houston120-5.5215.5
April 16, 2014 Houston 100New Orleans105-3.5209.5
April 14, 2014 San Antonio 98Houston104-5.0212.0
April 12, 2014 New Orleans 104Houston111-15.0212.5

This season the Houston Rockets have played 44 games here at home, averaging 109.4 points per game, while allowing 100.9 points per game. This has led to a season record of 34-10. Let's have a closer look at recent Houston Rockets results when playing at home.

Recent Houston Rockets Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 30, 2014 Portland 98Houston108-4.5214.5
April 23, 2014 Portland 112Houston105-6.5215.0
April 20, 2014 Portland 122Houston120-5.5215.5
April 14, 2014 San Antonio 98Houston104-5.0212.0
April 12, 2014 New Orleans 104Houston111-15.0212.5
April 6, 2014 Denver 125Houston130-10.5222.0
April 4, 2014 Oklahoma City 107Houston111-2.5212.5
March 29, 2014 (LAC) Los Angeles 118Houston107-1.5215.5
March 27, 2014 Philadelphia 98Houston120-20.5215.0
March 20, 2014 Minnesota 106Houston129-7.5215.5

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