NBA Betting Preview & Picks

Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets

Game Date: Monday, December 31, 2012 | Game Time: 7:05 PM | Home Line: -4.5 | Total: 206.5

by Steve Miller

Atlanta Hawks v Houston Rockets Series Betting Trends

The Atlanta Hawks travel to Houston to play the Rockets at 7:05 PM on Monday, December 31, 2012. Houston is the favorite in this matchup, laying -4.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 206.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Hawks/Rockets Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 20, 2014 Atlanta 104Houston97-5.0198.0
January 10, 2014 Houston 80Atlanta83
November 27, 2013 Atlanta 84Houston113-9.0206.5
December 31, 2012 Atlanta 104Houston123-4.5206.5
November 2, 2012 Houston 109Atlanta102-5.5203.0
December 31, 2011 Atlanta 84Houston95-1.0192.5
April 3, 2011 Atlanta 109Houston114-6.0200.5
January 15, 2011 Houston 112Atlanta106-8.0204.0
January 25, 2010 Atlanta 102Houston95-1.0197.5
November 20, 2009 Houston 103Atlanta105-7.0203.0

When looking at the last 31 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 24 games compared to 7 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Atlanta/Houston series is 100 ppg while the vistor has put up 92.3 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 7.7 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 31 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 7.7 ppg. That represents a value number of 3.2 when meassured against the offered line of -4.5, suggesting a wager on Houston makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 31 games between the Hawks and the Rockets is 192.3 per game. That creates a differential of 14.2 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 206.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Atlanta as the road team and with Houston as the home team.

Recent Results when Atlanta visits Houston

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 20, 2014 Atlanta 104Houston97-5.0198.0
November 27, 2013 Atlanta 84Houston113-9.0206.5
December 31, 2012 Atlanta 104Houston123-4.5206.5
December 31, 2011 Atlanta 84Houston95-1.0192.5
April 3, 2011 Atlanta 109Houston114-6.0200.5
January 25, 2010 Atlanta 102Houston95-1.0197.5
December 9, 2008 Atlanta 84Houston92

When looking at the last 17 games in this series while Houston has been the home team, we can see the Rockets have won 15 games compared to 2 wins for the Hawks. Average points scored per game by Houston in this situation is is 104 ppg while Atlanta has put up 91.3 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 12.7 favoring the Rockets.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 12.7 ppg. That represents a value number of 8.2 when meassured against the offered line of -4.5, suggesting a wager on the Rockets makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 17 games between the Hawks and the Rockets is 195.3 per game. That creates a differential of 11.2 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 206.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the Atlanta Hawks Cover the Spread?

This season the Atlanta Hawks have played 46 games, averaging 103.6 points per game, while allowing 96.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 38-8. Let's have a closer look at recent Atlanta Hawks results.

Recent Atlanta Hawks Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 28, 2015 Brooklyn 102Atlanta113-13.5194.0
January 25, 2015 Minnesota 100Atlanta112-17.5200.5
January 23, 2015 Oklahoma City 93Atlanta103-3.5206.5
January 21, 2015 Indiana 91Atlanta110-10.5193.5
January 19, 2015 Detroit 82Atlanta93-8.0203.5
January 17, 2015 Atlanta 107Chicago993.0201.0
January 16, 2015 Atlanta 110Toronto89-1.5206.0

This season the Atlanta Hawks have played 22 games on the road, averaging 104.5 points per game, while allowing 98.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 17-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Atlanta Hawks results on the road.

Recent Atlanta Hawks Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 17, 2015 Atlanta 107Chicago993.0201.0
January 16, 2015 Atlanta 110Toronto89-1.5206.0
January 14, 2015 Atlanta 105Boston916.0204.0
January 13, 2015 Atlanta 105Philadelphia8711.0195.5
January 9, 2015 Atlanta 106Detroit1032.5202.5

Can the Houston Rockets Cover the Spread?

This season the Houston Rockets have played 46 games, averaging 102.9 points per game, while allowing 98.9 points per game. This has led to a season record of 32-8. Let's have a closer look at recent Houston Rockets results.

Recent Houston Rockets Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 28, 2015 Dallas 94Houston99
January 25, 2015 Houston 99(LAK) Los Angeles878.5206.0
January 23, 2015 Houston 113Phoenix111-2.5220.5
January 21, 2015 Houston 113Golden St.126-7.5218.0
January 19, 2015 Indiana 98Houston110-10.0195.5
January 17, 2015 Golden St. 131Houston106-2.5214.5
January 15, 2015 Oklahoma City 101Houston1122.5208.5
January 14, 2015 Houston 113Orlando120
January 12, 2015 Houston 113Brooklyn996.0193.5
January 10, 2015 Utah 82Houston97-11.5196.0

This season the Houston Rockets have played 23 games here at home, averaging 99.8 points per game, while allowing 94.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 16-7. Let's have a closer look at recent Houston Rockets results when playing at home.

Recent Houston Rockets Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 28, 2015 Dallas 94Houston99
January 19, 2015 Indiana 98Houston110-10.0195.5
January 17, 2015 Golden St. 131Houston106-2.5214.5
January 15, 2015 Oklahoma City 101Houston1122.5208.5
January 10, 2015 Utah 82Houston97-11.5196.0
January 3, 2015 Miami 79Houston115-6.5198.0
December 31, 2014 Charlotte 83Houston102-12.0197.0
December 29, 2014 Washington 104Houston103-4.5197.0
December 22, 2014 Portland 95Houston110-3.5198.0
December 20, 2014 Atlanta 104Houston97-5.0198.0

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