The Atlanta Hawks travel to Houston to play the Rockets at 7:05 PM on Monday, December 31, 2012. Houston is the favorite in this matchup, laying -4.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 206.5.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2012 | Atlanta | 104 | Houston | 123 | -4.5 | 206.5 |
| November 2, 2012 | Houston | 109 | Atlanta | 102 | -5.5 | 203.0 |
| December 31, 2011 | Atlanta | 84 | Houston | 95 | -1.0 | 192.5 |
| April 3, 2011 | Atlanta | 109 | Houston | 114 | -6.0 | 200.5 |
| January 15, 2011 | Houston | 112 | Atlanta | 106 | -8.0 | 204.0 |
| January 25, 2010 | Atlanta | 102 | Houston | 95 | -1.0 | 197.5 |
| November 20, 2009 | Houston | 103 | Atlanta | 105 | -7.0 | 203.0 |
| January 3, 2009 | Houston | 100 | Atlanta | 103 | ||
| December 9, 2008 | Atlanta | 84 | Houston | 92 | ||
| March 12, 2008 | Houston | 83 | Atlanta | 75 |
When looking at the last 28 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 22 games compared to 6 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Atlanta/Houston series is 100.2 ppg while the vistor has put up 92.6 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 7.6 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 28 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 7.6 ppg. That represents a value number of 3.1 when meassured against the offered line of -4.5, suggesting a wager on Houston makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 28 games between the Hawks and the Rockets is 192.8 per game. That creates a differential of 13.7 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 206.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Atlanta as the road team and with Houston as the home team.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2012 | Atlanta | 104 | Houston | 123 | -4.5 | 206.5 |
| December 31, 2011 | Atlanta | 84 | Houston | 95 | -1.0 | 192.5 |
| April 3, 2011 | Atlanta | 109 | Houston | 114 | -6.0 | 200.5 |
| January 25, 2010 | Atlanta | 102 | Houston | 95 | -1.0 | 197.5 |
| December 9, 2008 | Atlanta | 84 | Houston | 92 | ||
| February 9, 2008 | Atlanta | 89 | Houston | 108 | ||
| December 29, 2006 | Atlanta | 68 | Houston | 94 |
When looking at the last 15 games in this series while Houston has been the home team, we can see the Rockets have won 14 games compared to 1 wins for the Hawks. Average points scored per game by Houston in this situation is is 103.9 ppg while Atlanta has put up 90.9 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 13 favoring the Rockets.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 13 ppg. That represents a value number of 8.5 when meassured against the offered line of -4.5, suggesting a wager on the Rockets makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 15 games between the Hawks and the Rockets is 194.8 per game. That creates a differential of 11.7 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 206.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
This season the Atlanta Hawks have played 88 games, averaging 97.4 points per game, while allowing 97.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 46-42. Let's have a closer look at recent Atlanta Hawks results.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2013 | Indiana | 81 | Atlanta | 73 | -2.0 | 187.5 |
| May 1, 2013 | Atlanta | 83 | Indiana | 106 | -7.0 | 187.5 |
| April 29, 2013 | Indiana | 91 | Atlanta | 102 | -1.5 | 187.5 |
| April 27, 2013 | Indiana | 69 | Atlanta | 90 | -2.5 | 190.5 |
| April 24, 2013 | Atlanta | 98 | Indiana | 113 | -7.5 | 187.0 |
| April 21, 2013 | Atlanta | 90 | Indiana | 107 | -6.5 | 185.5 |
| April 17, 2013 | Atlanta | 92 | New York | 98 | -4.5 | 193.0 |
This season the Atlanta Hawks have played 44 games on the road, averaging 96.1 points per game, while allowing 97.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 19-25. Let's have a closer look at recent Atlanta Hawks results on the road.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2013 | Atlanta | 83 | Indiana | 106 | -7.0 | 187.5 |
| April 24, 2013 | Atlanta | 98 | Indiana | 113 | -7.5 | 187.0 |
| April 21, 2013 | Atlanta | 90 | Indiana | 107 | -6.5 | 185.5 |
| April 17, 2013 | Atlanta | 92 | New York | 98 | -4.5 | 193.0 |
| April 10, 2013 | Atlanta | 124 | Philadelphia | 101 | 3.5 | 192.0 |
This season the Houston Rockets have played 88 games, averaging 105.5 points per game, while allowing 102.7 points per game. This has led to a season record of 47-42. Let's have a closer look at recent Houston Rockets results.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2013 | Oklahoma City | 103 | Houston | 94 | 1.0 | 206.5 |
| May 1, 2013 | Houston | 107 | Oklahoma City | 100 | -9.0 | 208.0 |
| April 29, 2013 | Oklahoma City | 103 | Houston | 105 | 1.0 | 206.5 |
| April 27, 2013 | Oklahoma City | 104 | Houston | 101 | 1.0 | 207.0 |
| April 24, 2013 | Houston | 102 | Oklahoma City | 105 | -11.5 | 212.5 |
| April 21, 2013 | Houston | 91 | Oklahoma City | 120 | -10.5 | 212.5 |
| April 17, 2013 | Houston | 95 | (LAK) Los Angeles | 99 | -2.5 | 203.0 |
| April 15, 2013 | Houston | 112 | Phoenix | 119 | 7.0 | 210.0 |
| April 14, 2013 | Sacramento | 100 | Houston | 121 | -10.5 | 218.0 |
| April 12, 2013 | Memphis | 82 | Houston | 78 | -2.5 | 195.0 |
This season the Houston Rockets have played 44 games here at home, averaging 107.8 points per game, while allowing 101.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 30-14. Let's have a closer look at recent Houston Rockets results when playing at home.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2013 | Oklahoma City | 103 | Houston | 94 | 1.0 | 206.5 |
| April 29, 2013 | Oklahoma City | 103 | Houston | 105 | 1.0 | 206.5 |
| April 27, 2013 | Oklahoma City | 104 | Houston | 101 | 1.0 | 207.0 |
| April 14, 2013 | Sacramento | 100 | Houston | 121 | -10.5 | 218.0 |
| April 12, 2013 | Memphis | 82 | Houston | 78 | -2.5 | 195.0 |
| April 9, 2013 | Phoenix | 98 | Houston | 101 | -14.5 | 213.5 |
| April 1, 2013 | Orlando | 103 | Houston | 111 | ||
| March 30, 2013 | (LAC) Los Angeles | 81 | Houston | 98 | -1.0 | 205.0 |
| March 27, 2013 | Indiana | 100 | Houston | 91 | -5.5 | 196.5 |
| March 24, 2013 | San Antonio | 95 | Houston | 96 | 1.5 | 212.5 |