NBA Betting Preview & Picks

Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets

Game Date: Monday, December 31, 2012 | Game Time: 7:05 PM | Home Line: -4.5 | Total: 206.5

Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com Staff

Atlanta Hawks v Houston Rockets Series Betting Trends

The Atlanta Hawks travel to Houston to play the Rockets at 7:05 PM on Monday, December 31, 2012. Houston is the favorite in this matchup, laying -4.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 206.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Hawks/Rockets Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 31, 2012 Atlanta 104Houston123-4.5206.5
November 2, 2012 Houston 109Atlanta102-5.5203.0
December 31, 2011 Atlanta 84Houston95-1.0192.5
April 3, 2011 Atlanta 109Houston114-6.0200.5
January 15, 2011 Houston 112Atlanta106-8.0204.0
January 25, 2010 Atlanta 102Houston95-1.0197.5
November 20, 2009 Houston 103Atlanta105-7.0203.0
January 3, 2009 Houston 100Atlanta103
December 9, 2008 Atlanta 84Houston92
March 12, 2008 Houston 83Atlanta75

When looking at the last 28 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 22 games compared to 6 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Atlanta/Houston series is 100.2 ppg while the vistor has put up 92.6 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 7.6 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 28 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 7.6 ppg. That represents a value number of 3.1 when meassured against the offered line of -4.5, suggesting a wager on Houston makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 28 games between the Hawks and the Rockets is 192.8 per game. That creates a differential of 13.7 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 206.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Atlanta as the road team and with Houston as the home team.

Recent Results when Atlanta visits Houston

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 31, 2012 Atlanta 104Houston123-4.5206.5
December 31, 2011 Atlanta 84Houston95-1.0192.5
April 3, 2011 Atlanta 109Houston114-6.0200.5
January 25, 2010 Atlanta 102Houston95-1.0197.5
December 9, 2008 Atlanta 84Houston92
February 9, 2008 Atlanta 89Houston108
December 29, 2006 Atlanta 68Houston94

When looking at the last 15 games in this series while Houston has been the home team, we can see the Rockets have won 14 games compared to 1 wins for the Hawks. Average points scored per game by Houston in this situation is is 103.9 ppg while Atlanta has put up 90.9 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 13 favoring the Rockets.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 13 ppg. That represents a value number of 8.5 when meassured against the offered line of -4.5, suggesting a wager on the Rockets makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 15 games between the Hawks and the Rockets is 194.8 per game. That creates a differential of 11.7 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 206.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the Atlanta Hawks Cover the Spread?

This season the Atlanta Hawks have played 88 games, averaging 97.4 points per game, while allowing 97.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 46-42. Let's have a closer look at recent Atlanta Hawks results.

Recent Atlanta Hawks Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
May 3, 2013 Indiana 81Atlanta73-2.0187.5
May 1, 2013 Atlanta 83Indiana106-7.0187.5
April 29, 2013 Indiana 91Atlanta102-1.5187.5
April 27, 2013 Indiana 69Atlanta90-2.5190.5
April 24, 2013 Atlanta 98Indiana113-7.5187.0
April 21, 2013 Atlanta 90Indiana107-6.5185.5
April 17, 2013 Atlanta 92New York98-4.5193.0

This season the Atlanta Hawks have played 44 games on the road, averaging 96.1 points per game, while allowing 97.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 19-25. Let's have a closer look at recent Atlanta Hawks results on the road.

Recent Atlanta Hawks Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
May 1, 2013 Atlanta 83Indiana106-7.0187.5
April 24, 2013 Atlanta 98Indiana113-7.5187.0
April 21, 2013 Atlanta 90Indiana107-6.5185.5
April 17, 2013 Atlanta 92New York98-4.5193.0
April 10, 2013 Atlanta 124Philadelphia1013.5192.0

Can the Houston Rockets Cover the Spread?

This season the Houston Rockets have played 88 games, averaging 105.5 points per game, while allowing 102.7 points per game. This has led to a season record of 47-42. Let's have a closer look at recent Houston Rockets results.

Recent Houston Rockets Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
May 3, 2013 Oklahoma City 103Houston941.0206.5
May 1, 2013 Houston 107Oklahoma City100-9.0208.0
April 29, 2013 Oklahoma City 103Houston1051.0206.5
April 27, 2013 Oklahoma City 104Houston1011.0207.0
April 24, 2013 Houston 102Oklahoma City105-11.5212.5
April 21, 2013 Houston 91Oklahoma City120-10.5212.5
April 17, 2013 Houston 95(LAK) Los Angeles99-2.5203.0
April 15, 2013 Houston 112Phoenix1197.0210.0
April 14, 2013 Sacramento 100Houston121-10.5218.0
April 12, 2013 Memphis 82Houston78-2.5195.0

This season the Houston Rockets have played 44 games here at home, averaging 107.8 points per game, while allowing 101.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 30-14. Let's have a closer look at recent Houston Rockets results when playing at home.

Recent Houston Rockets Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
May 3, 2013 Oklahoma City 103Houston941.0206.5
April 29, 2013 Oklahoma City 103Houston1051.0206.5
April 27, 2013 Oklahoma City 104Houston1011.0207.0
April 14, 2013 Sacramento 100Houston121-10.5218.0
April 12, 2013 Memphis 82Houston78-2.5195.0
April 9, 2013 Phoenix 98Houston101-14.5213.5
April 1, 2013 Orlando 103Houston111
March 30, 2013 (LAC) Los Angeles 81Houston98-1.0205.0
March 27, 2013 Indiana 100Houston91-5.5196.5
March 24, 2013 San Antonio 95Houston961.5212.5

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