NBA Betting Preview & Picks

Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets

Game Date: Monday, December 31, 2012 | Game Time: 7:05 PM | Home Line: -4.5 | Total: 206.5

by Max Prophet

Atlanta Hawks v Houston Rockets Series Betting Trends

The Atlanta Hawks travel to Houston to play the Rockets at 7:05 PM on Monday, December 31, 2012. Houston is the favorite in this matchup, laying -4.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 206.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Hawks/Rockets Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 10, 2014 Houston 80Atlanta83
November 27, 2013 Atlanta 84Houston113-9.0206.5
December 31, 2012 Atlanta 104Houston123-4.5206.5
November 2, 2012 Houston 109Atlanta102-5.5203.0
December 31, 2011 Atlanta 84Houston95-1.0192.5
April 3, 2011 Atlanta 109Houston114-6.0200.5
January 15, 2011 Houston 112Atlanta106-8.0204.0
January 25, 2010 Atlanta 102Houston95-1.0197.5
November 20, 2009 Houston 103Atlanta105-7.0203.0
January 3, 2009 Houston 100Atlanta103

When looking at the last 30 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 24 games compared to 6 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Atlanta/Houston series is 100.1 ppg while the vistor has put up 91.9 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 8.2 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 30 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 8.2 ppg. That represents a value number of 3.7 when meassured against the offered line of -4.5, suggesting a wager on Houston makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 30 games between the Hawks and the Rockets is 192 per game. That creates a differential of 14.5 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 206.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Atlanta as the road team and with Houston as the home team.

Recent Results when Atlanta visits Houston

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 27, 2013 Atlanta 84Houston113-9.0206.5
December 31, 2012 Atlanta 104Houston123-4.5206.5
December 31, 2011 Atlanta 84Houston95-1.0192.5
April 3, 2011 Atlanta 109Houston114-6.0200.5
January 25, 2010 Atlanta 102Houston95-1.0197.5
December 9, 2008 Atlanta 84Houston92
February 9, 2008 Atlanta 89Houston108

When looking at the last 16 games in this series while Houston has been the home team, we can see the Rockets have won 15 games compared to 1 wins for the Hawks. Average points scored per game by Houston in this situation is is 104.4 ppg while Atlanta has put up 90.5 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 13.9 favoring the Rockets.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 13.9 ppg. That represents a value number of 9.4 when meassured against the offered line of -4.5, suggesting a wager on the Rockets makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 16 games between the Hawks and the Rockets is 194.9 per game. That creates a differential of 11.6 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 206.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the Atlanta Hawks Cover the Spread?

This season the Atlanta Hawks have played 11 games, averaging 102.3 points per game, while allowing 102.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 6-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Atlanta Hawks results.

Recent Atlanta Hawks Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 21, 2014 Detroit 89Atlanta99-6.5196.0
November 18, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 114Atlanta109-9.5214.0
November 15, 2014 Atlanta 94Cleveland127-7.0208.5
November 14, 2014 Miami 103Atlanta114-5.0193.0
November 12, 2014 Utah 97Atlanta100-7.0197.0
November 10, 2014 Atlanta 91New York851.5196.5
November 8, 2014 New York 96Atlanta103-6.5194.5

This season the Atlanta Hawks have played 5 games on the road, averaging 99.6 points per game, while allowing 107.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 1-4. Let's have a closer look at recent Atlanta Hawks results on the road.

Recent Atlanta Hawks Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 15, 2014 Atlanta 94Cleveland127-7.0208.5
November 10, 2014 Atlanta 91New York851.5196.5
November 7, 2014 Atlanta 119Charlotte122-1.5194.0
November 5, 2014 Atlanta 92San Antonio94-8.0201.5
October 29, 2014 Atlanta 102Toronto109-4.5201.5

Can the Houston Rockets Cover the Spread?

This season the Houston Rockets have played 12 games, averaging 97.3 points per game, while allowing 92.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 9-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Houston Rockets results.

Recent Houston Rockets Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 19, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 98Houston92-11.5208.5
November 17, 2014 Houston 93Memphis119-4.0188.5
November 16, 2014 Houston 69Oklahoma City655.0192.0
November 14, 2014 Philadelphia 87Houston88-17.0204.5
November 12, 2014 Houston 113Minnesota1016.5205.5
November 8, 2014 Golden St. 98Houston87-1.0208.5
November 6, 2014 San Antonio 81Houston98-6.5196.5
November 4, 2014 Houston 108Miami91-1.5202.0
November 3, 2014 Houston 104Philadelphia9310.5202.0
November 1, 2014 Boston 90Houston104-8.0209.0

This season the Houston Rockets have played 5 games here at home, averaging 93.8 points per game, while allowing 90.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 3-2. Let's have a closer look at recent Houston Rockets results when playing at home.

Recent Houston Rockets Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 19, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 98Houston92-11.5208.5
November 14, 2014 Philadelphia 87Houston88-17.0204.5
November 8, 2014 Golden St. 98Houston87-1.0208.5
November 6, 2014 San Antonio 81Houston98-6.5196.5
November 1, 2014 Boston 90Houston104-8.0209.0
April 30, 2014 Portland 98Houston108-4.5214.5
April 23, 2014 Portland 112Houston105-6.5215.0
April 20, 2014 Portland 122Houston120-5.5215.5
April 14, 2014 San Antonio 98Houston104-5.0212.0
April 12, 2014 New Orleans 104Houston111-15.0212.5

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