NBA Betting Preview & Picks

Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets

Game Date: Monday, December 31, 2012 | Game Time: 7:05 PM | Home Line: -4.5 | Total: 206.5

by Max Prophet

Atlanta Hawks v Houston Rockets Series Betting Trends

The Atlanta Hawks travel to Houston to play the Rockets at 7:05 PM on Monday, December 31, 2012. Houston is the favorite in this matchup, laying -4.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 206.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Hawks/Rockets Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 20, 2014 Atlanta 104Houston97-5.0198.0
January 10, 2014 Houston 80Atlanta83
November 27, 2013 Atlanta 84Houston113-9.0206.5
December 31, 2012 Atlanta 104Houston123-4.5206.5
November 2, 2012 Houston 109Atlanta102-5.5203.0
December 31, 2011 Atlanta 84Houston95-1.0192.5
April 3, 2011 Atlanta 109Houston114-6.0200.5
January 15, 2011 Houston 112Atlanta106-8.0204.0
January 25, 2010 Atlanta 102Houston95-1.0197.5
November 20, 2009 Houston 103Atlanta105-7.0203.0

When looking at the last 31 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 24 games compared to 7 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Atlanta/Houston series is 100 ppg while the vistor has put up 92.3 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 7.7 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 31 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 7.7 ppg. That represents a value number of 3.2 when meassured against the offered line of -4.5, suggesting a wager on Houston makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 31 games between the Hawks and the Rockets is 192.3 per game. That creates a differential of 14.2 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 206.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Atlanta as the road team and with Houston as the home team.

Recent Results when Atlanta visits Houston

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 20, 2014 Atlanta 104Houston97-5.0198.0
November 27, 2013 Atlanta 84Houston113-9.0206.5
December 31, 2012 Atlanta 104Houston123-4.5206.5
December 31, 2011 Atlanta 84Houston95-1.0192.5
April 3, 2011 Atlanta 109Houston114-6.0200.5
January 25, 2010 Atlanta 102Houston95-1.0197.5
December 9, 2008 Atlanta 84Houston92

When looking at the last 17 games in this series while Houston has been the home team, we can see the Rockets have won 15 games compared to 2 wins for the Hawks. Average points scored per game by Houston in this situation is is 104 ppg while Atlanta has put up 91.3 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 12.7 favoring the Rockets.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 12.7 ppg. That represents a value number of 8.2 when meassured against the offered line of -4.5, suggesting a wager on the Rockets makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 17 games between the Hawks and the Rockets is 195.3 per game. That creates a differential of 11.2 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 206.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the Atlanta Hawks Cover the Spread?

This season the Atlanta Hawks have played 26 games, averaging 103.0 points per game, while allowing 97.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 19-7. Let's have a closer look at recent Atlanta Hawks results.

Recent Atlanta Hawks Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 20, 2014 Atlanta 104Houston97-5.0198.0
December 17, 2014 Atlanta 127Cleveland98-5.5201.0
December 15, 2014 Chicago 86Atlanta93
December 13, 2014 Atlanta 99Orlando1003.0194.5
December 12, 2014 Orlando 81Atlanta87
December 10, 2014 Philadelphia 79Atlanta95-13.0202.5
December 8, 2014 Atlanta 108Indiana92-1.0194.0

This season the Atlanta Hawks have played 12 games on the road, averaging 104.3 points per game, while allowing 100.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 7-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Atlanta Hawks results on the road.

Recent Atlanta Hawks Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 20, 2014 Atlanta 104Houston97-5.0198.0
December 17, 2014 Atlanta 127Cleveland98-5.5201.0
December 13, 2014 Atlanta 99Orlando1003.0194.5
December 8, 2014 Atlanta 108Indiana92-1.0194.0
December 5, 2014 Atlanta 98Brooklyn751.5201.5

Can the Houston Rockets Cover the Spread?

This season the Houston Rockets have played 26 games, averaging 99.7 points per game, while allowing 96.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 19-7. Let's have a closer look at recent Houston Rockets results.

Recent Houston Rockets Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 20, 2014 Atlanta 104Houston97-5.0198.0
December 18, 2014 New Orleans 99Houston90-4.5201.0
December 17, 2014 Houston 115Denver111
December 13, 2014 Denver 96Houston108-7.5204.0
December 11, 2014 Houston 113Sacramento1091.0197.0
December 10, 2014 Houston 93Golden St.105
December 6, 2014 Phoenix 95Houston1001.5207.5
December 5, 2014 Houston 114Minnesota1127.0202.5
December 3, 2014 Memphis 96Houston1054.5191.0
November 29, 2014 Houston 117Milwaukee103-3.5192.5

This season the Houston Rockets have played 14 games here at home, averaging 95.9 points per game, while allowing 93.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 9-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Houston Rockets results when playing at home.

Recent Houston Rockets Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 20, 2014 Atlanta 104Houston97-5.0198.0
December 18, 2014 New Orleans 99Houston90-4.5201.0
December 13, 2014 Denver 96Houston108-7.5204.0
December 6, 2014 Phoenix 95Houston1001.5207.5
December 3, 2014 Memphis 96Houston1054.5191.0
November 28, 2014 (LAC) Los Angeles 102Houston854.5201.0
November 26, 2014 Sacramento 89Houston102-5.0192.0
November 24, 2014 New York 86Houston91-7.0194.0
November 22, 2014 Dallas 92Houston954.0205.0
November 19, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 98Houston92-11.5208.5

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