NBA Betting Preview & Picks

Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers

Game Date: Friday, December 7, 2012 | Game Time: 7:05 PM | Home Line: -1.5 | Total: 195.0

by BG Sports

Denver Nuggets v Indiana Pacers Series Betting Trends

The Denver Nuggets travel to Indiana to play the Pacers at 7:05 PM on Friday, December 7, 2012. Indiana is the favorite in this matchup, laying -1.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 195.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Nuggets/Pacers Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 20, 2014 Indiana 73Denver76-3.0200.0
November 14, 2014 Denver 108Indiana87-3.0197.5
February 10, 2014 Denver 80Indiana119-10.5199.0
January 25, 2014 Indiana 96Denver1092.0202.0
January 28, 2013 Indiana 101Denver102-5.5194.5
December 7, 2012 Denver 92Indiana89-1.5195.0
February 11, 2012 Denver 113Indiana109-3.0201.0
January 23, 2011 Indiana 107Denver121-9.0214.5
November 9, 2010 Denver 113Indiana144-1.0209.0
March 5, 2010 Indiana 114Denver122-10.5220.5

When looking at the last 35 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 22 games compared to 13 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Denver/Indiana series is 101.3 ppg while the vistor has put up 96.3 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 5 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 35 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 5 ppg. That represents a value number of 3.5 when meassured against the offered line of -1.5, suggesting a wager on Indiana makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 35 games between the Nuggets and the Pacers is 197.6 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 2.6 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 195.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Denver as the road team and with Indiana as the home team.

Recent Results when Denver visits Indiana

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 14, 2014 Denver 108Indiana87-3.0197.5
February 10, 2014 Denver 80Indiana119-10.5199.0
December 7, 2012 Denver 92Indiana89-1.5195.0
February 11, 2012 Denver 113Indiana109-3.0201.0
November 9, 2010 Denver 113Indiana144-1.0209.0
November 3, 2009 Denver 111Indiana935.0226.0
March 1, 2009 Denver 94Indiana1002.5215.5

When looking at the last 17 games in this series while Indiana has been the home team, we can see the Pacers have won 9 games compared to 8 wins for the Nuggets. Average points scored per game by Indiana in this situation is is 98.9 ppg while Denver has put up 95.2 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3.7 favoring the Pacers.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 3.7 ppg. That represents a value number of 2.2 when meassured against the offered line of -1.5, suggesting a wager on the Pacers makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 17 games between the Nuggets and the Pacers is 194.1 per game. That creates a differential of 0.9 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 195.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the Denver Nuggets Cover the Spread?

This season the Denver Nuggets have played 44 games, averaging 101.9 points per game, while allowing 104.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 18-26. Let's have a closer look at recent Denver Nuggets results.

Recent Denver Nuggets Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 25, 2015 Washington 117Denver1153.5203.5
January 23, 2015 Boston 100Denver99-6.5204.5
January 20, 2015 San Antonio 109Denver999.0204.0
January 19, 2015 Denver 79Golden St.122-13.5219.5
January 17, 2015 Minnesota 113Denver105-11.5211.5
January 16, 2015 Denver 89Dallas97-8.0215.5
January 14, 2015 Dallas 107Denver114-1.0214.5

This season the Denver Nuggets have played 20 games on the road, averaging 98.7 points per game, while allowing 106.9 points per game. This has led to a season record of 6-14. Let's have a closer look at recent Denver Nuggets results on the road.

Recent Denver Nuggets Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 19, 2015 Denver 79Golden St.122-13.5219.5
January 16, 2015 Denver 89Dallas97-8.0215.5
January 9, 2015 Denver 118Sacramento108-3.5212.0
January 5, 2015 Denver 110Minnesota1013.5208.5
January 1, 2015 Denver 101Chicago106-10.5204.5

Can the Indiana Pacers Cover the Spread?

This season the Indiana Pacers have played 46 games, averaging 95.0 points per game, while allowing 97.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 16-26. Let's have a closer look at recent Indiana Pacers results.

Recent Indiana Pacers Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 25, 2015 Indiana 106Orlando991.5204.0
January 23, 2015 Indiana 87Miami89-3.5182.5
January 21, 2015 Indiana 91Atlanta110-10.5193.5
January 19, 2015 Indiana 98Houston110-10.0195.5
January 17, 2015 Indiana 71Charlotte802.0186.0
January 16, 2015 Detroit 98Indiana96
January 13, 2015 Minnesota 110Indiana101-11.0198.0
January 10, 2015 Indiana 92Philadelphia936.5188.5
January 9, 2015 Boston 103Indiana107
January 7, 2015 Indiana 102Golden St.117-11.0202.0

This season the Indiana Pacers have played 19 games here at home, averaging 94.5 points per game, while allowing 95.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 8-11. Let's have a closer look at recent Indiana Pacers results when playing at home.

Recent Indiana Pacers Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 16, 2015 Detroit 98Indiana96
January 13, 2015 Minnesota 110Indiana101-11.0198.0
January 9, 2015 Boston 103Indiana107
December 31, 2014 Miami 95Indiana106-4.5188.5
December 29, 2014 Chicago 92Indiana905.5194.5
December 23, 2014 New Orleans 84Indiana961.5193.5
December 15, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 91Indiana110-5.0198.5
December 13, 2014 Portland 95Indiana854.5192.5
December 10, 2014 (LAC) Los Angeles 103Indiana966.5199.5
December 8, 2014 Atlanta 108Indiana92-1.0194.0

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