NBA Betting Preview & Picks

Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers

Game Date: Friday, December 7, 2012 | Game Time: 7:05 PM | Home Line: -1.5 | Total: 195.0

by BG Sports

Denver Nuggets v Indiana Pacers Series Betting Trends

The Denver Nuggets travel to Indiana to play the Pacers at 7:05 PM on Friday, December 7, 2012. Indiana is the favorite in this matchup, laying -1.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 195.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Nuggets/Pacers Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 20, 2014 Indiana 73Denver76-3.0200.0
November 14, 2014 Denver 108Indiana87-3.0197.5
February 10, 2014 Denver 80Indiana119-10.5199.0
January 25, 2014 Indiana 96Denver1092.0202.0
January 28, 2013 Indiana 101Denver102-5.5194.5
December 7, 2012 Denver 92Indiana89-1.5195.0
February 11, 2012 Denver 113Indiana109-3.0201.0
January 23, 2011 Indiana 107Denver121-9.0214.5
November 9, 2010 Denver 113Indiana144-1.0209.0
March 5, 2010 Indiana 114Denver122-10.5220.5

When looking at the last 35 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 22 games compared to 13 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Denver/Indiana series is 101.3 ppg while the vistor has put up 96.3 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 5 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 35 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 5 ppg. That represents a value number of 3.5 when meassured against the offered line of -1.5, suggesting a wager on Indiana makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 35 games between the Nuggets and the Pacers is 197.6 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 2.6 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 195.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Denver as the road team and with Indiana as the home team.

Recent Results when Denver visits Indiana

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 14, 2014 Denver 108Indiana87-3.0197.5
February 10, 2014 Denver 80Indiana119-10.5199.0
December 7, 2012 Denver 92Indiana89-1.5195.0
February 11, 2012 Denver 113Indiana109-3.0201.0
November 9, 2010 Denver 113Indiana144-1.0209.0
November 3, 2009 Denver 111Indiana935.0226.0
March 1, 2009 Denver 94Indiana1002.5215.5

When looking at the last 17 games in this series while Indiana has been the home team, we can see the Pacers have won 9 games compared to 8 wins for the Nuggets. Average points scored per game by Indiana in this situation is is 98.9 ppg while Denver has put up 95.2 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3.7 favoring the Pacers.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 3.7 ppg. That represents a value number of 2.2 when meassured against the offered line of -1.5, suggesting a wager on the Pacers makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 17 games between the Nuggets and the Pacers is 194.1 per game. That creates a differential of 0.9 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 195.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the Denver Nuggets Cover the Spread?

This season the Denver Nuggets have played 27 games, averaging 102.2 points per game, while allowing 103.9 points per game. This has led to a season record of 12-15. Let's have a closer look at recent Denver Nuggets results.

Recent Denver Nuggets Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 20, 2014 Indiana 73Denver76-3.0200.0
December 19, 2014 (LAC) Los Angeles 106Denver1093.5215.5
December 17, 2014 Houston 115Denver111
December 14, 2014 San Antonio 99Denver914.0205.0
December 13, 2014 Denver 96Houston108-7.5204.0
December 10, 2014 Miami 82Denver102
December 8, 2014 Denver 107Toronto112-9.5214.0

This season the Denver Nuggets have played 13 games on the road, averaging 99.9 points per game, while allowing 107.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 4-9. Let's have a closer look at recent Denver Nuggets results on the road.

Recent Denver Nuggets Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 13, 2014 Denver 96Houston108-7.5204.0
December 8, 2014 Denver 107Toronto112-9.5214.0
December 7, 2014 Denver 84Atlanta96-5.5212.0
December 5, 2014 Denver 89Washington119-4.5208.0
December 1, 2014 Denver 103Utah1012.5206.0

Can the Indiana Pacers Cover the Spread?

This season the Indiana Pacers have played 27 games, averaging 93.3 points per game, while allowing 96.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 8-15. Let's have a closer look at recent Indiana Pacers results.

Recent Indiana Pacers Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 20, 2014 Indiana 73Denver76-3.0200.0
December 17, 2014 Indiana 100(LAC) Los Angeles102-11.0201.0
December 15, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 91Indiana110-5.0198.5
December 13, 2014 Portland 95Indiana854.5192.5
December 12, 2014 Indiana 94Toronto106-9.0198.0
December 10, 2014 (LAC) Los Angeles 103Indiana966.5199.5
December 8, 2014 Atlanta 108Indiana92-1.0194.0
December 5, 2014 Indiana 101Sacramento102-3.5191.0
December 4, 2014 Indiana 82Portland88-8.5195.5
December 2, 2014 Indiana 99Phoenix116-5.0196.5

This season the Indiana Pacers have played 13 games here at home, averaging 92.2 points per game, while allowing 95.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 5-8. Let's have a closer look at recent Indiana Pacers results when playing at home.

Recent Indiana Pacers Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 15, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 91Indiana110-5.0198.5
December 13, 2014 Portland 95Indiana854.5192.5
December 10, 2014 (LAC) Los Angeles 103Indiana966.5199.5
December 8, 2014 Atlanta 108Indiana92-1.0194.0
November 28, 2014 Orlando 83Indiana98-4.5191.0
November 22, 2014 Phoenix 106Indiana832.0196.0
November 19, 2014 Charlotte 86Indiana88-2.0180.5
November 14, 2014 Denver 108Indiana87-3.0197.5
November 10, 2014 Utah 86Indiana97-2.5188.5
November 8, 2014 Washington 97Indiana903.0183.5

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