The Dallas Mavericks travel to Phoenix to play the Suns at 10:35 PM on Thursday, December 6, 2012. Phoenix is the favorite in this matchup, laying -3.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 199.5.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 10, 2013 | Phoenix | 102 | Dallas | 91 | -13.5 | 204.5 |
| February 1, 2013 | Dallas | 109 | Phoenix | 99 | -3.5 | 199.0 |
| January 27, 2013 | Phoenix | 95 | Dallas | 110 | -8.0 | 202.5 |
| December 6, 2012 | Dallas | 97 | Phoenix | 94 | -3.0 | 199.5 |
| March 8, 2012 | Dallas | 94 | Phoenix | 96 | 3.5 | 192.5 |
| January 30, 2012 | Dallas | 122 | Phoenix | 99 | 2.5 | 186.5 |
| January 23, 2012 | Phoenix | 87 | Dallas | 93 | -5.5 | 183.0 |
| January 4, 2012 | Phoenix | 89 | Dallas | 98 | -8.0 | 196.0 |
| April 10, 2011 | Phoenix | 90 | Dallas | 115 | -9.5 | 206.0 |
| March 27, 2011 | Dallas | 91 | Phoenix | 83 | 2.0 | 207.5 |
When looking at the last 65 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 40 games compared to 25 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Dallas/Phoenix series is 107.2 ppg while the vistor has put up 102.6 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 4.6 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 65 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 4.6 ppg. That represents a value number of 1.6 when meassured against the offered line of -3.0, suggesting a wager on Phoenix makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 65 games between the Mavericks and the Suns is 209.8 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 10.3 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 199.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Dallas as the road team and with Phoenix as the home team.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 1, 2013 | Dallas | 109 | Phoenix | 99 | -3.5 | 199.0 |
| December 6, 2012 | Dallas | 97 | Phoenix | 94 | -3.0 | 199.5 |
| March 8, 2012 | Dallas | 94 | Phoenix | 96 | 3.5 | 192.5 |
| January 30, 2012 | Dallas | 122 | Phoenix | 99 | 2.5 | 186.5 |
| March 27, 2011 | Dallas | 91 | Phoenix | 83 | 2.0 | 207.5 |
| February 17, 2011 | Dallas | 112 | Phoenix | 106 | 1.5 | 205.0 |
| January 28, 2010 | Dallas | 106 | Phoenix | 112 | -2.0 | 216.0 |
When looking at the last 32 games in this series while Phoenix has been the home team, we can see the Suns have won 16 games compared to 16 wins for the Mavericks. Average points scored per game by Phoenix in this situation is is 106.1 ppg while Dallas has put up 102.6 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3.5 favoring the Suns.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 3.5 ppg. That represents a value number of 0.5 when meassured against the offered line of -3.0, suggesting a wager on the Suns makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 32 games between the Mavericks and the Suns is 208.7 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 9.2 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 199.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
This season the Dallas Mavericks have played 82 games, averaging 101.1 points per game, while allowing 101.7 points per game. This has led to a season record of 41-41. Let's have a closer look at recent Dallas Mavericks results.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 17, 2013 | New Orleans | 87 | Dallas | 99 | -7.5 | 198.5 |
| April 15, 2013 | Memphis | 103 | Dallas | 97 | 3.5 | 186.0 |
| April 14, 2013 | Dallas | 107 | New Orleans | 89 | 3.0 | 195.5 |
| April 12, 2013 | Denver | 105 | Dallas | 108 | 3.0 | 209.0 |
| April 10, 2013 | Phoenix | 102 | Dallas | 91 | -13.5 | 204.5 |
| April 7, 2013 | Dallas | 96 | Portland | 91 | 3.5 | 206.5 |
| April 5, 2013 | Dallas | 117 | Sacramento | 108 | -2.0 | 213.5 |
This season the Dallas Mavericks have played 41 games on the road, averaging 99.2 points per game, while allowing 102.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 17-24. Let's have a closer look at recent Dallas Mavericks results on the road.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 14, 2013 | Dallas | 107 | New Orleans | 89 | 3.0 | 195.5 |
| April 7, 2013 | Dallas | 96 | Portland | 91 | 3.5 | 206.5 |
| April 5, 2013 | Dallas | 117 | Sacramento | 108 | -2.0 | 213.5 |
| April 4, 2013 | Dallas | 94 | Denver | 95 | -7.0 | 207.5 |
| April 2, 2013 | Dallas | 81 | (LAK) Los Angeles | 101 | -3.5 | 207.0 |
This season the Phoenix Suns have played 82 games, averaging 95.2 points per game, while allowing 101.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 25-41. Let's have a closer look at recent Phoenix Suns results.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 17, 2013 | Phoenix | 98 | Denver | 118 | -11.5 | 212.0 |
| April 15, 2013 | Houston | 112 | Phoenix | 119 | 7.0 | 210.0 |
| April 13, 2013 | Phoenix | 93 | Minnesota | 105 | -5.5 | 201.0 |
| April 10, 2013 | Phoenix | 102 | Dallas | 91 | -13.5 | 204.5 |
| April 9, 2013 | Phoenix | 98 | Houston | 101 | -14.5 | 213.5 |
| April 7, 2013 | New Orleans | 95 | Phoenix | 92 | 2.5 | 198.0 |
| April 5, 2013 | Golden St. | 111 | Phoenix | 107 | 8.0 | 203.5 |
| April 3, 2013 | Phoenix | 101 | (LAC) Los Angeles | 126 | -16.5 | 201.0 |
| March 30, 2013 | Indiana | 112 | Phoenix | 104 | 10.0 | 189.5 |
| March 28, 2013 | Sacramento | 117 | Phoenix | 103 | 2.0 | 206.0 |
This season the Phoenix Suns have played 41 games here at home, averaging 94.6 points per game, while allowing 97.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 17-24. Let's have a closer look at recent Phoenix Suns results when playing at home.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 15, 2013 | Houston | 112 | Phoenix | 119 | 7.0 | 210.0 |
| April 7, 2013 | New Orleans | 95 | Phoenix | 92 | 2.5 | 198.0 |
| April 5, 2013 | Golden St. | 111 | Phoenix | 107 | 8.0 | 203.5 |
| March 30, 2013 | Indiana | 112 | Phoenix | 104 | 10.0 | 189.5 |
| March 28, 2013 | Sacramento | 117 | Phoenix | 103 | 2.0 | 206.0 |
| March 24, 2013 | Brooklyn | 102 | Phoenix | 100 | 6.0 | 190.0 |
| March 22, 2013 | Minnesota | 117 | Phoenix | 86 | -3.0 | 192.0 |
| March 20, 2013 | Washington | 88 | Phoenix | 79 | 1.0 | 194.5 |
| March 18, 2013 | (LAK) Los Angeles | 76 | Phoenix | 99 | 4.0 | 200.0 |
| March 11, 2013 | Denver | 108 | Phoenix | 93 | 9.0 | 212.5 |