NFL Betting Preview & Picks

Denver Broncos vs Oakland Raiders

Game Date: Thursday, December 6, 2012 | Game Time: 8:25 PM | Home Line: 10.5 | Total: 48.0

by George Smeader

Denver Broncos v Oakland Raiders Series Betting Trends

The Denver Broncos travel to Oakland to play the Raiders at 8:25 PM on Thursday, December 6, 2012. Oakland is the underdog in this matchup, getting 10.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 48.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NFL sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Broncos/Raiders Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 29, 2013 Denver 34Oakland1410.053.5
September 23, 2013 Oakland 21Denver37-16.048.5
December 6, 2012 Denver 26Oakland1310.548.0
September 30, 2012 Oakland 6Denver37-6.548.0
November 6, 2011 Denver 38Oakland24-7.041.5
September 12, 2011 Oakland 23Denver20-3.042.0
December 19, 2010 Denver 23Oakland39-9.042.0
October 24, 2010 Oakland 59Denver14-7.542.5
December 20, 2009 Oakland 20Denver19-14.037.0
September 27, 2009 Denver 23Oakland31.037.5

When looking at the last 53 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 28 games compared to 25 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Denver/Oakland series is 22.2 ppg while the vistor has put up 21.9 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 0.3 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 53 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 0.3 ppg. That represents a value number of 10.8 when meassured against the offered line of 10.5, suggesting a wager on Oakland makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 53 games between the Broncos and the Raiders is 44.1 per game. That creates a differential of 3.9 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 48.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Denver as the road team and with Oakland as the home team.

Recent Results when Denver visits Oakland

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 29, 2013 Denver 34Oakland1410.053.5
December 6, 2012 Denver 26Oakland1310.548.0
November 6, 2011 Denver 38Oakland24-7.041.5
December 19, 2010 Denver 23Oakland39-9.042.0
September 27, 2009 Denver 23Oakland31.037.5
September 8, 2008 Denver 41Oakland14-7.047.0
December 2, 2007 Denver 20Oakland34

When looking at the last 27 games in this series while Oakland has been the home team, we can see the Raiders have won 13 games compared to 14 wins for the Broncos. Average points scored per game by Oakland in this situation is is 21 ppg while Denver has put up 23.4 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 2.4 favoring the Raiders.

Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 2.4 ppg. That represents a value number of 12.9 when meassured against the offered line of 10.5, suggesting a wager on the Raiders makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks betting against the number looking at the series situation in the vacuum of this trend.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 27 games between the Broncos and the Raiders is 44.4 per game. That creates a differential of 3.6 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 48.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the Denver Broncos Cover the Spread?

This season the Denver Broncos have played 19 games, averaging 34.9 points per game, while allowing 25.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 15-4. Let's have a closer look at recent Denver Broncos results.

Recent Denver Broncos Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
February 2, 2014 Seattle 43Denver8-2.047.5
January 19, 2014 New England 16Denver26-5.056.5
January 12, 2014 San Diego 17Denver24-8.054.0
December 29, 2013 Denver 34Oakland1410.053.5
December 22, 2013 Denver 37Houston1310.053.0
December 12, 2013 San Diego 27Denver20-10.556.5
December 8, 2013 Tennessee 28Denver51-13.549.5

This season the Denver Broncos have played 8 games on the road, averaging 36.3 points per game, while allowing 27.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 6-2. Let's have a closer look at recent Denver Broncos results on the road.

Recent Denver Broncos Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 29, 2013 Denver 34Oakland1410.053.5
December 22, 2013 Denver 37Houston1310.053.0
December 1, 2013 Denver 35Kansas City286.049.5
November 24, 2013 Denver 31New England341.054.0
November 10, 2013 Denver 28San Diego207.057.5

Can the Oakland Raiders Cover the Spread?

This season the Oakland Raiders have played 16 games, averaging 20.1 points per game, while allowing 28.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 4-4. Let's have a closer look at recent Oakland Raiders results.

Recent Oakland Raiders Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 29, 2013 Denver 34Oakland1410.053.5
December 22, 2013 Oakland 13San Diego26-10.050.0
December 15, 2013 Kansas City 56Oakland316.044.0
December 8, 2013 Oakland 27New York37-3.039.0
November 28, 2013 Oakland 24Dallas31-8.548.0
November 24, 2013 Tennessee 23Oakland191.042.0
November 17, 2013 Oakland 28Houston23-10.041.0
November 10, 2013 Oakland 20New York24-7.544.0
November 3, 2013 Philadelphia 49Oakland20-1.046.0
October 27, 2013 Pittsburgh 18Oakland211.040.5

This season the Oakland Raiders have played 8 games here at home, averaging 20.6 points per game, while allowing 28.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 3-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Oakland Raiders results when playing at home.

Recent Oakland Raiders Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 29, 2013 Denver 34Oakland1410.053.5
December 15, 2013 Kansas City 56Oakland316.044.0
November 24, 2013 Tennessee 23Oakland191.042.0
November 3, 2013 Philadelphia 49Oakland20-1.046.0
October 27, 2013 Pittsburgh 18Oakland211.040.5
October 6, 2013 San Diego 17Oakland276.046.0
September 29, 2013 Washington 24Oakland143.545.0
September 15, 2013 Jacksonville 9Oakland19-4.540.5
December 16, 2012 Kansas City 0Oakland15-4.543.5
December 6, 2012 Denver 26Oakland1310.548.0

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