NFL Betting Preview & Picks

Denver Broncos vs Oakland Raiders

Game Date: Thursday, December 6, 2012 | Game Time: 8:25 PM | Home Line: 10.5 | Total: 48.0

Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com Staff

Denver Broncos v Oakland Raiders Series Betting Trends

The Denver Broncos travel to Oakland to play the Raiders at 8:25 PM on Thursday, December 6, 2012. Oakland is the underdog in this matchup, getting 10.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 48.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NFL sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Broncos/Raiders Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 6, 2012 Denver 26Oakland1310.548.0
September 30, 2012 Oakland 6Denver37-6.548.0
November 6, 2011 Denver 38Oakland24-7.041.5
September 12, 2011 Oakland 23Denver20-3.042.0
December 19, 2010 Denver 23Oakland39-9.042.0
October 24, 2010 Oakland 59Denver14-7.542.5
December 20, 2009 Oakland 20Denver19-14.037.0
September 27, 2009 Denver 23Oakland31.037.5
November 23, 2008 Oakland 31Denver10-9.543.0
September 8, 2008 Denver 41Oakland14-7.047.0

When looking at the last 51 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 27 games compared to 24 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Denver/Oakland series is 22 ppg while the vistor has put up 21.7 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 0.3 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 51 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 0.3 ppg. That represents a value number of 10.8 when meassured against the offered line of 10.5, suggesting a wager on Oakland makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 51 games between the Broncos and the Raiders is 43.7 per game. That creates a differential of 4.3 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 48.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Denver as the road team and with Oakland as the home team.

Recent Results when Denver visits Oakland

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 6, 2012 Denver 26Oakland1310.548.0
November 6, 2011 Denver 38Oakland24-7.041.5
December 19, 2010 Denver 23Oakland39-9.042.0
September 27, 2009 Denver 23Oakland31.037.5
September 8, 2008 Denver 41Oakland14-7.047.0
December 2, 2007 Denver 20Oakland34
November 12, 2006 Denver 17Oakland13

When looking at the last 26 games in this series while Oakland has been the home team, we can see the Raiders have won 13 games compared to 13 wins for the Broncos. Average points scored per game by Oakland in this situation is is 21.3 ppg while Denver has put up 23 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1.7 favoring the Raiders.

Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 1.7 ppg. That represents a value number of 12.2 when meassured against the offered line of 10.5, suggesting a wager on the Raiders makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks betting against the number looking at the series situation in the vacuum of this trend.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 26 games between the Broncos and the Raiders is 44.3 per game. That creates a differential of 3.7 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 48.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the Denver Broncos Cover the Spread?

This season the Denver Broncos have played 17 games, averaging 30.4 points per game, while allowing 19.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 13-4. Let's have a closer look at recent Denver Broncos results.

Recent Denver Broncos Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 12, 2013 Baltimore 38Denver35-9.545.5
December 30, 2012 Kansas City 3Denver38-16.042.0
December 23, 2012 Cleveland 12Denver34-11.043.5
December 16, 2012 Denver 34Baltimore173.048.0
December 6, 2012 Denver 26Oakland1310.548.0
December 2, 2012 Tampa Bay 23Denver31-9.550.0
November 25, 2012 Denver 17Kansas City910.043.0

This season the Denver Broncos have played 8 games on the road, averaging 27.6 points per game, while allowing 19.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 6-2. Let's have a closer look at recent Denver Broncos results on the road.

Recent Denver Broncos Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 16, 2012 Denver 34Baltimore173.048.0
December 6, 2012 Denver 26Oakland1310.548.0
November 25, 2012 Denver 17Kansas City910.043.0
November 11, 2012 Denver 36Carolina144.047.0
November 4, 2012 Denver 31Cincinnati234.048.0

Can the Oakland Raiders Cover the Spread?

This season the Oakland Raiders have played 15 games, averaging 18.0 points per game, while allowing 28.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 4-4. Let's have a closer look at recent Oakland Raiders results.

Recent Oakland Raiders Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 30, 2012 Oakland 21San Diego24-10.039.0
December 23, 2012 Oakland 6Carolina17-9.546.0
December 16, 2012 Kansas City 0Oakland15-4.543.5
December 6, 2012 Denver 26Oakland1310.548.0
December 2, 2012 Cleveland 20Oakland172.539.5
November 25, 2012 Oakland 10Cincinnati34-9.550.5
November 18, 2012 New Orleans 38Oakland176.055.5
November 11, 2012 Oakland 20Baltimore55-9.547.5
November 4, 2012 Tampa Bay 42Oakland32-1.047.0
October 28, 2012 Oakland 26Kansas City16-1.042.5

This season the Oakland Raiders have played 8 games here at home, averaging 21.0 points per game, while allowing 25.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 3-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Oakland Raiders results when playing at home.

Recent Oakland Raiders Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 16, 2012 Kansas City 0Oakland15-4.543.5
December 6, 2012 Denver 26Oakland1310.548.0
December 2, 2012 Cleveland 20Oakland172.539.5
November 18, 2012 New Orleans 38Oakland176.055.5
November 4, 2012 Tampa Bay 42Oakland32-1.047.0
October 21, 2012 Jacksonville 23Oakland26-6.044.5
September 23, 2012 Pittsburgh 31Oakland343.545.5
September 10, 2012 San Diego 22Oakland14-1.047.5
January 1, 2012 San Diego 38Oakland26-2.548.5
December 18, 2011 Detroit 28Oakland273.047.5

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