The Denver Broncos travel to Oakland to play the Raiders at 8:25 PM on Thursday, December 6, 2012. Oakland is the underdog in this matchup, getting 10.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 48.0.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NFL sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 6, 2012 | Denver | 26 | Oakland | 13 | 10.5 | 48.0 |
| September 30, 2012 | Oakland | 6 | Denver | 37 | -6.5 | 48.0 |
| November 6, 2011 | Denver | 38 | Oakland | 24 | -7.0 | 41.5 |
| September 12, 2011 | Oakland | 23 | Denver | 20 | -3.0 | 42.0 |
| December 19, 2010 | Denver | 23 | Oakland | 39 | -9.0 | 42.0 |
| October 24, 2010 | Oakland | 59 | Denver | 14 | -7.5 | 42.5 |
| December 20, 2009 | Oakland | 20 | Denver | 19 | -14.0 | 37.0 |
| September 27, 2009 | Denver | 23 | Oakland | 3 | 1.0 | 37.5 |
| November 23, 2008 | Oakland | 31 | Denver | 10 | -9.5 | 43.0 |
| September 8, 2008 | Denver | 41 | Oakland | 14 | -7.0 | 47.0 |
When looking at the last 51 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 27 games compared to 24 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Denver/Oakland series is 22 ppg while the vistor has put up 21.7 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 0.3 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 51 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 0.3 ppg. That represents a value number of 10.8 when meassured against the offered line of 10.5, suggesting a wager on Oakland makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 51 games between the Broncos and the Raiders is 43.7 per game. That creates a differential of 4.3 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 48.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Denver as the road team and with Oakland as the home team.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 6, 2012 | Denver | 26 | Oakland | 13 | 10.5 | 48.0 |
| November 6, 2011 | Denver | 38 | Oakland | 24 | -7.0 | 41.5 |
| December 19, 2010 | Denver | 23 | Oakland | 39 | -9.0 | 42.0 |
| September 27, 2009 | Denver | 23 | Oakland | 3 | 1.0 | 37.5 |
| September 8, 2008 | Denver | 41 | Oakland | 14 | -7.0 | 47.0 |
| December 2, 2007 | Denver | 20 | Oakland | 34 | ||
| November 12, 2006 | Denver | 17 | Oakland | 13 |
When looking at the last 26 games in this series while Oakland has been the home team, we can see the Raiders have won 13 games compared to 13 wins for the Broncos. Average points scored per game by Oakland in this situation is is 21.3 ppg while Denver has put up 23 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1.7 favoring the Raiders.
Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 1.7 ppg. That represents a value number of 12.2 when meassured against the offered line of 10.5, suggesting a wager on the Raiders makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks betting against the number looking at the series situation in the vacuum of this trend.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 26 games between the Broncos and the Raiders is 44.3 per game. That creates a differential of 3.7 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 48.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
This season the Denver Broncos have played 17 games, averaging 30.4 points per game, while allowing 19.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 13-4. Let's have a closer look at recent Denver Broncos results.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 12, 2013 | Baltimore | 38 | Denver | 35 | -9.5 | 45.5 |
| December 30, 2012 | Kansas City | 3 | Denver | 38 | -16.0 | 42.0 |
| December 23, 2012 | Cleveland | 12 | Denver | 34 | -11.0 | 43.5 |
| December 16, 2012 | Denver | 34 | Baltimore | 17 | 3.0 | 48.0 |
| December 6, 2012 | Denver | 26 | Oakland | 13 | 10.5 | 48.0 |
| December 2, 2012 | Tampa Bay | 23 | Denver | 31 | -9.5 | 50.0 |
| November 25, 2012 | Denver | 17 | Kansas City | 9 | 10.0 | 43.0 |
This season the Denver Broncos have played 8 games on the road, averaging 27.6 points per game, while allowing 19.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 6-2. Let's have a closer look at recent Denver Broncos results on the road.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 16, 2012 | Denver | 34 | Baltimore | 17 | 3.0 | 48.0 |
| December 6, 2012 | Denver | 26 | Oakland | 13 | 10.5 | 48.0 |
| November 25, 2012 | Denver | 17 | Kansas City | 9 | 10.0 | 43.0 |
| November 11, 2012 | Denver | 36 | Carolina | 14 | 4.0 | 47.0 |
| November 4, 2012 | Denver | 31 | Cincinnati | 23 | 4.0 | 48.0 |
This season the Oakland Raiders have played 15 games, averaging 18.0 points per game, while allowing 28.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 4-4. Let's have a closer look at recent Oakland Raiders results.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 30, 2012 | Oakland | 21 | San Diego | 24 | -10.0 | 39.0 |
| December 23, 2012 | Oakland | 6 | Carolina | 17 | -9.5 | 46.0 |
| December 16, 2012 | Kansas City | 0 | Oakland | 15 | -4.5 | 43.5 |
| December 6, 2012 | Denver | 26 | Oakland | 13 | 10.5 | 48.0 |
| December 2, 2012 | Cleveland | 20 | Oakland | 17 | 2.5 | 39.5 |
| November 25, 2012 | Oakland | 10 | Cincinnati | 34 | -9.5 | 50.5 |
| November 18, 2012 | New Orleans | 38 | Oakland | 17 | 6.0 | 55.5 |
| November 11, 2012 | Oakland | 20 | Baltimore | 55 | -9.5 | 47.5 |
| November 4, 2012 | Tampa Bay | 42 | Oakland | 32 | -1.0 | 47.0 |
| October 28, 2012 | Oakland | 26 | Kansas City | 16 | -1.0 | 42.5 |
This season the Oakland Raiders have played 8 games here at home, averaging 21.0 points per game, while allowing 25.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 3-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Oakland Raiders results when playing at home.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 16, 2012 | Kansas City | 0 | Oakland | 15 | -4.5 | 43.5 |
| December 6, 2012 | Denver | 26 | Oakland | 13 | 10.5 | 48.0 |
| December 2, 2012 | Cleveland | 20 | Oakland | 17 | 2.5 | 39.5 |
| November 18, 2012 | New Orleans | 38 | Oakland | 17 | 6.0 | 55.5 |
| November 4, 2012 | Tampa Bay | 42 | Oakland | 32 | -1.0 | 47.0 |
| October 21, 2012 | Jacksonville | 23 | Oakland | 26 | -6.0 | 44.5 |
| September 23, 2012 | Pittsburgh | 31 | Oakland | 34 | 3.5 | 45.5 |
| September 10, 2012 | San Diego | 22 | Oakland | 14 | -1.0 | 47.5 |
| January 1, 2012 | San Diego | 38 | Oakland | 26 | -2.5 | 48.5 |
| December 18, 2011 | Detroit | 28 | Oakland | 27 | 3.0 | 47.5 |