NCAAF Betting Preview & Picks

Washington Huskies vs Boise St. Broncos

Game Date: Saturday, December 22, 2012 | Game Time: 3:30 PM | Home Line: -5.0 | Total: 44.0

by Max Prophet

Washington Huskies v Boise St. Broncos Series Betting Trends

The Washington Huskies travel to Boise St. to play the Broncos at 3:30 PM on Saturday, December 22, 2012. Boise St. is the favorite in this matchup, laying -5.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 44.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAF sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Huskies/Broncos Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
August 31, 2013 Boise St. 6Washington38-4.054.0
December 22, 2012 Washington 26Boise St.28-5.044.0
September 8, 2007 Boise St. 10Washington24

When looking at the last 3 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 3 games compared to 0 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Washington/Boise St. series is 30 ppg while the vistor has put up 14 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 16 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 3 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 16 ppg. That represents a value number of 11 when meassured against the offered line of -5.0, suggesting a wager on Boise St. makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 3 games between the Huskies and the Broncos is 44 per game.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Washington as the road team and with Boise St. as the home team.

Recent Results when Washington visits Boise St.

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 22, 2012 Washington 26Boise St.28-5.044.0

When looking at the last 1 games in this series while Boise St. has been the home team, we can see the Broncos have won 1 games compared to 0 wins for the Huskies. Average points scored per game by Boise St. in this situation is is 28 ppg while Washington has put up 26 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 2 favoring the Huskies.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 2 ppg. That represents a value number of -3 when meassured against the offered line of -5.0, suggesting a wager on the Huskies makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 1 games between the Huskies and the Broncos is 54 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 10 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 44.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the Washington Huskies Cover the Spread?

This season the Washington Huskies have played 13 games, averaging 37.9 points per game, while allowing 22.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 9-4. Let's have a closer look at recent Washington Huskies results.

Recent Washington Huskies Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 27, 2013 Washington 31Brigham Young164.565.0
November 29, 2013 Washington St. 17Washington27-17.566.0
November 23, 2013 Washington 69Oregon St.27-2.059.0
November 15, 2013 Washington 31UCLA41-2.560.5
November 9, 2013 Colorado 7Washington59-28.564.0
October 26, 2013 California 17Washington41-28.066.0
October 19, 2013 Washington 24Arizona St.53-3.567.0

This season the Washington Huskies have played 6 games on the road, averaging 36.2 points per game, while allowing 32.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 3-3. Let's have a closer look at recent Washington Huskies results on the road.

Recent Washington Huskies Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 27, 2013 Washington 31Brigham Young164.565.0
November 23, 2013 Washington 69Oregon St.27-2.059.0
November 15, 2013 Washington 31UCLA41-2.560.5
October 19, 2013 Washington 24Arizona St.53-3.567.0
October 5, 2013 Washington 28Stanford31-9.052.0

Can the Boise St. Broncos Cover the Spread?

This season the Boise St. Broncos have played 13 games, averaging 37.5 points per game, while allowing 24.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 8-4. Let's have a closer look at recent Boise St. Broncos results.

Recent Boise St. Broncos Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 24, 2013 Oregon St. 38Boise St.233.065.5
November 30, 2013 New Mexico 17Boise St.45-36.070.0
November 23, 2013 Boise St. 31San Diego St.347.057.0
November 16, 2013 Wyoming 7Boise St.48-24.070.0
November 2, 2013 Boise St. 42Colorado St.307.059.5
October 25, 2013 Boise St. 20Brigham Young37-7.059.5
October 19, 2013 Nevada 17Boise St.34-24.067.0
October 12, 2013 Boise St. 34Utah St.235.550.5
September 28, 2013 Southern Miss 7Boise St.60-29.057.5
September 20, 2013 Boise St. 40Fresno St.41-4.068.0

This season the Boise St. Broncos have played 7 games here at home, averaging 45.0 points per game, while allowing 17.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 6-1. Let's have a closer look at recent Boise St. Broncos results when playing at home.

Recent Boise St. Broncos Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 24, 2013 Oregon St. 38Boise St.233.065.5
November 30, 2013 New Mexico 17Boise St.45-36.070.0
November 16, 2013 Wyoming 7Boise St.48-24.070.0
October 19, 2013 Nevada 17Boise St.34-24.067.0
September 28, 2013 Southern Miss 7Boise St.60-29.057.5
September 13, 2013 Air Force 20Boise St.42-23.557.0
September 7, 2013 Tennessee Martin 14Boise St.63-35.00.0
December 22, 2012 Washington 26Boise St.28-5.044.0
November 17, 2012 Colorado St. 14Boise St.42-29.549.5
November 3, 2012 San Diego St. 21Boise St.19-16.549.5

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