The Kansas City Chiefs travel to Pittsburgh to play the Steelers at 8:35 PM on Monday, November 12, 2012. Pittsburgh is the favorite in this matchup, laying -12.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 40.5.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NFL sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 12, 2012 | Kansas City | 13 | Pittsburgh | 16 | -12.5 | 40.5 |
| November 27, 2011 | Pittsburgh | 13 | Kansas City | 9 | 10.5 | 41.5 |
| November 22, 2009 | Pittsburgh | 24 | Kansas City | 27 | 10.5 | 40.0 |
| October 15, 2006 | Kansas City | 7 | Pittsburgh | 45 | ||
| September 14, 2003 | Pittsburgh | 20 | Kansas City | 41 | ||
| October 14, 2001 | Pittsburgh | 20 | Kansas City | 17 | ||
| December 19, 1999 | Pittsburgh | 19 | Kansas City | 35 | ||
| October 24, 1998 | Pittsburgh | 20 | Kansas City | 13 | ||
| November 2, 1997 | Pittsburgh | 10 | Kansas City | 13 | ||
| November 7, 1996 | Pittsburgh | 17 | Kansas City | 7 |
When looking at the last 15 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 9 games compared to 6 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Kansas City/Pittsburgh series is 20.4 ppg while the vistor has put up 17.9 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 2.5 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 15 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 2.5 ppg. That represents a value number of -10 when meassured against the offered line of -12.5, suggesting a wager on Kansas City makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 15 games between the Chiefs and the Steelers is 38.3 per game. That creates a differential of 2.2 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 40.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Kansas City as the road team and with Pittsburgh as the home team.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 12, 2012 | Kansas City | 13 | Pittsburgh | 16 | -12.5 | 40.5 |
| October 15, 2006 | Kansas City | 7 | Pittsburgh | 45 | ||
| December 17, 1989 | Kansas City | 17 | Pittsburgh | 23 | ||
| November 20, 1988 | Kansas City | 10 | Pittsburgh | 16 |
When looking at the last 4 games in this series while Pittsburgh has been the home team, we can see the Steelers have won 4 games compared to 0 wins for the Chiefs. Average points scored per game by Pittsburgh in this situation is is 25 ppg while Kansas City has put up 11.8 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 13.2 favoring the Steelers.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 13.2 ppg. That represents a value number of 0.7 when meassured against the offered line of -12.5, suggesting a wager on the Steelers makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 4 games between the Chiefs and the Steelers is 36.8 per game. That creates a differential of 3.7 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 40.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
This season the Kansas City Chiefs have played 16 games, averaging 13.2 points per game, while allowing 26.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 2-14. Let's have a closer look at recent Kansas City Chiefs results.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 30, 2012 | Kansas City | 3 | Denver | 38 | -16.0 | 42.0 |
| December 23, 2012 | Indianapolis | 20 | Kansas City | 13 | 7.0 | 41.5 |
| December 16, 2012 | Kansas City | 0 | Oakland | 15 | -4.5 | 43.5 |
| December 9, 2012 | Kansas City | 7 | Cleveland | 30 | -7.0 | 38.0 |
| December 2, 2012 | Carolina | 21 | Kansas City | 27 | 3.0 | 40.0 |
| November 25, 2012 | Denver | 17 | Kansas City | 9 | 10.0 | 43.0 |
| November 18, 2012 | Cincinnati | 28 | Kansas City | 6 | 3.0 | 41.0 |
This season the Kansas City Chiefs have played 8 games on the road, averaging 11.3 points per game, while allowing 28.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 1-7. Let's have a closer look at recent Kansas City Chiefs results on the road.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 30, 2012 | Kansas City | 3 | Denver | 38 | -16.0 | 42.0 |
| December 16, 2012 | Kansas City | 0 | Oakland | 15 | -4.5 | 43.5 |
| December 9, 2012 | Kansas City | 7 | Cleveland | 30 | -7.0 | 38.0 |
| November 12, 2012 | Kansas City | 13 | Pittsburgh | 16 | -12.5 | 40.5 |
| November 1, 2012 | Kansas City | 13 | San Diego | 31 | -9.0 | 41.5 |
This season the Pittsburgh Steelers have played 16 games, averaging 21.0 points per game, while allowing 19.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 8-14. Let's have a closer look at recent Pittsburgh Steelers results.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 30, 2012 | Cleveland | 10 | Pittsburgh | 24 | ||
| December 23, 2012 | Cincinnati | 13 | Pittsburgh | 10 | -3.5 | 42.5 |
| December 16, 2012 | Pittsburgh | 24 | Dallas | 27 | 1.0 | 45.5 |
| December 9, 2012 | San Diego | 34 | Pittsburgh | 24 | -9.5 | 40.0 |
| December 2, 2012 | Pittsburgh | 23 | Baltimore | 20 | -7.0 | 36.5 |
| November 25, 2012 | Pittsburgh | 14 | Cleveland | 20 | 1.0 | 34.5 |
| November 18, 2012 | Baltimore | 13 | Pittsburgh | 10 | 3.0 | 40.5 |
| November 12, 2012 | Kansas City | 13 | Pittsburgh | 16 | -12.5 | 40.5 |
| November 4, 2012 | Pittsburgh | 24 | New York | 20 | -3.5 | 47.5 |
| October 28, 2012 | Washington | 12 | Pittsburgh | 27 | -4.5 | 44.0 |
This season the Pittsburgh Steelers have played 8 games here at home, averaging 19.3 points per game, while allowing 14.9 points per game. This has led to a season record of 5-3. Let's have a closer look at recent Pittsburgh Steelers results when playing at home.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 30, 2012 | Cleveland | 10 | Pittsburgh | 24 | ||
| December 23, 2012 | Cincinnati | 13 | Pittsburgh | 10 | -3.5 | 42.5 |
| December 9, 2012 | San Diego | 34 | Pittsburgh | 24 | -9.5 | 40.0 |
| November 18, 2012 | Baltimore | 13 | Pittsburgh | 10 | 3.0 | 40.5 |
| November 12, 2012 | Kansas City | 13 | Pittsburgh | 16 | -12.5 | 40.5 |
| October 28, 2012 | Washington | 12 | Pittsburgh | 27 | -4.5 | 44.0 |
| October 7, 2012 | Philadelphia | 14 | Pittsburgh | 16 | -3.5 | 44.0 |
| September 16, 2012 | New York | 10 | Pittsburgh | 27 | -4.5 | 43.0 |
| December 24, 2011 | St. Louis | 0 | Pittsburgh | 27 | -10.0 | 33.5 |
| December 8, 2011 | Cleveland | 3 | Pittsburgh | 14 | -14.0 | 38.5 |