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NFL Betting Preview & Picks
Philadelphia Eagles vs New Orleans Saints
Game Date: Monday, November 5, 2012 | Game Time: 8:40 PM | Home Line: -2.5 | Total: 52.0
Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com StaffPhiladelphia Eagles v New Orleans Saints Series Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Eagles travel to New Orleans to play the Saints at 8:40 PM on Monday, November 5, 2012. New Orleans is the favorite in this matchup, laying -2.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 52.0.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NFL sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
Recent Results in the Eagles/Saints Series
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 5, 2012 | Philadelphia | 13 | New Orleans | 28 | -2.5 | 52.0 |
| September 20, 2009 | New Orleans | 48 | Philadelphia | 22 | 1.0 | 45.5 |
| December 23, 2007 | Philadelphia | 38 | New Orleans | 23 | ||
| January 13, 2007 | Philadelphia | 24 | New Orleans | 27 | ||
| October 15, 2006 | Philadelphia | 24 | New Orleans | 27 | ||
| November 23, 2003 | New Orleans | 20 | Philadelphia | 33 | ||
| August 11, 2003 | Philadelphia | 27 | New Orleans | 17 | ||
| September 24, 2000 | Philadelphia | 21 | New Orleans | 7 | ||
| October 1, 1995 | Philadelphia | 15 | New Orleans | 10 | ||
| December 20, 1992 | New Orleans | 13 | Philadelphia | 15 |
When looking at the last 14 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 7 games compared to 7 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Philadelphia/New Orleans series is 21.6 ppg while the vistor has put up 24.1 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 2.5 favoring the road team.
Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 2.5 ppg. That represents a value number of 0 when meassured against the offered line of -2.5, suggesting a wager on New Orleans makes the most sense - at least, when looking at the series trends from an historical perspective.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 14 games between the Eagles and the Saints is 45.7 per game. That creates a differential of 6.3 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 52.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Philadelphia as the road team and with New Orleans as the home team.
Recent Results when Philadelphia visits New Orleans
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 5, 2012 | Philadelphia | 13 | New Orleans | 28 | -2.5 | 52.0 |
| December 23, 2007 | Philadelphia | 38 | New Orleans | 23 | ||
| January 13, 2007 | Philadelphia | 24 | New Orleans | 27 | ||
| October 15, 2006 | Philadelphia | 24 | New Orleans | 27 | ||
| August 11, 2003 | Philadelphia | 27 | New Orleans | 17 | ||
| September 24, 2000 | Philadelphia | 21 | New Orleans | 7 | ||
| October 1, 1995 | Philadelphia | 15 | New Orleans | 10 |
When looking at the last 9 games in this series while New Orleans has been the home team, we can see the Saints have won 4 games compared to 5 wins for the Eagles. Average points scored per game by New Orleans in this situation is is 21 ppg while Philadelphia has put up 24.2 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3.2 favoring the Saints.
Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 3.2 ppg. That represents a value number of 0.7 when meassured against the offered line of -2.5, suggesting a wager on the Saints makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks betting against the number looking at the series situation in the vacuum of this trend.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 9 games between the Eagles and the Saints is 45.2 per game. That creates a differential of 6.8 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 52.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
Can the Philadelphia Eagles Cover the Spread?
This season the Philadelphia Eagles have played 16 games, averaging 17.5 points per game, while allowing 27.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 4-12. Let's have a closer look at recent Philadelphia Eagles results.
Recent Philadelphia Eagles Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 30, 2012 | Philadelphia | 7 | New York | 42 | -7.0 | 45.5 |
| December 23, 2012 | Washington | 27 | Philadelphia | 20 | 6.5 | 45.5 |
| December 13, 2012 | Cincinnati | 34 | Philadelphia | 13 | 5.5 | 45.0 |
| December 9, 2012 | Philadelphia | 23 | Tampa Bay | 21 | -9.0 | 47.5 |
| December 2, 2012 | Philadelphia | 33 | Dallas | 38 | -10.5 | 44.0 |
| November 26, 2012 | Carolina | 30 | Philadelphia | 22 | 3.0 | 41.5 |
| November 18, 2012 | Philadelphia | 6 | Washington | 31 | -3.5 | 46.0 |
This season the Philadelphia Eagles have played 8 games on the road, averaging 14.9 points per game, while allowing 27.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 2-6. Let's have a closer look at recent Philadelphia Eagles results on the road.
Recent Philadelphia Eagles Road Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 30, 2012 | Philadelphia | 7 | New York | 42 | -7.0 | 45.5 |
| December 9, 2012 | Philadelphia | 23 | Tampa Bay | 21 | -9.0 | 47.5 |
| December 2, 2012 | Philadelphia | 33 | Dallas | 38 | -10.5 | 44.0 |
| November 18, 2012 | Philadelphia | 6 | Washington | 31 | -3.5 | 46.0 |
| November 5, 2012 | Philadelphia | 13 | New Orleans | 28 | -2.5 | 52.0 |
Can the New Orleans Saints Cover the Spread?
This season the New Orleans Saints have played 16 games, averaging 28.8 points per game, while allowing 28.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 7-12. Let's have a closer look at recent New Orleans Saints results.
Recent New Orleans Saints Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 30, 2012 | Carolina | 44 | New Orleans | 38 | -5.0 | 54.0 |
| December 23, 2012 | New Orleans | 34 | Dallas | 31 | -1.0 | 51.5 |
| December 16, 2012 | Tampa Bay | 0 | New Orleans | 41 | -4.0 | 54.5 |
| December 9, 2012 | New Orleans | 27 | New York | 52 | -4.5 | 51.5 |
| November 29, 2012 | New Orleans | 13 | Atlanta | 23 | -3.5 | 53.5 |
| November 25, 2012 | San Francisco | 31 | New Orleans | 21 | 1.0 | 50.0 |
| November 18, 2012 | New Orleans | 38 | Oakland | 17 | 6.0 | 55.5 |
| November 11, 2012 | Atlanta | 27 | New Orleans | 31 | 1.0 | 53.5 |
| November 5, 2012 | Philadelphia | 13 | New Orleans | 28 | -2.5 | 52.0 |
| October 28, 2012 | New Orleans | 14 | Denver | 34 | -6.5 | 54.5 |
This season the New Orleans Saints have played 8 games here at home, averaging 30.8 points per game, while allowing 25.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 4-4. Let's have a closer look at recent New Orleans Saints results when playing at home.
Recent New Orleans Saints Home Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 30, 2012 | Carolina | 44 | New Orleans | 38 | -5.0 | 54.0 |
| December 16, 2012 | Tampa Bay | 0 | New Orleans | 41 | -4.0 | 54.5 |
| November 25, 2012 | San Francisco | 31 | New Orleans | 21 | 1.0 | 50.0 |
| November 11, 2012 | Atlanta | 27 | New Orleans | 31 | 1.0 | 53.5 |
| November 5, 2012 | Philadelphia | 13 | New Orleans | 28 | -2.5 | 52.0 |
| October 7, 2012 | San Diego | 24 | New Orleans | 31 | -3.5 | 53.0 |
| September 23, 2012 | Kansas City | 27 | New Orleans | 24 | -9.0 | 53.0 |
| September 9, 2012 | Washington | 40 | New Orleans | 32 | -9.0 | 50.5 |
| January 7, 2012 | Detroit | 28 | New Orleans | 45 | -10.5 | 59.5 |
| January 1, 2012 | Carolina | 17 | New Orleans | 45 | -7.0 | 54.5 |
