NFL Betting Preview & Picks

Philadelphia Eagles vs New Orleans Saints

Game Date: Monday, November 5, 2012 | Game Time: 8:40 PM | Home Line: -2.5 | Total: 52.0

by Jay Marriucci

Philadelphia Eagles v New Orleans Saints Series Betting Trends

The Philadelphia Eagles travel to New Orleans to play the Saints at 8:40 PM on Monday, November 5, 2012. New Orleans is the favorite in this matchup, laying -2.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 52.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NFL sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Eagles/Saints Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 4, 2014 New Orleans 26Philadelphia24-3.055.5
November 5, 2012 Philadelphia 13New Orleans28-2.552.0
September 20, 2009 New Orleans 48Philadelphia221.045.5
December 23, 2007 Philadelphia 38New Orleans23
January 13, 2007 Philadelphia 24New Orleans27
October 15, 2006 Philadelphia 24New Orleans27
November 23, 2003 New Orleans 20Philadelphia33
August 11, 2003 Philadelphia 27New Orleans17
September 24, 2000 Philadelphia 21New Orleans7
October 1, 1995 Philadelphia 15New Orleans10

When looking at the last 15 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 7 games compared to 8 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Philadelphia/New Orleans series is 21.7 ppg while the vistor has put up 24.3 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 2.6 favoring the road team.

Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 2.6 ppg. That represents a value number of 0.1 when meassured against the offered line of -2.5, suggesting a wager on New Orleans makes the most sense - at least, when looking at the series trends from an historical perspective.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 15 games between the Eagles and the Saints is 46 per game. That creates a differential of 6 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 52.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Philadelphia as the road team and with New Orleans as the home team.

Recent Results when Philadelphia visits New Orleans

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 5, 2012 Philadelphia 13New Orleans28-2.552.0
December 23, 2007 Philadelphia 38New Orleans23
January 13, 2007 Philadelphia 24New Orleans27
October 15, 2006 Philadelphia 24New Orleans27
August 11, 2003 Philadelphia 27New Orleans17
September 24, 2000 Philadelphia 21New Orleans7
October 1, 1995 Philadelphia 15New Orleans10

When looking at the last 9 games in this series while New Orleans has been the home team, we can see the Saints have won 4 games compared to 5 wins for the Eagles. Average points scored per game by New Orleans in this situation is is 21 ppg while Philadelphia has put up 24.2 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3.2 favoring the Saints.

Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 3.2 ppg. That represents a value number of 0.7 when meassured against the offered line of -2.5, suggesting a wager on the Saints makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks betting against the number looking at the series situation in the vacuum of this trend.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 9 games between the Eagles and the Saints is 45.2 per game. That creates a differential of 6.8 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 52.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the Philadelphia Eagles Cover the Spread?

This season the Philadelphia Eagles have played 6 games, averaging 30.5 points per game, while allowing 22.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 5-1. Let's have a closer look at recent Philadelphia Eagles results.

Recent Philadelphia Eagles Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
October 12, 2014 New York 0Philadelphia27-2.550.0
October 5, 2014 St. Louis 28Philadelphia34
September 28, 2014 Philadelphia 21San Francisco26
September 21, 2014 Washington 34Philadelphia37
September 15, 2014 Philadelphia 30Indianapolis27
September 7, 2014 Jacksonville 17Philadelphia34
January 4, 2014 New Orleans 26Philadelphia24-3.055.5

This season the Philadelphia Eagles have played 2 games on the road, averaging 25.5 points per game, while allowing 26.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 1-1. Let's have a closer look at recent Philadelphia Eagles results on the road.

Recent Philadelphia Eagles Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
September 28, 2014 Philadelphia 21San Francisco26
September 15, 2014 Philadelphia 30Indianapolis27
December 29, 2013 Philadelphia 24Dallas227.554.0
December 15, 2013 Philadelphia 30Minnesota486.550.5
November 10, 2013 Philadelphia 27Green Bay131.047.0

Can the New Orleans Saints Cover the Spread?

This season the New Orleans Saints have played 6 games, averaging 25.8 points per game, while allowing 27.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 2-1. Let's have a closer look at recent New Orleans Saints results.

Recent New Orleans Saints Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
October 19, 2014 New Orleans 23Detroit24-2.047.0
October 5, 2014 Tampa Bay 31New Orleans37
September 28, 2014 New Orleans 17Dallas38
September 21, 2014 Minnesota 9New Orleans20-8.551.0
September 14, 2014 New Orleans 24Cleveland26
September 7, 2014 New Orleans 34Atlanta37
January 11, 2014 New Orleans 15Seattle23-10.043.5
January 4, 2014 New Orleans 26Philadelphia24-3.055.5
December 29, 2013 Tampa Bay 17New Orleans42-11.047.0
December 22, 2013 New Orleans 13Carolina17-3.544.5

This season the New Orleans Saints have played 2 games here at home, averaging 28.5 points per game, while allowing 20.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 2-0. Let's have a closer look at recent New Orleans Saints results when playing at home.

Recent New Orleans Saints Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
October 5, 2014 Tampa Bay 31New Orleans37
September 21, 2014 Minnesota 9New Orleans20-8.551.0
December 29, 2013 Tampa Bay 17New Orleans42-11.047.0
December 8, 2013 Carolina 13New Orleans31-3.046.5
November 17, 2013 San Francisco 20New Orleans23-3.550.0
November 10, 2013 Dallas 17New Orleans49-6.054.0
October 27, 2013 Buffalo 17New Orleans35-11.048.0
September 30, 2013 Miami 17New Orleans38-7.048.5
September 22, 2013 Arizona 7New Orleans31-9.049.0
September 8, 2013 Atlanta 17New Orleans23-3.554.5

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