The Clemson Tigers travel to Duke to play the Blue Devils at 7:00 PM on Saturday, November 3, 2012. Duke is the underdog in this matchup, getting 12.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 68.0.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAF sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 3, 2012 | Clemson | 56 | Duke | 20 | 12.0 | 68.0 |
| November 15, 2008 | Duke | 7 | Clemson | 31 | -10.5 | 46.0 |
| November 3, 2007 | Clemson | 47 | Duke | 10 | ||
| November 5, 2005 | Duke | 20 | Clemson | 49 | ||
| November 13, 2004 | Clemson | 13 | Duke | 16 | ||
| November 15, 2003 | Duke | 7 | Clemson | 40 | ||
| November 2, 2002 | Clemson | 34 | Duke | 31 | ||
| December 1, 2001 | Duke | 31 | Clemson | 59 | ||
| November 6, 1999 | Duke | 7 | Clemson | 58 | ||
| November 18, 1997 | Duke | 20 | Clemson | 29 |
When looking at the last 16 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 10 games compared to 6 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Clemson/Duke series is 28.9 ppg while the vistor has put up 23.3 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 5.6 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 16 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 5.6 ppg. That represents a value number of 17.6 when meassured against the offered line of 12.0, suggesting a wager on Duke makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 16 games between the Tigers and the Blue Devils is 52.2 per game. That creates a differential of 15.8 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 68.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Clemson as the road team and with Duke as the home team.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 3, 2012 | Clemson | 56 | Duke | 20 | 12.0 | 68.0 |
| November 3, 2007 | Clemson | 47 | Duke | 10 | ||
| November 13, 2004 | Clemson | 13 | Duke | 16 | ||
| November 2, 2002 | Clemson | 34 | Duke | 31 | ||
| Clemson | 13 | Duke | 19 | |||
| Clemson | 52 | Duke | 22 | |||
| Clemson | 13 | Duke | 6 |
When looking at the last 9 games in this series while Duke has been the home team, we can see the Blue Devils have won 3 games compared to 6 wins for the Tigers. Average points scored per game by Duke in this situation is is 18 ppg while Clemson has put up 29.3 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 11.3 favoring the Blue Devils.
Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 11.3 ppg. That represents a value number of 23.3 when meassured against the offered line of 12.0, suggesting a wager on the Blue Devils makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks betting against the number looking at the series situation in the vacuum of this trend.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 9 games between the Tigers and the Blue Devils is 47.3 per game. That creates a differential of 20.7 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 68.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
This season the Clemson Tigers have played 13 games, averaging 41.0 points per game, while allowing 24.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 11-2. Let's have a closer look at recent Clemson Tigers results.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2012 | Clemson | 25 | LSU | 24 | -4.5 | 60.0 |
| November 24, 2012 | South Carolina | 27 | Clemson | 17 | -4.0 | 61.5 |
| November 17, 2012 | NC State | 48 | Clemson | 62 | -15.0 | 65.5 |
| November 10, 2012 | Maryland | 10 | Clemson | 45 | -31.5 | 55.5 |
| November 3, 2012 | Clemson | 56 | Duke | 20 | 12.0 | 68.0 |
| October 25, 2012 | Clemson | 42 | Wake Forest | 13 | 12.0 | 60.0 |
| October 20, 2012 | Virginia Tech | 17 | Clemson | 38 | -7.5 | 62.0 |
This season the Clemson Tigers have played 6 games on the road, averaging 38.5 points per game, while allowing 26.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 5-1. Let's have a closer look at recent Clemson Tigers results on the road.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2012 | Clemson | 25 | LSU | 24 | -4.5 | 60.0 |
| November 3, 2012 | Clemson | 56 | Duke | 20 | 12.0 | 68.0 |
| October 25, 2012 | Clemson | 42 | Wake Forest | 13 | 12.0 | 60.0 |
| September 29, 2012 | Clemson | 45 | Boston College | 31 | 7.0 | 59.5 |
| September 22, 2012 | Clemson | 37 | Florida St. | 49 | -14.5 | 54.0 |
This season the Duke Blue Devils have played 14 games, averaging 32.5 points per game, while allowing 37.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 6-2. Let's have a closer look at recent Duke Blue Devils results.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 27, 2012 | Cincinnati | 48 | Duke | 34 | 9.5 | 62.0 |
| November 24, 2012 | Miami - FL | 52 | Duke | 45 | ||
| November 24, 2012 | Miami - FL | 52 | Duke | 45 | 6.5 | 69.0 |
| November 17, 2012 | Duke | 24 | Georgia Tech | 42 | -12.0 | 67.0 |
| November 3, 2012 | Clemson | 56 | Duke | 20 | 12.0 | 68.0 |
| October 27, 2012 | Duke | 7 | Florida St. | 48 | -27.0 | 55.0 |
| October 20, 2012 | North Carolina | 30 | Duke | 33 | 10.0 | 64.0 |
| October 13, 2012 | Duke | 20 | Virginia Tech | 41 | -9.5 | 54.5 |
| October 6, 2012 | Virginia | 17 | Duke | 42 | -2.0 | 56.5 |
| September 29, 2012 | Duke | 34 | Wake Forest | 27 | -2.0 | 60.0 |
This season the Duke Blue Devils have played 9 games here at home, averaging 39.7 points per game, while allowing 34.7 points per game. This has led to a season record of 5-4. Let's have a closer look at recent Duke Blue Devils results when playing at home.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 27, 2012 | Cincinnati | 48 | Duke | 34 | 9.5 | 62.0 |
| November 24, 2012 | Miami - FL | 52 | Duke | 45 | ||
| November 24, 2012 | Miami - FL | 52 | Duke | 45 | 6.5 | 69.0 |
| November 3, 2012 | Clemson | 56 | Duke | 20 | 12.0 | 68.0 |
| October 20, 2012 | North Carolina | 30 | Duke | 33 | 10.0 | 64.0 |
| October 6, 2012 | Virginia | 17 | Duke | 42 | -2.0 | 56.5 |
| September 22, 2012 | Memphis | 14 | Duke | 38 | -21.5 | 60.5 |
| September 15, 2012 | NC Central | 17 | Duke | 54 | ||
| September 1, 2012 | Fla-International | 26 | Duke | 46 | -3.0 | 53.0 |
| November 19, 2011 | Georgia Tech | 38 | Duke | 31 | 10.0 | 59.0 |