NCAAF Betting Preview & Picks

Clemson Tigers vs Duke Blue Devils

Game Date: Saturday, November 3, 2012 | Game Time: 7:00 PM | Home Line: 12.0 | Total: 68.0

by Lock Ness Sports

Clemson Tigers v Duke Blue Devils Series Betting Trends

The Clemson Tigers travel to Duke to play the Blue Devils at 7:00 PM on Saturday, November 3, 2012. Duke is the underdog in this matchup, getting 12.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 68.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAF sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Tigers/Blue Devils Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 3, 2012 Clemson 56Duke2012.068.0
November 15, 2008 Duke 7Clemson31-10.546.0
November 3, 2007 Clemson 47Duke10
November 5, 2005 Duke 20Clemson49
November 13, 2004 Clemson 13Duke16
November 15, 2003 Duke 7Clemson40
November 2, 2002 Clemson 34Duke31
December 1, 2001 Duke 31Clemson59
November 6, 1999 Duke 7Clemson58
November 18, 1997 Duke 20Clemson29

When looking at the last 16 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 10 games compared to 6 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Clemson/Duke series is 28.9 ppg while the vistor has put up 23.3 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 5.6 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 16 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 5.6 ppg. That represents a value number of 17.6 when meassured against the offered line of 12.0, suggesting a wager on Duke makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 16 games between the Tigers and the Blue Devils is 52.2 per game. That creates a differential of 15.8 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 68.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Clemson as the road team and with Duke as the home team.

Recent Results when Clemson visits Duke

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 3, 2012 Clemson 56Duke2012.068.0
November 3, 2007 Clemson 47Duke10
November 13, 2004 Clemson 13Duke16
November 2, 2002 Clemson 34Duke31
Clemson 13Duke19
Clemson 52Duke22
Clemson 13Duke6

When looking at the last 9 games in this series while Duke has been the home team, we can see the Blue Devils have won 3 games compared to 6 wins for the Tigers. Average points scored per game by Duke in this situation is is 18 ppg while Clemson has put up 29.3 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 11.3 favoring the Blue Devils.

Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 11.3 ppg. That represents a value number of 23.3 when meassured against the offered line of 12.0, suggesting a wager on the Blue Devils makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks betting against the number looking at the series situation in the vacuum of this trend.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 9 games between the Tigers and the Blue Devils is 47.3 per game. That creates a differential of 20.7 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 68.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the Clemson Tigers Cover the Spread?

This season the Clemson Tigers have played 11 games, averaging 29.6 points per game, while allowing 17.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 8-3. Let's have a closer look at recent Clemson Tigers results.

Recent Clemson Tigers Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 22, 2014 Georgia St. 0Clemson28-39.557.5
November 15, 2014 Clemson 6Georgia Tech282.561.0
November 6, 2014 Clemson 34Wake Forest2021.042.5
October 25, 2014 Syracuse 6Clemson16-16.546.0
October 18, 2014 Clemson 17Boston College135.546.0
October 11, 2014 Louisville 17Clemson23-9.547.0
October 4, 2014 NC State 0Clemson41-13.567.5

This season the Clemson Tigers have played 5 games on the road, averaging 19.0 points per game, while allowing 25.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 2-3. Let's have a closer look at recent Clemson Tigers results on the road.

Recent Clemson Tigers Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 15, 2014 Clemson 6Georgia Tech282.561.0
November 6, 2014 Clemson 34Wake Forest2021.042.5
October 18, 2014 Clemson 17Boston College135.546.0
September 20, 2014 Clemson 17Florida St.23-10.054.5
August 30, 2014 Clemson 21Georgia45-10.053.5

Can the Duke Blue Devils Cover the Spread?

This season the Duke Blue Devils have played 11 games, averaging 31.7 points per game, while allowing 20.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 8-3. Let's have a closer look at recent Duke Blue Devils results.

Recent Duke Blue Devils Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 20, 2014 North Carolina 45Duke20-6.066.5
November 15, 2014 Virginia Tech 17Duke16-4.047.5
November 8, 2014 Duke 27Syracuse103.552.0
November 1, 2014 Duke 51Pittsburgh48-3.049.0
October 18, 2014 Virginia 13Duke20-3.050.0
October 11, 2014 Duke 31Georgia Tech25-3.061.0
September 27, 2014 Duke 10Miami - FL22-5.059.5
September 20, 2014 Tulane 13Duke47-17.058.5
September 13, 2014 Kansas 3Duke41-14.056.0
September 6, 2014 Duke 34Troy St.1717.564.0

This season the Duke Blue Devils have played 6 games here at home, averaging 32.7 points per game, while allowing 17.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 4-2. Let's have a closer look at recent Duke Blue Devils results when playing at home.

Recent Duke Blue Devils Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 20, 2014 North Carolina 45Duke20-6.066.5
November 15, 2014 Virginia Tech 17Duke16-4.047.5
October 18, 2014 Virginia 13Duke20-3.050.0
September 20, 2014 Tulane 13Duke47-17.058.5
September 13, 2014 Kansas 3Duke41-14.056.0
August 30, 2014 Elon College 13Duke52
November 16, 2013 Miami - FL 30Duke483.562.0
November 9, 2013 NC State 20Duke38-10.055.5
October 12, 2013 Navy 7Duke35-4.056.5
September 28, 2013 Troy St. 31Duke38-12.569.0

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