NCAAF Betting Preview & Picks

Michigan Wolverines vs Minnesota Golden Gophers

Game Date: Saturday, November 3, 2012 | Game Time: 12:00 PM | Home Line: 10.0 | Total: 46.5

Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com Staff

Michigan Wolverines v Minnesota Golden Gophers Series Betting Trends

The Michigan Wolverines travel to Minnesota to play the Golden Gophers at 12:00 PM on Saturday, November 3, 2012. Minnesota is the underdog in this matchup, getting 10.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 46.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAF sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Wolverines/Golden Gophers Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 3, 2012 Michigan 35Minnesota1310.046.5
October 1, 2011 Minnesota 0Michigan58-20.054.0
November 8, 2008 Michigan 29Minnesota6-7.548.0
October 27, 2007 Minnesota 10Michigan34
September 30, 2006 Michigan 28Minnesota14
October 8, 2005 Minnesota 23Michigan20
October 9, 2004 Minnesota 24Michigan27
October 10, 2003 Michigan 38Minnesota35
November 9, 2002 Michigan 41Minnesota24
November 10, 2001 Minnesota 10Michigan31

When looking at the last 16 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 7 games compared to 9 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Michigan/Minnesota series is 25.2 ppg while the vistor has put up 24.8 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 0.4 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 16 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 0.4 ppg. That represents a value number of 10.4 when meassured against the offered line of 10.0, suggesting a wager on Minnesota makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 16 games between the Wolverines and the Golden Gophers is 50 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 3.5 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 46.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Michigan as the road team and with Minnesota as the home team.

Recent Results when Michigan visits Minnesota

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 3, 2012 Michigan 35Minnesota1310.046.5
November 8, 2008 Michigan 29Minnesota6-7.548.0
September 30, 2006 Michigan 28Minnesota14
October 10, 2003 Michigan 38Minnesota35
November 9, 2002 Michigan 41Minnesota24
Michigan 58Minnesota7
Michigan 44Minnesota10

When looking at the last 8 games in this series while Minnesota has been the home team, we can see the Golden Gophers have won 0 games compared to 8 wins for the Wolverines. Average points scored per game by Minnesota in this situation is is 14.9 ppg while Michigan has put up 36 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 21.1 favoring the Golden Gophers.

Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 21.1 ppg. That represents a value number of 31.1 when meassured against the offered line of 10.0, suggesting a wager on the Golden Gophers makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks betting against the number looking at the series situation in the vacuum of this trend.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 8 games between the Wolverines and the Golden Gophers is 50.9 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 4.4 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 46.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the Michigan Wolverines Cover the Spread?

This season the Michigan Wolverines have played 13 games, averaging 29.8 points per game, while allowing 19.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 8-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Michigan Wolverines results.

Recent Michigan Wolverines Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 1, 2013 Michigan 28South Carolina33-5.547.5
November 24, 2012 Michigan 21Ohio St.26-4.053.5
November 17, 2012 Iowa 17Michigan42-17.046.5
November 10, 2012 Northwestern 31Michigan38-8.552.0
November 3, 2012 Michigan 35Minnesota1310.046.5
October 27, 2012 Michigan 9Nebraska23-1.058.5
October 20, 2012 Michigan St. 10Michigan12-8.543.0

This season the Michigan Wolverines have played 7 games on the road, averaging 22.4 points per game, while allowing 23.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 2-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Michigan Wolverines results on the road.

Recent Michigan Wolverines Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 1, 2013 Michigan 28South Carolina33-5.547.5
November 24, 2012 Michigan 21Ohio St.26-4.053.5
November 3, 2012 Michigan 35Minnesota1310.046.5
October 27, 2012 Michigan 9Nebraska23-1.058.5
October 6, 2012 Michigan 44Purdue133.054.5

Can the Minnesota Golden Gophers Cover the Spread?

This season the Minnesota Golden Gophers have played 13 games, averaging 22.1 points per game, while allowing 24.7 points per game. This has led to a season record of 6-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Minnesota Golden Gophers results.

Recent Minnesota Golden Gophers Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 28, 2012 Minnesota 31Texas Tech34-13.055.0
November 24, 2012 Michigan St. 26Minnesota107.539.0
November 17, 2012 Minnesota 14Nebraska38-21.052.0
November 10, 2012 Minnesota 17Illinois33.045.5
November 3, 2012 Michigan 35Minnesota1310.046.5
October 27, 2012 Purdue 28Minnesota443.051.0
October 20, 2012 Minnesota 13Wisconsin38-15.545.0
October 13, 2012 Northwestern 21Minnesota133.052.0
September 29, 2012 Minnesota 13Iowa31-6.545.0
September 22, 2012 Syracuse 10Minnesota172.554.0

This season the Minnesota Golden Gophers have played 7 games here at home, averaging 24.1 points per game, while allowing 21.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 4-3. Let's have a closer look at recent Minnesota Golden Gophers results when playing at home.

Recent Minnesota Golden Gophers Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 24, 2012 Michigan St. 26Minnesota107.539.0
November 3, 2012 Michigan 35Minnesota1310.046.5
October 27, 2012 Purdue 28Minnesota443.051.0
October 13, 2012 Northwestern 21Minnesota133.052.0
September 22, 2012 Syracuse 10Minnesota172.554.0
September 15, 2012 Western Michigan 23Minnesota28-3.055.5
September 8, 2012 New Hampshire 7Minnesota44
November 26, 2011 Illinois 7Minnesota2711.043.0
November 12, 2011 Wisconsin 42Minnesota1330.064.0
October 29, 2011 Iowa 21Minnesota2215.555.0

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