The Michigan Wolverines travel to Minnesota to play the Golden Gophers at 12:00 PM on Saturday, November 3, 2012. Minnesota is the underdog in this matchup, getting 10.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 46.5.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAF sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 3, 2012 | Michigan | 35 | Minnesota | 13 | 10.0 | 46.5 |
| October 1, 2011 | Minnesota | 0 | Michigan | 58 | -20.0 | 54.0 |
| November 8, 2008 | Michigan | 29 | Minnesota | 6 | -7.5 | 48.0 |
| October 27, 2007 | Minnesota | 10 | Michigan | 34 | ||
| September 30, 2006 | Michigan | 28 | Minnesota | 14 | ||
| October 8, 2005 | Minnesota | 23 | Michigan | 20 | ||
| October 9, 2004 | Minnesota | 24 | Michigan | 27 | ||
| October 10, 2003 | Michigan | 38 | Minnesota | 35 | ||
| November 9, 2002 | Michigan | 41 | Minnesota | 24 | ||
| November 10, 2001 | Minnesota | 10 | Michigan | 31 |
When looking at the last 16 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 7 games compared to 9 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Michigan/Minnesota series is 25.2 ppg while the vistor has put up 24.8 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 0.4 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 16 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 0.4 ppg. That represents a value number of 10.4 when meassured against the offered line of 10.0, suggesting a wager on Minnesota makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 16 games between the Wolverines and the Golden Gophers is 50 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 3.5 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 46.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Michigan as the road team and with Minnesota as the home team.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 3, 2012 | Michigan | 35 | Minnesota | 13 | 10.0 | 46.5 |
| November 8, 2008 | Michigan | 29 | Minnesota | 6 | -7.5 | 48.0 |
| September 30, 2006 | Michigan | 28 | Minnesota | 14 | ||
| October 10, 2003 | Michigan | 38 | Minnesota | 35 | ||
| November 9, 2002 | Michigan | 41 | Minnesota | 24 | ||
| Michigan | 58 | Minnesota | 7 | |||
| Michigan | 44 | Minnesota | 10 |
When looking at the last 8 games in this series while Minnesota has been the home team, we can see the Golden Gophers have won 0 games compared to 8 wins for the Wolverines. Average points scored per game by Minnesota in this situation is is 14.9 ppg while Michigan has put up 36 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 21.1 favoring the Golden Gophers.
Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 21.1 ppg. That represents a value number of 31.1 when meassured against the offered line of 10.0, suggesting a wager on the Golden Gophers makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks betting against the number looking at the series situation in the vacuum of this trend.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 8 games between the Wolverines and the Golden Gophers is 50.9 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 4.4 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 46.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
This season the Michigan Wolverines have played 13 games, averaging 29.8 points per game, while allowing 19.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 8-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Michigan Wolverines results.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 1, 2013 | Michigan | 28 | South Carolina | 33 | -5.5 | 47.5 |
| November 24, 2012 | Michigan | 21 | Ohio St. | 26 | -4.0 | 53.5 |
| November 17, 2012 | Iowa | 17 | Michigan | 42 | -17.0 | 46.5 |
| November 10, 2012 | Northwestern | 31 | Michigan | 38 | -8.5 | 52.0 |
| November 3, 2012 | Michigan | 35 | Minnesota | 13 | 10.0 | 46.5 |
| October 27, 2012 | Michigan | 9 | Nebraska | 23 | -1.0 | 58.5 |
| October 20, 2012 | Michigan St. | 10 | Michigan | 12 | -8.5 | 43.0 |
This season the Michigan Wolverines have played 7 games on the road, averaging 22.4 points per game, while allowing 23.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 2-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Michigan Wolverines results on the road.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 1, 2013 | Michigan | 28 | South Carolina | 33 | -5.5 | 47.5 |
| November 24, 2012 | Michigan | 21 | Ohio St. | 26 | -4.0 | 53.5 |
| November 3, 2012 | Michigan | 35 | Minnesota | 13 | 10.0 | 46.5 |
| October 27, 2012 | Michigan | 9 | Nebraska | 23 | -1.0 | 58.5 |
| October 6, 2012 | Michigan | 44 | Purdue | 13 | 3.0 | 54.5 |
This season the Minnesota Golden Gophers have played 13 games, averaging 22.1 points per game, while allowing 24.7 points per game. This has led to a season record of 6-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Minnesota Golden Gophers results.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 28, 2012 | Minnesota | 31 | Texas Tech | 34 | -13.0 | 55.0 |
| November 24, 2012 | Michigan St. | 26 | Minnesota | 10 | 7.5 | 39.0 |
| November 17, 2012 | Minnesota | 14 | Nebraska | 38 | -21.0 | 52.0 |
| November 10, 2012 | Minnesota | 17 | Illinois | 3 | 3.0 | 45.5 |
| November 3, 2012 | Michigan | 35 | Minnesota | 13 | 10.0 | 46.5 |
| October 27, 2012 | Purdue | 28 | Minnesota | 44 | 3.0 | 51.0 |
| October 20, 2012 | Minnesota | 13 | Wisconsin | 38 | -15.5 | 45.0 |
| October 13, 2012 | Northwestern | 21 | Minnesota | 13 | 3.0 | 52.0 |
| September 29, 2012 | Minnesota | 13 | Iowa | 31 | -6.5 | 45.0 |
| September 22, 2012 | Syracuse | 10 | Minnesota | 17 | 2.5 | 54.0 |
This season the Minnesota Golden Gophers have played 7 games here at home, averaging 24.1 points per game, while allowing 21.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 4-3. Let's have a closer look at recent Minnesota Golden Gophers results when playing at home.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 24, 2012 | Michigan St. | 26 | Minnesota | 10 | 7.5 | 39.0 |
| November 3, 2012 | Michigan | 35 | Minnesota | 13 | 10.0 | 46.5 |
| October 27, 2012 | Purdue | 28 | Minnesota | 44 | 3.0 | 51.0 |
| October 13, 2012 | Northwestern | 21 | Minnesota | 13 | 3.0 | 52.0 |
| September 22, 2012 | Syracuse | 10 | Minnesota | 17 | 2.5 | 54.0 |
| September 15, 2012 | Western Michigan | 23 | Minnesota | 28 | -3.0 | 55.5 |
| September 8, 2012 | New Hampshire | 7 | Minnesota | 44 | ||
| November 26, 2011 | Illinois | 7 | Minnesota | 27 | 11.0 | 43.0 |
| November 12, 2011 | Wisconsin | 42 | Minnesota | 13 | 30.0 | 64.0 |
| October 29, 2011 | Iowa | 21 | Minnesota | 22 | 15.5 | 55.0 |