NCAAF Betting Preview & Picks

Northern Illinois Huskies vs Western Michigan Broncos

Game Date: Saturday, October 27, 2012 | Game Time: 12:00 PM | Home Line: 7.5 | Total: 58.5

Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com Staff

Northern Illinois Huskies v Western Michigan Broncos Series Betting Trends

The Northern Illinois Huskies travel to Western Michigan to play the Broncos at 12:00 PM on Saturday, October 27, 2012. Western Michigan is the underdog in this matchup, getting 7.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 58.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAF sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Huskies/Broncos Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
October 27, 2012 Northern Illinois 48Western Michigan347.558.5
October 15, 2011 Western Michigan 22Northern Illinois511.568.0
October 30, 2010 Northern Illinois 28Western Michigan217.054.5
September 6, 2008 Northern Illinois 26Western Michigan29
October 13, 2007 Western Michigan 17Northern Illinois13
October 14, 2006 Northern Illinois 14Western Michigan16
November 23, 2005 Western Michigan 7Northern Illinois42
October 23, 2004 Northern Illinois 59Western Michigan38
October 18, 2003 Western Michigan 10Northern Illinois37
October 26, 2002 Northern Illinois 24Western Michigan20

When looking at the last 14 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 8 games compared to 6 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Northern Illinois/Western Michigan series is 30.8 ppg while the vistor has put up 24 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 6.8 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 14 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 6.8 ppg. That represents a value number of 14.3 when meassured against the offered line of 7.5, suggesting a wager on Western Michigan makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 14 games between the Huskies and the Broncos is 54.8 per game. That creates a differential of 3.7 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 58.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Northern Illinois as the road team and with Western Michigan as the home team.

Recent Results when Northern Illinois visits Western Michigan

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
October 27, 2012 Northern Illinois 48Western Michigan347.558.5
October 30, 2010 Northern Illinois 28Western Michigan217.054.5
September 6, 2008 Northern Illinois 26Western Michigan29
October 14, 2006 Northern Illinois 14Western Michigan16
October 23, 2004 Northern Illinois 59Western Michigan38
October 26, 2002 Northern Illinois 24Western Michigan20
Northern Illinois 23Western Michigan37

When looking at the last 8 games in this series while Western Michigan has been the home team, we can see the Broncos have won 4 games compared to 4 wins for the Huskies. Average points scored per game by Western Michigan in this situation is is 30.9 ppg while Northern Illinois has put up 30.5 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 0.4 favoring the Broncos.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 0.4 ppg. That represents a value number of 7.9 when meassured against the offered line of 7.5, suggesting a wager on the Broncos makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 8 games between the Huskies and the Broncos is 61.4 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 2.9 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 58.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the Northern Illinois Huskies Cover the Spread?

This season the Northern Illinois Huskies have played 14 games, averaging 38.6 points per game, while allowing 19.9 points per game. This has led to a season record of 12-2. Let's have a closer look at recent Northern Illinois Huskies results.

Recent Northern Illinois Huskies Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 1, 2013 Northern Illinois 10Florida St.31-14.059.5
November 30, 2012 Northern Illinois 44Kent St.377.557.5
November 23, 2012 Northern Illinois 49Eastern Michigan720.561.5
November 14, 2012 Toledo 24Northern Illinois31-10.069.0
November 3, 2012 Massachusetts 0Northern Illinois63-35.058.0
October 27, 2012 Northern Illinois 48Western Michigan347.558.5
October 20, 2012 Northern Illinois 37Akron717.066.0

This season the Northern Illinois Huskies have played 7 games on the road, averaging 37.7 points per game, while allowing 25.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 6-1. Let's have a closer look at recent Northern Illinois Huskies results on the road.

Recent Northern Illinois Huskies Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 1, 2013 Northern Illinois 10Florida St.31-14.059.5
November 30, 2012 Northern Illinois 44Kent St.377.557.5
November 23, 2012 Northern Illinois 49Eastern Michigan720.561.5
October 27, 2012 Northern Illinois 48Western Michigan347.558.5
October 20, 2012 Northern Illinois 37Akron717.066.0

Can the Western Michigan Broncos Cover the Spread?

This season the Western Michigan Broncos have played 12 games, averaging 29.3 points per game, while allowing 29.7 points per game. This has led to a season record of 4-2. Let's have a closer look at recent Western Michigan Broncos results.

Recent Western Michigan Broncos Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 17, 2012 Eastern Michigan 29Western Michigan23-13.562.0
November 10, 2012 Western Michigan 24Buffalo292.554.0
November 3, 2012 Western Michigan 42Central Michigan311.060.5
October 27, 2012 Northern Illinois 48Western Michigan347.558.5
October 20, 2012 Western Michigan 24Kent St.41-3.553.5
October 13, 2012 Western Michigan 24Ball St.30-2.566.0
October 6, 2012 Massachusetts 14Western Michigan52-17.055.5
September 29, 2012 Toledo 37Western Michigan17-1.557.0
September 22, 2012 Connecticut 24Western Michigan30-1.041.5
September 15, 2012 Western Michigan 23Minnesota28-3.055.5

This season the Western Michigan Broncos have played 6 games here at home, averaging 34.7 points per game, while allowing 28.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 3-3. Let's have a closer look at recent Western Michigan Broncos results when playing at home.

Recent Western Michigan Broncos Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 17, 2012 Eastern Michigan 29Western Michigan23-13.562.0
October 27, 2012 Northern Illinois 48Western Michigan347.558.5
October 6, 2012 Massachusetts 14Western Michigan52-17.055.5
September 29, 2012 Toledo 37Western Michigan17-1.557.0
September 22, 2012 Connecticut 24Western Michigan30-1.041.5
September 8, 2012 Eastern Illinois 21Western Michigan52
November 25, 2011 Akron 19Western Michigan68-27.060.0
October 29, 2011 Ball St. 35Western Michigan45-12.558.0
October 8, 2011 Bowling Green 21Western Michigan45-10.060.5
September 17, 2011 Central Michigan 14Western Michigan44-6.553.0

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