NFL Betting Preview & Picks

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

Game Date: Thursday, October 18, 2012 | Game Time: 8:25 PM | Home Line: -8.0 | Total: 37.5

by Bill Fishman

Seattle Seahawks v San Francisco 49ers Series Betting Trends

The Seattle Seahawks travel to San Francisco to play the 49ers at 8:25 PM on Thursday, October 18, 2012. San Francisco is the favorite in this matchup, laying -8.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 37.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NFL sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Seahawks/49ers Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 19, 2014 San Francisco 17Seattle23-4.040.0
December 8, 2013 Seattle 17San Francisco19-2.541.0
September 15, 2013 San Francisco 3Seattle29-3.044.0
December 23, 2012 San Francisco 13Seattle42-2.540.0
October 18, 2012 Seattle 6San Francisco13-8.037.5
December 24, 2011 San Francisco 19Seattle171.037.5
September 11, 2011 Seattle 17San Francisco333.5
December 12, 2010 Seattle 21San Francisco40-5.041.5
September 12, 2010 San Francisco 6Seattle313.036.5
December 6, 2009 San Francisco 17Seattle201.041.5

When looking at the last 30 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 18 games compared to 12 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Seattle/San Francisco series is 23.7 ppg while the vistor has put up 18 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 5.7 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 30 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 5.7 ppg. That represents a value number of -2.3 when meassured against the offered line of -8.0, suggesting a wager on Seattle makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 30 games between the Seahawks and the 49ers is 41.7 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 4.2 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 37.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Seattle as the road team and with San Francisco as the home team.

Recent Results when Seattle visits San Francisco

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 8, 2013 Seattle 17San Francisco19-2.541.0
October 18, 2012 Seattle 6San Francisco13-8.037.5
September 11, 2011 Seattle 17San Francisco333.5
December 12, 2010 Seattle 21San Francisco40-5.041.5
September 20, 2009 Seattle 10San Francisco23-1.039.5
October 26, 2008 Seattle 34San Francisco13-9.543.0
September 30, 2007 Seattle 23San Francisco3

When looking at the last 12 games in this series while San Francisco has been the home team, we can see the 49ers have won 7 games compared to 5 wins for the Seahawks. Average points scored per game by San Francisco in this situation is is 22 ppg while Seattle has put up 21.6 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 0.4 favoring the Seahawks.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 0.4 ppg. That represents a value number of -7.6 when meassured against the offered line of -8.0, suggesting a wager on the Seahawks makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 12 games between the Seahawks and the 49ers is 43.6 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 6.1 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 37.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the Seattle Seahawks Cover the Spread?

This season the Seattle Seahawks have played 6 games, averaging 22.7 points per game, while allowing 22.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 3-3. Let's have a closer look at recent Seattle Seahawks results.

Recent Seattle Seahawks Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
October 26, 2014 Seattle 13Carolina95.044.5
October 19, 2014 Seattle 26St. Louis286.542.5
October 12, 2014 Dallas 30Seattle23-8.546.5
October 6, 2014 Seattle 27Washington17
September 21, 2014 Denver 20Seattle26-4.548.5
September 14, 2014 Seattle 21San Diego30
February 2, 2014 Seattle 43Denver8-2.047.5

This season the Seattle Seahawks have played 4 games on the road, averaging 21.8 points per game, while allowing 21.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 2-2. Let's have a closer look at recent Seattle Seahawks results on the road.

Recent Seattle Seahawks Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
October 26, 2014 Seattle 13Carolina95.044.5
October 19, 2014 Seattle 26St. Louis286.542.5
October 6, 2014 Seattle 27Washington17
September 14, 2014 Seattle 21San Diego30
February 2, 2014 Seattle 43Denver8-2.047.5

Can the San Francisco 49ers Cover the Spread?

This season the San Francisco 49ers have played 7 games, averaging 22.6 points per game, while allowing 23.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 4-3. Let's have a closer look at recent San Francisco 49ers results.

Recent San Francisco 49ers Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
October 19, 2014 San Francisco 17Denver42-6.547.5
October 13, 2014 San Francisco 31St. Louis173.544.0
October 5, 2014 Kansas City 17San Francisco22-6.044.5
September 28, 2014 Philadelphia 21San Francisco26
September 21, 2014 San Francisco 14Arizona232.542.5
September 14, 2014 Chicago 28San Francisco20
September 7, 2014 San Francisco 28Dallas17
January 19, 2014 San Francisco 17Seattle23-4.040.0
January 12, 2014 San Francisco 23Carolina1041.0
January 5, 2014 San Francisco 23Green Bay203.046.0

This season the San Francisco 49ers have played 3 games here at home, averaging 22.7 points per game, while allowing 22.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 2-1. Let's have a closer look at recent San Francisco 49ers results when playing at home.

Recent San Francisco 49ers Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
October 5, 2014 Kansas City 17San Francisco22-6.044.5
September 28, 2014 Philadelphia 21San Francisco26
September 14, 2014 Chicago 28San Francisco20
December 23, 2013 Atlanta 24San Francisco34-14.046.0
December 8, 2013 Seattle 17San Francisco19-2.541.0
December 1, 2013 St. Louis 13San Francisco23-7.541.0
November 10, 2013 Carolina 10San Francisco9-5.543.0
October 13, 2013 Arizona 20San Francisco32-10.040.5
October 6, 2013 Houston 3San Francisco34-4.043.0
September 22, 2013 Indianapolis 27San Francisco7-10.545.5

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