NFL Betting Preview & Picks

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

Game Date: Thursday, October 18, 2012 | Game Time: 8:25 PM | Home Line: -8.0 | Total: 37.5

by Bill Fishman

Seattle Seahawks v San Francisco 49ers Series Betting Trends

The Seattle Seahawks travel to San Francisco to play the 49ers at 8:25 PM on Thursday, October 18, 2012. San Francisco is the favorite in this matchup, laying -8.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 37.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NFL sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Seahawks/49ers Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 14, 2014 San Francisco 7Seattle17-10.038.0
November 27, 2014 Seattle 19San Francisco3-2.040.0
January 19, 2014 San Francisco 17Seattle23-4.040.0
December 8, 2013 Seattle 17San Francisco19-2.541.0
September 15, 2013 San Francisco 3Seattle29-3.044.0
December 23, 2012 San Francisco 13Seattle42-2.540.0
October 18, 2012 Seattle 6San Francisco13-8.037.5
December 24, 2011 San Francisco 19Seattle171.037.5
September 11, 2011 Seattle 17San Francisco333.5
December 12, 2010 Seattle 21San Francisco40-5.041.5

When looking at the last 32 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 19 games compared to 13 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Seattle/San Francisco series is 22.8 ppg while the vistor has put up 17.7 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 5.1 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 32 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 5.1 ppg. That represents a value number of -2.9 when meassured against the offered line of -8.0, suggesting a wager on Seattle makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 32 games between the Seahawks and the 49ers is 40.5 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 3 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 37.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Seattle as the road team and with San Francisco as the home team.

Recent Results when Seattle visits San Francisco

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 27, 2014 Seattle 19San Francisco3-2.040.0
December 8, 2013 Seattle 17San Francisco19-2.541.0
October 18, 2012 Seattle 6San Francisco13-8.037.5
September 11, 2011 Seattle 17San Francisco333.5
December 12, 2010 Seattle 21San Francisco40-5.041.5
September 20, 2009 Seattle 10San Francisco23-1.039.5
October 26, 2008 Seattle 34San Francisco13-9.543.0

When looking at the last 13 games in this series while San Francisco has been the home team, we can see the 49ers have won 7 games compared to 6 wins for the Seahawks. Average points scored per game by San Francisco in this situation is is 20.5 ppg while Seattle has put up 21.4 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 0.9 favoring the Seahawks.

Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 0.9 ppg. That represents a value number of -7.1 when meassured against the offered line of -8.0, suggesting a wager on the Seahawks makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks betting against the number looking at the series situation in the vacuum of this trend.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 13 games between the Seahawks and the 49ers is 41.9 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 4.4 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 37.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the Seattle Seahawks Cover the Spread?

This season the Seattle Seahawks have played 15 games, averaging 23.9 points per game, while allowing 15.9 points per game. This has led to a season record of 11-4. Let's have a closer look at recent Seattle Seahawks results.

Recent Seattle Seahawks Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 28, 2014 St. Louis 6Seattle20-11.041.5
December 21, 2014 Seattle 35Arizona69.536.5
December 14, 2014 San Francisco 7Seattle17-10.038.0
December 7, 2014 Seattle 24Philadelphia14-1.048.0
November 27, 2014 Seattle 19San Francisco3-2.040.0
November 23, 2014 Arizona 3Seattle19-7.542.0
November 16, 2014 Seattle 20Kansas City24-1.043.5

This season the Seattle Seahawks have played 8 games on the road, averaging 23.1 points per game, while allowing 16.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 5-3. Let's have a closer look at recent Seattle Seahawks results on the road.

Recent Seattle Seahawks Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 21, 2014 Seattle 35Arizona69.536.5
December 7, 2014 Seattle 24Philadelphia14-1.048.0
November 27, 2014 Seattle 19San Francisco3-2.040.0
November 16, 2014 Seattle 20Kansas City24-1.043.5
October 26, 2014 Seattle 13Carolina95.044.5

Can the San Francisco 49ers Cover the Spread?

This season the San Francisco 49ers have played 16 games, averaging 19.1 points per game, while allowing 21.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 8-4. Let's have a closer look at recent San Francisco 49ers results.

Recent San Francisco 49ers Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 28, 2014 Arizona 17San Francisco20-7.037.5
December 20, 2014 San Diego 38San Francisco35-2.040.5
December 14, 2014 San Francisco 7Seattle17-10.038.0
December 7, 2014 San Francisco 13Oakland248.540.5
November 27, 2014 Seattle 19San Francisco3-2.040.0
November 23, 2014 Washington 13San Francisco17-9.044.0
November 16, 2014 San Francisco 16New York103.545.0
November 9, 2014 San Francisco 27New Orleans24-5.549.0
November 2, 2014 St. Louis 13San Francisco10-10.544.0
October 19, 2014 San Francisco 17Denver42-6.547.5

This season the San Francisco 49ers have played 8 games here at home, averaging 19.1 points per game, while allowing 20.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 4-4. Let's have a closer look at recent San Francisco 49ers results when playing at home.

Recent San Francisco 49ers Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 28, 2014 Arizona 17San Francisco20-7.037.5
December 20, 2014 San Diego 38San Francisco35-2.040.5
November 27, 2014 Seattle 19San Francisco3-2.040.0
November 23, 2014 Washington 13San Francisco17-9.044.0
November 2, 2014 St. Louis 13San Francisco10-10.544.0
October 5, 2014 Kansas City 17San Francisco22-6.044.5
September 28, 2014 Philadelphia 21San Francisco26
September 14, 2014 Chicago 28San Francisco20
December 23, 2013 Atlanta 24San Francisco34-14.046.0
December 8, 2013 Seattle 17San Francisco19-2.541.0

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