NCAAF Betting Preview & Picks

UL - Monroe Warhawks vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Game Date: Saturday, October 20, 2012 | Game Time: 4:00 PM | Home Line: -3.0 | Total: 50.0

by Matt Moorhead

UL - Monroe Warhawks v Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Series Betting Trends

The UL - Monroe Warhawks travel to Western Kentucky to play the Hilltoppers at 4:00 PM on Saturday, October 20, 2012. Western Kentucky is the favorite in this matchup, laying -3.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 50.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAF sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Warhawks/Hilltoppers Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
October 3, 2013 Western Kentucky 31UL - Monroe107.549.0
October 20, 2012 UL - Monroe 43Western Kentucky42-3.050.0
October 29, 2011 Western Kentucky 31UL - Monroe28-6.047.5

When looking at the last 3 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 0 games compared to 3 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the UL - Monroe/Western Kentucky series is 26.7 ppg while the vistor has put up 35 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 8.3 favoring the road team.

Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 8.3 ppg. That represents a value number of 5.3 when meassured against the offered line of -3.0, suggesting a wager on Western Kentucky makes the most sense - at least, when looking at the series trends from an historical perspective.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 3 games between the Warhawks and the Hilltoppers is 61.7 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 11.7 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 50.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with UL - Monroe as the road team and with Western Kentucky as the home team.

Recent Results when UL - Monroe visits Western Kentucky

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
October 20, 2012 UL - Monroe 43Western Kentucky42-3.050.0

When looking at the last 1 games in this series while Western Kentucky has been the home team, we can see the Hilltoppers have won 0 games compared to 1 wins for the Warhawks. Average points scored per game by Western Kentucky in this situation is is 42 ppg while UL - Monroe has put up 43 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1 favoring the Warhawks.

Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 1 ppg. That represents a value number of -2 when meassured against the offered line of -3.0, suggesting a wager on the Warhawks makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks betting against the number looking at the series situation in the vacuum of this trend.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 1 games between the Warhawks and the Hilltoppers is 85 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 35 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 50.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the UL - Monroe Warhawks Cover the Spread?

This season the UL - Monroe Warhawks have played 11 games, averaging 20.5 points per game, while allowing 26.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 4-7. Let's have a closer look at recent UL - Monroe Warhawks results.

Recent UL - Monroe Warhawks Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 22, 2014 UL - Monroe 30New Mexico St.175.556.0
November 15, 2014 UL - Lafayette 34UL - Monroe277.051.5
November 8, 2014 UL - Monroe 29Appalachian St.31-4.053.0
November 1, 2014 UL - Monroe 16Texas A&M21-32.060.0
October 25, 2014 Texas State 22UL - Monroe18-2.050.0
October 11, 2014 UL - Monroe 14Kentucky48-21.049.5
October 4, 2014 UL - Monroe 14Arkansas St.28-10.551.5

This season the UL - Monroe Warhawks have played 6 games on the road, averaging 17.2 points per game, while allowing 29.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 1-5. Let's have a closer look at recent UL - Monroe Warhawks results on the road.

Recent UL - Monroe Warhawks Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 22, 2014 UL - Monroe 30New Mexico St.175.556.0
November 8, 2014 UL - Monroe 29Appalachian St.31-4.053.0
November 1, 2014 UL - Monroe 16Texas A&M21-32.060.0
October 11, 2014 UL - Monroe 14Kentucky48-21.049.5
October 4, 2014 UL - Monroe 14Arkansas St.28-10.551.5

Can the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Cover the Spread?

This season the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have played 11 games, averaging 43.5 points per game, while allowing 42.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 5-7. Let's have a closer look at recent Western Kentucky Hilltoppers results.

Recent Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 22, 2014 Tex - San Antonio 64Western Kentucky63-9.558.0
November 15, 2014 Army 24Western Kentucky52-8.070.0
November 8, 2014 UTEP 27Western Kentucky35-8.569.0
November 1, 2014 Western Kentucky 10Louisiana Tech59-7.570.5
October 25, 2014 Old Dominion 51Western Kentucky66-14.077.0
October 18, 2014 Western Kentucky 38Florida Atlantic454.568.0
October 4, 2014 UAB 42Western Kentucky39-9.571.0
September 27, 2014 Western Kentucky 36Navy27-7.566.0
September 13, 2014 Western Kentucky 47Mid Tenn St.50-1.062.5
September 6, 2014 Western Kentucky 34Illinois42-3.568.5

This season the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have played 6 games here at home, averaging 52.3 points per game, while allowing 39.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 4-2. Let's have a closer look at recent Western Kentucky Hilltoppers results when playing at home.

Recent Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 22, 2014 Tex - San Antonio 64Western Kentucky63-9.558.0
November 15, 2014 Army 24Western Kentucky52-8.070.0
November 8, 2014 UTEP 27Western Kentucky35-8.569.0
October 25, 2014 Old Dominion 51Western Kentucky66-14.077.0
October 4, 2014 UAB 42Western Kentucky39-9.571.0
August 29, 2014 Bowling Green 31Western Kentucky597.063.5
November 30, 2013 Arkansas St. 31Western Kentucky34-6.055.5
October 26, 2013 Troy St. 32Western Kentucky26-10.063.0
October 15, 2013 UL - Lafayette 37Western Kentucky20-3.062.0
September 28, 2013 Navy 7Western Kentucky193.560.5

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