NCAAF Betting Preview & Picks

UL - Monroe Warhawks vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Game Date: Saturday, October 20, 2012 | Game Time: 4:00 PM | Home Line: -3.0 | Total: 50.0

by Tom Collins

UL - Monroe Warhawks v Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Series Betting Trends

The UL - Monroe Warhawks travel to Western Kentucky to play the Hilltoppers at 4:00 PM on Saturday, October 20, 2012. Western Kentucky is the favorite in this matchup, laying -3.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 50.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAF sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Warhawks/Hilltoppers Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
October 3, 2013 Western Kentucky 31UL - Monroe107.549.0
October 20, 2012 UL - Monroe 43Western Kentucky42-3.050.0
October 29, 2011 Western Kentucky 31UL - Monroe28-6.047.5

When looking at the last 3 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 0 games compared to 3 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the UL - Monroe/Western Kentucky series is 26.7 ppg while the vistor has put up 35 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 8.3 favoring the road team.

Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 8.3 ppg. That represents a value number of 5.3 when meassured against the offered line of -3.0, suggesting a wager on Western Kentucky makes the most sense - at least, when looking at the series trends from an historical perspective.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 3 games between the Warhawks and the Hilltoppers is 61.7 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 11.7 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 50.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with UL - Monroe as the road team and with Western Kentucky as the home team.

Recent Results when UL - Monroe visits Western Kentucky

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
October 20, 2012 UL - Monroe 43Western Kentucky42-3.050.0

When looking at the last 1 games in this series while Western Kentucky has been the home team, we can see the Hilltoppers have won 0 games compared to 1 wins for the Warhawks. Average points scored per game by Western Kentucky in this situation is is 42 ppg while UL - Monroe has put up 43 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1 favoring the Warhawks.

Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 1 ppg. That represents a value number of -2 when meassured against the offered line of -3.0, suggesting a wager on the Warhawks makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks betting against the number looking at the series situation in the vacuum of this trend.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 1 games between the Warhawks and the Hilltoppers is 85 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 35 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 50.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the UL - Monroe Warhawks Cover the Spread?

This season the UL - Monroe Warhawks have played 3 games, averaging 18.3 points per game, while allowing 24.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 2-1. Let's have a closer look at recent UL - Monroe Warhawks results.

Recent UL - Monroe Warhawks Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
September 13, 2014 UL - Monroe 0LSU31-30.549.5
September 6, 2014 Idaho 31UL - Monroe38-13.051.0
August 28, 2014 Wake Forest 10UL - Monroe17-1.545.0
November 30, 2013 UL - Monroe 31UL - Lafayette28-17.556.5
November 23, 2013 UL - Monroe 14South Alabama36-3.556.5
November 9, 2013 Arkansas St. 42UL - Monroe14-3.555.0
October 31, 2013 UL - Monroe 49Troy St.37-3.061.0

This season the UL - Monroe Warhawks have played 1 games on the road, averaging 0.0 points per game, while allowing 31.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 0-1. Let's have a closer look at recent UL - Monroe Warhawks results on the road.

Recent UL - Monroe Warhawks Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
September 13, 2014 UL - Monroe 0LSU31-30.549.5
November 30, 2013 UL - Monroe 31UL - Lafayette28-17.556.5
November 23, 2013 UL - Monroe 14South Alabama36-3.556.5
October 31, 2013 UL - Monroe 49Troy St.37-3.061.0
October 12, 2013 UL - Monroe 21Texas State14-6.045.0

Can the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Cover the Spread?

This season the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have played 3 games, averaging 46.7 points per game, while allowing 41.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 1-1. Let's have a closer look at recent Western Kentucky Hilltoppers results.

Recent Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
September 13, 2014 Western Kentucky 47Mid Tenn St.50-1.062.5
September 6, 2014 Western Kentucky 34Illinois42-3.568.5
August 29, 2014 Bowling Green 31Western Kentucky597.063.5
November 30, 2013 Arkansas St. 31Western Kentucky34-6.055.5
November 23, 2013 Western Kentucky 38Texas State75.050.5
November 9, 2013 Western Kentucky 21Army175.556.5
November 2, 2013 Western Kentucky 44Georgia St.2818.556.5
October 26, 2013 Troy St. 32Western Kentucky26-10.063.0
October 15, 2013 UL - Lafayette 37Western Kentucky20-3.062.0
October 3, 2013 Western Kentucky 31UL - Monroe107.549.0

This season the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have played 1 games here at home, averaging 59.0 points per game, while allowing 31.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 1-0. Let's have a closer look at recent Western Kentucky Hilltoppers results when playing at home.

Recent Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
August 29, 2014 Bowling Green 31Western Kentucky597.063.5
November 30, 2013 Arkansas St. 31Western Kentucky34-6.055.5
October 26, 2013 Troy St. 32Western Kentucky26-10.063.0
October 15, 2013 UL - Lafayette 37Western Kentucky20-3.062.0
September 28, 2013 Navy 7Western Kentucky193.560.5
September 21, 2013 Morgan State 17Western Kentucky58
August 31, 2013 Kentucky 26Western Kentucky354.555.0
December 26, 2012 Central Michigan 24Western Kentucky21-6.556.0
November 24, 2012 North Texas 24Western Kentucky25-11.051.0
November 10, 2012 Florida Atlantic 37Western Kentucky28-15.549.0

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