NCAAF Betting Preview & Picks

UL - Monroe Warhawks vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Game Date: Saturday, October 20, 2012 | Game Time: 4:00 PM | Home Line: -3.0 | Total: 50.0

Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com Staff

UL - Monroe Warhawks v Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Series Betting Trends

The UL - Monroe Warhawks travel to Western Kentucky to play the Hilltoppers at 4:00 PM on Saturday, October 20, 2012. Western Kentucky is the favorite in this matchup, laying -3.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 50.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAF sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Warhawks/Hilltoppers Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
October 20, 2012 UL - Monroe 43Western Kentucky42-3.050.0
October 29, 2011 Western Kentucky 31UL - Monroe28-6.047.5

When looking at the last 2 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 0 games compared to 2 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the UL - Monroe/Western Kentucky series is 35 ppg while the vistor has put up 37 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 2 favoring the road team.

Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 2 ppg. That represents a value number of -1 when meassured against the offered line of -3.0, suggesting a wager on UL - Monroe makes the most sense - at least, when looking at the series trends from an historical perspective.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 2 games between the Warhawks and the Hilltoppers is 72 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 22 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 50.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with UL - Monroe as the road team and with Western Kentucky as the home team.

Recent Results when UL - Monroe visits Western Kentucky

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
October 20, 2012 UL - Monroe 43Western Kentucky42-3.050.0

When looking at the last 1 games in this series while Western Kentucky has been the home team, we can see the Hilltoppers have won 0 games compared to 1 wins for the Warhawks. Average points scored per game by Western Kentucky in this situation is is 42 ppg while UL - Monroe has put up 43 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1 favoring the Warhawks.

Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 1 ppg. That represents a value number of -2 when meassured against the offered line of -3.0, suggesting a wager on the Warhawks makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks betting against the number looking at the series situation in the vacuum of this trend.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 1 games between the Warhawks and the Hilltoppers is 85 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 35 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 50.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the UL - Monroe Warhawks Cover the Spread?

This season the UL - Monroe Warhawks have played 13 games, averaging 33.8 points per game, while allowing 29.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 8-5. Let's have a closer look at recent UL - Monroe Warhawks results.

Recent UL - Monroe Warhawks Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 28, 2012 Ohio 45UL - Monroe14-7.060.0
November 24, 2012 UL - Monroe 23Fla-International174.561.0
November 17, 2012 North Texas 16UL - Monroe42-10.057.5
November 8, 2012 UL - Monroe 23Arkansas St.45-7.059.5
November 3, 2012 UL - Lafayette 40UL - Monroe24-9.562.0
October 27, 2012 South Alabama 24UL - Monroe38-22.054.0
October 20, 2012 UL - Monroe 43Western Kentucky42-3.050.0

This season the UL - Monroe Warhawks have played 7 games on the road, averaging 35.0 points per game, while allowing 27.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 5-2. Let's have a closer look at recent UL - Monroe Warhawks results on the road.

Recent UL - Monroe Warhawks Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 24, 2012 UL - Monroe 23Fla-International174.561.0
November 8, 2012 UL - Monroe 23Arkansas St.45-7.059.5
October 20, 2012 UL - Monroe 43Western Kentucky42-3.050.0
October 6, 2012 UL - Monroe 31Mid Tenn St.173.062.5
September 29, 2012 UL - Monroe 63Tulane1020.051.5

Can the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Cover the Spread?

This season the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have played 13 games, averaging 28.2 points per game, while allowing 25.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 7-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Western Kentucky Hilltoppers results.

Recent Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 26, 2012 Central Michigan 24Western Kentucky21-6.556.0
November 24, 2012 North Texas 24Western Kentucky25-11.051.0
November 17, 2012 Western Kentucky 27UL - Lafayette31-4.558.0
November 10, 2012 Florida Atlantic 37Western Kentucky28-15.549.0
November 1, 2012 Mid Tenn St. 34Western Kentucky29-8.554.0
October 27, 2012 Western Kentucky 14Fla-International66.551.5
October 20, 2012 UL - Monroe 43Western Kentucky42-3.050.0
October 11, 2012 Western Kentucky 31Troy St.261.555.0
September 29, 2012 Western Kentucky 26Arkansas St.132.557.0
September 22, 2012 Southern Miss 17Western Kentucky42-3.048.0

This season the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have played 7 games here at home, averaging 33.7 points per game, while allowing 27.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 3-4. Let's have a closer look at recent Western Kentucky Hilltoppers results when playing at home.

Recent Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 26, 2012 Central Michigan 24Western Kentucky21-6.556.0
November 24, 2012 North Texas 24Western Kentucky25-11.051.0
November 10, 2012 Florida Atlantic 37Western Kentucky28-15.549.0
November 1, 2012 Mid Tenn St. 34Western Kentucky29-8.554.0
October 20, 2012 UL - Monroe 43Western Kentucky42-3.050.0
September 22, 2012 Southern Miss 17Western Kentucky42-3.048.0
September 1, 2012 Austin Peay 10Western Kentucky49
November 26, 2011 Troy St. 18Western Kentucky41-5.550.5
November 5, 2011 Fla-International 9Western Kentucky103.049.5
October 22, 2011 UL - Lafayette 23Western Kentucky423.046.0

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