NCAAF Betting Preview & Picks

Western Michigan Broncos vs Kent St. Golden Flashes

Game Date: Saturday, October 20, 2012 | Game Time: 3:30 PM | Home Line: -3.5 | Total: 53.5

by Leonard Bryant

Western Michigan Broncos v Kent St. Golden Flashes Series Betting Trends

The Western Michigan Broncos travel to Kent St. to play the Golden Flashes at 3:30 PM on Saturday, October 20, 2012. Kent St. is the favorite in this matchup, laying -3.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 53.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAF sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Broncos/Golden Flashes Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
September 28, 2013 Kent St. 32Western Michigan142.550.5
October 20, 2012 Western Michigan 24Kent St.41-3.553.5
November 20, 2010 Kent St. 3Western Michigan38-2.551.0
October 31, 2009 Western Michigan 14Kent St.26-2.549.5
October 29, 2005 Kent St. 14Western Michigan44
Kent St. 27Western Michigan50
Western Michigan 52Kent St.6
Kent St. 27Western Michigan76
Western Michigan 48Kent St.23
Western Michigan 42Kent St.0

When looking at the last 10 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 6 games compared to 4 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Western Michigan/Kent St. series is 31.8 ppg while the vistor has put up 28.3 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3.5 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 10 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 3.5 ppg. That represents a value number of 0 when meassured against the offered line of -3.5, suggesting a wager on Kent St. makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 10 games between the Broncos and the Golden Flashes is 60.1 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 6.6 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 53.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Western Michigan as the road team and with Kent St. as the home team.

Recent Results when Western Michigan visits Kent St.

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
October 20, 2012 Western Michigan 24Kent St.41-3.553.5
October 31, 2009 Western Michigan 14Kent St.26-2.549.5
Western Michigan 42Kent St.0
Western Michigan 48Kent St.23
Western Michigan 52Kent St.6

When looking at the last 5 games in this series while Kent St. has been the home team, we can see the Golden Flashes have won 2 games compared to 3 wins for the Broncos. Average points scored per game by Kent St. in this situation is is 19.2 ppg while Western Michigan has put up 36 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 16.8 favoring the Golden Flashes.

Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 16.8 ppg. That represents a value number of 13.3 when meassured against the offered line of -3.5, suggesting a wager on the Golden Flashes makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks betting against the number looking at the series situation in the vacuum of this trend.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 5 games between the Broncos and the Golden Flashes is 55.2 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 1.7 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 53.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the Western Michigan Broncos Cover the Spread?

This season the Western Michigan Broncos have played 12 games, averaging 34.6 points per game, while allowing 23.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 8-4. Let's have a closer look at recent Western Michigan Broncos results.

Recent Western Michigan Broncos Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 28, 2014 Northern Illinois 31Western Michigan21-7.558.5
November 22, 2014 Western Michigan 32Central Michigan2053.0
November 15, 2014 Eastern Michigan 7Western Michigan51-27.056.5
November 1, 2014 Western Michigan 41Miami - OH107.055.0
October 25, 2014 Ohio 21Western Michigan42-10.050.5
October 18, 2014 Western Michigan 26Bowling Green14-2.570.5
October 11, 2014 Western Michigan 42Ball St.38-1.054.5

This season the Western Michigan Broncos have played 7 games on the road, averaging 33.9 points per game, while allowing 27.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 5-2. Let's have a closer look at recent Western Michigan Broncos results on the road.

Recent Western Michigan Broncos Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 22, 2014 Western Michigan 32Central Michigan2053.0
November 1, 2014 Western Michigan 41Miami - OH107.055.0
October 18, 2014 Western Michigan 26Bowling Green14-2.570.5
October 11, 2014 Western Michigan 42Ball St.38-1.054.5
September 27, 2014 Western Michigan 17Virginia Tech35-21.053.0

Can the Kent St. Golden Flashes Cover the Spread?

This season the Kent St. Golden Flashes have played 11 games, averaging 16.4 points per game, while allowing 29.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 2-4. Let's have a closer look at recent Kent St. Golden Flashes results.

Recent Kent St. Golden Flashes Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 28, 2014 Akron 24Kent St.273.042.5
November 12, 2014 Kent St. 20Bowling Green30-14.054.0
November 4, 2014 Toledo 30Kent St.2014.056.5
October 25, 2014 Kent St. 3Miami - OH10-6.552.5
October 18, 2014 Army 17Kent St.393.051.5
October 11, 2014 Massachusetts 40Kent St.17-3.057.0
October 4, 2014 Kent St. 14Northern Illinois17-26.059.0
September 27, 2014 Kent St. 13Virginia45-27.544.5
September 13, 2014 Kent St. 0Ohio St.66-32.048.0
September 6, 2014 South Alabama 23Kent St.132.053.5

This season the Kent St. Golden Flashes have played 6 games here at home, averaging 21.7 points per game, while allowing 25.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 2-4. Let's have a closer look at recent Kent St. Golden Flashes results when playing at home.

Recent Kent St. Golden Flashes Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 28, 2014 Akron 24Kent St.273.042.5
November 4, 2014 Toledo 30Kent St.2014.056.5
October 18, 2014 Army 17Kent St.393.051.5
October 11, 2014 Massachusetts 40Kent St.17-3.057.0
September 6, 2014 South Alabama 23Kent St.132.053.5
August 30, 2014 Ohio 17Kent St.14-2.547.0
November 13, 2013 Miami - OH 6Kent St.24-17.548.0
October 26, 2013 Buffalo 41Kent St.213.049.0
October 5, 2013 Northern Illinois 38Kent St.248.064.5
September 7, 2013 Bowling Green 41Kent St.226.544.5

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