NCAAF Betting Preview & Picks

Western Michigan Broncos vs Kent St. Golden Flashes

Game Date: Saturday, October 20, 2012 | Game Time: 3:30 PM | Home Line: -3.5 | Total: 53.5

by Leonard Bryant

Western Michigan Broncos v Kent St. Golden Flashes Series Betting Trends

The Western Michigan Broncos travel to Kent St. to play the Golden Flashes at 3:30 PM on Saturday, October 20, 2012. Kent St. is the favorite in this matchup, laying -3.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 53.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAF sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Broncos/Golden Flashes Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
September 28, 2013 Kent St. 32Western Michigan142.550.5
October 20, 2012 Western Michigan 24Kent St.41-3.553.5
November 20, 2010 Kent St. 3Western Michigan38-2.551.0
October 31, 2009 Western Michigan 14Kent St.26-2.549.5
October 29, 2005 Kent St. 14Western Michigan44
Kent St. 27Western Michigan50
Western Michigan 52Kent St.6
Kent St. 27Western Michigan76
Western Michigan 48Kent St.23
Western Michigan 42Kent St.0

When looking at the last 10 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 6 games compared to 4 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Western Michigan/Kent St. series is 31.8 ppg while the vistor has put up 28.3 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3.5 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 10 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 3.5 ppg. That represents a value number of 0 when meassured against the offered line of -3.5, suggesting a wager on Kent St. makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 10 games between the Broncos and the Golden Flashes is 60.1 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 6.6 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 53.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Western Michigan as the road team and with Kent St. as the home team.

Recent Results when Western Michigan visits Kent St.

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
October 20, 2012 Western Michigan 24Kent St.41-3.553.5
October 31, 2009 Western Michigan 14Kent St.26-2.549.5
Western Michigan 42Kent St.0
Western Michigan 48Kent St.23
Western Michigan 52Kent St.6

When looking at the last 5 games in this series while Kent St. has been the home team, we can see the Golden Flashes have won 2 games compared to 3 wins for the Broncos. Average points scored per game by Kent St. in this situation is is 19.2 ppg while Western Michigan has put up 36 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 16.8 favoring the Golden Flashes.

Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 16.8 ppg. That represents a value number of 13.3 when meassured against the offered line of -3.5, suggesting a wager on the Golden Flashes makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks betting against the number looking at the series situation in the vacuum of this trend.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 5 games between the Broncos and the Golden Flashes is 55.2 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 1.7 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 53.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the Western Michigan Broncos Cover the Spread?

This season the Western Michigan Broncos have played 1 games, averaging 34.0 points per game, while allowing 43.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 0-1. Let's have a closer look at recent Western Michigan Broncos results.

Recent Western Michigan Broncos Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
August 30, 2014 Western Michigan 34Purdue43-8.552.5
November 26, 2013 Western Michigan 14Northern Illinois33-34.563.0
November 16, 2013 Central Michigan 27Western Michigan222.551.0
November 9, 2013 Western Michigan 32Eastern Michigan352.559.0
October 26, 2013 Western Michigan 31Massachusetts30-4.046.5
October 19, 2013 Ball St. 38Western Michigan1720.058.0
October 12, 2013 Buffalo 33Western Michigan09.550.0

This season the Western Michigan Broncos have played 1 games on the road, averaging 34.0 points per game, while allowing 43.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 0-1. Let's have a closer look at recent Western Michigan Broncos results on the road.

Recent Western Michigan Broncos Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
August 30, 2014 Western Michigan 34Purdue43-8.552.5
November 26, 2013 Western Michigan 14Northern Illinois33-34.563.0
November 9, 2013 Western Michigan 32Eastern Michigan352.559.0
October 26, 2013 Western Michigan 31Massachusetts30-4.046.5
October 5, 2013 Western Michigan 20Toledo47-23.558.0

Can the Kent St. Golden Flashes Cover the Spread?

This season the Kent St. Golden Flashes have played 1 games, averaging 14.0 points per game, while allowing 17.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 0-1. Let's have a closer look at recent Kent St. Golden Flashes results.

Recent Kent St. Golden Flashes Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
August 30, 2014 Ohio 17Kent St.14-2.547.0
November 19, 2013 Kent St. 44Ohio13-6.551.0
November 13, 2013 Miami - OH 6Kent St.24-17.548.0
November 2, 2013 Kent St. 7Akron16-2.052.5
October 26, 2013 Buffalo 41Kent St.213.049.0
October 19, 2013 Kent St. 21South Alabama38-7.054.5
October 12, 2013 Kent St. 24Ball St.27-14.063.0
October 5, 2013 Northern Illinois 38Kent St.248.064.5
September 28, 2013 Kent St. 32Western Michigan142.550.5
September 21, 2013 Kent St. 0Penn St.34-22.052.5

This season the Kent St. Golden Flashes have played 1 games here at home, averaging 14.0 points per game, while allowing 17.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 0-1. Let's have a closer look at recent Kent St. Golden Flashes results when playing at home.

Recent Kent St. Golden Flashes Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
August 30, 2014 Ohio 17Kent St.14-2.547.0
November 13, 2013 Miami - OH 6Kent St.24-17.548.0
October 26, 2013 Buffalo 41Kent St.213.049.0
October 5, 2013 Northern Illinois 38Kent St.248.064.5
September 7, 2013 Bowling Green 41Kent St.226.544.5
August 29, 2013 Liberty 10Kent St.17
January 6, 2013 Arkansas St. 17Kent St.133.063.5
November 30, 2012 Northern Illinois 44Kent St.377.557.5
November 23, 2012 Ohio 6Kent St.28-8.560.0
November 3, 2012 Akron 24Kent St.35-18.560.5

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