NFL Betting Preview & Picks

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tennessee Titans

Game Date: Thursday, October 11, 2012 | Game Time: 8:25 PM | Home Line: 6.0 | Total: 44.0

by The Pig

Pittsburgh Steelers v Tennessee Titans Series Betting Trends

The Pittsburgh Steelers travel to Tennessee to play the Titans at 8:25 PM on Thursday, October 11, 2012. Tennessee is the underdog in this matchup, getting 6.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 44.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NFL sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Steelers/Titans Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
September 8, 2013 Tennessee 16Pittsburgh9-6.042.0
October 11, 2012 Pittsburgh 23Tennessee266.044.0
October 9, 2011 Tennessee 17Pittsburgh38-3.039.0
September 19, 2010 Pittsburgh 19Tennessee11-6.036.5
September 10, 2009 Tennessee 10Pittsburgh13-6.035.0
December 21, 2008 Pittsburgh 14Tennessee313.037.0
September 11, 2005 Tennessee 7Pittsburgh34
September 28, 2003 Tennessee 30Pittsburgh13
January 11, 2003 Pittsburgh 31Tennessee34
November 17, 2002 Pittsburgh 23Tennessee31

When looking at the last 39 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 24 games compared to 15 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Pittsburgh/Tennessee series is 23.7 ppg while the vistor has put up 19 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 4.7 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 39 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 4.7 ppg. That represents a value number of 10.7 when meassured against the offered line of 6.0, suggesting a wager on Tennessee makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 39 games between the Steelers and the Titans is 42.7 per game. That creates a differential of 1.3 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 44.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Pittsburgh as the road team and with Tennessee as the home team.

Recent Results when Pittsburgh visits Tennessee

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
October 11, 2012 Pittsburgh 23Tennessee266.044.0
September 19, 2010 Pittsburgh 19Tennessee11-6.036.5
December 21, 2008 Pittsburgh 14Tennessee313.037.0
January 11, 2003 Pittsburgh 31Tennessee34
November 17, 2002 Pittsburgh 23Tennessee31
November 25, 2001 Pittsburgh 34Tennessee24
November 5, 2000 Pittsburgh 7Tennessee9

When looking at the last 20 games in this series while Tennessee has been the home team, we can see the Titans have won 13 games compared to 7 wins for the Steelers. Average points scored per game by Tennessee in this situation is is 23.3 ppg while Pittsburgh has put up 17.8 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 5.5 favoring the Titans.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 5.5 ppg. That represents a value number of 11.5 when meassured against the offered line of 6.0, suggesting a wager on the Titans makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 20 games between the Steelers and the Titans is 41.1 per game. That creates a differential of 2.9 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 44.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the Pittsburgh Steelers Cover the Spread?

This season the Pittsburgh Steelers have played 16 games, averaging 23.7 points per game, while allowing 23.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 8-8. Let's have a closer look at recent Pittsburgh Steelers results.

Recent Pittsburgh Steelers Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 29, 2013 Cleveland 7Pittsburgh20-7.543.0
December 22, 2013 Pittsburgh 38Green Bay311.043.5
December 15, 2013 Cincinnati 20Pittsburgh302.044.0
December 8, 2013 Miami 34Pittsburgh28-3.040.5
November 28, 2013 Pittsburgh 20Baltimore22-3.040.5
November 24, 2013 Pittsburgh 27Cleveland11-1.039.5
November 17, 2013 Detroit 27Pittsburgh371.045.5

This season the Pittsburgh Steelers have played 8 games on the road, averaging 23.8 points per game, while allowing 25.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 3-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Pittsburgh Steelers results on the road.

Recent Pittsburgh Steelers Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 22, 2013 Pittsburgh 38Green Bay311.043.5
November 28, 2013 Pittsburgh 20Baltimore22-3.040.5
November 24, 2013 Pittsburgh 27Cleveland11-1.039.5
November 3, 2013 Pittsburgh 31New England55-6.042.5
October 27, 2013 Pittsburgh 18Oakland211.040.5

Can the Tennessee Titans Cover the Spread?

This season the Tennessee Titans have played 16 games, averaging 22.6 points per game, while allowing 23.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 7-8. Let's have a closer look at recent Tennessee Titans results.

Recent Tennessee Titans Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 29, 2013 Houston 10Tennessee16-7.044.0
December 22, 2013 Tennessee 20Jacksonville164.044.0
December 15, 2013 Arizona 37Tennessee342.543.0
December 8, 2013 Tennessee 28Denver51-13.549.5
December 1, 2013 Tennessee 14Indianapolis22-3.545.0
November 24, 2013 Tennessee 23Oakland191.042.0
November 14, 2013 Indianapolis 30Tennessee272.542.0
November 10, 2013 Jacksonville 29Tennessee27-13.041.5
November 3, 2013 Tennessee 28St. Louis212.539.5
October 20, 2013 San Francisco 31Tennessee173.041.0

This season the Tennessee Titans have played 8 games here at home, averaging 24.5 points per game, while allowing 24.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 3-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Tennessee Titans results when playing at home.

Recent Tennessee Titans Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 29, 2013 Houston 10Tennessee16-7.044.0
December 15, 2013 Arizona 37Tennessee342.543.0
November 14, 2013 Indianapolis 30Tennessee272.542.0
November 10, 2013 Jacksonville 29Tennessee27-13.041.5
October 20, 2013 San Francisco 31Tennessee173.041.0
October 6, 2013 Kansas City 26Tennessee172.538.0
September 29, 2013 New York 13Tennessee38-3.540.5
September 22, 2013 San Diego 17Tennessee20-3.043.0
December 30, 2012 Jacksonville 20Tennessee38-4.041.5
December 17, 2012 New York 10Tennessee14-1.042.0

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