NCAAF Betting Preview & Picks

Georgia Bulldogs vs South Carolina Gamecocks

Game Date: Saturday, October 6, 2012 | Game Time: 7:00 PM | Home Line: -1.0 | Total: 55.0

by Matt Moorhead

Georgia Bulldogs v South Carolina Gamecocks Series Betting Trends

The Georgia Bulldogs travel to South Carolina to play the Gamecocks at 7:00 PM on Saturday, October 6, 2012. South Carolina is the favorite in this matchup, laying -1.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 55.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAF sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Bulldogs/Gamecocks Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
September 13, 2014 Georgia 35South Carolina386.559.0
September 7, 2013 South Carolina 30Georgia41-3.555.0
October 6, 2012 Georgia 7South Carolina35-1.055.0
September 10, 2011 South Carolina 45Georgia422.551.0
September 11, 2010 Georgia 6South Carolina17-3.046.5
September 12, 2009 South Carolina 37Georgia41-7.040.0
September 13, 2008 Georgia 14South Carolina7
September 8, 2007 South Carolina 16Georgia12
September 9, 2006 Georgia 18South Carolina0
September 10, 2005 South Carolina 15Georgia17

When looking at the last 22 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 12 games compared to 10 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Georgia/South Carolina series is 22.7 ppg while the vistor has put up 18.7 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 4 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 22 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 4 ppg. That represents a value number of 3 when meassured against the offered line of -1.0, suggesting a wager on South Carolina makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 22 games between the Bulldogs and the Gamecocks is 41.4 per game. That creates a differential of 13.6 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 55.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Georgia as the road team and with South Carolina as the home team.

Recent Results when Georgia visits South Carolina

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
September 13, 2014 Georgia 35South Carolina386.559.0
October 6, 2012 Georgia 7South Carolina35-1.055.0
September 11, 2010 Georgia 6South Carolina17-3.046.5
September 13, 2008 Georgia 14South Carolina7
September 9, 2006 Georgia 18South Carolina0
September 11, 2004 Georgia 20South Carolina16
September 14, 2002 Georgia 13South Carolina7

When looking at the last 11 games in this series while South Carolina has been the home team, we can see the Gamecocks have won 5 games compared to 6 wins for the Bulldogs. Average points scored per game by South Carolina in this situation is is 17.1 ppg while Georgia has put up 16.2 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 0.9 favoring the Bulldogs.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 0.9 ppg. That represents a value number of -0.1 when meassured against the offered line of -1.0, suggesting a wager on the Bulldogs makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 11 games between the Bulldogs and the Gamecocks is 33.3 per game. That creates a differential of 21.7 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 55.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the Georgia Bulldogs Cover the Spread?

This season the Georgia Bulldogs have played 7 games, averaging 43.4 points per game, while allowing 20.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 6-1. Let's have a closer look at recent Georgia Bulldogs results.

Recent Georgia Bulldogs Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
October 18, 2014 Georgia 45Arkansas323.053.0
October 11, 2014 Georgia 34Missouri03.059.0
October 4, 2014 Vanderbilt 17Georgia44-33.556.5
September 27, 2014 Tennessee 32Georgia35-17.557.0
September 20, 2014 Troy St. 0Georgia66-41.064.5
September 13, 2014 Georgia 35South Carolina386.559.0
August 30, 2014 Clemson 21Georgia45-10.053.5

This season the Georgia Bulldogs have played 3 games on the road, averaging 38.0 points per game, while allowing 23.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 2-1. Let's have a closer look at recent Georgia Bulldogs results on the road.

Recent Georgia Bulldogs Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
October 18, 2014 Georgia 45Arkansas323.053.0
October 11, 2014 Georgia 34Missouri03.059.0
September 13, 2014 Georgia 35South Carolina386.559.0
November 30, 2013 Georgia 41Georgia Tech343.058.0
November 16, 2013 Georgia 38Auburn43-3.564.5

Can the South Carolina Gamecocks Cover the Spread?

This season the South Carolina Gamecocks have played 7 games, averaging 35.1 points per game, while allowing 31.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 4-1. Let's have a closer look at recent South Carolina Gamecocks results.

Recent South Carolina Gamecocks Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
October 18, 2014 Furman 10South Carolina41
October 4, 2014 South Carolina 38Kentucky455.056.0
September 27, 2014 Missouri 21South Carolina20-6.062.0
September 20, 2014 South Carolina 48Vanderbilt3423.052.5
September 13, 2014 Georgia 35South Carolina386.559.0
September 6, 2014 East Carolina 23South Carolina33-15.065.0
August 28, 2014 Texas A&M 52South Carolina28-9.561.0
January 1, 2014 Wisconsin 24South Carolina341.551.0
November 30, 2013 Clemson 17South Carolina31-3.058.0
November 23, 2013 Coastal Carolina 10South Carolina70

This season the South Carolina Gamecocks have played 5 games here at home, averaging 32.0 points per game, while allowing 28.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 3-2. Let's have a closer look at recent South Carolina Gamecocks results when playing at home.

Recent South Carolina Gamecocks Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
October 18, 2014 Furman 10South Carolina41
September 27, 2014 Missouri 21South Carolina20-6.062.0
September 13, 2014 Georgia 35South Carolina386.559.0
September 6, 2014 East Carolina 23South Carolina33-15.065.0
August 28, 2014 Texas A&M 52South Carolina28-9.561.0
January 1, 2014 Wisconsin 24South Carolina341.551.0
November 30, 2013 Clemson 17South Carolina31-3.058.0
November 23, 2013 Coastal Carolina 10South Carolina70
November 16, 2013 Florida 14South Carolina19-14.042.5
November 2, 2013 Miss. St. 16South Carolina34-12.052.0

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