The East Carolina Pirates travel to Central Florida to play the Golden Knights at 8:00 PM on Thursday, October 4, 2012. Central Florida is the favorite in this matchup, laying -11.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 45.5.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any College Football sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 4, 2012 | East Carolina | 20 | Central Florida | 40 | -11.5 | 45.5 |
| November 19, 2011 | Central Florida | 31 | East Carolina | 38 | 7.0 | 51.0 |
| October 30, 2010 | East Carolina | 35 | Central Florida | 49 | -7.5 | 53.0 |
| September 26, 2009 | Central Florida | 14 | East Carolina | 19 | -21.5 | 44.0 |
| November 2, 2008 | East Carolina | 13 | Central Florida | 10 | -5.0 | 42.5 |
| October 6, 2007 | Central Florida | 38 | East Carolina | 52 | ||
| November 4, 2006 | East Carolina | 23 | Central Florida | 10 | ||
| October 29, 2005 | Central Florida | 30 | East Carolina | 20 | ||
| Central Florida | 20 | East Carolina | 23 | |||
| Central Florida | 17 | East Carolina | 41 |
When looking at the last 11 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 8 games compared to 3 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the East Carolina/Central Florida series is 30 ppg while the vistor has put up 22.5 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 7.5 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 11 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 7.5 ppg. That represents a value number of -4 when meassured against the offered line of -11.5, suggesting a wager on East Carolina makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 11 games between the Pirates and the Golden Knights is 52.5 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 7 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 45.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with East Carolina as the road team and with Central Florida as the home team.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 4, 2012 | East Carolina | 20 | Central Florida | 40 | -11.5 | 45.5 |
| October 30, 2010 | East Carolina | 35 | Central Florida | 49 | -7.5 | 53.0 |
| November 2, 2008 | East Carolina | 13 | Central Florida | 10 | -5.0 | 42.5 |
| November 4, 2006 | East Carolina | 23 | Central Florida | 10 |
When looking at the last 4 games in this series while Central Florida has been the home team, we can see the Golden Knights have won 2 games compared to 2 wins for the Pirates. Average points scored per game by Central Florida in this situation is is 27.3 ppg while East Carolina has put up 22.8 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 4.5 favoring the Pirates.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 4.5 ppg. That represents a value number of -7 when meassured against the offered line of -11.5, suggesting a wager on the Pirates makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 4 games between the Pirates and the Golden Knights is 50.1 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 4.6 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 45.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
This season the East Carolina Pirates have played 13 games, averaging 31.5 points per game, while allowing 31.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 8-5. Let's have a closer look at recent East Carolina Pirates results.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 22, 2012 | East Carolina | 34 | UL - Lafayette | 43 | -6.0 | 68.0 |
| November 23, 2012 | Marshall | 59 | East Carolina | 65 | -6.5 | 72.0 |
| November 17, 2012 | East Carolina | 28 | Tulane | 23 | 10.0 | 65.0 |
| November 3, 2012 | Houston | 28 | East Carolina | 48 | 3.0 | 68.5 |
| October 27, 2012 | Navy | 56 | East Carolina | 28 | -3.0 | 48.0 |
| October 20, 2012 | East Carolina | 42 | UAB | 35 | 2.0 | 56.0 |
| October 13, 2012 | Memphis | 7 | East Carolina | 41 | -17.0 | 48.5 |
This season the East Carolina Pirates have played 7 games on the road, averaging 23.4 points per game, while allowing 32.9 points per game. This has led to a season record of 3-4. Let's have a closer look at recent East Carolina Pirates results on the road.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 22, 2012 | East Carolina | 34 | UL - Lafayette | 43 | -6.0 | 68.0 |
| November 17, 2012 | East Carolina | 28 | Tulane | 23 | 10.0 | 65.0 |
| October 20, 2012 | East Carolina | 42 | UAB | 35 | 2.0 | 56.0 |
| October 4, 2012 | East Carolina | 20 | Central Florida | 40 | -11.5 | 45.5 |
| September 22, 2012 | East Carolina | 6 | North Carolina | 27 | -14.5 | 62.5 |
This season the Central Florida Golden Knights have played 14 games, averaging 35.4 points per game, while allowing 22.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 10-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Central Florida Golden Knights results.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 21, 2012 | Ball St. | 17 | Central Florida | 38 | -7.5 | 58.5 |
| December 1, 2012 | Central Florida | 27 | Tulsa | 33 | -3.0 | 53.5 |
| November 24, 2012 | UAB | 24 | Central Florida | 49 | -21.0 | 58.0 |
| November 17, 2012 | Central Florida | 21 | Tulsa | 23 | -1.5 | 55.0 |
| November 10, 2012 | Central Florida | 31 | UTEP | 24 | 13.5 | 51.0 |
| November 3, 2012 | SMU | 17 | Central Florida | 42 | -9.0 | 50.0 |
| October 27, 2012 | Central Florida | 54 | Marshall | 17 | 2.5 | 68.0 |
| October 20, 2012 | Central Florida | 35 | Memphis | 17 | 23.5 | 50.5 |
| October 13, 2012 | Southern Miss | 31 | Central Florida | 38 | -16.0 | 52.0 |
| October 4, 2012 | East Carolina | 20 | Central Florida | 40 | -11.5 | 45.5 |
This season the Central Florida Golden Knights have played 7 games here at home, averaging 36.6 points per game, while allowing 21.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 6-1. Let's have a closer look at recent Central Florida Golden Knights results when playing at home.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 21, 2012 | Ball St. | 17 | Central Florida | 38 | -7.5 | 58.5 |
| November 24, 2012 | UAB | 24 | Central Florida | 49 | -21.0 | 58.0 |
| November 3, 2012 | SMU | 17 | Central Florida | 42 | -9.0 | 50.0 |
| October 13, 2012 | Southern Miss | 31 | Central Florida | 38 | -16.0 | 52.0 |
| October 4, 2012 | East Carolina | 20 | Central Florida | 40 | -11.5 | 45.5 |
| September 29, 2012 | Missouri | 21 | Central Florida | 16 | -2.0 | 48.5 |
| September 15, 2012 | Fla-International | 20 | Central Florida | 33 | -17.0 | 50.0 |
| November 25, 2011 | UTEP | 14 | Central Florida | 31 | -10.0 | 53.0 |
| November 3, 2011 | Tulsa | 24 | Central Florida | 17 | -1.5 | 48.5 |
| October 29, 2011 | Memphis | 0 | Central Florida | 41 | -29.5 | 48.0 |