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NCAAF Betting Preview & Picks
Miss. St. Bulldogs vs Troy St. Trojans
Game Date: Saturday, September 15, 2012 | Game Time: 7:00 PM | Home Line: 14.5 | Total: 58.0
Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com StaffMiss. St. Bulldogs v Troy St. Trojans Series Betting Trends
The Miss. St. Bulldogs travel to Troy St. to play the Trojans at 7:00 PM on Saturday, September 15, 2012. Troy St. is the underdog in this matchup, getting 14.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 58.0.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAF sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
Recent Results in the Bulldogs/Trojans Series
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 15, 2012 | Miss. St. | 30 | Troy St. | 24 | 14.5 | 58.0 |
| October 12, 2002 | Troy St. | 8 | Miss. St. | 11 | ||
| October 13, 2001 | Troy St. | 21 | Miss. St. | 9 |
When looking at the last 3 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 1 games compared to 2 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Miss. St./Troy St. series is 14.7 ppg while the vistor has put up 19.7 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 5 favoring the road team.
Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 5 ppg. That represents a value number of 19.5 when meassured against the offered line of 14.5, suggesting a wager on Troy St. makes the most sense - at least, when looking at the series trends from an historical perspective.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 3 games between the Bulldogs and the Trojans is 34.4 per game. That creates a differential of 23.6 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 58.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Miss. St. as the road team and with Troy St. as the home team.
Recent Results when Miss. St. visits Troy St.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 15, 2012 | Miss. St. | 30 | Troy St. | 24 | 14.5 | 58.0 |
When looking at the last 1 games in this series while Troy St. has been the home team, we can see the Trojans have won 0 games compared to 1 wins for the Bulldogs. Average points scored per game by Troy St. in this situation is is 24 ppg while Miss. St. has put up 30 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 6 favoring the Trojans.
Unlike most series', this one has leaned towards the road team. Specifically, the road team in this series has enjoyed an average advantage of 6 ppg. That represents a value number of 20.5 when meassured against the offered line of 14.5, suggesting a wager on the Trojans makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks betting against the number looking at the series situation in the vacuum of this trend.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 1 games between the Bulldogs and the Trojans is 54 per game. That creates a differential of 4 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 58.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
Can the Miss. St. Bulldogs Cover the Spread?
This season the Miss. St. Bulldogs have played 13 games, averaging 29.5 points per game, while allowing 23.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 8-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Miss. St. Bulldogs results.
Recent Miss. St. Bulldogs Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 1, 2013 | Northwestern | 34 | Miss. St. | 20 | 1.0 | 54.5 |
| November 24, 2012 | Miss. St. | 24 | Mississippi | 41 | -1.0 | 55.5 |
| November 17, 2012 | Arkansas | 14 | Miss. St. | 45 | -5.5 | 55.0 |
| November 10, 2012 | Miss. St. | 17 | LSU | 37 | -16.0 | 44.5 |
| November 3, 2012 | Texas A&M | 38 | Miss. St. | 13 | 6.5 | 61.5 |
| October 27, 2012 | Miss. St. | 7 | Alabama | 38 | -22.0 | 45.0 |
| October 20, 2012 | Mid Tenn St. | 3 | Miss. St. | 45 | -18.5 | 58.5 |
This season the Miss. St. Bulldogs have played 5 games on the road, averaging 21.0 points per game, while allowing 30.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 2-3. Let's have a closer look at recent Miss. St. Bulldogs results on the road.
Recent Miss. St. Bulldogs Road Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 24, 2012 | Miss. St. | 24 | Mississippi | 41 | -1.0 | 55.5 |
| November 10, 2012 | Miss. St. | 17 | LSU | 37 | -16.0 | 44.5 |
| October 27, 2012 | Miss. St. | 7 | Alabama | 38 | -22.0 | 45.0 |
| October 6, 2012 | Miss. St. | 27 | Kentucky | 14 | 9.5 | 46.5 |
| September 15, 2012 | Miss. St. | 30 | Troy St. | 24 | 14.5 | 58.0 |
Can the Troy St. Trojans Cover the Spread?
This season the Troy St. Trojans have played 12 games, averaging 30.6 points per game, while allowing 30.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 5-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Troy St. Trojans results.
Recent Troy St. Trojans Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 24, 2012 | Troy St. | 21 | Mid Tenn St. | 24 | -3.0 | 69.5 |
| November 17, 2012 | Arkansas St. | 41 | Troy St. | 34 | 3.5 | 68.5 |
| November 10, 2012 | Navy | 31 | Troy St. | 41 | 2.5 | 60.0 |
| November 3, 2012 | Troy St. | 48 | Tennessee | 55 | -18.5 | 68.5 |
| October 27, 2012 | Troy St. | 27 | Florida Atlantic | 34 | 7.0 | 52.0 |
| October 20, 2012 | Fla-International | 37 | Troy St. | 38 | -6.5 | 57.0 |
| October 11, 2012 | Western Kentucky | 31 | Troy St. | 26 | 1.5 | 55.0 |
| September 29, 2012 | Troy St. | 31 | South Alabama | 10 | 7.5 | 51.0 |
| September 22, 2012 | Troy St. | 14 | North Texas | 7 | -1.0 | 60.0 |
| September 15, 2012 | Miss. St. | 30 | Troy St. | 24 | 14.5 | 58.0 |
This season the Troy St. Trojans have played 6 games here at home, averaging 31.2 points per game, while allowing 34.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 2-4. Let's have a closer look at recent Troy St. Trojans results when playing at home.
Recent Troy St. Trojans Home Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 17, 2012 | Arkansas St. | 41 | Troy St. | 34 | 3.5 | 68.5 |
| November 10, 2012 | Navy | 31 | Troy St. | 41 | 2.5 | 60.0 |
| October 20, 2012 | Fla-International | 37 | Troy St. | 38 | -6.5 | 57.0 |
| October 11, 2012 | Western Kentucky | 31 | Troy St. | 26 | 1.5 | 55.0 |
| September 15, 2012 | Miss. St. | 30 | Troy St. | 24 | 14.5 | 58.0 |
| September 8, 2012 | UL - Lafayette | 37 | Troy St. | 24 | 1.5 | 62.0 |
| November 19, 2011 | Florida Atlantic | 7 | Troy St. | 34 | -11.0 | 49.0 |
| November 12, 2011 | North Texas | 38 | Troy St. | 33 | -8.0 | 53.5 |
| October 15, 2011 | UL - Monroe | 38 | Troy St. | 10 | -7.0 | 57.0 |
| October 1, 2011 | UAB | 23 | Troy St. | 24 | -17.0 | 60.5 |
