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WNBA Betting Preview & Picks
Indiana Fever vs Seattle Storm
Game Date: Thursday, August 23, 2012 | Game Time: 10:05 PM | Home Line: -2.0 | Total: 145.0
Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com StaffIndiana Fever v Seattle Storm Series Betting Trends
The Indiana Fever travel to Seattle to play the Storm at 10:05 PM on Thursday, August 23, 2012. Seattle is the favorite in this matchup, laying -2.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 145.0.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any WNBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
Recent Results in the Fever/Storm Series
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 12, 2012 | Seattle | 48 | Indiana | 72 | ||
| September 12, 2012 | Seattle | 48 | Indiana | 72 | -5.5 | 146.0 |
| August 23, 2012 | Indiana | 65 | Seattle | 66 | -2.0 | 145.0 |
| July 5, 2011 | Seattle | 61 | Indiana | 78 | -4.5 | 145.0 |
| June 17, 2011 | Indiana | 54 | Seattle | 68 | -6.5 | 147.5 |
| June 25, 2010 | Indiana | 81 | Seattle | 85 | -5.5 | 144.5 |
| June 17, 2010 | Seattle | 65 | Indiana | 72 | -3.5 | 146.0 |
| August 22, 2009 | Indiana | 60 | Seattle | 74 | -2.0 | 140.5 |
| June 9, 2009 | Seattle | 66 | Indiana | 73 | -2.0 | 141.0 |
| July 18, 2008 | Seattle | 65 | Indiana | 59 |
When looking at the last 26 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 22 games compared to 4 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Indiana/Seattle series is 72.8 ppg while the vistor has put up 63.3 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 9.5 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 26 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 9.5 ppg. That represents a value number of 7.5 when meassured against the offered line of -2.0, suggesting a wager on Seattle makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 26 games between the Fever and the Storm is 136.1 per game. That creates a differential of 8.9 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 145.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Indiana as the road team and with Seattle as the home team.
Recent Results when Indiana visits Seattle
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 23, 2012 | Indiana | 65 | Seattle | 66 | -2.0 | 145.0 |
| June 17, 2011 | Indiana | 54 | Seattle | 68 | -6.5 | 147.5 |
| June 25, 2010 | Indiana | 81 | Seattle | 85 | -5.5 | 144.5 |
| August 22, 2009 | Indiana | 60 | Seattle | 74 | -2.0 | 140.5 |
| June 20, 2008 | Indiana | 70 | Seattle | 78 | ||
| May 10, 2008 | Indiana | 64 | Seattle | 75 | ||
| July 27, 2007 | Indiana | 75 | Seattle | 89 |
When looking at the last 13 games in this series while Seattle has been the home team, we can see the Storm have won 12 games compared to 1 wins for the Fever. Average points scored per game by Seattle in this situation is is 72.8 ppg while Indiana has put up 64.3 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 8.5 favoring the Storm.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 8.5 ppg. That represents a value number of 6.5 when meassured against the offered line of -2.0, suggesting a wager on the Storm makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 13 games between the Fever and the Storm is 137.1 per game. That creates a differential of 7.9 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 145.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
Can the Indiana Fever Cover the Spread?
This season the Indiana Fever have played 45 games, averaging 78.1 points per game, while allowing 72.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 29-16. Let's have a closer look at recent Indiana Fever results.
Recent Indiana Fever Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 21, 2012 | Minnesota | 78 | Indiana | 87 | 2.0 | 149.5 |
| October 19, 2012 | Minnesota | 59 | Indiana | 76 | 3.0 | 150.5 |
| October 17, 2012 | Indiana | 71 | Minnesota | 83 | -7.5 | 149.5 |
| October 14, 2012 | Indiana | 76 | Minnesota | 70 | -7.5 | 150.5 |
| October 11, 2012 | Indiana | 87 | Connecticut | 71 | -4.5 | 145.0 |
| October 8, 2012 | Connecticut | 76 | Indiana | 78 | -4.5 | 146.0 |
| October 5, 2012 | Indiana | 64 | Connecticut | 76 | -4.0 | 150.5 |
This season the Indiana Fever have played 22 games on the road, averaging 75.0 points per game, while allowing 73.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 11-11. Let's have a closer look at recent Indiana Fever results on the road.
Recent Indiana Fever Road Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 17, 2012 | Indiana | 71 | Minnesota | 83 | -7.5 | 149.5 |
| October 14, 2012 | Indiana | 76 | Minnesota | 70 | -7.5 | 150.5 |
| October 11, 2012 | Indiana | 87 | Connecticut | 71 | -4.5 | 145.0 |
| October 5, 2012 | Indiana | 64 | Connecticut | 76 | -4.0 | 150.5 |
| September 30, 2012 | Indiana | 103 | Atlanta | 88 | -4.5 | 149.0 |
Can the Seattle Storm Cover the Spread?
This season the Seattle Storm have played 39 games, averaging 70.7 points per game, while allowing 72.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 18-16. Let's have a closer look at recent Seattle Storm results.
Recent Seattle Storm Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 2, 2012 | Seattle | 72 | Minnesota | 73 | -10.0 | 145.5 |
| September 30, 2012 | Minnesota | 79 | Seattle | 86 | 5.5 | 146.0 |
| September 28, 2012 | Seattle | 70 | Minnesota | 78 | -11.0 | 147.5 |
| September 23, 2012 | Seattle | 71 | Phoenix | 57 | 7.5 | 155.5 |
| September 21, 2012 | San Antonio | 75 | Seattle | 84 | -3.0 | 148.0 |
| September 18, 2012 | Chicago | 60 | Seattle | 75 | 1.0 | 143.0 |
| September 16, 2012 | Connecticut | 60 | Seattle | 58 | 8.0 | 147.5 |
| September 14, 2012 | Seattle | 66 | San Antonio | 90 | -7.5 | 146.5 |
| September 12, 2012 | Seattle | 48 | Indiana | 72 | ||
| September 12, 2012 | Seattle | 48 | Indiana | 72 | -5.5 | 146.0 |
This season the Seattle Storm have played 18 games here at home, averaging 74.5 points per game, while allowing 68.9 points per game. This has led to a season record of 12-6. Let's have a closer look at recent Seattle Storm results when playing at home.
Recent Seattle Storm Home Results
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 30, 2012 | Minnesota | 79 | Seattle | 86 | 5.5 | 146.0 |
| September 21, 2012 | San Antonio | 75 | Seattle | 84 | -3.0 | 148.0 |
| September 18, 2012 | Chicago | 60 | Seattle | 75 | 1.0 | 143.0 |
| September 16, 2012 | Connecticut | 60 | Seattle | 58 | 8.0 | 147.5 |
| September 6, 2012 | Tulsa | 74 | Seattle | 101 | -9.5 | 150.5 |
| August 30, 2012 | Phoenix | 75 | Seattle | 68 | -14.0 | 152.5 |
| August 26, 2012 | New York | 66 | Seattle | 84 | -8.0 | 144.0 |
| August 23, 2012 | Indiana | 65 | Seattle | 66 | -2.0 | 145.0 |
| August 21, 2012 | Minnesota | 86 | Seattle | 73 | 10.0 | 149.5 |
| August 18, 2012 | Los Angeles | 82 | Seattle | 71 | 5.0 | 144.5 |
