CFL Betting Preview & Picks

Calgary Stampeders vs Toronto Argonauts

Game Date: Saturday, July 7, 2012 | Game Time: 3:05 PM | Home Line: 3.0 | Total: 50.0

Original content, prepared and provided by ProCappers.com Staff

Calgary Stampeders v Toronto Argonauts Series Betting Trends

The Calgary Stampeders travel to Toronto to play the Argonauts at 3:05 PM on Saturday, July 7, 2012. Toronto is the underdog in this matchup, getting 3.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 50.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any CFL sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Stampeders/Argonauts Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 25, 2012 Calgary 22Toronto351.555.5
August 18, 2012 Toronto 22Calgary14-4.055.0
July 7, 2012 Calgary 36Toronto393.050.0
October 14, 2011 Calgary 29Toronto316.052.5
July 1, 2011 Toronto 23Calgary21-7.551.0
July 14, 2010 Calgary 24Toronto275.548.0
July 7, 2010 Calgary 16Toronto30
July 1, 2010 Toronto 16Calgary30-13.047.5
August 28, 2009 Calgary 23Toronto207.054.0
July 17, 2009 Toronto 9Calgary44

When looking at the last 33 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 23 games compared to 10 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Calgary/Toronto series is 29.2 ppg while the vistor has put up 22.1 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 7.1 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 33 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 7.1 ppg. That represents a value number of 10.1 when meassured against the offered line of 3.0, suggesting a wager on Toronto makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 33 games between the Stampeders and the Argonauts is 51.3 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 1.3 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 50.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Calgary as the road team and with Toronto as the home team.

Recent Results when Calgary visits Toronto

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 25, 2012 Calgary 22Toronto351.555.5
July 7, 2012 Calgary 36Toronto393.050.0
October 14, 2011 Calgary 29Toronto316.052.5
July 14, 2010 Calgary 24Toronto275.548.0
July 7, 2010 Calgary 16Toronto30
August 28, 2009 Calgary 23Toronto207.054.0
September 27, 2008 Calgary 44Toronto169.553.0

When looking at the last 17 games in this series while Toronto has been the home team, we can see the Argonauts have won 13 games compared to 4 wins for the Stampeders. Average points scored per game by Toronto in this situation is is 28.2 ppg while Calgary has put up 24 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 4.2 favoring the Argonauts.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 4.2 ppg. That represents a value number of 7.2 when meassured against the offered line of 3.0, suggesting a wager on the Argonauts makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 17 games between the Stampeders and the Argonauts is 52.2 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 2.2 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 50.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the Calgary Stampeders Cover the Spread?

This season the Calgary Stampeders have played 21 games, averaging 29.9 points per game, while allowing 25.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 14-7. Let's have a closer look at recent Calgary Stampeders results.

Recent Calgary Stampeders Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 25, 2012 Calgary 22Toronto351.555.5
November 18, 2012 Calgary 34B.C.29-6.551.5
November 11, 2012 Sask 30Calgary36-5.551.5
November 2, 2012 Calgary 30Edmonton27-1.050.0
October 26, 2012 B.C. 21Calgary41-3.550.5
October 20, 2012 Hamilton 32Calgary34-7.056.5
October 13, 2012 Calgary 32Winnipeg213.052.0

This season the Calgary Stampeders have played 11 games on the road, averaging 27.4 points per game, while allowing 26.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 6-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Calgary Stampeders results on the road.

Recent Calgary Stampeders Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 25, 2012 Calgary 22Toronto351.555.5
November 18, 2012 Calgary 34B.C.29-6.551.5
November 2, 2012 Calgary 30Edmonton27-1.050.0
October 13, 2012 Calgary 32Winnipeg213.052.0
October 6, 2012 Calgary 22B.C.27-4.049.5

Can the Toronto Argonauts Cover the Spread?

This season the Toronto Argonauts have played 21 games, averaging 26.1 points per game, while allowing 26.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 12-7. Let's have a closer look at recent Toronto Argonauts results.

Recent Toronto Argonauts Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 25, 2012 Calgary 22Toronto351.555.5
November 18, 2012 Toronto 27Montreal20-5.055.0
November 11, 2012 Edmonton 26Toronto42-3.550.5
November 1, 2012 Hamilton 40Toronto437.052.5
October 27, 2012 Toronto 31Sask26-5.551.0
October 19, 2012 Winnipeg 44Toronto32-5.050.5
October 14, 2012 Montreal 24Toronto122.551.0
October 8, 2012 Sask 36Toronto10-1.048.0
September 29, 2012 Toronto 29Winnipeg10-3.051.0
September 23, 2012 Toronto 10Montreal31-3.554.0

This season the Toronto Argonauts have played 11 games here at home, averaging 28.1 points per game, while allowing 29.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 6-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Toronto Argonauts results when playing at home.

Recent Toronto Argonauts Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 25, 2012 Calgary 22Toronto351.555.5
November 11, 2012 Edmonton 26Toronto42-3.550.5
November 1, 2012 Hamilton 40Toronto437.052.5
October 19, 2012 Winnipeg 44Toronto32-5.050.5
October 14, 2012 Montreal 24Toronto122.551.0
October 8, 2012 Sask 36Toronto10-1.048.0
September 8, 2012 Hamilton 31Toronto45-3.053.5
August 27, 2012 Edmonton 26Toronto17-3.046.0
August 6, 2012 B.C. 18Toronto93.052.5
July 18, 2012 Winnipeg 22Toronto25-8.052.5

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