CFL Betting Preview & Picks

Calgary Stampeders vs Toronto Argonauts

Game Date: Saturday, July 7, 2012 | Game Time: 3:05 PM | Home Line: 3.0 | Total: 50.0

by Lock Ness Sports

Calgary Stampeders v Toronto Argonauts Series Betting Trends

The Calgary Stampeders travel to Toronto to play the Argonauts at 3:05 PM on Saturday, July 7, 2012. Toronto is the underdog in this matchup, getting 3.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 50.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any CFL sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Stampeders/Argonauts Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
September 13, 2014 Toronto 33Calgary40
July 12, 2014 Calgary 34Toronto15
September 21, 2013 Toronto 33Calgary27-7.556.0
August 23, 2013 Calgary 35Toronto14-3.057.0
November 25, 2012 Calgary 22Toronto351.555.5
August 18, 2012 Toronto 22Calgary14-4.055.0
July 7, 2012 Calgary 36Toronto393.050.0
October 14, 2011 Calgary 29Toronto316.052.5
July 1, 2011 Toronto 23Calgary21-7.551.0
July 14, 2010 Calgary 24Toronto275.548.0

When looking at the last 37 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 24 games compared to 13 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Calgary/Toronto series is 28.6 ppg while the vistor has put up 23.4 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 5.2 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 37 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 5.2 ppg. That represents a value number of 8.2 when meassured against the offered line of 3.0, suggesting a wager on Toronto makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 37 games between the Stampeders and the Argonauts is 52 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 2 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 50.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Calgary as the road team and with Toronto as the home team.

Recent Results when Calgary visits Toronto

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
July 12, 2014 Calgary 34Toronto15
August 23, 2013 Calgary 35Toronto14-3.057.0
November 25, 2012 Calgary 22Toronto351.555.5
July 7, 2012 Calgary 36Toronto393.050.0
October 14, 2011 Calgary 29Toronto316.052.5
July 14, 2010 Calgary 24Toronto275.548.0
July 7, 2010 Calgary 16Toronto30

When looking at the last 19 games in this series while Toronto has been the home team, we can see the Argonauts have won 13 games compared to 6 wins for the Stampeders. Average points scored per game by Toronto in this situation is is 26.7 ppg while Calgary has put up 25.1 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1.6 favoring the Argonauts.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 1.6 ppg. That represents a value number of 4.6 when meassured against the offered line of 3.0, suggesting a wager on the Argonauts makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 19 games between the Stampeders and the Argonauts is 51.8 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 1.8 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 50.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the Calgary Stampeders Cover the Spread?

This season the Calgary Stampeders have played 16 games, averaging 29.1 points per game, while allowing 19.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 14-2. Let's have a closer look at recent Calgary Stampeders results.

Recent Calgary Stampeders Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
October 24, 2014 Sask 27Calgary40-11.048.0
October 18, 2014 Calgary 33Winnipeg2310.049.0
October 3, 2014 Calgary 31Sask243.547.5
September 27, 2014 B.C. 7Calgary14
September 21, 2014 Calgary 15Montreal31
September 13, 2014 Toronto 33Calgary40
September 6, 2014 Calgary 41Edmonton34

This season the Calgary Stampeders have played 8 games on the road, averaging 30.3 points per game, while allowing 22.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 7-1. Let's have a closer look at recent Calgary Stampeders results on the road.

Recent Calgary Stampeders Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
October 18, 2014 Calgary 33Winnipeg2310.049.0
October 3, 2014 Calgary 31Sask243.547.5
September 21, 2014 Calgary 15Montreal31
September 6, 2014 Calgary 41Edmonton34
August 24, 2014 Calgary 32Ottawa7

Can the Toronto Argonauts Cover the Spread?

This season the Toronto Argonauts have played 16 games, averaging 25.8 points per game, while allowing 27.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 7-2. Let's have a closer look at recent Toronto Argonauts results.

Recent Toronto Argonauts Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
October 25, 2014 Hamilton 24Toronto26-3.052.0
October 18, 2014 Montreal 20Toronto12-4.551.5
October 10, 2014 Hamilton 33Toronto34-3.552.0
October 4, 2014 Edmonton 32Toronto33-3.553.0
September 19, 2014 Toronto 40B.C.23
September 13, 2014 Toronto 33Calgary40
September 1, 2014 Toronto 12Hamilton131.550.0
August 23, 2014 Toronto 27Edmonton41
August 17, 2014 B.C. 33Toronto17
August 12, 2014 Winnipeg 21Toronto38-1.550.5

This season the Toronto Argonauts have played 8 games here at home, averaging 27.9 points per game, while allowing 26.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 5-3. Let's have a closer look at recent Toronto Argonauts results when playing at home.

Recent Toronto Argonauts Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
October 25, 2014 Hamilton 24Toronto26-3.052.0
October 18, 2014 Montreal 20Toronto12-4.551.5
October 10, 2014 Hamilton 33Toronto34-3.552.0
October 4, 2014 Edmonton 32Toronto33-3.553.0
August 17, 2014 B.C. 33Toronto17
August 12, 2014 Winnipeg 21Toronto38-1.550.5
July 12, 2014 Calgary 34Toronto15
July 5, 2014 Sask 15Toronto481.053.5
November 17, 2013 Hamilton 36Toronto24-4.054.0
November 1, 2013 Montreal 23Toronto20-3.053.0

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