CFL Betting Preview & Picks

Calgary Stampeders vs Toronto Argonauts

Game Date: Saturday, July 7, 2012 | Game Time: 3:05 PM | Home Line: 3.0 | Total: 50.0

by George Smeader

Calgary Stampeders v Toronto Argonauts Series Betting Trends

The Calgary Stampeders travel to Toronto to play the Argonauts at 3:05 PM on Saturday, July 7, 2012. Toronto is the underdog in this matchup, getting 3.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 50.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any CFL sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Stampeders/Argonauts Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
September 21, 2013 Toronto 33Calgary27-7.556.0
August 23, 2013 Calgary 35Toronto14-3.057.0
November 25, 2012 Calgary 22Toronto351.555.5
August 18, 2012 Toronto 22Calgary14-4.055.0
July 7, 2012 Calgary 36Toronto393.050.0
October 14, 2011 Calgary 29Toronto316.052.5
July 1, 2011 Toronto 23Calgary21-7.551.0
July 14, 2010 Calgary 24Toronto275.548.0
July 7, 2010 Calgary 16Toronto30
July 1, 2010 Toronto 16Calgary30-13.047.5

When looking at the last 35 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 23 games compared to 12 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Calgary/Toronto series is 28.7 ppg while the vistor has put up 22.8 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 5.9 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 35 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 5.9 ppg. That represents a value number of 8.9 when meassured against the offered line of 3.0, suggesting a wager on Toronto makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 35 games between the Stampeders and the Argonauts is 51.5 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 1.5 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 50.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Calgary as the road team and with Toronto as the home team.

Recent Results when Calgary visits Toronto

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
August 23, 2013 Calgary 35Toronto14-3.057.0
November 25, 2012 Calgary 22Toronto351.555.5
July 7, 2012 Calgary 36Toronto393.050.0
October 14, 2011 Calgary 29Toronto316.052.5
July 14, 2010 Calgary 24Toronto275.548.0
July 7, 2010 Calgary 16Toronto30
August 28, 2009 Calgary 23Toronto207.054.0

When looking at the last 18 games in this series while Toronto has been the home team, we can see the Argonauts have won 13 games compared to 5 wins for the Stampeders. Average points scored per game by Toronto in this situation is is 27.4 ppg while Calgary has put up 24.6 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 2.8 favoring the Argonauts.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 2.8 ppg. That represents a value number of 5.8 when meassured against the offered line of 3.0, suggesting a wager on the Argonauts makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 18 games between the Stampeders and the Argonauts is 52 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 2 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 50.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the Calgary Stampeders Cover the Spread?

This season the Calgary Stampeders have played 19 games, averaging 29.6 points per game, while allowing 23.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 14-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Calgary Stampeders results.

Recent Calgary Stampeders Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 17, 2013 Sask 35Calgary13-4.051.5
November 1, 2013 Calgary 7B.C.2652.0
October 26, 2013 Sask 25Calgary29-4.054.5
October 18, 2013 Calgary 27Edmonton135.053.5
October 11, 2013 B.C. 26Calgary40-6.553.0
October 5, 2013 Winnipeg 11Calgary38-16.054.0
September 28, 2013 Calgary 35Hamilton11-1.556.5

This season the Calgary Stampeders have played 9 games on the road, averaging 25.3 points per game, while allowing 19.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 6-3. Let's have a closer look at recent Calgary Stampeders results on the road.

Recent Calgary Stampeders Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 1, 2013 Calgary 7B.C.2652.0
October 18, 2013 Calgary 27Edmonton135.053.5
September 28, 2013 Calgary 35Hamilton11-1.556.5
September 6, 2013 Calgary 22Edmonton123.056.5
August 23, 2013 Calgary 35Toronto14-3.057.0

Can the Toronto Argonauts Cover the Spread?

This season the Toronto Argonauts have played 19 games, averaging 27.9 points per game, while allowing 26.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 11-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Toronto Argonauts results.

Recent Toronto Argonauts Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 17, 2013 Hamilton 36Toronto24-4.054.0
November 1, 2013 Montreal 23Toronto20-3.053.0
October 24, 2013 Winnipeg 21Toronto36-10.553.0
October 19, 2013 Toronto 26Winnipeg206.053.0
October 14, 2013 Toronto 18Hamilton2456.5
October 4, 2013 Hamilton 33Toronto19-3.556.0
September 28, 2013 Toronto 34Edmonton221.053.0
September 21, 2013 Toronto 33Calgary27-7.556.0
September 14, 2013 Toronto 31Sask29-9.055.0
September 8, 2013 Toronto 37Montreal30-2.549.5

This season the Toronto Argonauts have played 10 games here at home, averaging 26.3 points per game, while allowing 28.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 4-6. Let's have a closer look at recent Toronto Argonauts results when playing at home.

Recent Toronto Argonauts Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
November 17, 2013 Hamilton 36Toronto24-4.054.0
November 1, 2013 Montreal 23Toronto20-3.053.0
October 24, 2013 Winnipeg 21Toronto36-10.553.0
October 4, 2013 Hamilton 33Toronto19-3.556.0
September 3, 2013 Montreal 20Toronto9-4.551.0
August 23, 2013 Calgary 35Toronto14-3.057.0
August 18, 2013 Edmonton 33Toronto36-8.052.0
July 30, 2013 B.C. 12Toronto386.049.5
July 11, 2013 Sask 39Toronto28-2.054.5
June 28, 2013 Hamilton 34Toronto39-3.054.5

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