The Calgary Stampeders travel to Toronto to play the Argonauts at 3:05 PM on Saturday, July 7, 2012. Toronto is the underdog in this matchup, getting 3.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 50.0.
Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any CFL sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 25, 2012 | Calgary | 22 | Toronto | 35 | 1.5 | 55.5 |
| August 18, 2012 | Toronto | 22 | Calgary | 14 | -4.0 | 55.0 |
| July 7, 2012 | Calgary | 36 | Toronto | 39 | 3.0 | 50.0 |
| October 14, 2011 | Calgary | 29 | Toronto | 31 | 6.0 | 52.5 |
| July 1, 2011 | Toronto | 23 | Calgary | 21 | -7.5 | 51.0 |
| July 14, 2010 | Calgary | 24 | Toronto | 27 | 5.5 | 48.0 |
| July 7, 2010 | Calgary | 16 | Toronto | 30 | ||
| July 1, 2010 | Toronto | 16 | Calgary | 30 | -13.0 | 47.5 |
| August 28, 2009 | Calgary | 23 | Toronto | 20 | 7.0 | 54.0 |
| July 17, 2009 | Toronto | 9 | Calgary | 44 |
When looking at the last 33 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 23 games compared to 10 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Calgary/Toronto series is 29.2 ppg while the vistor has put up 22.1 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 7.1 favoring the home team.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 33 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 7.1 ppg. That represents a value number of 10.1 when meassured against the offered line of 3.0, suggesting a wager on Toronto makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 33 games between the Stampeders and the Argonauts is 51.3 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 1.3 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 50.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Calgary as the road team and with Toronto as the home team.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 25, 2012 | Calgary | 22 | Toronto | 35 | 1.5 | 55.5 |
| July 7, 2012 | Calgary | 36 | Toronto | 39 | 3.0 | 50.0 |
| October 14, 2011 | Calgary | 29 | Toronto | 31 | 6.0 | 52.5 |
| July 14, 2010 | Calgary | 24 | Toronto | 27 | 5.5 | 48.0 |
| July 7, 2010 | Calgary | 16 | Toronto | 30 | ||
| August 28, 2009 | Calgary | 23 | Toronto | 20 | 7.0 | 54.0 |
| September 27, 2008 | Calgary | 44 | Toronto | 16 | 9.5 | 53.0 |
When looking at the last 17 games in this series while Toronto has been the home team, we can see the Argonauts have won 13 games compared to 4 wins for the Stampeders. Average points scored per game by Toronto in this situation is is 28.2 ppg while Calgary has put up 24 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 4.2 favoring the Argonauts.
As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 4.2 ppg. That represents a value number of 7.2 when meassured against the offered line of 3.0, suggesting a wager on the Argonauts makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 17 games between the Stampeders and the Argonauts is 52.2 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 2.2 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 50.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.
This season the Calgary Stampeders have played 21 games, averaging 29.9 points per game, while allowing 25.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 14-7. Let's have a closer look at recent Calgary Stampeders results.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 25, 2012 | Calgary | 22 | Toronto | 35 | 1.5 | 55.5 |
| November 18, 2012 | Calgary | 34 | B.C. | 29 | -6.5 | 51.5 |
| November 11, 2012 | Sask | 30 | Calgary | 36 | -5.5 | 51.5 |
| November 2, 2012 | Calgary | 30 | Edmonton | 27 | -1.0 | 50.0 |
| October 26, 2012 | B.C. | 21 | Calgary | 41 | -3.5 | 50.5 |
| October 20, 2012 | Hamilton | 32 | Calgary | 34 | -7.0 | 56.5 |
| October 13, 2012 | Calgary | 32 | Winnipeg | 21 | 3.0 | 52.0 |
This season the Calgary Stampeders have played 11 games on the road, averaging 27.4 points per game, while allowing 26.3 points per game. This has led to a season record of 6-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Calgary Stampeders results on the road.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 25, 2012 | Calgary | 22 | Toronto | 35 | 1.5 | 55.5 |
| November 18, 2012 | Calgary | 34 | B.C. | 29 | -6.5 | 51.5 |
| November 2, 2012 | Calgary | 30 | Edmonton | 27 | -1.0 | 50.0 |
| October 13, 2012 | Calgary | 32 | Winnipeg | 21 | 3.0 | 52.0 |
| October 6, 2012 | Calgary | 22 | B.C. | 27 | -4.0 | 49.5 |
This season the Toronto Argonauts have played 21 games, averaging 26.1 points per game, while allowing 26.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 12-7. Let's have a closer look at recent Toronto Argonauts results.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 25, 2012 | Calgary | 22 | Toronto | 35 | 1.5 | 55.5 |
| November 18, 2012 | Toronto | 27 | Montreal | 20 | -5.0 | 55.0 |
| November 11, 2012 | Edmonton | 26 | Toronto | 42 | -3.5 | 50.5 |
| November 1, 2012 | Hamilton | 40 | Toronto | 43 | 7.0 | 52.5 |
| October 27, 2012 | Toronto | 31 | Sask | 26 | -5.5 | 51.0 |
| October 19, 2012 | Winnipeg | 44 | Toronto | 32 | -5.0 | 50.5 |
| October 14, 2012 | Montreal | 24 | Toronto | 12 | 2.5 | 51.0 |
| October 8, 2012 | Sask | 36 | Toronto | 10 | -1.0 | 48.0 |
| September 29, 2012 | Toronto | 29 | Winnipeg | 10 | -3.0 | 51.0 |
| September 23, 2012 | Toronto | 10 | Montreal | 31 | -3.5 | 54.0 |
This season the Toronto Argonauts have played 11 games here at home, averaging 28.1 points per game, while allowing 29.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 6-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Toronto Argonauts results when playing at home.
| Date | AwayTeam | Score | HomeTeam | Score | HomeLine | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 25, 2012 | Calgary | 22 | Toronto | 35 | 1.5 | 55.5 |
| November 11, 2012 | Edmonton | 26 | Toronto | 42 | -3.5 | 50.5 |
| November 1, 2012 | Hamilton | 40 | Toronto | 43 | 7.0 | 52.5 |
| October 19, 2012 | Winnipeg | 44 | Toronto | 32 | -5.0 | 50.5 |
| October 14, 2012 | Montreal | 24 | Toronto | 12 | 2.5 | 51.0 |
| October 8, 2012 | Sask | 36 | Toronto | 10 | -1.0 | 48.0 |
| September 8, 2012 | Hamilton | 31 | Toronto | 45 | -3.0 | 53.5 |
| August 27, 2012 | Edmonton | 26 | Toronto | 17 | -3.0 | 46.0 |
| August 6, 2012 | B.C. | 18 | Toronto | 9 | 3.0 | 52.5 |
| July 18, 2012 | Winnipeg | 22 | Toronto | 25 | -8.0 | 52.5 |