Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Game Date: Thursday, June 7, 2012 | Game Time: 8:30 PM | Home Line: 2.0 | Total: 180.0

Miami Heat v Boston Celtics Series Betting Trends

The Miami Heat travel to Boston to play the Celtics at 8:30 PM on Thursday, June 7, 2012. Boston is the underdog in this matchup, getting 2.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 180.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Heat/Celtics Series

When looking at the last 71 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 44 games compared to 27 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Miami/Boston series is 95.2 ppg while the vistor has put up 91.3 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3.9 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 71 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 3.9 ppg. That represents a value number of 5.9 when meassured against the offered line of 2.0, suggesting a wager on Boston makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 71 games between the Heat and the Celtics is 186.5 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 6.5 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 180.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Miami as the road team and with Boston as the home team.

Recent Results when Miami visits Boston

When looking at the last 35 games in this series while Boston has been the home team, we can see the Celtics have won 23 games compared to 12 wins for the Heat. Average points scored per game by Boston in this situation is is 91.1 ppg while Miami has put up 87.2 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3.9 favoring the Celtics.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 3.9 ppg. That represents a value number of 5.9 when meassured against the offered line of 2.0, suggesting a wager on the Celtics makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 35 games between the Heat and the Celtics is 178.3 per game. That creates a differential of 1.7 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 180.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the Miami Heat Cover the Spread?

This season the Miami Heat have played 90 games, averaging 102.4 points per game, while allowing 94.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 73-17. Let's have a closer look at recent Miami Heat results.

Recent Miami Heat Results

This season the Miami Heat have played 45 games on the road, averaging 99.1 points per game, while allowing 93.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 33-12. Let's have a closer look at recent Miami Heat results on the road.

Recent Miami Heat Road Results

Can the Boston Celtics Cover the Spread?

This season the Boston Celtics have played 87 games, averaging 95.5 points per game, while allowing 96.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 43-17. Let's have a closer look at recent Boston Celtics results.

Recent Boston Celtics Results

This season the Boston Celtics have played 43 games here at home, averaging 97.5 points per game, while allowing 93.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 28-15. Let's have a closer look at recent Boston Celtics results when playing at home.

Recent Boston Celtics Home Results

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