NBA Betting Preview & Picks

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Game Date: Thursday, June 7, 2012 | Game Time: 8:30 PM | Home Line: 2.0 | Total: 180.0

by Jay Marriucci

Miami Heat v Boston Celtics Series Betting Trends

The Miami Heat travel to Boston to play the Celtics at 8:30 PM on Thursday, June 7, 2012. Boston is the underdog in this matchup, getting 2.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 180.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NBA sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Heat/Celtics Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 21, 2014 Boston 84Miami100-1.5201.0
March 19, 2014 Miami 96Boston1016.5198.5
January 21, 2014 Boston 86Miami93-9.0196.5
November 9, 2013 Boston 111Miami110-13.5193.5
April 12, 2013 Boston 101Miami109-12.0195.0
March 18, 2013 Miami 105Boston103
January 27, 2013 Miami 98Boston1003.5187.5
October 30, 2012 Boston 107Miami120-6.5186.5
June 9, 2012 Boston 88Miami101-8.0178.5
June 7, 2012 Miami 98Boston79

When looking at the last 75 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 47 games compared to 28 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Miami/Boston series is 95.5 ppg while the vistor has put up 91.5 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 4 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 75 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 4 ppg. That represents a value number of 6 when meassured against the offered line of 2.0, suggesting a wager on Boston makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 75 games between the Heat and the Celtics is 187 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 7 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 180.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Miami as the road team and with Boston as the home team.

Recent Results when Miami visits Boston

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 19, 2014 Miami 96Boston1016.5198.5
March 18, 2013 Miami 105Boston103
January 27, 2013 Miami 98Boston1003.5187.5
June 7, 2012 Miami 98Boston79
June 7, 2012 Miami 98Boston792.0180.0
June 3, 2012 Miami 91Boston932.0179.5
June 1, 2012 Miami 91Boston101-2.0180.5

When looking at the last 36 games in this series while Boston has been the home team, we can see the Celtics have won 24 games compared to 12 wins for the Heat. Average points scored per game by Boston in this situation is is 91.3 ppg while Miami has put up 87.4 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 3.9 favoring the Celtics.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 3.9 ppg. That represents a value number of 5.9 when meassured against the offered line of 2.0, suggesting a wager on the Celtics makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 36 games between the Heat and the Celtics is 178.7 per game. That creates a differential of 1.3 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 180.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Can the Miami Heat Cover the Spread?

This season the Miami Heat have played 28 games, averaging 94.5 points per game, while allowing 98.0 points per game. This has led to a season record of 13-15. Let's have a closer look at recent Miami Heat results.

Recent Miami Heat Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 21, 2014 Boston 84Miami100-1.5201.0
December 19, 2014 Washington 105Miami1036.0189.0
December 17, 2014 Utah 105Miami87
December 16, 2014 Miami 95Brooklyn91-7.5182.5
December 14, 2014 Chicago 93Miami754.5194.5
December 12, 2014 Miami 100Utah95-1.0191.5
December 10, 2014 Miami 82Denver102

This season the Miami Heat have played 14 games on the road, averaging 94.9 points per game, while allowing 97.1 points per game. This has led to a season record of 8-6. Let's have a closer look at recent Miami Heat results on the road.

Recent Miami Heat Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 16, 2014 Miami 95Brooklyn91-7.5182.5
December 12, 2014 Miami 100Utah95-1.0191.5
December 10, 2014 Miami 82Denver102
December 9, 2014 Miami 103Phoenix97-4.5202.5
December 7, 2014 Miami 87Memphis103-8.0191.5

Can the Boston Celtics Cover the Spread?

This season the Boston Celtics have played 25 games, averaging 104.0 points per game, while allowing 104.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 10-15. Let's have a closer look at recent Boston Celtics results.

Recent Boston Celtics Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 21, 2014 Boston 84Miami100-1.5201.0
December 19, 2014 Minnesota 98Boston114-5.5212.0
December 17, 2014 Orlando 92Boston109-3.5200.0
December 15, 2014 Boston 105Philadelphia874.5206.5
December 12, 2014 New York 101Boston95
December 10, 2014 Boston 87Charlotte96-2.5205.0
December 8, 2014 Boston 132Washington133-9.0204.5
December 7, 2014 Washington 93Boston1013.5205.0
December 5, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 96Boston113-3.5217.5
December 3, 2014 Detroit 102Boston109-5.0202.5

This season the Boston Celtics have played 15 games here at home, averaging 105.2 points per game, while allowing 103.9 points per game. This has led to a season record of 7-8. Let's have a closer look at recent Boston Celtics results when playing at home.

Recent Boston Celtics Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 19, 2014 Minnesota 98Boston114-5.5212.0
December 17, 2014 Orlando 92Boston109-3.5200.0
December 12, 2014 New York 101Boston95
December 7, 2014 Washington 93Boston1013.5205.0
December 5, 2014 (LAK) Los Angeles 96Boston113-3.5217.5
December 3, 2014 Detroit 102Boston109-5.0202.5
November 30, 2014 San Antonio 111Boston897.5204.0
November 28, 2014 Chicago 109Boston1023.5204.5
November 23, 2014 Portland 94Boston885.0209.5
November 17, 2014 Phoenix 118Boston1142.0215.0

More

Top of Page

SHOPPING CART

No items in your cart. Buy Picks and Subscriptions

TOP CAPPER

Big Mac O'Reilly was on Fire yesterday, going 9-0 with a net gain of 900 units. Get today's picks and cash in on the action!

HANDICAPPER RESEARCH

We offer several usefull tools to aid in your reseach of our handicappers that can be broken down to seasonal results, overall history, annual results, league and more. Try before you buy!

LINKS


Main Page | About Us | Members Login | Betting Tools | FAQ | XML Site Map | Terms | Privacy | Advertise | Contact


Copyright © 1996 - 2014 ProCappers® Group S.A. - The Professional Handicappers League™
Information contained in this site is for news & entertainment purposes only. Any use of this information in violation of federal, state or local law is prohibited.
ProCappers Group S.A. is a Registered Company of Costa Rica.

Please enjoy the daily winning free picks, baseball picks, free daily basketball predictions, free nba picks, free ncaab pick, weekly nfl football predictions, weekly college football picks, original content, cutting edge information, exhaustive research, in-depth reports and detailed analysis, wagering tips, industry tricks, sports betting advice, strategies to beat the odds, gambling articles and more!
GUARANTEED PICKS FREE PICKS SCORES & ODDS NETWORK SITES ONLINE SPORTSBOOKS RESOURCES