NHL Betting Preview & Picks

Columbus Blue Jackets vs Colorado Avalanche

Game Date: Thursday, April 5, 2012 | Game Time: 9:05 PM | Home Line: -1.5 | Total: 5.5

by Underdog Sports

Columbus Blue Jackets v Colorado Avalanche Series Betting Trends

The Columbus Blue Jackets travel to Colorado to play the Avalanche at 9:05 PM on Thursday, April 5, 2012. Colorado is the favorite in this matchup, laying -1.5 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 5.5.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NHL sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Blue Jackets/Avalanche Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 1, 2014 Colorado 3Columbus2-1.55.5
December 31, 2013 Columbus 3Colorado5-1.55.5
April 15, 2013 Columbus 4Colorado31.55.0
March 3, 2013 Colorado 1Columbus21.55.5
January 24, 2013 Columbus 0Colorado4-1.55.5
April 5, 2012 Columbus 5Colorado2-1.55.5
March 1, 2012 Columbus 2Colorado0-1.55.5
February 24, 2012 Colorado 5Columbus01.55.5
October 12, 2011 Colorado 3Columbus2-1.55.5
March 22, 2011 Columbus 4Colorado51.55.5

When looking at the last 44 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 24 games compared to 20 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Columbus/Colorado series is 2.8 ppg while the vistor has put up 2.6 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 0.2 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 44 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 0.2 ppg. That represents a value number of -1.3 when meassured against the offered line of -1.5, suggesting a wager on Columbus makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 44 games between the Blue Jackets and the Avalanche is 5.4 per game. That creates a differential of 0.1 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 5.5 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Columbus as the road team and with Colorado as the home team.

Recent Results when Columbus visits Colorado

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
December 31, 2013 Columbus 3Colorado5-1.55.5
April 15, 2013 Columbus 4Colorado31.55.0
January 24, 2013 Columbus 0Colorado4-1.55.5
April 5, 2012 Columbus 5Colorado2-1.55.5
March 1, 2012 Columbus 2Colorado0-1.55.5
March 22, 2011 Columbus 4Colorado51.55.5
October 30, 2010 Columbus 1Colorado5-1.55.5

When looking at the last 23 games in this series while Colorado has been the home team, we can see the Avalanche have won 17 games compared to 6 wins for the Blue Jackets. Average points scored per game by Colorado in this situation is is 3.6 ppg while Columbus has put up 2.1 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1.5 favoring the Avalanche.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 1.5 ppg. That represents a value number of 0 when meassured against the offered line of -1.5, suggesting a wager on the Avalanche makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 23 games between the Blue Jackets and the Avalanche is 5.7 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 0.2 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 5.5 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the Columbus Blue Jackets Cover the Spread?

This season the Columbus Blue Jackets have played 84 games, averaging 2.8 points per game, while allowing 2.7 points per game. This has led to a season record of 43-41. Let's have a closer look at recent Columbus Blue Jackets results.

Recent Columbus Blue Jackets Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 23, 2014 Pittsburgh 3Columbus41.55.5
April 21, 2014 Pittsburgh 4Columbus31.55.5
April 19, 2014 Columbus 4Pittsburgh3-1.55.5
April 16, 2014 Columbus 3Pittsburgh4-1.55.5
April 12, 2014 Columbus 3Florida21.55.5
April 11, 2014 Columbus 2Tampa Bay3-1.55.5
April 9, 2014 Columbus 3Dallas1

This season the Columbus Blue Jackets have played 43 games on the road, averaging 2.5 points per game, while allowing 2.7 points per game. This has led to a season record of 21-22. Let's have a closer look at recent Columbus Blue Jackets results on the road.

Recent Columbus Blue Jackets Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 19, 2014 Columbus 4Pittsburgh3-1.55.5
April 16, 2014 Columbus 3Pittsburgh4-1.55.5
April 12, 2014 Columbus 3Florida21.55.5
April 11, 2014 Columbus 2Tampa Bay3-1.55.5
April 9, 2014 Columbus 3Dallas1

Can the Colorado Avalanche Cover the Spread?

This season the Colorado Avalanche have played 83 games, averaging 3.0 points per game, while allowing 2.7 points per game. This has led to a season record of 52-41. Let's have a closer look at recent Colorado Avalanche results.

Recent Colorado Avalanche Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 21, 2014 Colorado 0Minnesota1-1.55.0
April 19, 2014 Minnesota 2Colorado4-1.55.0
April 17, 2014 Minnesota 4Colorado5-1.55.0
April 13, 2014 Colorado 2Anaheim3-1.55.5
April 11, 2014 Colorado 1San Jose5-1.55.5
April 10, 2014 Colorado 4Vancouver21.55.5
April 8, 2014 Colorado 4Edmonton11.55.5
April 6, 2014 Pittsburgh 3Colorado2-1.55.5
April 5, 2014 Colorado 4St. Louis0-1.55.5
April 3, 2014 (NYR) New York 2Colorado3-1.55.5

This season the Colorado Avalanche have played 41 games here at home, averaging 3.2 points per game, while allowing 2.7 points per game. This has led to a season record of 26-15. Let's have a closer look at recent Colorado Avalanche results when playing at home.

Recent Colorado Avalanche Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 19, 2014 Minnesota 2Colorado4-1.55.0
April 17, 2014 Minnesota 4Colorado5-1.55.0
April 6, 2014 Pittsburgh 3Colorado2-1.55.5
April 3, 2014 (NYR) New York 2Colorado3-1.55.5
March 29, 2014 San Jose 2Colorado31.55.5
March 27, 2014 Vancouver 2Colorado3-1.55.5
March 21, 2014 Boston 2Colorado01.55.5
March 14, 2014 Anaheim 6Colorado41.55.5
March 12, 2014 Chicago 2Colorado31.55.5
March 10, 2014 Winnipeg 2Colorado3-1.55.5

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