NCAAB Betting Preview & Picks

Florida Gators vs Louisville Cardinals

Game Date: Saturday, March 24, 2012 | Game Time: 4:30 PM | Home Line: 1.0 | Total: 132.0

by Redneck Underground

Florida Gators v Louisville Cardinals Series Betting Trends

The Florida Gators travel to Louisville to play the Cardinals at 4:30 PM on Saturday, March 24, 2012. Louisville is the underdog in this matchup, getting 1.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 132.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAB sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Gators/Cardinals Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 24, 2012 Florida 68Louisville721.0132.0
December 11, 2004 Louisville 74Florida70
December 13, 2003 Florida 65Louisville73

When looking at the last 3 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 2 games compared to 1 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Florida/Louisville series is 71.7 ppg while the vistor has put up 69 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 2.7 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 3 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 2.7 ppg. That represents a value number of 3.7 when meassured against the offered line of 1.0, suggesting a wager on Louisville makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 3 games between the Gators and the Cardinals is 140.7 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 8.7 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 132.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Florida as the road team and with Louisville as the home team.

Recent Results when Florida visits Louisville

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 24, 2012 Florida 68Louisville721.0132.0
December 13, 2003 Florida 65Louisville73

When looking at the last 2 games in this series while Louisville has been the home team, we can see the Cardinals have won 2 games compared to 0 wins for the Gators. Average points scored per game by Louisville in this situation is is 72.5 ppg while Florida has put up 66.5 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 6 favoring the Cardinals.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 6 ppg. That represents a value number of 7 when meassured against the offered line of 1.0, suggesting a wager on the Cardinals makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 2 games between the Gators and the Cardinals is 139 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 7 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 132.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the Florida Gators Cover the Spread?

This season the Florida Gators have played 20 games, averaging 65.6 points per game, while allowing 60.2 points per game. This has led to a season record of 11-9. Let's have a closer look at recent Florida Gators results.

Recent Florida Gators Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 31, 2015 Arkansas 56Florida57-7.0
January 27, 2015 Florida 52Alabama501.5123.5
January 24, 2015 Florida 71Mississippi72-3.0
January 20, 2015 LSU 79Florida61-11.0136.0
January 17, 2015 Florida 61Georgia731.5124.5
January 15, 2015 Auburn 55Florida75-15.5
January 10, 2015 Mississippi St. 47Florida72-17.5115.5

This season the Florida Gators have played 7 games on the road, averaging 64.1 points per game, while allowing 66.4 points per game. This has led to a season record of 2-5. Let's have a closer look at recent Florida Gators results on the road.

Recent Florida Gators Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 27, 2015 Florida 52Alabama501.5123.5
January 24, 2015 Florida 71Mississippi72-3.0
January 17, 2015 Florida 61Georgia731.5124.5
January 7, 2015 Florida 72South Carolina68-1.5
December 30, 2014 Florida 63Florida St.656.0126.0

Can the Louisville Cardinals Cover the Spread?

This season the Louisville Cardinals have played 20 games, averaging 73.0 points per game, while allowing 60.6 points per game. This has led to a season record of 17-9. Let's have a closer look at recent Louisville Cardinals results.

Recent Louisville Cardinals Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 31, 2015 North Carolina 68Louisville78-4.5
January 28, 2015 Louisville 81Boston College729.5
January 25, 2015 Louisville 80Pittsburgh686.0124.5
January 17, 2015 Duke 63Louisville52-4.0
January 13, 2015 Virginia Tech 63Louisville78-23.0
January 10, 2015 Louisville 71North Carolina72-3.0140.0
January 7, 2015 Clemson 52Louisville58-16.5
January 4, 2015 Louisville 85Wake Forest7612.5130.5
December 30, 2014 Long Beach St. 48Louisville63-18.5
December 27, 2014 Kentucky 58Louisville506.0130.0

This season the Louisville Cardinals have played 14 games here at home, averaging 69.4 points per game, while allowing 55.9 points per game. This has led to a season record of 12-2. Let's have a closer look at recent Louisville Cardinals results when playing at home.

Recent Louisville Cardinals Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
January 31, 2015 North Carolina 68Louisville78-4.5
January 17, 2015 Duke 63Louisville52-4.0
January 13, 2015 Virginia Tech 63Louisville78-23.0
January 7, 2015 Clemson 52Louisville58-16.5
December 30, 2014 Long Beach St. 48Louisville63-18.5
December 27, 2014 Kentucky 58Louisville506.0130.0
December 23, 2014 CS Northridge 55Louisville80-26.0137.5
December 14, 2014 NC Wilmington 57Louisville68-28.5139.5
December 5, 2014 Fla International 57Louisville82-29.5
December 2, 2014 Ohio St. 55Louisville64-9.0136.5

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