NCAAB Betting Preview & Picks

Florida Gators vs Louisville Cardinals

Game Date: Saturday, March 24, 2012 | Game Time: 4:30 PM | Home Line: 1.0 | Total: 132.0

by Redneck Underground

Florida Gators v Louisville Cardinals Series Betting Trends

The Florida Gators travel to Louisville to play the Cardinals at 4:30 PM on Saturday, March 24, 2012. Louisville is the underdog in this matchup, getting 1.0 points here at home. The Total has been posted at Over/Under 132.0.

Before getting to specific team details, let's have a look at the recent games in this series to see if we can identify any NCAAB sports betting trends to assist in making the right pick in this game.

Recent Results in the Gators/Cardinals Series

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 24, 2012 Florida 68Louisville721.0132.0
December 11, 2004 Louisville 74Florida70
December 13, 2003 Florida 65Louisville73

When looking at the last 3 games in this series, we can see the home team has won 2 games compared to 1 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Florida/Louisville series is 71.7 ppg while the vistor has put up 69 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 2.7 favoring the home team.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last 3 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 2.7 ppg. That represents a value number of 3.7 when meassured against the offered line of 1.0, suggesting a wager on Louisville makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 3 games between the Gators and the Cardinals is 140.7 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 8.7 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 132.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Now let's take a look at the series history in this exact situation, with Florida as the road team and with Louisville as the home team.

Recent Results when Florida visits Louisville

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 24, 2012 Florida 68Louisville721.0132.0
December 13, 2003 Florida 65Louisville73

When looking at the last 2 games in this series while Louisville has been the home team, we can see the Cardinals have won 2 games compared to 0 wins for the Gators. Average points scored per game by Louisville in this situation is is 72.5 ppg while Florida has put up 66.5 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 6 favoring the Cardinals.

As stated, the exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 6 ppg. That represents a value number of 7 when meassured against the offered line of 1.0, suggesting a wager on the Cardinals makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.

The average Total points scored spanning the last 2 games between the Gators and the Cardinals is 139 per game. That creates a face value cushion of 7 against the line, suggesting a bet of Over 132.0 may be in order. At least it appears as such on first impression when compared to the series history.

Can the Florida Gators Cover the Spread?

This season the Florida Gators have played 33 games, averaging 69.2 points per game, while allowing 58.8 points per game. This has led to a season record of 30-3. Let's have a closer look at recent Florida Gators results.

Recent Florida Gators Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
April 5, 2014 Connecticut 63Florida53-7.0127.0
March 29, 2014 Dayton 52Florida62-10.5133.0
March 27, 2014 UCLA 68Florida79-4.5137.0
March 22, 2014 Pittsburgh 45Florida61-5.0124.0
March 20, 2014 Albany 55Florida67-21.0120.0
March 16, 2014 Kentucky 60Florida61-6.5129.5
March 15, 2014 Tennessee 49Florida56-6.0123.5

This season the Florida Gators have played 10 games on the road, averaging 67.1 points per game, while allowing 60.7 points per game. This has led to a season record of 8-2. Let's have a closer look at recent Florida Gators results on the road.

Recent Florida Gators Road Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 4, 2014 Florida 72South Carolina4612.0
February 25, 2014 Florida 57Vanderbilt548.5
February 22, 2014 Florida 75Mississippi716.5
February 15, 2014 Florida 69Kentucky59-2.5130.0
February 11, 2014 Florida 67Tennessee582.0128.5

Can the Louisville Cardinals Cover the Spread?

This season the Louisville Cardinals have played 35 games, averaging 80.6 points per game, while allowing 61.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 29-3. Let's have a closer look at recent Louisville Cardinals results.

Recent Louisville Cardinals Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 28, 2014 Kentucky 74Louisville69-4.0138.5
March 22, 2014 St. Louis 51Louisville66-9.0133.0
March 20, 2014 Manhattan 64Louisville71-15.5141.0
March 15, 2014 Connecticut 61Louisville71-8.0135.5
March 14, 2014 Houston 65Louisville94-19.5144.0
March 13, 2014 Rutgers 31Louisville92-18.5144.5
March 8, 2014 Connecticut 48Louisville81-9.0
March 5, 2014 Louisville 84SMU713.5135.0
March 1, 2014 Louisville 66Memphis724.5143.5
February 27, 2014 Temple 66Louisville88-22.5146.5

This season the Louisville Cardinals have played 24 games here at home, averaging 82.0 points per game, while allowing 60.5 points per game. This has led to a season record of 20-4. Let's have a closer look at recent Louisville Cardinals results when playing at home.

Recent Louisville Cardinals Home Results

DateAwayTeamScoreHomeTeamScoreHomeLineTotal
March 28, 2014 Kentucky 74Louisville69-4.0138.5
March 22, 2014 St. Louis 51Louisville66-9.0133.0
March 20, 2014 Manhattan 64Louisville71-15.5141.0
March 15, 2014 Connecticut 61Louisville71-8.0135.5
March 14, 2014 Houston 65Louisville94-19.5144.0
March 13, 2014 Rutgers 31Louisville92-18.5144.5
March 8, 2014 Connecticut 48Louisville81-9.0
February 27, 2014 Temple 66Louisville88-22.5146.5
February 18, 2014 South Florida 54Louisville80-23.0139.0
February 16, 2014 Rutgers 54Louisville102-21.5

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